atm ocn 100 summer 2002 1 atm ocn 100 - summer 2002 lecture 25 (con’t.) mid-latitude weather...

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MADISON’S CURRENT WEATHERMADISON’S CURRENT WEATHER

Madison Weather at 1000 AM CDT 7 AUG 2002 Updated twice an hour at :05 and :25

Sky/Weather: MOSUNNY Temperature: 68 F (20 C) Dew Point: 57 F (13 C) Relative Humidity: 68% Wind: E3 MPH Barometer: 30.33S (1027.1 mb)

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 44

Last 24 hrs in MadisonLast 24 hrs in Madison

                                                                                                                                                    

                

FOGFOG

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CURRENT CURRENT VISIBLEVISIBLE

TS CRISTOBALTS CRISTOBAL

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CURRENT IRCURRENT IR

TS CRISTOBALTS CRISTOBAL

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 88

Current Surface Weather Map Current Surface Weather Map with Isobars (“iso” = equal & “bar” = weight), Fronts and Radarwith Isobars (“iso” = equal & “bar” = weight), Fronts and Radar

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 99

Current Surface Winds Current Surface Winds with Streamlines & Isotachs (“iso” = equal & “tach” = speed)with Streamlines & Isotachs (“iso” = equal & “tach” = speed)

LL

LLHH

LL

LLLL

HH

LLHH

HH

LLLLHH

HH

LLHH

HH

LL HH

LLHH

HHLL

LL

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 1010

Current Temperatures (Current Temperatures (°°F) & IsothermsF) & Isotherms(“iso” = equal +”therm” = temperature)(“iso” = equal +”therm” = temperature)

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 1111

Current Temperatures (Current Temperatures (ooF) – 24 Hrs AgoF) – 24 Hrs Ago

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 1212

Current Dewpoints Current Dewpoints ((ooF) F)

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 1313

Current 34,000 ft. Winds & Current 34,000 ft. Winds & Jet StreamJet Stream

with Streamlines & Isotachs (“iso” = equal & “tach” = speed)with Streamlines & Isotachs (“iso” = equal & “tach” = speed)

TroughTrough TroughTrough

RidgeRidge

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Tomorrow AM Forecast MapTomorrow AM Forecast Map

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 1515

AnnouncementsAnnouncements

Homework #5 is Today (NLT 3:30 PM Homework #5 is Today (NLT 3:30 PM either in my mailbox or at my office)either in my mailbox or at my office)http://www.aos.wisc.edu/~hopkins/aos100/homeworkhttp://www.aos.wisc.edu/~hopkins/aos100/homework

33rdrd Hour Exam is scheduled for Tomorrow. Hour Exam is scheduled for Tomorrow. See Review Sheet that has been posted at: See Review Sheet that has been posted at:

http://www.http://www.aosaos..wiscwisc..eduedu/~/~hopkinshopkins/aos100/exams/aos100/exams If you have ??, please see me.If you have ??, please see me.

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 1616

Cold FrontCold Frontsee Fig. 11.5 of Moran & Morgan (1997)see Fig. 11.5 of Moran & Morgan (1997)

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Cold Front Cold Front (con’t.)(con’t.) see Fig. 11.5 of Moran & Morgan (1997) see Fig. 11.5 of Moran & Morgan (1997)

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Warm FrontWarm Front see Fig. 11.3 of Moran & Morgan (1997)see Fig. 11.3 of Moran & Morgan (1997)

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 1919

Warm Front Warm Front (con’t.)(con’t.) see Fig. 11.3 of Moran & Morgan (1997) see Fig. 11.3 of Moran & Morgan (1997)

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 2020

Stationary FrontStationary Front see Fig. 11.2 of Moran & Morgan (1997)see Fig. 11.2 of Moran & Morgan (1997)

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 2121

Occluded FrontsOccluded Fronts see Figs. 11.7 & 11.8 of Moran & Morgan (1997)see Figs. 11.7 & 11.8 of Moran & Morgan (1997)

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ATM OCN 100 – Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 – Summer 2002LECTURE 28 LECTURE 28

MID-LATITUDE WEATHER SYSTEMS:MID-LATITUDE WEATHER SYSTEMS:PART II: THE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONEPART II: THE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE

A. INTRODUCTIONA. INTRODUCTION– Practical ProblemsPractical Problems

What is nature of mid-latitude storm systems?What is nature of mid-latitude storm systems? How to predict midlatitude storm systemsHow to predict midlatitude storm systems

– Historical PerspectiveHistorical Perspective

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B. B. THE NORWEGIANTHE NORWEGIAN or or POLAR FRONT POLAR FRONT (WAVE CYCLONE) MODEL(WAVE CYCLONE) MODEL

Designation of Extratropical CyclonesDesignation of Extratropical Cyclones Distinguishing Features of a Mature Polar Distinguishing Features of a Mature Polar

Front CycloneFront Cyclone

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Distinguishing Features:Distinguishing Features:Typical cyclone tracksTypical cyclone tracks

Extratropical cyclonesExtratropical cyclones

Extratropical cyclonesExtratropical cyclones

Tropical cyclonesTropical cyclones

Tropical cyclonesTropical cyclones

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 2828

Distinguishing features of the Distinguishing features of the POLAR FRONT CYCLONE MODELPOLAR FRONT CYCLONE MODEL

FRONTSFRONTS Cold airCold air vs. vs. Warm SectorWarm Sector

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A comma shaped cloud patternA comma shaped cloud pattern

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 3030

Occluded Cyclone over British Occluded Cyclone over British IslesIsles

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 3131

A Tropical cyclone with circular cloud A Tropical cyclone with circular cloud bands & eye bands & eye (Hurricane Mitch, 26 Oct 1998)(Hurricane Mitch, 26 Oct 1998)

