distressed sales - november 2015
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DISTRESSED SALESPRESS RELEASE
December 22, 2015
SHARE OF EQUITY SALES DOWN FROM SEP 15,BUT STILL NEAR THE HIGHEST LEVEL IN SIX YEARS
93.4%
2.9%3.3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Jan‐09
Apr‐09
Jul‐0
9Oct‐09
Jan‐10
Apr‐10
Jul‐1
0Oct‐10
Jan‐11
Apr‐11
Jul‐1
1Oct‐11
Jan‐12
Apr‐12
Jul‐1
2Oct‐12
Jan‐13
Apr‐13
Jul‐1
3Oct‐13
Jan‐14
Apr‐14
Jul‐1
4Oct‐14
Jan‐15
Apr‐15
Jul‐1
5Oct‐15
Equity Sales Short Sale REO
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
OVER NINE OF TEN SALES WERE EQUITY SALES
REOs, 3.3%
Short Sales, 2.9%
Other Distressed Sales (Not Specified),
0.4%
Equity Sales, 93.4%
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
California: November 2015
SHARE OF EQUITY SALES HAS REMAINED ABOVE 90% SINCE THE MID OF 2014
93%
3% 3%
94%
3% 3%
91%
4% 4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Equity Sales Short Sales REO Sales
Nov‐15 Oct‐15 Nov‐14
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Type of Sale Nov‐15 Oct‐15 Nov‐14
Equity Sales 93.4% 93.7% 90.9%
Total Distressed Sales 6.6% 6.3% 9.1%
REOs 3.3% 3.3% 4.2%
Short Sales 2.9% 2.7% 4.5%
Other Distressed Sales (Not Specified) 0.4% 0.3% 0.4%
All Sales 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
SHARE OF DISTRESSED SALES NEAR THE LOWEST LEVEL SINCE LATE 2007
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
DISTRESSED SALES
Percent of Total Sales, Bay Area: November 2015
3% 3%
1%
3%
1% 1%1%
7%
3%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
Alameda ContraCosta
Marin Napa SanFrancisco
San MateoSanta Clara Solano Sonoma
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
DISTRESSED SALES
Percent of Total Sales, Southern California: November 2015
8%
5%
8%
10%
4%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
Los Angeles Orange Riverside San Bernardino San Diego
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
DISTRESSED SALES
Percent of Total Sales, Central Valley: November 2015
9%
22%
7%
10%
4%
9%
6%
9% 9%10%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
DISTRESSED SALES
Percent of Total Sales, Rest of California: November 2015
0%
11% 10%9%
28%
11%
5%
0%
11%
3%
10%
3%2%
10%
14%
5%
23%
3%
10%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
County Nov‐15 Oct‐15 Nov‐14
Alameda 3% 3% 4%
Amador 0% 6% 7%
Butte 11% 5% 13%
Calaveras 10% 8% 19%
Contra Costa 3% 3% 3%
El Dorado 9% 5% 7%
Fresno 9% 12% 16%
Glenn 28% 6% 29%
Humboldt 11% 11% 12%
Kern NA 10% 10%
Kings 22% 7% 18%
Lake 5% 7% 19%
Los Angeles 8% 7% 9%
Madera 7% 19% 14%Marin 1% 3% 2%
SHARE OF DISTRESSED SALES BY COUNTY
Percent of Total Sales: 1 of 3
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
SHARE OF DISTRESSED SALES BY COUNTY
Percent of Total Sales: 2 of 3
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
County Nov‐15 Oct‐15 Nov‐14
Mariposa 0% 0% 10%
Mendocino 11% 10% 13%
Merced 10% 11% 17%
Monterey 3% 6% 9%
Napa 3% 3% 7%
Orange 5% 4% 5%
Placer 4% 6% 8%
Plumas 10% 3% 13%
Riverside 8% 10% 13%
Sacramento 9% 7% 12%
San Benito 6% 6% 3%
San Bernardino 10% 10% 16%
San Diego 4% 4% 6%
San Francisco 1% 0% 1%San Joaquin 9% 7% 11%
SHARE OF DISTRESSED SALES BY COUNTY
Percent of Total Sales: 3 of 3
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
County Nov‐15 Oct‐15 Nov‐14
San Luis Obispo 3% 3% 6%
San Mateo 1% 1% 1%
Santa Clara 1% 2% 2%
Santa Cruz 2% 1% 6%
Shasta 10% 11% 19%
Siskiyou 14% 16% 24%
Solano 7% 7% 9%
Sonoma 3% 3% 5%
Stanislaus 9% 7% 10%
Sutter 5% 4% 21%
Tehama 23% 8% 24%
Tulare 10% 12% 17%
Yolo 3% 5% 8%Yuba 10% 12% 16%
California 7% 6% 9%
REO & SHORT SALES
Percent of Total Sales, Bay Area: November 2015
2%
0%1%
3%
1% 1% 1%
