destination india real estate
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DESTINATION INDIA
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India is a huge country
with multi religion,
culture, language and
a world market for
everything.
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International Scenario Urban population of developing
countries will double, from just
under 2 billion in 2000 to nearly
4 billion by 2030
Urban population of developed
countries is projected to
increase from 900 million in
2000 to 1 billion in 2030. Source : UN Habitat
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- Every year urban areasgain approximately 67million people.
- Next 30 years virtually allpopulation growth willtake place in urban areasof developing countries
- By 2030 about 5 billionpeople are expected tolive in urban areas, nearly60% of the projected
global population of 8.3billion.
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Indian Real Estate Scenario
Thrust area for development will
be in developing countries like
India
Asias rural population isprojected to decrease from an
estimated 2,297 million in 2000
to 2,271 million in 2030 Source : UN Habitat Report
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Growing Demand
It means growth rate for
urban population in
developed countries is10%
And for Developing
countries it stand for
100%
For a family of 4,
developed countries
needs 25 million houses For developing countries
it is 500 million houses
needed
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Indian Real Estate Scenario
Population Statistics (million)
1981 1991 2001
TOTAL 683.33 846.30 1027.00
RURAL 523.87 628.70 742.00
URBAN 159.46 217.60 285.00
Source: Census 2001
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Robust Growth
Housing and real estatedevelopment is expectedto generate over 4 millionnew jobs by 2015, withdemand for houses likely
to rise to 80 million forlower middle and lowincome groups. This wouldinvolve an estimated totalinvestment of USD 670
billion, or about USD 34billion to USD 45 billionper annum : SourceASSOCHEM
The estimates alsoreveal that the annualgrowth rate of Indianeconomy by 2015 willconveniently touch a
double digit level ofover 12% in which thehousing and realestate will havepotential to grow at
14% level per annumto double itscontribution to GDPfrom current level ofless than 1%.
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Real Estate Targets
The Tenth Five Year Plan estimatedthe urban housing shortage at 8.89
million dwelling units in 2002.
Total number of houses required
cumulatively during the Tenth Plan
period is estimated at 22.44 million
dwelling units
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Real Estate Funds Requirementduring 5 Year Plans
(Amount in Rs. million)
Five Year Plan Public Private Total
Investment Investment Investment
1st (1951-56) 2.50 9.00 11.50
2nd (1956-61) 3.00 10.00 13.00
3rd (1961-66) 4.25 11.25 15.504th (1969-74) 6.25 21.75 28.00
5th (1974-78) 7.96 36.40 44.36
6th (1980-85) 14.91 180.00 194.91
7th (1985-90) 24.58 290.00 314.58
8th (1992-97) 315.00 660.00 975.00
9th (1997-2002) 520.00 990.00 1510.00
10th (2002-07)* 4150.00 3113.00 7263.00 estimated figures as per the Plan Document Source Planning Commission, Govt. India
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MUMBAI REAL ESTATE INDUSTRY SIZEReal Estate industry in
Greater Mumbai
The Supply = Rs. 328.34 millions
Residential
Rs.169.78 millionsCommercial
Rs. 86.62 millions
51.71% 26.38% 21.91%
71.9533.3838.5686.6229.3857.24169.7863.69106.09TOTAL
43.7822.4821.3070.1324.6345.5181.3629.5951.77Western Suburb
10.463.716.7610.753.906.8547.0917.9229.18Island City
17.717.2010.515.740.864.8941.3316.1825.15Central Suburb
TotalUnsoldSoldTotalUnsoldSoldTotalUnsoldSold
RetailCommercialResidentialSuburb
RetailRs. 71.95 millions
June 2005
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ANNUAL DEMAND & SUPPLY SIZE
Rs. 191.43
millions
Rs. 153.74
millions
Annual
Demand
Annual
Supply
Greater Mumbai
Rs. 21.73
millions
Rs. 17.20
