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Clean Sky 2 Joint Undertaking
5th Call for Proposals (CFP05):
List and full description of Topics
Call Text
- November 2016 -
The present preliminary version of the Call Text is released for information and addressed to any interested party prior to the official launch of the Call anticipated end of November 2016. The final call text document serving as the foundation for any application to this Call will be published via the H2020 Participant Portal. The content is a non-legally binding preliminary version and may still be subject to modifications until its official publication.
2
Revision History Table
Version n° Issue Date Reason for change
PP0 27/10/2016 Pre Publication of the preliminary version of the Call text [via the CSJU Website]
Important notice on Q&As
Question and Answers will open as from 28th November 2016.
In case of questions on the Call (either administrative or technical), applicants are invited to contact the
JU using the dedicated Call functional mailbox: [email to be inserted]
Note that questions received up until 12th January 2017, 17:00 (Brussels Time) will be answered after
analysis and published in Q&A when appropriate. In total, two publications of Q/As are foreseen: 20th
December 2016 and 24th January 2017 (estimated dates).
The Q/As will made available via the Participant Portal of the European Commission.
3
Index
1. Clean Sky 2 – Technology Evaluator ....................................................................................... 5
I. Airport Level Assessment (Fixed-wing) ..................................................................................... 5
II. Airport and ATS Level Assessment (Rotorcraft) ...................................................................... 10
III. ATS Level Business Jet 2035 forecast ...................................................................................... 16
IV. ATS Level Rotorcraft 2035 forecast ......................................................................................... 21
V. ATS Level SAT 2035 forecast ................................................................................................... 26
4
List of Topics for Calls for Partners (CFP05)
Identification Code Title Type of
Action
Ind. Value
(Funding in
M€)
Topic
Leader
JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-01
Airport Level Assessment (Fixed-wing) RIA 0,550 DLR
JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-02
Airport and ATS Level Assessment (Rotorcraft) RIA 0,550 DLR
JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-03
ATS Level business jet 2035 forecast CSA 0,120 DLR
JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-04
ATS Level Rotorcraft 2035 forecast CSA 0,150 DLR
JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-05
ATS Level SAT 2035 forecast CSA 0,150 DLR
TOTAL JTI-CS2-2016-
CFP05-TE2 5 topics 1,52
5
1. Clean Sky 2 – Technology Evaluator
I. Airport Level Assessment (Fixed-wing)
Type of action (RIA/IA/CSA) RIA
Programme Area TE
Joint Technical Programme (JTP V5) Ref. WP4 – TE airport impact assessments: aircraft
Indicative Funding Topic Value (in k€) 550
Topic Manager DLR Type of
Agreement
Cooperation
Agreement
Duration of the action (in Months) 48 Indicative
Start Date1
Q4 2017
Identification Title
JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-01 Airport Level Assessment (Fixed-wing)
Short description (3 lines)
This topic consists of performing airport level assessments. These comprise the simulation of airport
air traffic applying operational aircraft fleet / traffic scenarios, as well as the definition of a set of
airports and noise / emissions modelling and quantification at these airports.
1 The start date corresponds to actual start date with all legal documents in place.
6
1. Background
Cross-positioned within the Clean Sky 2 Programme, the Technology Evaluator (TE) is a dedicated
evaluation platform. It has the key role of assessing the environmental impact of the technologies
developed in Clean Sky 2 and their level of success towards well-defined environmental (noise, CO2,
NOx) and societal benefits and targets.
These technologies are developed by the IADPs (Innovative Aircraft Demonstrator Platforms) and
ITDs (Integrated Technology Demonstrator projects) and clustered in coherent and mutually
compatible solution sets, defining concept aircrafts. TE will conduct assessments on the various
concept aircrafts at three levels:
Aircraft level
A Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft and its reference technology aircraft2 is compared along the same
trajectory in order to determine the environmental benefit of the Clean Sky 2 technologies,
namely noise on ground and emissions (CO2 and NOX).
Airport level
A Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft replaces its reference technology counterpart at different time
scales (2015/2020/2035/2050) in terms of airport traffic scenarios. The purpose of this
replacement approach is to evaluate the full potential of environmental benefits of Clean Sky 2
technologies to an airport area, namely noise on the ground and population impacted by certain
noise levels and emissions (CO2 and NOx).
Air transport system (ATS) level
Similarly to airport level, a Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft replaces its reference technology counterpart
at different time scales (2015/2020/2035/2050) in terms of airport traffic scenarios. However, in this
case the impact is measured at worldwide level.
