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Central & Eastern HRM Recommendations to the Halifax Regional School Board

June 2009

Agenda

ProcessHRM Demographic DataGuiding Principles10 Year Facility Master Plan RecommendationsCriteria for PrioritizationRecommendations by Family• Demographics• Enrolment Projections• School capacity & utilization rates• Recommendations

Consultation Schedule

SAC Meeting Start-up MeetingOctober 2008Consultation No.1 Process and QuestionnaireOctober 2008Consultation No. 2 Summary of responses and open-mike feedbackDecember 2008Consultation No. 3 Presentation of Background ReportJanuary 2009SAC Meeting Preview of Option developmentFebruary 2009Consultation No. 4 Preliminary Options presentation and discussionFebruary 2009Consultation No. 5 Revised Options presentation and discussionApril 2009Consultation No. 6 Final Recommendations presentation and discussionMay 2009

Community Resource Consultations

HRM Community Development & Regional PlanningHRM Infrastructure & Asset ManagementMetro TransitHRM Transportation Planning & Active TransportationHRM Community Facility ManagementHRM by DesignRural School Focus Group (Strategy 13)HRM CouncillorsProvincial MLAsChebucto Community Development Association

Process

Consultant recommendation to the BoardSenior Staff review and report to the BoardPublic SubmissionsBoard DecisionSubmission of capital plan to the Province (DOE)DOE allocation/approval of capital request

• The HRSB believes that - “Every student can learn. Every school can improve”

• 10 year facilities master plan supports the goal: “every school can be a great school”

Overview of Review Areas

HRM Demographic Information

Age Cohort ProjectionsData utilized• 1996, 2001 and 2006 Census by age cohort• Fertility Rates• Death Rates

Key components• Natural increase (Births minus deaths)• Migration (Net position based upon interprovincial

migration and international immigration)

Methodology• Population change in the 0-4 population based upon

projected births• Older cohorts based upon survival method based upon

average death rate• Net migration based upon historical patterns

HRM Demographic Information

Historical PopulationFrom 1996 to 2006 • HRM population increased from 342,670 to

372,675 (8.8%)• Age 5 to 19 age cohort decreased by 0.9%• Age 0 to 4 age cohort decreased from 6.6% of

total population to 4.9% Projected Population

From 2006 to 2021• HRM population is projected to increase from

372,675 to 406,098 (9.0%)• Age 5 to 19 age cohort is projected to decrease

from 17.8% of the total population to 13.4%

HRM Demographic Information

Historical Population Projected Population

Enrolment Projections

Data utilized• Historical enrolments grade for each school • Projected births• New housing development

Key components• Retention rates• Projected Primary students• Pupil yield from new housing

Methodology• Primary enrolment estimated based on projected births• Grade enrolments for each school are advanced based

upon the retention rate• Students from new housing are estimated

Historical Live Birth Data

From 1997 to 2000 number of births declined from 4,199 to 3,872In 2003 and 2004 small upward spike to 4,0622001 to 2006 average number of births was 3,900

Building Permits

Building permits have averaged 2,600 new housing units per year over the last 9 yearsHRM Planning Strategy (Clayton Research) anticipates number of permits to average 2,400 over the next 10 yearsRecent market issues may reduce that number to 2,200

HRSB Overview

Historical EnrolmentFrom 1999 to 2009 HRSB has experienced steady decline of 6,068 students from 58,175 to 52,107Grade Primary decreased by almost 1,000

HRSB Overview

Projected EnrolmentFrom 2009 to 2019 enrolment is projected to continue to decline by 6,366 students