millions
Annual
Demand
Annual
Supply
Thane City
Annual DemandAnnual Supply
Rs. 244.36 millionsRs. 195.91 millions
Annual Demand & Supply of Real Estate industry in
Greater Mumbai, Navi Mumbai, Thane City & Western Suburb
(Beyond Borivali)
Rs. 24.80
millions
Rs. 16.50
millions
Annual
Demand
Annual
Supply
Navi Mumbai
Size of theIndustry
Rs. 64.0
millions
Rs. 84.7
millions
Annual
Demand
Annual
Supply
Western Suburb (BeyondBorivali)
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ANNUAL DEMAND & SUPPLY SIZE
Rs. 22.76
millions
Rs. 25.05
millions
Annual DemandAnnual Supply
Commercial
Rs. 25.73
millions
Rs. 35.46
millions
Annual DemandAnnual Supply
Retail
Annual DemandAnnual Supply
Rs.191.43 millionsRs. 153.74 millions
Annual Demand & Supply of Real Estate industry in Greater
Mumbai
Rs. 142.94
millions
Rs. 93.23
millions
Annual DemandAnnual Supply
Residential
Size of theIndustry
-9.7225.7335.46-23.022.7625.0549.71142.9493.23TOTAL
-48.218.2823.1022.818.8616.5817.7367.1549.42Western Suburb
-17.22.153.87-27.615.74.337.8529.3821.53Island City
-3.185.308.48-18.223.34.1524.1346.4222.28Central Suburb
Over /Under
Supply
AnnualDemand
AnnualSupply
Over /Under
Supply
AnnualDemand
AnnualSupply
UnderSupply
AnnualDemand
AnnualSupply
RetailCommercialResidential
Suburb
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SUPPLY SIZE IN SQFTS
Real Estate industry in
(Greater Mumbai + Navi Mumbai + Thane City + Western Suburb (Beyond Borivali))
The Supply = 11.68 mn Sqfts
Navi Mumbai
1.49 mn Sqfts
Greater Mumbai
8.16 mn Sqfts
Thane City
1.29 mn Sqfts
69.89% 11.05% 6.29%
Western Suburb(Beyond Borivali)
0.73 mn Sqfts
12.79%
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SUPPLY SIZE IN SQFTS
Real Estate industry in GreaterMumbai
8.16 mn Sqft
Residential
4.32 mn Sqft
Commercial
2.62 mn Sqft
Retail
1.22 mn Sqft
52.94% 32.10% 14.95%
1.220.740.482.62100162432171261TOTAL
0.870.620.252.050.861.192300.901.40Western Suburb
0.110.020.090.240.090.15690.270.42Island City
0.240.100.140.330.050.281330.540.79Central Suburb
TotalU/cSoldTotalU/cSoldTotalU/cSold
RetailCommercialResidentialSuburb
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Red Carpet for
Real EstateFunds
Mutual Fund Association Strongly recommended SEBI in favour of such funds
Demand for housing is on high notes
Greater Transparency in Real Estate Deals Land Records computerised
Rationalization of Stamp Duty mooted
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Real Estate Venture Funds
Financing real estate
developers
Construction Finance
Equity participation in business
For acquiring FSI and Land,
future projects
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The retail industry to-day
stands atRs. 9,30,000 million of
which 97 percent is in the
unorganised sectorincluding export
Source : Ministry of Finance
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Now the organised retailing isgrowing at 30 percent and is
expected to grow to Rs.1,10,000
million by 2010.
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Quality realestate in the
form of Malls,
Multiplexes and
commercial
premises is nowavailable.
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Within two years,more than 300 Mallswith 40 million sq.ft.
of space would comeup in all major metrosand semi metros in
India.
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India has moved up from the sixth to the first
position in the Global Retail Index.Source : WTO
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India is becoming mostattractive market in comparisonwith China and Russia etc and
has jumped from 16th
to the 3rd
position in the Foreign DirectInvestment Index.
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Why India
Young Generation having good purchasingpower
Enhanced Income level
Higher Education available within the countryHousing Finance growth rate at 73% p.a.
Huge demand and limited supply
Investor friendly government policies
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THANK YOU
Sanjay Chaturvedi
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