Work package 4 of TE will focus on airport level assessments for aircraft applications based on
scenarios defined by the Topic Manager in agreement with the relevant Clean Sky 2 Members. This
call will address this work package, which will be coordinated by the Partner.
2. Scope of work
In this exercise, the Partner will be provided by the Topic Manager, in agreement with the relevant
Clean Sky 2 Members, with the models for:
Long range aircraft and their reference
Short and Medium Range aircraft and their reference
2 The reference technology aircraft is the current state-of-the-art in 2015.
7
Regional aircraft and their reference
Business jet aircraft and their reference
The airport impact assessments comprise:
1) environmental impact, including
noise on the ground and population impacted by certain noise levels
emissions (CO2 and NOx), including contribution to local air quality
other type of environmental assessments could be included upon further discussion with the
Topic Manager and the relevant Clean Sky 2 Members.
All airport level assessments are carried out in the frame of WP4 for aircraft traffic at and around
airports (table1 and 2).
Airport level assessments address the air traffic movements from aircraft at and around airports,
including local airspace (e.g., control zones and terminal manoeuvring areas). Within a given airport
fleet the Clean Sky 2 concept aircrafts environmental impact is assessed covering a wide range of air
traffic from business jet, regional, short/medium range and long range aircraft. After insertion of
Clean Sky 2 concept aircrafts in a number of airport fleets according to flight schedules provided by
the topic manager, the assessments will quantify the Clean Sky 2 benefits in terms of environmental
impacts but also including capacity and time efficiency.
In summary the work will cover:
1) selection of a set of airports
2) simulation of airport aircraft traffic scenarios with adequate tools
3) quantification of Clean Sky 2 environmental benefits
Table 1 lists the tasks to be performed:
Tasks
Ref. No. Title – description Indicative Date
WP 4.1 Selection of airports and traffic Scenarios
Selection of a representative set of airports which will be
used for the assessments. They will cover all airport types
from regional to hubs.
When available generic airport can also be used
The topic manager will provide the partner with flight
schedules for the selected airports
T0+6
WP 4.3 Airport assessments (aircraft traffic)
Based on flight schedules provided by the topic manager
performance of airport aircraft fast time traffic
simulation for the selected airports in WP4.1. The
simulations will be based on real flight procedures at
T0+42
8
Tasks
Ref. No. Title – description Indicative Date
these airports.
Based on the fast time traffic simulations quantification
of Clean Sky 2 environmental benefits for the selected
airports in WP4.1
Higher aggregated noise footprint calculations covering
all major European airports (about 50) making use of
statistical runway usage data for these airports. The topic
manager will provide the partner with this data.
3. Major deliverables/ Milestones and schedule (estimate)
Table 2 lists the deliverables to be performed:
Deliverables
Ref. No. Title – Description Type Due Date
D 4.3.1 airport aircraft traffic simulation Simulation
results
T0+18;
T0+36
D 4.3.2 quantification of the Clean Sky 2
environmental benefits for the selected
airports with fast time traffic simulation
in WP4.1
Report T0+24;
T0+42
D 4.3.3 quantification of the Clean Sky 2 noise
benefits by calculation of airport noise
footprints covering all major European
airports at higher aggregated level in
WP4.3
Report T0+24
D 4.4 Final Report with the analysis and the
results at airport level for aircraft traffic
including dissemination/communication
Report T0+48
Milestones (when appropriate)
Ref. No. Title – Description Type Due Date
M1 TE assessment Overall TE assessment
results at airport level
for aircraft traffic
T0+48
9
4. Special skills, Capabilities, Certification expected from the Applicant(s)
University/Public Research Organisation shall act as coordinator of the proposal
Extensive expertise and experience in the application of Fast-Time simulation tools for
airport air traffic optimization used in the context of Departure and Approach simulations as
well as Airport Ground Movements studies
Extensive expertise and experience in the application of airport noise modelling tools -
compliant with the best practice modelling guidance provided by both ECAC Doc.29 3rd
Edition and ICAO Document 9911 – including the simulation of noise exposure to populations
around given airports
Extensive expertise and experience in the simulation of emissions calculations in the wide
vicinity of airports
Extensive expertise and experience in the modelling and simulation of noise for assessing
noise experience (including capability enabling the experience of noise of aircraft flyovers in
virtual reality environment), and capability to interactively provide insight in airport traffic
and environmental impacts (serious gaming)
Extensive expertise and experience in the definition of future airport aircraft traffic
(development) scenarios
Profound knowledge in aircraft noise and emissions modelling
Profound knowledge in airport categorizations
Profound knowledge in operational scenario modelling for aircraft fleet applications at large
(and complex) airports, including TMA operations
Profound knowledge in simulation platforms to perform integrated airport impact
assessments (e.g. trade-off studies and optimization) in an integrated way and at different
levels of detail (e.g. ranging from key performance indicators to detailed impact results)
Expert knowledge of seamless coupling of free-to-choose models and of automated
workflows in a web-based simulation environment
Established track record including: Expert team, International research calibre, working with
industry and previous participation in large EU Programs,
10
II. Airport and ATS Level Assessment (Rotorcraft)
Type of action (RIA/IA /CSA) RIA
Programme Area TE
Joint Technical Programme (JTP V5) Ref. WP4: Airport impact assessment for fast rotorcraft
WP5: ATS impact assessment for fast rotorcraft
Indicative Funding Topic Value (in k€) 550
Topic Manager DLR Type of
Agreement
Cooperation
Agreement
Duration of the action (in Months) 48 Indicative
Start Date3
Q4 2017
Identification Title
JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-02 Airport and ATS Level Assessment (Rotorcraft)
Short description (3 lines)
This topic consists of performing Airport and Air Transport System (ATS) impact assessments for fast
rotorcraft applications. These comprise the simulation of fast rotorcraft fleet and traffic scenarios at
airport/heliport, city and world regions for various missions.