Dartmouth 

North‐

34.7DartmouthEast‐

28.6

Dartmouth 

South ‐

8.3

Eastern 

Passage

4.4

Cole 

Harbour‐

20.2

Preston‐33.2

Waverley

13.0

Needham‐

27.4

Citadel‐

23.4

Chebucto‐

18.8

Sackville 

South‐

24.6

Sackville 

North+ 28.0

Fall River+ 11.4

Beaver 

Bank‐

17.0

Hammonds 

Plains+ 111.6 Bedford

3.0

Clayton 

Park+ 19.9

Fairview‐

17.3

NW Arm‐

17.2Spryfield‐

22.7

Timberlea+ 15.3

10 Year Facilities Master Plan

Guiding Principles

Student AchievementProvide equitable access to the full range of program offerings, while recognizing the differences between urban, suburban and rural communitiesSize schools to best deliver full range of program and extra-curricular activities within their community contextPlan grade configuration to optimize learning, social and behavioural needs of students and their communitiesPlan for an agile response to change: program, technology, demographics

Guiding Principles

CommunityPromote a viable school presence in every communityRespect the important place a school holds in rural communitiesRecognize that equity means equality of opportunity; it does not mean sameness*Enhance opportunities for community centred schools through shared or joint useEncourage full support and recognition of all cultures and celebrate diversity

*from the Halifax County-Bedford District School Board document: Strategy 13, 1996

Guiding Principles

ProvincePromote effective utilization of facilitiesRecognize the distinct needs of rural communitiesPrioritize capital spending in school communities with immediate needMaximize full potential of community centred facilities

Master Plan Recommendations

Grade ConfigurationRetain the current three tier grade configuration of grades P- 6 (Elementary), 7-9 (Junior High) and 10-12 (High School), except to meet the unique needs of specific communities.

School SizeSize schools to meet the needs of the community and to create viable learning environments

Elementary – 300 students (2 classes of 22 students per grade level)

Junior High – 500 students (6 classes of 27 students per grade level)

High School – 1,000 studentsP to 9 schools – 750 students (3 classes of 22 students at P to 6,

3 classes of 27 students at 7 to 9)

Master Plan Recommendations

Walking DistancesEncourage age appropriate active transportation modes for all students

Capacity Reassessment Reassess current Provincial capacity for all schools to accommodate current and future program needs and allow for fluctuations in enrolment

EquityProvide equitable access to program and extra-curricular opportunities for all students through alterations, additions, new or replacement schools for all existing communities

Master Plan Recommendations

Rural SchoolsRecognize the important place a school holds in a rural community and provide equitable learning opportunities for rural students

School Sites Provide safe access and optimal play areas at all school sites

Lunch ProgramProvide on-site lunchroom facilities at all schools

Program OpportunitiesEnhance opportunities for all students to excel in a learning environment that meets their personal needs

Master Plan Recommendations

French ImmersionSupport the strong history of successful French Immersion programming

ChildcareCreate family focused schools including childcare facilities

Community Centred SchoolsMaximize full potential of community centred facilities

Educational SitesRetain inactive school sites for education or community use

Master Plan Recommendations

Future Proofing the PlanEnsure agility in planning to accommodate future change

Program RenewalInclude funding in the Master Plan to implement a plan for Program Renewal

Deferred MaintenanceInclude funding in the Master Plan to address the issue for Deferred Maintenance

Building RenewalDevelop and implement a plan for the funding of the systematic renewal of school facilities

Master Plan Recommendations

Phasing/Implementation PlanPrioritize response to educational and community needs, while minimizing disruption to students and communities

Cost ImpactInclude funding in the Master Plan to address the Soft Costs associated with Capital Projects

Living DocumentCreate a Living Document with policies for regular review and updates

Criteria for Prioritization

A. Accommodate all students (overcrowding or new growth), provide the following:

• Temporary accommodation• New permanent school• Accommodation at school with available capacity• Holding school

B. Prohibitive to repair (replacement school required), conditional on the following:

• Enrolment is steady or increasing• Site is appropriate or new site is available• Temporary accommodation is available

C. Program renewal (specialty programs, lunchrooms, etc.)• Meet requirements of current curriculum• Provide community based programs/services

Central HRM Planning AreaLockview High FamilyMillwood High FamilySackville High Family

Central HRM

From 1996 to 2006 • population increased by 5.8%• 0 to 4 population decreased from 7.8% to 5.7% of total

