digital learning futures - bedrijfsopleidingen.be · digital learning futures steve wheeler...

Current trends and future

technologies for Learning

and Development

Digital Learning

Futures

Steve Wheeler @timbuckteeth

Plymouth University, UK

Flanders Learning and Development Conference, Brussels: October 9, 2014

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/ Image Credits: http://www.plymouth.gov.uk/

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http://www.staedte-fotos.de/1024/plymouth-die-mayflower-steps-an-33876.jpg

The goal of education

http://www.dailymail.co.uk

‘If you think education is expensive… try ignorance’ – Derek Bok

Photo by Steve Wheeler

New York, c 2014

http://daytoninmanhattan.blogspot.co.uk/2010_03_01_archive.html

New York, c 1904

Photo by Steve Wheeler

“I truly believe that one day, there will be a telephone in every town in

America.”

- Alexander Graham Bell

The First Mobile Phone

Photo by Steve Wheeler

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http://www.digitaltrends.com

“It is impossible to predict the future with great accuracy” – Michio Kaku

The Future...?

• 1989: ‘The future is multi-media’

• 1999: ‘The future is the Web’

• 2009: ‘The future is smart mobile’

hof.povray.org

Where have we come from? http://photos.jeremybrooks.net/?p=65

http://www.sabotagetimes.com/life/a-vision-of-the-future-from-1910/

Work 2000

Villemard

http://www.sabotagetimes.com/life/a-vision-of-the-future-from-1910/

Leisure 2000

Villemard

http://www.sabotagetimes.com/life/a-vision-of-the-future-from-1910/

Conflict 2000

Villemard

http://www.cbsnews.com/2300-501465_162-10013397-8.html

Policing 2000

Villemard

http://www.sabotagetimes.com/life/a-vision-of-the-future-from-1910/

Communication 2000

Villemard

http://www.sabotagetimes.com/life/a-vision-of-the-future-from-1910/

Learning 2000

Villemard

Disruptive Technology

Social, political, and economic systems change incrementally, but technology changes exponentially. Larry Downes

Law of Disruption

Image source: http://www.masterlink.com/blog

“This is for everyone”

“The future is already here — it's just not very evenly distributed” – William Gibson

http://intergalacticrobot.blogspot.co.uk/2012/06/helen-oloy.html

Rogers Diffusion of Ideas Model

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/11/Diffusion_of_ideas.svg

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Where are we NOW? http://photos.jeremybrooks.net/?p=65

Trends in Learning & Development

Just for me Apprenticeship model

Just in case Standardised Courses

Just in time Bespoke Courses

Just for me Personalised Learning

Personal Learning Environment

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Learners taking notes Photo: Lori Cullen

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We learn by making (Papert, 1960) Photo by Steve Wheeler

‘New’ learners are... • more self-directed

• better equipped to capture information

• more reliant on feedback from peers

• more inclined to collaborate

• more oriented toward being their own

“nodes of production”.

Education Trends | Featured News John K. Waters—13 December 2011

http://coolshots.blogspot.com/2007_02_01_archive.html

http://thesocietypages.org/cyborgology

“Nearly all men can stand adversity, but if you want to test a man's character, give him an iPhone.” - Abraham Lincoln (on the ‘selfie’)

“60% of all Internet pages contain

misleading information.”

- Thomas Edison

We need ‘digital wisdom’

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Learners will need new ‘literacies’

• Social networking • Privacy maintenance • Identity management • Creating content • Organising content • Reusing and repurposing • Filtering and selecting • Self presention • Transliteracy

http://www.mopocket.com/

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Leaning 2.0 – Digital Literacies

Mastery

Literacies

Competencies

Skills

Graphic by Steve Wheeler (2013)

Personal/Social Tools

http://www.flickr.com/photos/kalexanderson/6156510808/sizes/l/

We need ‘digital fluency’

Communities of Learning

Photo by Steve Wheeler

Photo by Steve Wheeler

Professional Learning Networks

Photo by Steve Wheeler

Professional Learning Networks

Photo by Steve Wheeler

Professional Learning Networks

Photo by Steve Wheeler

Professional Learning Networks

Photo by Steve Wheeler

Professional Learning Networks

I store my knowledge with my friends

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Connectivism Paragogy

Distributed Cognition

http://farm1.static.flickr.com/117/291379959_594fa8ef70.jpg

BYOD or CYOD?

