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DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk

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Page 1: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

DUNE-PRISM:“Current” Events

Collaboration Meeting Talk

Page 2: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

Flux Fitting Recap

✕ =

Page 3: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

Flux Fitting Recap

Page 4: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

Flux Fitting RecapRegularization penalty is tuned to optimize quality of fit (“residual norm”) and smoothness of coefficients (“solution norm”).

Page 5: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

Flux Fitting Recap

Page 6: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

The ProblemEven with a 40m long hall, we can’t fit certain features:

Page 7: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

Horn Currents and Fitting Power

Remake this plot

Page 8: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

Fitting With Horn Currents

What’s new:

● Coefficient vector has a new row for each additional horn current flux● ND flux matrix has a new row for each of those fluxes● Penalty matrix (𝚪) is block-diagonal

○ Off-Axis and Horn Current fluxes can be penalized independently○ Here, we penalize the overall normalization of those coefficients (suppressing those fluxes)

Page 9: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

Fits with Alternative Horn CurrentsBoth lower (250 kA) and higher (303 kA) provide a much better fit than only off-axis.

Remake these plots

Page 10: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

Fits with Alternative Horn CurrentsHC variation doesn’t add much when features are at low energies.

Remake these plots

Page 11: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

How Low Can We Go?Ideally, we want to change the current as little as possible, and decrease rather than increase:

Page 12: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

How Low Can We Go?Ideally, we want to change the current as little as possible, and decrease rather than increase:

Page 13: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

How Low Can We Go?Ideally, we want to change the current as little as possible, and decrease rather than increase:

280 kA / 300 kA

Page 14: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

Off-axis Plus 280 kA On-axis Works! Include on-axis only in this plot

Page 15: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

Systematic CancellationsRemember that the point is for systematics to cancel. We need to be sure that a shift in some parameter will move the FD flux and ND combination in the same way.

Target is 2% relative variation between FD and ND.

Page 16: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

Beam Systematics

These are faked. HC systs are just copies of ND on-axis systs. Making real ones now…

Coarser binning > 5 GeV

Show more here/in backup

Page 17: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

Beam SystematicsSummary plots: Bottom plot from before, showing median and 68% containment intervals

Page 18: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

Hadron Production Systematics Coarser binning > 5GeV

Page 19: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

Hadron Production Systematics

Page 20: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

Thank You

Page 21: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

BACKUP

Page 22: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

Beam Systematic Cancellation Plots

Page 23: DUNE-PRISM: “Current” Events€¦ · “Current” Events Collaboration Meeting Talk. Flux Fitting Recap = Flux Fitting Recap. ... Ideally, we want to change the current as little

Hadron Production Systematic Cancellation Plots