3 The start date corresponds to actual start date with all legal documents in place.
11
1. Background
Cross-positioned within the Clean Sky 2 Programme, the Technology Evaluator (TE) is a dedicated
evaluation platform. It has the key role of assessing the environmental impact of the technologies
developed in Clean Sky 2 and their level of success towards well-defined environmental (noise, CO2,
NOx) and societal benefits and targets.
These technologies are developed by the IADPs (Innovative Aircraft Demonstrator Platforms) and
ITDs (Integrated Technology Demonstrator projects) and clustered in coherent and mutually
compatible solution sets, defining concept aircrafts. TE will conduct assessments on the various
concept aircrafts at three levels:
Aircraft level
A Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft and its reference technology aircraft4 is compared along the same
trajectory in order to determine the environmental benefit of the Clean Sky 2 technologies,
namely noise on ground and emissions (CO2 and NOX).
Airport level
A Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft replaces its reference technology counterpart at different time
scales (2015/2020/2035/2050) in terms of airport traffic scenarios. The purpose of this
replacement approach is to evaluate the full potential of environmental benefits of Clean Sky 2
technologies to an airport area, namely noise on the ground and population impacted by certain
noise levels and emissions (CO2 and NOx).
Air transport system (ATS) level
Similarly to airport level, a Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft replaces its reference technology
counterpart at different time scales (2015/2020/2035/2050) in terms of airport traffic scenarios.
However, in this case the impact is measured at worldwide level.
Within the perimeter of this call the airport and ATS impact assessments are addressed. The Partner
shall perform airport (TE Work Package 4) and ATS (TE Work Package 5) assessments for fast
rotorcraft applications based on traffic scenarios provided by the Topic Manager in agreement with
the relevant Clean Sky 2 Members.
2. Scope of work
In this exercise, the Partner will be provided by the Topic Manager, in agreement with the relevant
Clean Sky 2 Members, with the models for:
- Tiltrotor and its reference
- Compound and its reference
4 The reference technology aircraft is the current state-of-the-art in 2015.
12
Regarding the mission types, it includes:
- Passenger transport
- Emergency and medical services (EMS)
- Search and rescue (S&R)
- Oil and gas (O&G)
Other missions could be included upon further discussion with the Topic Manager and the relevant
Clean Sky 2 Members.
The airport impact assessments comprise:
1) environmental impact, including
- noise on the ground and population impacted by certain noise levels
- emissions (CO2 and NOx)
Due to the nature fast rotorcraft vehicles, the airport notion includes heliports and city locations.
Henceforth, when airport is written, it should be understood as airport/heliport and city locations.
The Air Transport System (ATS) impact assessments, it means:
1) environmental impact, including
- noise on the ground and population impacted by certain noise levels
- emissions (CO2 and NOx)
- other type of environmental assessments could be included upon further discussion with the
Topic Manager and the relevant Clean Sky 2 Members.
2) mobility impact, namely
- connectivity
- productivity improvements
All rotorcraft assessments are carried out in the frame of WP4 for rotorcraft traffic at airport level
and in the frame of WP5 for rotorcraft traffic in world regions (See table 1 and 2).
Table1 lists the tasks to be performed:
Tasks
Ref. No. Title – description Indicative Date
WP 4.1 Airport Traffic Scenarios
The Topic Manager in agreement with the Clean Sky 2
Members will provide the Partner with the number of
T0+6
13
Tasks
Ref. No. Title – description Indicative Date
movements/flight schedule for selected locations (see
WP4.2) and then the Partner will define and calculate all
trajectories flown by these fleets using also appropriate
own models where needed.
