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TRANSCRIPT
Current trends and future
technologies for Learning
and Development
Digital Learning
Futures
Steve Wheeler @timbuckteeth
Plymouth University, UK
Flanders Learning and Development Conference, Brussels: October 9, 2014
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/ Image Credits: http://www.plymouth.gov.uk/
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http://www.staedte-fotos.de/1024/plymouth-die-mayflower-steps-an-33876.jpg
The goal of education
http://www.dailymail.co.uk
‘If you think education is expensive… try ignorance’ – Derek Bok
Photo by Steve Wheeler
New York, c 2014
http://daytoninmanhattan.blogspot.co.uk/2010_03_01_archive.html
New York, c 1904
Photo by Steve Wheeler
“I truly believe that one day, there will be a telephone in every town in
America.”
- Alexander Graham Bell
The First Mobile Phone
Photo by Steve Wheeler
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http://www.digitaltrends.com
“It is impossible to predict the future with great accuracy” – Michio Kaku
The Future...?
• 1989: ‘The future is multi-media’
• 1999: ‘The future is the Web’
• 2009: ‘The future is smart mobile’
hof.povray.org
Where have we come from? http://photos.jeremybrooks.net/?p=65
http://www.sabotagetimes.com/life/a-vision-of-the-future-from-1910/
Work 2000
Villemard
http://www.sabotagetimes.com/life/a-vision-of-the-future-from-1910/
Leisure 2000
Villemard
http://www.sabotagetimes.com/life/a-vision-of-the-future-from-1910/
Conflict 2000
Villemard
http://www.cbsnews.com/2300-501465_162-10013397-8.html
Policing 2000
Villemard
http://www.sabotagetimes.com/life/a-vision-of-the-future-from-1910/
Communication 2000
Villemard
http://www.sabotagetimes.com/life/a-vision-of-the-future-from-1910/
Learning 2000
Villemard
Disruptive Technology
Social, political, and economic systems change incrementally, but technology changes exponentially. Larry Downes
Law of Disruption
Image source: http://www.masterlink.com/blog
“This is for everyone”
“The future is already here — it's just not very evenly distributed” – William Gibson
http://intergalacticrobot.blogspot.co.uk/2012/06/helen-oloy.html
Rogers Diffusion of Ideas Model
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/11/Diffusion_of_ideas.svg
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Where are we NOW? http://photos.jeremybrooks.net/?p=65
Trends in Learning & Development
Just for me Apprenticeship model
Just in case Standardised Courses
Just in time Bespoke Courses
Just for me Personalised Learning
Personal Learning Environment
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Learners taking notes Photo: Lori Cullen
Stev
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We learn by making (Papert, 1960) Photo by Steve Wheeler
‘New’ learners are... • more self-directed
• better equipped to capture information
• more reliant on feedback from peers
• more inclined to collaborate
• more oriented toward being their own
“nodes of production”.
Education Trends | Featured News John K. Waters—13 December 2011
http://coolshots.blogspot.com/2007_02_01_archive.html
http://thesocietypages.org/cyborgology
“Nearly all men can stand adversity, but if you want to test a man's character, give him an iPhone.” - Abraham Lincoln (on the ‘selfie’)
“60% of all Internet pages contain
misleading information.”
- Thomas Edison
We need ‘digital wisdom’
Stev
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Learners will need new ‘literacies’
• Social networking • Privacy maintenance • Identity management • Creating content • Organising content • Reusing and repurposing • Filtering and selecting • Self presention • Transliteracy
http://www.mopocket.com/
Stev
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Leaning 2.0 – Digital Literacies
Mastery
Literacies
Competencies
Skills
Graphic by Steve Wheeler (2013)
Personal/Social Tools
http://www.flickr.com/photos/kalexanderson/6156510808/sizes/l/
We need ‘digital fluency’
Communities of Learning
Photo by Steve Wheeler
Photo by Steve Wheeler
Professional Learning Networks
Photo by Steve Wheeler
Professional Learning Networks
Photo by Steve Wheeler
Professional Learning Networks
Photo by Steve Wheeler
Professional Learning Networks
Photo by Steve Wheeler
Professional Learning Networks
I store my knowledge with my friends
Stev
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Un
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, 20
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Connectivism Paragogy
Distributed Cognition
http://farm1.static.flickr.com/117/291379959_594fa8ef70.jpg
BYOD or CYOD?