From 2006 to 2021• 5 to 19 population is expected to decline from 21.8% to

16.9% of total population

Lockview High

From 2009 to 2019 • Enrolment is projected to decline by 4% from 3,852 to

3,704• Utilization of existing school facilities is expected to

increase from 98% to 100% based on revised capacities

Lockview High

Lockview Revised Capacities

Schools Required 2018/2019

Chart indicates maximum number of schools required in 2018/2019 rounded up for projected enrolments by grade level grouping

Grade Level P to 6 7 to 9 10 to 12 Total# of students 1,817 888 999# schools req'd 6 2 1 9

Grade Level P to 9 10 to 12 Total# of students 2,705 999# schools req'd 4 1 5

# schools existing 9

Lockview Family

Lockview Existing

Lockview Students

Lockview Development

Lockview Physical Obstacles

Lockview 2018/2019

Enrolment dropping to 128 97% (145%) capacity,

Enrolment increasing to 29796% (113%) capacity Enrolment dropping to 286

93% (108%) capacityEnrolment increasing to 22663% (68%) capacity, small JH pop.Enrolment steady at 393119% capacity

Enrolment dropping to 13347% (60%) capacity, replacement school scheduled for 09/10

Enrolment dropping to 580 120% capacity

Enrolment dropping to 35156% (58%) capacity, small JH pop.

HS Enrolment steady at 1,310118% capacity

Lockview Recommendation

HS from 9 to 12 to 10 to 12

JHs from 7 to 8 to7 to 9, facility improvements req’dJH projected – 881HT Barrett capacity – 300 to 330GP Vanier capacity–570 to 630

Improvements & possible addition for program req’d

P to 6

P to 6P to 6

P to 6

P to 6-future new school for 200 students, boundary change to include some Holland Road students

new P to 6 school designed for 350 students, boundary change to re-direct students from BB Monarch & Ash Lee J.

Lockview Recommendation

P to 6

P to 6P to 6

P to 6

Lockview Existing Schools

Lockview 2018/2019

Lockview 2018/2019

Ash Lee Jefferson

(P-6)

George P Vanier

(7-9)

Lockview HS

(10-12)

Holland Road

(P-6)

OldfieldConsolidated

(P-6)

New Waverly Memorial LC

Skerry

(P-6)

Beaver Bank Kinsac

(P-6)

Beaver Bank Monarch

(P-6)

Harold T Barrett

(7-9)

Lockview Recommended Schools

Millwood High

From 2009 to 2019 • Enrolment is projected to decline by 19% from 2,520

to 2,052• Utilization of existing school facilities is expected to

decline from 98% to 83% based on revised capacities

Millwood High

Millwood Revised Capacities

Schools Required 2018/2019

Chart indicates maximum number of schools required in 2018/2019 rounded up for projected enrolments by grade level grouping

Grade Level P to 6 7 to 9 10 to 12 Total# of students 1,061 475 516# schools req'd 4 1 1 6

Grade Level P to 9 10 to 12 Total# of students 1,536 516# schools req'd 2 1 3

# schools existing 5

Millwood Family

Millwood Existing

Millwood Students

Millwood Development

Millwood Physical Obstacles

Millwood 2018/2019

Enrolment dropping to 38888% (98%) capacity

Enrolment increasing to 32197% capacity, P3 school Enrolment dropping

to 47563% capacity

Enrolment dropping to 51675% capacity,under-sized HS pop.

Enrolment droppingto 352100% (114%) capacity

Sackville/Millwood High School Existing

Sackville/Millwood HS Recommendation

combined Millwood/Sackville HS at Sackville site, use Millwood HS site for alternate grade configuration

Millwood Recommendation

Harry R. Hamilton P to 6,-projected enrolment 388

from HS to 7 to 9

Sackville Hts JH to P to 6-projected enrolment 375 -capacity available 550 as ES

return P3 to developer, relocate to ES to JH site

combined Millwood/Sackville HS at Sackville siteMillwood ES

P to 6,-projected enrolment 300

P to 6 would require boundary changes to relieve overcrowding at Harry R. Hamilton & Millwood ES