WP 4.2 Airport assessments
The Partner in agreement with the Topic Manager and
the relevant Clean Sky 2 Members will select several
locations to carry out these assessments in terms of
environmental impact as mentioned above.
T0+42
WP 5.1 ATS Traffic Scenarios
The Topic Manager in agreement with the relevant Clean
Sky 2 Members will provide the Partner with the fleet
flight schedules for selected world regions and then the
Partner define and calculate all trajectories flown by
these fleets using also appropriate own models where
needed.
T0+8;
T0+18;
T0+36
WP 5.3 ATS assessments
The Partner will carry out the assessments for
environmental and mobility impacts for the fleets as
defined in WP5.1 for all mission types
T0+12;
T0+24;
T0+42
Table 1: TE work packages covering rotorcraft traffic assessments
3. Major deliverables/ Milestones and schedule (estimate)
Table2 lists the deliverables to be performed:
Deliverables
Ref. No. Title – Description Type Indicative
Date
D 4.1. Generation of fast rotorcraft traffic
scenarios for airport level for all mission
types
Report T0+6;
D 4.2 Quantification for the traffic scenarios in
WP 4.1 of Clean Sky 2 benefits with
Simulation
results and
T0+12;
T0+24;
14
Deliverables
Ref. No. Title – Description Type Indicative
Date
respect to environmental impacts intermediate
reports
T0+42
D 4.4 Report with the analysis and the final
results of the simulation at airport level
Final report T0+48
D 5.3 Quantification of the Clean Sky 2
benefits for world regions fleet scenarios
in terms of environmental and mobility
Simulation
results and
intermediate
reports
T0+12;
T0+24;
T0+42
D 5.4 Report with the analysis and the final
results of the simulation at ATS level
Final report T0+48
Milestones (when appropriate)
Ref. No. Title – Description Type Due Date
M1 TE assessment Overall TE assessment
results for rotorcraft
fleets at airport level
T0+48
M2 TE assessment Overall TE assessment
results for rotorcraft
fleets in world regions
T0+48
4. Special skills, Capabilities, Certification expected from the Applicant(s)
University/Public Research Organisation shall act as coordinator of the proposal
Extensive expertise in the application of rotorcraft noise, emissions and performance tools
Extensive expertise in rotorcraft noise, emissions and performance modelling including:
o Ability to model a range of rotorcraft airframes: Conventional helicopters, Tilt-rotor,
Compound with propellers/ducted fans, Co-axial
o Ability to model a range of rotorcraft power plants: conventional and advanced
configurations
o Expertise in the development of comprehensive, highly integrated, multi-disciplinary
simulation frameworks for rotorcraft: Non-linear structural dynamics, 3D rotor dynamics,
Unsteady non-linear wake and blade aerodynamics, Aeroelasticity, Flight dynamics (trim,
stability and control), Real time flight simulation, Power plant performance, Gaseous
emissions, Noise, 4D trajectory analysis, Rotorcraft systems
o Expertise in the multi-disciplinary design of integrated rotorcraft/power plant systems
15
Profound knowledge in operational scenario modelling for rotorcraft fleet applications at
airport level and world regions for all mission types.
Established track record including: Expert team, International research calibre, Working with
industry and previous participation in large EU Programs, ability to manage large work packages
at EU level
16
III. ATS Level Business Jet 2035 forecast
Type of action (RIA/IA /CSA) CSA
Programme Area TE
Joint Technical Programme (JTP V5) Ref. WP5.1 – TE ATS level 2035 forecast: bizjet
Indicative Funding Topic Value (in k€) 120
Topic Manager DLR Type of
Implementation
Cooperation
Agreement
Duration of the action (in Months) 12 Indicative Start
Date5
Q4 2017
Identification Title
JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-03 ATS Level business jet 2035 forecast
Short description
This topic consists of performing a forecast for bizjet fleet and movements starting from 2015,
passing by 2020/2025/2030 until 2035. This forecast should detail at country/region/world levels.
5 The start date corresponds to actual start date with all legal documents in place.
17
1. Specific challenge
Cross-positioned within the Clean Sky Programme, the Technology Evaluator (TE) is a dedicated
evaluation platform. It has the key role of assessing the environmental impact of the technologies
developed in Clean Sky 2 and their level of success towards well defined environmental (Noise, CO2,
NOx) and societal benefits and targets.