One of the biggest issues is tracking and controlling access to corporate
and private networks.
Learning 2.0
Tools Collaborating
Sharing
Voting
Networking
User generated
content
Architecture of participation
Tagging
X C
Embedded MOOCs?
Where are we headed? http://photos.jeremybrooks.net/?p=65
The NMC Horizon Project charts the
landscape of emerging
technologies for teaching, learning, research, creative
inquiry, and information
management
4 to 5 Years
2 to 3 Years
1 Year or Less
Great Expectations 2012
• Mobile Learning Apps
• Tablet Computing
• Games based learning
• Learner Analytics (big data)
• The Internet of Things
• Gestural computing
Graphics concept by Steve Wheeler
Source: http://www.educause.edu/library/resources/2012-horizon-report
Time to adoption Emerging Technology
Photo by Steve Wheeler
Games playing offers instant feedback on learning through achievement
and points systems
@davduran
Use of intelligent data, learner-produced data, and analysis models to discover information and social connections for predicting and advising people's
learning.
http://www.beehivecity.com
Voice and natural gesture interfaces
4 to 5 Years
2 to 3 Years
1 Year or Less
Great Expectations 2014
• Flipped Classroom
• Learner Analytics
• 3D Printing
• Games and Gamification
• The Quantified Self
• Virtual Assistants
Graphics concept by Steve Wheeler
Source: http://www.educause.edu/library/resources/2014-horizon-report
Time to adoption Emerging Technology
The Future...?
• 1989: ‘The future is multi-media’
• 1999: ‘The future is the Web’
• 2009: ‘The future is smart mobile’
• 2014: ‘The future is pervasive tech’ hof.povray.org
“Change is not linear. It’s exponential” – Ray Kurzweil
Learning 3.0
Distributed (Cloud) computing Extended smart mobile technology Collaborative intelligent filtering 3D visualisation and interaction
Future Learning Topology
Distributed (Cloud) Computing
3D Visualisation and Interaction
Smart Mobile Technology
Collaborative Intelligent
Filtering
Infrastructure
Interface
Tools
Interaction
Graphic by Steve Wheeler
Web 3.0 Semantic Web
Web 1.0 The Web
Web x.0 Meta Web
Web 2.0 Social Web
Degree of Social Connectivity
Deg
ree
of
Info
rmat
ion
Co
nn
ecti
vity
Adapted from : Nova Spivak
Web 3.0 Semantic Web
Web 1.0 The Web
Web x.0 Meta Web
Web 2.0 Social Web
Degree of Social Connectivity
Deg
ree
of
Info
rmat
ion
Co
nn
ecti
vity
Connects information Connects people
Connects knowledge Connects intelligence
The (Smart) eXtended Web
We are already seeing early evidence of the Smart eXtended Web
http://chemistscorner.com
Intelligent Filtering Recommender Systems Sentiment Tracking Etc…
A glimpse into the future… http://photos.jeremybrooks.net/?p=65
Photo by Steve Wheeler
Embeddedness
Mo
bili
ty
Mobile Computing
Traditional Computing
UbiquitousComputing
Pervasive Computing
Low High
Source: Lyytinen (2003)
Low
Hig
h
The Internet of Things
Late for meeting?
Under floor sensors track
footfall
Table takes food order and your
payment
Finds best routes with ramp access
Photo by Steve Wheeler
Ubiquitous Computing
http://abdtechnology.com/tag/google-glass/
Wearable Web
Vision Enhancement
Ubiquitous connection
Memory Extension
The Quantified Self
Augmented Reality
http://petitinvention.files.wordpress.com/2009/03/snowcorn5.jpg
Mixed Reality
http://advertiser-in-arabia.blogspot.co.uk/
Marker Technology
http://www.indiegogo.com
Muse: Mind controlled computing?
Wearable Sensors
“Improving your concentration and focus, de-stressing, managing your thinking – and new control interface possibilities” - Interaxon (2012)
“The only way of discovering the
limits of the possible is to
venture a little way past them,
into the impossible.”
Arthur C. Clarke
Image: http://www.astrobio.net
Thank you
W: http://steve-wheeler.net E: [email protected] B: http://steve-wheeler.blogspot.com T: @timbuckteeth
Photo by Steve Wheeler