One of the biggest issues is tracking and controlling access to corporate

and private networks.

Learning 2.0

Tools Collaborating

Sharing

Voting

Networking

User generated

content

Architecture of participation

Tagging

X C

Embedded MOOCs?

Where are we headed? http://photos.jeremybrooks.net/?p=65

The NMC Horizon Project charts the

landscape of emerging

technologies for teaching, learning, research, creative

inquiry, and information

management

4 to 5 Years

2 to 3 Years

1 Year or Less

Great Expectations 2012

• Mobile Learning Apps

• Tablet Computing

• Games based learning

• Learner Analytics (big data)

• The Internet of Things

• Gestural computing

Graphics concept by Steve Wheeler

Source: http://www.educause.edu/library/resources/2012-horizon-report

Time to adoption Emerging Technology

Photo by Steve Wheeler

Games playing offers instant feedback on learning through achievement

and points systems

@davduran

Use of intelligent data, learner-produced data, and analysis models to discover information and social connections for predicting and advising people's

learning.

http://www.beehivecity.com

Voice and natural gesture interfaces

4 to 5 Years

2 to 3 Years

1 Year or Less

Great Expectations 2014

• Flipped Classroom

• Learner Analytics

• 3D Printing

• Games and Gamification

• The Quantified Self

• Virtual Assistants

Graphics concept by Steve Wheeler

Source: http://www.educause.edu/library/resources/2014-horizon-report

Time to adoption Emerging Technology

The Future...?

• 1989: ‘The future is multi-media’

• 1999: ‘The future is the Web’

• 2009: ‘The future is smart mobile’

• 2014: ‘The future is pervasive tech’ hof.povray.org

“Change is not linear. It’s exponential” – Ray Kurzweil

Learning 3.0

Distributed (Cloud) computing Extended smart mobile technology Collaborative intelligent filtering 3D visualisation and interaction

Future Learning Topology

Distributed (Cloud) Computing

3D Visualisation and Interaction

Smart Mobile Technology

Collaborative Intelligent

Filtering

Infrastructure

Interface

Tools

Interaction

Graphic by Steve Wheeler

Web 3.0 Semantic Web

Web 1.0 The Web

Web x.0 Meta Web

Web 2.0 Social Web

Degree of Social Connectivity

Deg

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of

Info

rmat

ion

Co

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Adapted from : Nova Spivak

Web 3.0 Semantic Web

Web 1.0 The Web

Web x.0 Meta Web

Web 2.0 Social Web

Degree of Social Connectivity

Deg

ree

of

Info

rmat

ion

Co

nn

ecti

vity

Connects information Connects people

Connects knowledge Connects intelligence

The (Smart) eXtended Web

We are already seeing early evidence of the Smart eXtended Web

http://chemistscorner.com

Intelligent Filtering Recommender Systems Sentiment Tracking Etc…

A glimpse into the future… http://photos.jeremybrooks.net/?p=65

Photo by Steve Wheeler

Embeddedness

Mo

bili

ty

Mobile Computing

Traditional Computing

UbiquitousComputing

Pervasive Computing

Low High

Source: Lyytinen (2003)

Low

Hig

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The Internet of Things

Late for meeting?

Under floor sensors track

footfall

Table takes food order and your

payment

Finds best routes with ramp access

Photo by Steve Wheeler

Ubiquitous Computing

http://abdtechnology.com/tag/google-glass/

Wearable Web

Vision Enhancement

Ubiquitous connection

Memory Extension

The Quantified Self

Augmented Reality

http://petitinvention.files.wordpress.com/2009/03/snowcorn5.jpg

Mixed Reality

http://advertiser-in-arabia.blogspot.co.uk/

Marker Technology

http://www.indiegogo.com

Muse: Mind controlled computing?

Wearable Sensors

“Improving your concentration and focus, de-stressing, managing your thinking – and new control interface possibilities” - Interaxon (2012)

“The only way of discovering the

limits of the possible is to

venture a little way past them,

into the impossible.”

Arthur C. Clarke

Image: http://www.astrobio.net

Thank you

W: http://steve-wheeler.net E: swheeler@plymouth.ac.uk B: http://steve-wheeler.blogspot.com T: @timbuckteeth

Photo by Steve Wheeler