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C. OBSERVED WEATHER FEATURESC. OBSERVED WEATHER FEATURES see Fig. 11.13 of Moran & Morgan (1997)see Fig. 11.13 of Moran & Morgan (1997)

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Wind Field around a cycloneWind Field around a cyclone - Observed Surface Winds- Observed Surface Winds

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 3737

Composite cyclone weatherComposite cyclone weather

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 3838

Composite cyclone weatherComposite cyclone weather

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 3939

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 4040

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 4141

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 4242

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 4343

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 5050

Principal Storm TracksPrincipal Storm Tracks see Fig. 11.16 of Moran & Morgan (1997)see Fig. 11.16 of Moran & Morgan (1997)

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Lee-slope CyclogenesisLee-slope CyclogenesisSee Fig.1 pg. 275, Moran & Morgan (1997)See Fig.1 pg. 275, Moran & Morgan (1997)

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E. MOVEMENTS OF EXTRATROPICAL E. MOVEMENTS OF EXTRATROPICAL WAVE CYCLONES WAVE CYCLONES (con’t.)(con’t.)

Principal Cyclone Tracks overPrincipal Cyclone Tracks over North America North America

Time Sequences of Weather Events -Time Sequences of Weather Events - Single Point Forecasting Single Point Forecasting

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 5353

Weather along Storm TracksWeather along Storm Tracks(A) Warm Side(A) Warm Side vs. vs. (B) Cold side (B) Cold side

see Fig. 11.15 of Moran & Morgan (1997)see Fig. 11.15 of Moran & Morgan (1997)

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Weather on Warm SideWeather on Warm Side

Windy, warm & rainy in Windy, warm & rainy in Madison Madison

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 5555

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 5656

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 5757

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 5858

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 6060

Weather Conditions around Weather Conditions around Extratropical CycloneExtratropical Cyclone

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 6161

Warm or South Side of CycloneWarm or South Side of Cyclone

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Weather on Cold SideWeather on Cold Side

Development of a 5 inch snow Development of a 5 inch snow storm in Madison (with storm in Madison (with

temperatures in the teens)temperatures in the teens)

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 6363

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 6464

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 6565

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 6767

Weather Conditions around Weather Conditions around Extratropical CycloneExtratropical Cyclone

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 6868

Weather Conditions around Weather Conditions around Extratropical CycloneExtratropical Cyclone

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 7070

Life Cycle of an Extratropical CycloneLife Cycle of an Extratropical Cyclone See Fig. 11.9 Moran & Morgan (1997)See Fig. 11.9 Moran & Morgan (1997)

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 7171

Incipient Cyclone Stage in the Life Incipient Cyclone Stage in the Life Cycle of an Extratropical CycloneCycle of an Extratropical CycloneSee Fig. 11.9A Moran & Morgan (1997)See Fig. 11.9A Moran & Morgan (1997)

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The Surface Low & the JetThe Surface Low & the Jet

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Linkage between surface weather Linkage between surface weather systems & winds aloftsystems & winds aloft

See Fig. 10.22 Moran & Morgan (1997)See Fig. 10.22 Moran & Morgan (1997)

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Wave Cyclone Stage in the Life Cycle Wave Cyclone Stage in the Life Cycle of an Extratropical Cycloneof an Extratropical Cyclone

See Fig. 11.9B Moran & Morgan (1997)See Fig. 11.9B Moran & Morgan (1997)

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Occluding Stage in the Life Cycle of an Occluding Stage in the Life Cycle of an Extratropical CycloneExtratropical Cyclone

See Fig. 11.9C Moran & Morgan (1997)See Fig. 11.9C Moran & Morgan (1997)

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 7676

Bent-Back Occlusion Stage in the Life Bent-Back Occlusion Stage in the Life Cycle of an Extratropical CycloneCycle of an Extratropical CycloneSee Fig. 11.9D Moran & Morgan (1997)See Fig. 11.9D Moran & Morgan (1997)

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Cyclones along the Polar FrontCyclones along the Polar Front

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 8080

Cyclone Families from TIROSCyclone Families from TIROS

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 9595

G. WINTER STORMSG. WINTER STORMS

DefinitionsDefinitions Winter Weather ConditionsWinter Weather Conditions

– Hazards of Winter StormsHazards of Winter Storms HEAVY SNOWHEAVY SNOW ICE STORMSICE STORMS STRONG WINDSSTRONG WINDS

– Ingredients of a Winter StormIngredients of a Winter Storm COLD AIRCOLD AIR MOISTUREMOISTURE LIFTLIFT

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See Figure 11.14 Moran & Morgan (1997)See Figure 11.14 Moran & Morgan (1997)

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 9797

WINTER STORMS WINTER STORMS (con’t.)(con’t.)

BlizzardsBlizzards

– Winter weather condition lastingWinter weather condition lasting 3 hours 3 hours oror more with: more with: Strong winds (35 mph or more);Strong winds (35 mph or more); Snow & blowing snowSnow & blowing snow

with visibility less than 1/4 mile. with visibility less than 1/4 mile.

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 9898

WINTER STORMS WINTER STORMS (con’t.)(con’t.)

Public Information DisseminationPublic Information Dissemination & Public Safety Precautions & Public Safety Precautions

– Blizzard warnings;Blizzard warnings;

– Winter storm watches & warnings;Winter storm watches & warnings;

– Ice storm warnings;Ice storm warnings;

– High wind warnings;High wind warnings;

– Wind chill warnings.Wind chill warnings.

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Cross Section thru a cycloneCross Section thru a cyclone

ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002ATM OCN 100 Summer 2002 100100

An extratropical cycloneAn extratropical cyclone

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