These technologies are developed by the IADPs (Innovative Aircraft Demonstrator Platforms) and
ITDs (Integrated Technology Demonstrator projects) and clustered in coherent and mutually
compatible solution sets, defining concept aircrafts. TE will conduct assessments on the various
concept aircrafts at three levels:
Aircraft level
A Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft and its reference technology aircraft6 is compared along the same
trajectory in order to determine the environmental benefit of the Clean Sky 2 technologies,
namely noise on ground and emissions (CO2 and NOX).
Airport level
A Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft replaces its reference technology counterpart at different time
scales (2015/2020/2035/2050) in terms of airport traffic scenarios. The purpose of this
replacement approach is to evaluate the full potential of environmental benefits of Clean Sky 2
technologies to an airport area, namely noise on the ground and population impacted by certain
noise levels and emissions (CO2 and NOx).
Air transport system (ATS) level
Similarly to airport level, a Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft replaces its reference technology
counterpart at different time scales (2015/2020/2035/2050) in terms of airport traffic scenarios.
However, in this case the impact is measured at worldwide level.
This call partially addresses the ATS level for business jets by concentrating on a forecast for all types
of bizjets and movements starting from 2015, passing by 2020/2025/2030 until 2035 as input for
environmental, economic and connectivity assessments.
2. Scope
The forecast will be developed in the following steps:
a) Review of available bizjet forecasts
The Partner should compare the various available forecasts in terms of assumptions, data sources,
relevance of drivers and variables. In addition, the Partner should draft a clear and concise
comparison, highlighting the most relevant existing statistical and information gaps.
6 The reference technology aircraft is the current state-of-the-art in 2015.
18
b) Fine-tuning of the forecasting approach
The Partner should agree with the Topic Manager which approach should be selected to pursue the
forecasting, including the assumptions, drivers and especially market potentials targeted by other
vehicles.
The forecast should focus on passenger transport and provide results on expected movements
between airports in terms of number of trips, average journey times and average distances. Based on
known airports this implies to identify drivers for extrapolation of growth and for the distribution of
flights.
The Partner should use the expected GDP growth figures from Global Insight.
In this exercise, the Partner will be provided by the Topic Manager, in agreement with the relevant
Clean Sky 2 Members, with the following variables:
- expected population growth
- operational and technological parameters (travel time, costs, etc.)
When data is lacking for certain variables, the Partner should provide an approach to fill the
gaps, which will be discussed and agreed with the Topic Manager and the relevant Clean Sky
2 Members.
c) Production of forecast
The forecast shall start with 2015 based on available data. The forecast should quantify fleet and
movements for the years 2020, 2025, 2030 and 2035 and should be carried out at
country/region/world levels.
Please find below the indicative schedule:
- Month 2 – Kick-off meeting (1 day) in Brussels
The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the Topic
Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the comparison of the various available
forecasts in terms of assumptions, data sources, and relevance of drivers and variables,
highlighting the most relevant existing statistical and information gaps. In addition, the
Partner should put forward for discussion a proposal on the approach to fill the statistical and
information gaps.
- Month 4 – Submission to the JU of the first report
This report should contain in detail:
o summary of the discussions during the kick-off meeting with the Topic Manager
and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members
19
o comparison of the various available forecasts in terms of assumptions, data
sources, and relevance of drivers and variables, highlighting the most relevant
existing statistical and information gaps.
o defined approach to fill the statistical and information gaps
- Month 8 – Intermediate meeting I (1 day) in Brussels
The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the Topic
Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the first forecast results.
- Month 9 - Submission to the JU of the draft final report
This report should contain in detail the first forecast results, including the remarks made
during Intermediate meeting I.
- Month 10 – Intermediate meeting II (1 day) in Brussels
The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the
Topic Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the revised forecast results.
- Month 12 – Final meeting (1 day) in Brussels
The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the
Topic Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the final forecast.
- Month 12 – Submission to the JU of the final report
This report should contain in detail:
o description of the results including detailed movements matrices
o abstract and an executive summary of a maximum of 6 pages
o recommendations
Regarding data and results, they should also be provided in electronic form (i.e. Excel, csv,
txt or equivalent).
3. Expected Impact
The forecast will provide information on the potential technology diffusion for different market
segments of Clean Sky 2 bizjet based on assumptions with regards to improved vehicle productivity.
Furthermore, the forecast will support the impact assessments of Clean Sky 2 vehicle technologies
and the quantification of the aviation footprint. Based on this, the Technology Evaluator will quantify
the benefits of Clean Sky 2 technologies and their level of contribution to the Flightpath 2050 goals
regarding environment, economy, connectivity/mobility and competitiveness.
In addition, identified growth rates will be used to support airport level assessments, in which fleet
mix changes will be used to quantify environmental assessments at airport level.