Millwood Existing Schools

Millwood 2018/2019

Millwood 2018/2019

Caudle Park

(P-6)

AJ Smeltzer JH

(7-9)

Sackville &Millwood HS

(10-12)

Hillside Park

(P-6)

Sycamore Lane

(P-6)

Smokey Drive

(P-6)

Cavalier

(P-6)

Harry R Hamilton

(P-5)

Sackville Heights JHS at Millwood

HS site

(6-9)

Millwood

(P-5)

Sackville Heights ES at JHS site

(P-5)

Leslie Thomas JH

SackvilleCentennial

Getrude ParkerSackville

Heights ES Return to P3

provider end of lease

Millwood Recommended Schools

Sackville High

From 2009 to 2019 • Enrolment is projected to decline by 31% from

3,313 to 2,287• Utilization of existing school facilities is expected to

decline from 75% to 56% based on revised capacities

Sackville High

Sackville Revised Capacities

Schools Required 2018/2019

Chart indicates maximum number of schools required in 2018/2019 rounded up for projected enrolments by grade level grouping

Grade Level P to 6 7 to 9 10 to 12 Total# of students 1,226 523 538# schools req'd 4 1 1 6

Grade Level P to 9 10 to 12 Total# of students 1,749 538# schools req'd 3 1 4

# schools existing 10

Sackville Family

Sackville Existing

Sackville Students

Sackville Development

Sackville Physical Obstacles

Sackville 2018/2019

Enrolment dropping to 18957% (66%) capacity

Enrolment dropping to 22974% (87%) capacity

Enrolmentdropping to 23753% (55%) capacity, small JH pop.

Enrolment droppingto 29348% (53%) capacity, under-sized P-9 pop.

Enrolment dropping to 15353% (63%) capacity

Enrolment dropping to 14641% (47%) capacity, aging facility

Enrolment dropping to 19140% capacity, small JH pop.

Enrolmentdropping to 8850% (57%) capacity, aging facility

Enrolmentdropping to 22368% (78%) capacity, aging facility

Sackville HSEnrolment dropping to 53848% capacityUnder-sized HS pop.

Sackville Recommendation

P to 6 from P to 9

combined Millwood/Sackville HS at Sackville site

JH – site improvements & addition req’d523 students projected, capacity 428

P to 6 from JH, alterations required for primary program, revised ES capacity 352

P to 6

P to 6

Sackville 1.5k Walking Distance

Sackville Existing Schools

Sackville 2018/2019

Sackville 2018/2019

Caudle Park

(P-6)

Leslie Thomas JH

(7-9)

Sackville &Millwood HS

(10-12)

AJ Smeltzerchange to ES

(P-6)

Sycamore Lane

(P-6)

Smokey Drive

(P-6)

Cavalier

(P-6)

Harry R Hamilton

(P-5)

Sackville Heights JHS at Millwood

HS site

(6-9)

Millwood

(P-5)

Sackville Heights ES at JHS site

(P-5)

Sackville Heights ES

Return to P3 provider end of

lease

Hillside Park SackvilleCentennial

Getrude Parker

Sackville Recommended Schools

Eastern HRM Planning AreaDuncan MacMillan High Family

Eastern Shore District High FamilyMusquodoboit Rural High Family

Eastern HRM

From 1996 to 2006 • population increased by 1.5%• 0 to 4 population decreased from 6.1% to 4.1% of total

From 2006 to 2021• 5 to 19 population is expected to decline from 18.5% to

11.5% of total

Duncan MacMillan

From 2009 to 2019 • Enrolment is projected to decline by 18% from 440

to 359• Utilization of existing school facilities is expected to

increase from 53% to 55% based on revised capacities

Duncan MacMillan

Duncan MacMillan Revised Capacities

Schools Required 2018/2019

Chart indicates maximum number of schools required in 2018/2019 rounded up for projected enrolments by grade level grouping