4%
1%
1%
3%
0%
0%
1% 0% 1%
3%
2%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
Alameda ContraCosta
Marin Napa SanFrancisco
San MateoSanta Clara Solano Sonoma
REO Sales Short Sales
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
REO & SHORT SALES
Percent of Total Sales, Southern California: November 2015
3%2%
5%5%
1%
4%
2%
3%
5%
3%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
Los Angeles Orange Riverside San Bernardino San Diego
REO Sales Short Sales
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
REO & SHORT SALES
Percent of Total Sales, Central Valley: November 2015
6%
14%
7%4% 3% 4% 3% 5% 6% 8%
3%
8%
0%6%
1%
4%3%
3% 2%3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25% REO Sales Short Sales
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
REO & SHORT SALES
Percent of Total Sales, Rest of California: November 2015
0%
9% 10%
4%
17%
9%5%
0%2% 1% 2%
8%11%
0%
9%
3%
16%
1%
8%
0%
2% 0%
3%
6%
2%
0%
0%
2%1% 0%
2%0%
2%
3%
2%
0%
2%
2%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%REO Sales Short Sales
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
REO SALES BY COUNTY
Percent of Total Sales: 1 of 3County Nov‐15 Oct‐15 Nov‐14
Alameda 2% 2% 1%
Amador 0% 6% 7%
Butte 9% 4% 11%
Calaveras 10% 6% 16%
Contra Costa 0% 1% 1%
El Dorado 4% 3% 4%
Fresno 6% 8% 9%
Glenn 17% 6% 29%
Humboldt 9% 7% 10%
Kern NA 7% 5%
Kings 14% 5% 7%
Lake 5% 6% 16%
Los Angeles 3% 3% 2%
Madera 7% 19% 14%Marin 1% 2% 1%
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
REO SALES BY COUNTY
Percent of Total Sales: 2 of 3
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
County Nov‐15 Oct‐15 Nov‐14
Mariposa 0% 0% 0%
Mendocino 9% 8% 11%
Merced 4% 7% 9%
Monterey 2% 3% 3%
Napa 3% 0% 6%
Orange 2% 1% 1%
Placer 3% 2% 3%
Plumas 10% 3% 9%
Riverside 5% 5% 6%
Sacramento 4% 3% 5%
San Benito 3% 4% 0%
San Bernardino 5% 6% 10%
San Diego 1% 1% 2%
San Francisco 1% 0% 1%San Joaquin 5% 4% 5%
REO SALES BY COUNTY
Percent of Total Sales: 3 of 3
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
County Nov‐15 Oct‐15 Nov‐14
San Luis Obispo 1% 2% 4%
San Mateo 1% 1% 1%
Santa Clara 1% 1% 1%
Santa Cruz 2% 1% 3%
Shasta 8% 10% 13%
Siskiyou 11% 16% 24%
Solano 4% 3% 4%
Sonoma 1% 3% 3%
Stanislaus 6% 4% 6%
Sutter 3% 3% 13%
Tehama 16% 8% 14%
Tulare 8% 9% 12%
Yolo 1% 1% 3%Yuba 8% 9% 5%
California 3% 3% 4%
SHORT SALES BY COUNTY
Percent of Total Sales: 1 of 3County Nov‐15 Oct‐15 Nov‐14
Alameda 1% 2% 3%
Amador 0% 0% 0%
Butte 2% 1% 2%
Calaveras 0% 2% 3%
Contra Costa 3% 2% 2%
El Dorado 3% 1% 3%
Fresno 3% 4% 7%
Glenn 6% 0% 0%
Humboldt 2% 4% 2%
Kern NA 3% 5%
Kings 8% 2% 11%
Lake 0% 1% 3%
Los Angeles 4% 4% 6%
Madera 0% 0% 0%Marin 0% 0% 1%
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
SHORT SALES BY COUNTY
Percent of Total Sales: 2 of 3
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
County Nov‐15 Oct‐15 Nov‐14
Mariposa 0% 0% 10%
Mendocino 2% 2% 3%
Merced 6% 5% 8%
Monterey 1% 3% 6%
Napa 0% 3% 1%
Orange 2% 2% 3%
Placer 1% 4% 3%
Plumas 0% 0% 3%
Riverside 3% 4% 6%
Sacramento 4% 4% 6%
San Benito 3% 2% 3%
San Bernardino 5% 3% 6%
San Diego 3% 2% 3%
San Francisco 1% 0% 0%San Joaquin 3% 3% 6%
SHORT SALES BY COUNTY
Percent of Total Sales: 3 of 3
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
County Nov‐15 Oct‐15 Nov‐14
San Luis Obispo 2% 1% 2%
San Mateo 0% 0% 1%
Santa Clara 1% 1% 1%
Santa Cruz 0% 1% 3%
Shasta 2% 0% 6%
Siskiyou 3% 0% 0%
Solano 3% 4% 4%
Sonoma 2% 0% 3%
Stanislaus 2% 3% 5%
Sutter 2% 1% 8%
Tehama 0% 0% 3%
Tulare 3% 2% 5%
Yolo 2% 3% 3%Yuba 2% 3% 11%
California 3% 3% 5%
MEDIAN PRICE OF EQUITY SALES IN NOVEMBER HIGHEST SINCE JULY 2015
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
$400,000
$450,000
$500,000Jan‐09