4. Special skills and capabilities expected from the applicants
University/Public Research Organisation shall act as coordinator of the proposal
20
Proven experience in the business jet sector
Expertise in forecasting
Experience in analysing and reporting on long-term trends for air traffic
Access to an appropriate methodology; including the ability to quantify vehicle
improvements and their impact on the market diffusion and fleet development
Awareness of current literature relevant to long-term trends
Ability to deliver clear and concise reports in English, based on solid evidence
21
IV. ATS Level Rotorcraft 2035 forecast
Type of action (RIA/IA /CSA) CSA
Programme Area TE
Joint Technical Programme (JTP) Ref. WP5.1 – TE ATS level 2035 forecast: rotorcraft
Indicative Funding Topic Value (in k€) 150
Topic Manager DLR Type of
Agreement
Cooperation
Agreement
Duration of the action (in Months) 12 Indicative
Start Date7
Q4 2017
Identification Title
JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-04 ATS Level Rotorcraft 2035 forecast
Short description (3 lines)
This topic consists of performing a forecast for all types of rotorcraft fleet and movements starting
from 2015, passing by 2020/2025/2030 until 2035. This forecast should detail per type of mission at
country/region/world levels.
1. Specific challenge
Cross-positioned within the Clean Sky 2 Programme, the Technology Evaluator (TE) is a dedicated
evaluation platform. It has the key role of assessing the environmental impact of the technologies
developed in Clean Sky 2 and their level of success towards well-defined environmental (noise, CO2,
NOx) and societal benefits and targets.
These technologies are developed by the IADPs (Innovative Aircraft Demonstrator Platforms) and
ITDs (Integrated Technology Demonstrator projects) and clustered in coherent and mutually
compatible solution sets, defining concept aircrafts. TE will conduct assessments on the various
concept aircrafts at three levels:
Aircraft level
A Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft and its reference technology aircraft8 is compared along the same
trajectory in order to determine the environmental benefit of the Clean Sky 2 technologies,
namely noise on ground and emissions (CO2 and NOX).
Airport level
A Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft replaces its reference technology counterpart at different time
scales (2015/2020/2035/2050) in terms of airport traffic scenarios. The purpose of this
replacement approach is to evaluate the full potential of environmental benefits of Clean Sky 2
technologies to an airport area, namely noise on the ground and population impacted by certain
7 The start date corresponds to actual start date with all legal documents in place.
8 The reference technology aircraft is the current state-of-the-art in 2015.
22
noise levels and emissions (CO2 and NOx).
Air transport system (ATS) level
Similarly to airport level, a Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft replaces its reference technology
counterpart at different time scales (2015/2020/2035/2050) in terms of airport traffic scenarios.
However, in this case the impact is measured at worldwide level.
This call partially addresses the ATS level for rotorcraft by concentrating on a forecast for all types of
rotorcraft fleet and movements starting from 2015, passing by 2020/2025/2030 until 2035 as input
for environmental, economic and connectivity assessments.
2. Scope
The forecast will be developed in the following steps:
a) Review of available rotorcraft forecasts
The Partner should compare the various available forecasts in terms of assumptions, data sources,
relevance of drivers and variables. In addition, the Partner should draft a clear and concise
comparison, highlighting the most relevant existing statistical and information gaps.
b) Fine-tuning of the forecasting approach
The Partner should agree with the Topic Manager which approach should be selected to pursue the
forecasting, including the assumptions, drivers and especially market potentials targeted by other
vehicles.
The forecast should include:
- rotorcraft types, namely:
o Conventional
o Compound
o Tilt-rotor
- missions, namely:
o passenger transport
o air taxi charter
o emergency and medical services (EMS)
o search and rescue (S&R)
o civil utility
o law enforcement
o oil and gas
o transport of goods
23
- movements (operator and operating country, heliports, airfields, airports, off-shore
platforms and hospitals) in terms of number of trips or flight hours for the forecasted
year, based on average journey times and distances for each rotorcraft type.
Future technological alternatives such as UAVs and adopted policies should also be taken
into account.
The Partner should use the expected GDP growth figures from Global Insight.
In this exercise, the Partner will be provided by the Topic Manager, in agreement with the relevant
Clean Sky 2 Members, with the following variables:
- expected population growth
- operational and technological parameters (speed, costs, etc.)
- location of heliports for EMS, S&R, off-shore platforms and law enforcement
The Partner is welcomed to bring new data to these variables.