Grade Level P to 6 7 to 9 10 to 12 Total# of students 182 87 90# schools req'd 1 1 1 3

Grade Level P to 9 10 to 12 Total# of students 269 90# schools req'd 1 1 2

# schools existing 4

Duncan MacMillan Family

Duncan MacMillan Existing

Duncan MacMillan Students

Duncan MacMillan 2018/2019

Enrolment dropping to 3034% (68%) capacity

Enrolment dropping to 17739% (44%) capacity

Enrolment dropping to 13174% (99%) capacity

Enrolment increasing to 2119% (32%) capacity

Duncan MacMillan Recommendation

P to 12 site-school in a school, shared use with HRM facilities

express bus

-distance ed(gr 7-12)-model wrap around, all ages community school-community focussed curriculum

to OysterPond

retain school sites for community use if possible

Duncan MacMillan Existing Schools

Duncan MacMillan 2018/2019

Duncan MacMillan HS

(7-12)

Sheet Harbour

(P-6)

EasternConsolidated

LakefrontConsolidated

Duncan MacMillan Recommended Schools

Eastern Shore District High

From 2009 to 2019 • Enrolment is projected to decline by 19% from

2,214 to 1,783• Utilization of existing school facilities is expected to

decline from 86% to 72% based on revised capacities

Eastern Shore District High

Eastern Shore Revised Capacities

Schools Required 2018/2019

Chart indicates maximum number of schools required in 2018/2019 rounded up for projected enrolments by grade level grouping

Grade Level P to 6 7 to 9 10 to 12 Total# of students 919 413 451# schools req'd 3 1 1 5

Grade Level P to 9 10 to 12 Total# of students 1,332 451# schools req'd 2 1 3

# schools existing 5

Eastern Shore District Family

Eastern Shore Existing

Eastern Shore Students

Eastern Shore Development

Eastern Shore 2018/2019

Enrolment dropping to 31289% capacity

Lakeview - new P to 6 school approved for construction,projected enrolment 351

Enrolment dropping to 29850% (57%) capacity

Enrolment dropping to 46081% capacity

Enrolment dropping to 37154% capacity

Eastern Shore Recommendation

Lakeview - new P to 6 school approved for construction

P to 6

7 to 9 + community use

P to 9

Eastern Shore Recommendation

to OysterPond

Eastern Shore Existing Schools

Eastern Shore 2018/2019

Eastern Shore 2018/2019

New Lakeview ES

(P-6)

Gaetz Brook

(7-9)

Eastern Shore District HS

(10-12)

O’Connell Drive

(P-6)

Oyster Pond

(P-9)

Eastern Shore Recommended Schools

Musquodoboit Rural High

From 2009 to 2019 • Enrolment is projected to decline by 26% from 713

to 527• Utilization of existing school facilities is expected

to decline from 75% to 61% based on revised capacities

Musquodoboit Rural High

Musquodoboit Revised Capacities

Schools Required 2018/2019

Chart indicates maximum number of schools required in 2018/2019 rounded up for projected enrolments by grade level grouping

Grade Level P to 6 7 to 9 10 to 12 Total# of students 264 125 138# schools req'd 1 1 1 3

Grade Level P to 9 10 to 12 Total# of students 389 138# schools req'd 1 1 2

# schools existing 4

Musquodoboit Rural Family

Musquodoboit Existing

Musquodoboit Students

Musquodoboit Development

Musquodoboit 2018/2019

Enrolment steady at 10962% (83%) capacity

Enrolment dropping to 11150% capacity

Enrolment dropping to 26358% capacity

Enrolment dropping to 4440% (67%) capacity

Musquodoboit Recommendation

express

bus

-distance ed(gr 7-12)-model wrap around, all ages community school-community focussed curriculum

retain school site for community use if possible

Musquodoboit Existing Schools

Musquodoboit 2018/2019

Musquodoboit Rural HS

(7-12)

Musquodoboit Valley Education

Centre

(P-6)

Dutch Settlement

(P-6)

UpperMusquodoboit Consolidated

Musquodoboit Recommended Schools

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