dhpa techday 2015 - patrick savalle - disruptive technology
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:Technology is neither good nor bad
nor is it neutral.(It certainly can’t be uninvented.)
THE FUTURE (AND|OF) TECHNOLOGYby@patricksavalle
Why has human progress ground to a halt?
http://aeon.co/magazine/science/why-has-human-progress-ground-to-a-halt/
Entering a dark age of innovation
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn7616-entering-a-
dark-age-of-innovation.html
The great stagnation
http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2011/01/growth_2
THE DARK AGES OF INNOVATIONWe were promised flying cars, all we got was 140 chars. And batteries everywhere.
3D PRINTING
Create objects by printing them, just input a design and raw materials.
Decentralizes manufacturing.
Basically: mechanical morphogenesis, but billions of years less evolved.
THE INTERNET OF THINGS
Everything connected to the internet.
From large industrial machines to MEMS (micro electromechanical sensors).
Effectively: a hackers paradise.
Remember why, in ancient times, the Battlestar Galactica had no networked
computers.
PLATFORM IS THE NEW FACTORY
A platform is an organization that crowdsources its resources and coordinates their collaboration.
Extremely scalable. Extremely Lightweight: only a business core.
http://airbnb.comhttp://uber.com
THE COLLABORATIVE ECONOMYAn economy in which algorithms,
corporations, machines and people are producing and sharing
things for and with each other. Through platforms.
DISTRIBUTED COLLABORATIONAny time, any place, any context collaboration without central planning. Economic freedom.
Platform-‐based production, decentrally coordinated using stigmergic principles.
‘Just add value, you will be rewarded’
Task-‐based instead of job-‐based.
https://github.comhttps://assembly.com
https://mobbr.com
THE BLOCKCHAIN
The decentralized ledger. Eliminates the need for trusted or intermediate parties when transacting.
Blockchains enable property (incl. money) to be exchanged instantly, secure and worldwide.
Makes any property ‘cash’ property.
“On the blockchain, nobody knows you’re a fridge”
I. Financial Instruments, Records and Models
CurrencyPrivate equitiesPublic equitiesBondsDerivatives (futures, forwards, swaps, options)Voting rights associated with any of the aboveCommoditiesSpending recordsTrading recordsMortgage / loan recordsServicing recordsCrowd-‐fundingMicro-‐financeMicro-‐charity
II. Public Records
Land titlesVehicle registriesBusiness licenseBusiness incorporation / dissolution recordsBusiness ownership recordsRegulatory recordsCriminal recordsPassportsBirth certificatesDeath certificatesVoter IDsVotingHealth / Safety InspectionsBuilding permitsGun permitsForensic evidenceCourt recordsVoting recordsNon-‐profit recordsGovernment/non-‐profit accounting/transparency
III. Private Records
ContractsSignaturesWillsTrustsEscrowsGPS trails (personal)
IV. Other Semi-‐Public Records
DegreeCertificationsLearning OutcomesGradesHR records (salary, performance reviews, accomplishment)Medical recordsAccounting recordsBusiness transaction recordsGenome dataGPS trails (institutional)Delivery recordsArbitration
V. Physical Asset Keys
Home / apartment keysVacation home / timeshare keysHotel room keysCar keysRental car keysLeased cars keysLocker keysSafety deposit box keysPackage delivery (split key between delivery firm and receiver)Betting recordsFantasy sports records (!)
VI. Intangibles (?)
CouponsVouchersReservations (restaurants, hotels, queues, etc)Movie ticketsPatentsCopyrightsTrademarksSoftware licensesVideogame licensesMusic/movie/book licenses (DRM)Domain namesOnline identitiesProof of authorship / Proof of prior art
VI. Other
Documentary records (photos, audio, video)Data records (sports scores, temperature, etc)Sim CardsGPS network identityGun unlock codesWeapons unlock codesNuclear launch codes (!)Spam control (micro-‐payments for posting)
DECENTRALISED AUTONOMOUS CORPORATIONS
Algorithmic companies that run in a blockchain. Decentralized. No single point of failure, control or censorship.
Bitcoin-‐network itself was the first ever robocorp.
Ideally platforms with shared ownership and revenues, based on participation levels.
Banks, payment-‐systems, energy grids, governments, transportation, cloud-‐services, exchanges, markets, etc.
https://erisindustries.comhttps://lazooz.org
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
Machines that are ‘intelligent’ (problems start right there: definition).
Elon Musk is not an AI expert. Neither is Stephen Hawkings.
‘By 2029 no computer or machine intelligence will have passed the Turing test’ –Mitchell Kaporhttp://longbets.org/1/
Overhyped. General AI not anytime soon.
SINGULARITY
The end of the anthropocene, the beginning of the mekhanocene.
Not a technology but an event, expected around 2040.
‘The church of Kurzweil’
Will not happen, just a sci-‐fi distopia.
BIOLOGY IS THE ULTIMATE TECHNOLOGY
Invented 3D printing 5 billion years ago (morphogenesis). Has been running an internet for billions of years (mycelia). Using
quantum technology for billions of years (birds navigate through quantum entanglement processes in their eyes). Etc.
A single cell, counting 10.000.000.000 moving parts, is more complicated than a modern nuclear submarine. The body has
372.000.00.000.000 cells.
Science not very successful in understanding nature because nature doesn’t fit the reductionist paradigm (anti-‐chaos, chaos).
Bio-‐mimicry. For solutions, always look to nature first!
THE BATTLE FOR CONTROLMORE DECENTRALISING TECHNOLOGY THAN EVER
centralized vs. distributed, control vs. autonomy, slavery vs. Freedom, 1% vs. 99%
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