When data is lacking for certain variables, the Partner should provide an approach to fill the
gaps, which will be discussed and agreed with the Topic Manager and the relevant Clean Sky
2 Members.
c) Production of forecast
The forecast shall start with 2015 based on available data. The forecast should quantify fleet and
movements for the years 2020, 2025, 2030 and 2035 and should be carried out at
country/region/world levels.
Please find below the indicative schedule:
- Month 2 – Kick-off meeting (1 day) in Brussels
The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the Topic
Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the comparison of the various available
forecasts in terms of assumptions, data sources, and relevance of drivers and variables,
highlighting the most relevant existing statistical and information gaps. In addition, the
Partner should put forward for discussion a proposal on the approach to fill the statistical and
information gaps.
- Month 4 – Submission to the JU of the first report
This report should contain in detail:
o summary of the discussions during the kick-off meeting with the Topic Manager
and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members
24
o comparison of the various available forecasts in terms of assumptions, data
sources, and relevance of drivers and variables, highlighting the most relevant
existing statistical and information gaps.
o collection of the data related to the (operator and operating country, heliports,
airfields, airports, off-shore platforms and hospitals)
o defined approach to fill the statistical and information gaps
- Month 8 – Intermediate meeting I (1 day) in Brussels
The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the Topic
Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the first forecast results.
- Month 9 - Submission to the JU of the draft final report
This report should contain in detail the first forecast results, including the remarks made
during Intermediate meeting I.
- Month 10 – Intermediate meeting II (1 day) in Brussels
The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the
Topic Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the revised forecast results.
- Month 12 – Final meeting (1 day) in Brussels
The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the
Topic Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the final forecast.
- Month 12 – Submission to the JU of the final report
This report should contain in detail:
o description of the results including detailed movements matrices
o abstract and an executive summary of a maximum of 6 pages
o recommendations
Regarding data and results, they should also be provided in electronic form (i.e. Excel, csv,
txt or equivalent).
3. Impact
25
The forecast will provide information on the potential technology diffusion for different market
segments of Clean Sky 2 rotorcraft based on assumptions with regards to improved vehicle
productivity. Furthermore, the forecast will support the impact assessments of Clean Sky 2 vehicle
technologies and the quantification of the aviation footprint. Based on this, the Technology Evaluator
will quantify the benefits of Clean Sky 2 technologies and their level of contribution to the Flightpath
2050 goals regarding environment, economy, connectivity/mobility and competitiveness.
In addition, identified growth rates will be used to support airport level assessments, in which fleet
mix changes will be used to quantify environmental assessments at airport level.
4. Special skills and capabilities expected from the applicants
University/Public Research Organisation shall act as coordinator of the proposal
Proven experience in the rotorcraft sector
Expertise in forecasting
Experience in analysing and reporting on long-term trends for air traffic
Access to an appropriate methodology; including the ability to quantify vehicle
improvements and their impact on the market diffusion and fleet development
Awareness of current literature relevant to long-term trends
Ability to deliver clear and concise reports in English, based on solid evidence
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V. ATS Level SAT 2035 forecast
Type of action (RIA/IA/CSA) CSA
Programme Area TE
Joint Technical Programme (JTP) Ref. WP5.1 – TE ATS level SAT 2035 forecast
Indicative Funding Topic Value (in k€) 150
Topic Manager DLR Type of
Agreement
Cooperation
Agreement
Duration of the action (in Months) 12 Indicative
Start Date9
Q4 2017
Identification Title
JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-05 ATS Level SAT 2035 forecast
Short description (3 lines)
This topic consists of performing a forecast for SAT (Small Air Transport) fleet and movements
starting from 2015, passing by 2020/2025/2030 until 2035. This forecast should detail at
country/region/world levels.
1. Specific challenge
Cross-positioned within the Clean Sky 2 Programme, the Technology Evaluator (TE) is a dedicated
evaluation platform. It has the key role of assessing the environmental impact of the technologies
developed in Clean Sky 2 and their level of success towards well-defined environmental (noise, CO2,
NOx) and societal benefits and targets.
These technologies are developed by the IADPs (Innovative Aircraft Demonstrator Platforms) and
ITDs (Integrated Technology Demonstrator projects) and clustered in coherent and mutually
compatible solution sets, defining concept aircrafts. TE will conduct assessments on the various
concept aircrafts at three levels:
Aircraft level
A Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft and its reference technology aircraft10 is compared along the same
trajectory in order to determine the environmental benefit of the Clean Sky 2 technologies,
namely noise on ground and emissions (CO2 and NOX).
Airport level
A Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft replaces its reference technology counterpart at different time
scales (2015/2020/2035/2050) in terms of airport traffic scenarios. The purpose of this
replacement approach is to evaluate the full potential of environmental benefits of Clean Sky 2
9 The start date corresponds to actual start date with all legal documents in place.
10 The reference technology aircraft is the current state-of-the-art in 2015.
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technologies to an airport area, namely noise on the ground and population impacted by certain
noise levels and emissions (CO2 and NOx).