Apr‐09
Jul‐0
9Oct‐09
Jan‐10
Apr‐10
Jul‐1
0Oct‐10
Jan‐11
Apr‐11
Jul‐1
1Oct‐11
Jan‐12
Apr‐12
Jul‐1
2Oct‐12
Jan‐13
Apr‐13
Jul‐1
3Oct‐13
Jan‐14
Apr‐14
Jul‐1
4Oct‐14
Jan‐15
Apr‐15
Jul‐1
5Oct‐15
Equity Sales Short Sale REO
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
MEDIAN PRICE OF EQUITY SALES INCREASED FROM LAST YEAR
‐20%
‐15%
‐10%
‐5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Jan‐10
Apr‐10
Jul‐1
0
Oct‐10
Jan‐11
Apr‐11
Jul‐1
1
Oct‐11
Jan‐12
Apr‐12
Jul‐1
2
Oct‐12
Jan‐13
Apr‐13
Jul‐1
3
Oct‐13
Jan‐14
Apr‐14
Jul‐1
4
Oct‐14
Jan‐15
Apr‐15
Jul‐1
5
Oct‐15
Equity Sales Short Sale REO
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
yty% chg. in Price
UNSOLD INVENTORY INDEX
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Equity Sales Short Sales REO Sales
4.2
7.0
3.4
SERIES: Distressed Unsold Inventory Index, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
UNSOLD INVENTORY INDEX (MONTHS)
California: November 2015
ACTIVE LISTINGS REMAINED AT LOW LEVELS
0
1
2
3
4
5
Equity Sales Short Sales REO Sales
3.03.1
2.3
SERIES: Distressed Unsold Inventory Index, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
UNSOLD INVENTORY INDEX (MONTHS)
California: November 2015
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
Aug‐11
Oct‐11
Dec‐11
Feb‐12
Apr‐12
Jun‐12
Aug‐12
Oct‐12
Dec‐12
Feb‐13
Apr‐13
Jun‐13
Aug‐13
Oct‐13
Dec‐13
Feb‐14
Apr‐14
Jun‐14
Aug‐14
Oct‐14
Dec‐14
Feb‐15
Apr‐15
Jun‐15
Aug‐15
Oct‐15
Equity Sales Short Sales REO
UNSOLD INVENTORY INDEX UP FOR ALL SALES TYPES
SERIES: Distressed Months Supply of Inventory, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
UNSOLD INVENTORY INDEX (MONTHS)
7.0
4.2
3.4
EQUITY SALES INCREASED MODERATELY FROM LAST YEAR
Raw# of Equity Sales, REO, & Short‐Sales
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
Jan‐09
Apr‐09
Jul‐0
9
Oct‐09
Jan‐10
Apr‐10
Jul‐1
0
Oct‐10
Jan‐11
Apr‐11
Jul‐1
1
Oct‐11
Jan‐12
Apr‐12
Jul‐1
2
Oct‐12
Jan‐13
Apr‐13
Jul‐1
3
Oct‐13
Jan‐14
Apr‐14
Jul‐1
4
Oct‐14
Jan‐15
Apr‐15
Jul‐1
5
Oct‐15
Equity Sales Short Sale REO
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
‐35%
‐30%
‐25%
‐20%
‐15%
‐10%
‐5%
0%
5%
10%
Equity Sales Short Sales REO Sales
8%
‐32%
‐16%
DISTRESSED SALES CONTINUED TO DECLINE, ESPECIALLY FOR SHORT SALES
(% Change in Sales –Year to Year)
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
DISTRESSED SALES CONTINUED TO DECLINE, ESPECIALLY FOR SHORT SALES
‐80%
‐60%
‐40%
‐20%
0%
20%
40%
60% Equity Sales Short Sales REO Sales
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
yty% chg in sales
7.8%
‐31.8%
‐15.6%
DISTRESSED SALES
Percent of Total Sales: November 2015
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Nov‐15 Jan‐09
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
DISTRESSED SALES
Percent of Total Sales, S.F. Bay Area: November 2015
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
CA Alameda Contra Costa San Francisco San Mateo Santa Clara
6.6%3.3% 3.2% 1.1% 1.0% 1.4%
69.1%75.7%
68.5%
34.5%
48.2%
68.0%
Nov‐15 Jan‐09
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
DISTRESSED SALES
Percent of Total Sales, Southern California: November 2015
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
CA Los Angeles Orange Riverside San Bernardino
6.6% 7.7% 5.1% 8.1% 9.9%
69.1%63.2% 60.2%
80.1% 82.8%
Nov‐15 Jan‐09
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
DISTRESSED SALES
Percent of Total Sales, Central Valley: November 2015
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
6.6% 9.2%4.2% 8.6% 6.3% 8.9% 8.8% 10.4%
69.1%
84.2%
68.4%
85.6% 89.5% 93.0% 93.6%
45.8%
Nov‐15 Jan‐09
SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
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