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DUNE-PRISM:“Current” Events

Collaboration Meeting Talk

Flux Fitting Recap

✕ =

Flux Fitting Recap

Flux Fitting RecapRegularization penalty is tuned to optimize quality of fit (“residual norm”) and smoothness of coefficients (“solution norm”).

Flux Fitting Recap

The ProblemEven with a 40m long hall, we can’t fit certain features:

Horn Currents and Fitting Power

Remake this plot

Fitting With Horn Currents

What’s new:

● Coefficient vector has a new row for each additional horn current flux● ND flux matrix has a new row for each of those fluxes● Penalty matrix (𝚪) is block-diagonal

○ Off-Axis and Horn Current fluxes can be penalized independently○ Here, we penalize the overall normalization of those coefficients (suppressing those fluxes)

Fits with Alternative Horn CurrentsBoth lower (250 kA) and higher (303 kA) provide a much better fit than only off-axis.

Remake these plots

Fits with Alternative Horn CurrentsHC variation doesn’t add much when features are at low energies.

Remake these plots

How Low Can We Go?Ideally, we want to change the current as little as possible, and decrease rather than increase:

How Low Can We Go?Ideally, we want to change the current as little as possible, and decrease rather than increase:

How Low Can We Go?Ideally, we want to change the current as little as possible, and decrease rather than increase:

280 kA / 300 kA

Off-axis Plus 280 kA On-axis Works! Include on-axis only in this plot

Systematic CancellationsRemember that the point is for systematics to cancel. We need to be sure that a shift in some parameter will move the FD flux and ND combination in the same way.

Target is 2% relative variation between FD and ND.

Beam Systematics

These are faked. HC systs are just copies of ND on-axis systs. Making real ones now…

Coarser binning > 5 GeV

Show more here/in backup

Beam SystematicsSummary plots: Bottom plot from before, showing median and 68% containment intervals

Hadron Production Systematics Coarser binning > 5GeV

Hadron Production Systematics

Thank You

BACKUP

Beam Systematic Cancellation Plots

Hadron Production Systematic Cancellation Plots

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