Air transport system (ATS) level
Similarly to airport level, a Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft replaces its reference technology
counterpart at different time scales (2015/2020/2035/2050) in terms of airport traffic scenarios.
However, in this case the impact is measured at worldwide level.
This call partially addresses the ATS level for SAT by concentrating on a forecast for all types of Small
Air transport aircraft (seats 4-19, pressurized and unpressurized cabin) and movements starting from
2015, passing by 2020/2025/2030 until 2035 as input for environmental, economic and connectivity
assessments.
2. Scope
The forecast will be developed in the following steps:
a) Review of available SAT forecasts
The Partner should compare the various available forecasts in terms of assumptions, data sources,
relevance of drivers and variables. In addition, the Partner should draft a clear and concise
comparison, highlighting the most relevant existing statistical and information gaps.
b) Fine-tuning of the forecasting approach
The Partner should agree with the Topic Manager which approach should be selected to pursue the
forecasting, including the assumptions, drivers and especially market potentials targeted by other
vehicles.
The forecast should focus on passenger transport and provide results on expected movements
between airports and airfields in terms of number of trips, average journey times and average
distances.
The Partner should use the expected GDP growth figures from Global Insight.
In this exercise, the Partner will be provided by the Topic Manager, in agreement with the relevant
Clean Sky 2 Members, with the following variables:
- expected population growth
- operational and technological parameters (speed, costs, etc.)
The Partner is welcomed to bring new data to these variables, especially on airfields.
When data is lacking for certain variables, the Partner should provide an approach to fill the
gaps, which will be discussed and agreed with the Topic Manager and the relevant Clean Sky
2 Members.
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c) Production of forecast
The forecast shall start with 2015 based on available data. The forecast should quantify fleet and
movements for the years 2020, 2025, 2030 and 2035 and should be carried out at
country/region/world levels.
Please find below the indicative schedule:
- Month 2 – Kick-off meeting (1 day) in Brussels
The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the Topic
Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the comparison of the various available
forecasts in terms of assumptions, data sources, and relevance of drivers and variables,
highlighting the most relevant existing statistical and information gaps. In addition, the
Partner should put forward for discussion a proposal on the approach to fill the statistical and
information gaps.
- Month 4 – Submission to the JU of the first report
This report should contain in detail:
o summary of the discussions during the kick-off meeting with the Topic Manager
and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members
o comparison of the various available forecasts in terms of assumptions, data
sources, and relevance of drivers and variables, highlighting the most relevant
existing statistical and information gaps.
o collection of the data related to the expected movements
o defined approach to fill the statistical and information gaps
- Month 8 – Intermediate meeting I (1 day) in Brussels
The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the Topic
Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the first forecast results.
- Month 9 - Submission to the JU of the draft final report
This report should contain in detail the first forecast results, including the remarks made
during Intermediate meeting I.
- Month 10 – Intermediate meeting II (1 day) in Brussels
The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the
Topic Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the revised forecast results.
- Month 12 – Final meeting (1 day) in Brussels
The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the
Topic Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the final forecast.
- Month 12 – Submission to the JU of the final report
This report should contain in detail:
o description of the results including detailed movements matrices
29
o abstract and an executive summary of a maximum of 6 pages
o recommendations
Regarding data and results, they should also be provided in electronic form (i.e. Excel, csv,
txt or equivalent).
3. Impact
The forecast will provide information on the potential technology diffusion for different market
segments of Clean Sky 2 Small Air Transport aircraft based on assumptions with regards to improved
vehicle productivity. Furthermore, the forecast will support the impact assessments of Clean Sky 2
vehicle technologies and the quantification of the aviation footprint. Based on this, the Technology
Evaluator will quantify the benefits of Clean Sky 2 technologies and their level of contribution to the
Flightpath 2050 goals regarding environment, economy, connectivity/mobility and competitiveness.
In addition, identified growth rates will be used to support airport level assessments, in which fleet
mix changes will be used to quantify environmental assessments at airport level.
4. Special skills and capabilities expected from the applicants
University/Public Research Organisation shall act as coordinator of the proposal
Proven experience in the SAT sector
Expertise in forecasting
Experience in analysing and reporting on long-term trends for air traffic
Access to an appropriate methodology; including the ability to quantify vehicle
improvements and their impact on the market diffusion and fleet development
Awareness of current literature relevant to long-term trends
Ability to deliver clear and concise reports in English, based on solid evidence
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