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Clean Sky 2 Joint Undertaking 5 th Call for Proposals (CFP05): List and full description of Topics Call Text - November 2016 - The present preliminary version of the Call Text is released for information and addressed to any interested party prior to the official launch of the Call anticipated end of November 2016. The final call text document serving as the foundation for any application to this Call will be published via the H2020 Participant Portal. The content is a non-legally binding preliminary version and may still be subject to modifications until its official publication.

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Page 1: 5th List and full description of Topics Call Textcache.media.education.gouv.fr/file/2016/53/8/CfP05_Call_Text... · List and full description of Topics Call Text ... [email to be

Clean Sky 2 Joint Undertaking

5th Call for Proposals (CFP05):

List and full description of Topics

Call Text

- November 2016 -

The present preliminary version of the Call Text is released for information and addressed to any interested party prior to the official launch of the Call anticipated end of November 2016. The final call text document serving as the foundation for any application to this Call will be published via the H2020 Participant Portal. The content is a non-legally binding preliminary version and may still be subject to modifications until its official publication.

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Revision History Table

Version n° Issue Date Reason for change

PP0 27/10/2016 Pre Publication of the preliminary version of the Call text [via the CSJU Website]

Important notice on Q&As

Question and Answers will open as from 28th November 2016.

In case of questions on the Call (either administrative or technical), applicants are invited to contact the

JU using the dedicated Call functional mailbox: [email to be inserted]

Note that questions received up until 12th January 2017, 17:00 (Brussels Time) will be answered after

analysis and published in Q&A when appropriate. In total, two publications of Q/As are foreseen: 20th

December 2016 and 24th January 2017 (estimated dates).

The Q/As will made available via the Participant Portal of the European Commission.

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Index

1. Clean Sky 2 – Technology Evaluator ....................................................................................... 5

I. Airport Level Assessment (Fixed-wing) ..................................................................................... 5

II. Airport and ATS Level Assessment (Rotorcraft) ...................................................................... 10

III. ATS Level Business Jet 2035 forecast ...................................................................................... 16

IV. ATS Level Rotorcraft 2035 forecast ......................................................................................... 21

V. ATS Level SAT 2035 forecast ................................................................................................... 26

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List of Topics for Calls for Partners (CFP05)

Identification Code Title Type of

Action

Ind. Value

(Funding in

M€)

Topic

Leader

JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-01

Airport Level Assessment (Fixed-wing) RIA 0,550 DLR

JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-02

Airport and ATS Level Assessment (Rotorcraft) RIA 0,550 DLR

JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-03

ATS Level business jet 2035 forecast CSA 0,120 DLR

JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-04

ATS Level Rotorcraft 2035 forecast CSA 0,150 DLR

JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-05

ATS Level SAT 2035 forecast CSA 0,150 DLR

TOTAL JTI-CS2-2016-

CFP05-TE2 5 topics 1,52

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1. Clean Sky 2 – Technology Evaluator

I. Airport Level Assessment (Fixed-wing)

Type of action (RIA/IA/CSA) RIA

Programme Area TE

Joint Technical Programme (JTP V5) Ref. WP4 – TE airport impact assessments: aircraft

Indicative Funding Topic Value (in k€) 550

Topic Manager DLR Type of

Agreement

Cooperation

Agreement

Duration of the action (in Months) 48 Indicative

Start Date1

Q4 2017

Identification Title

JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-01 Airport Level Assessment (Fixed-wing)

Short description (3 lines)

This topic consists of performing airport level assessments. These comprise the simulation of airport

air traffic applying operational aircraft fleet / traffic scenarios, as well as the definition of a set of

airports and noise / emissions modelling and quantification at these airports.

1 The start date corresponds to actual start date with all legal documents in place.

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1. Background

Cross-positioned within the Clean Sky 2 Programme, the Technology Evaluator (TE) is a dedicated

evaluation platform. It has the key role of assessing the environmental impact of the technologies

developed in Clean Sky 2 and their level of success towards well-defined environmental (noise, CO2,

NOx) and societal benefits and targets.

These technologies are developed by the IADPs (Innovative Aircraft Demonstrator Platforms) and

ITDs (Integrated Technology Demonstrator projects) and clustered in coherent and mutually

compatible solution sets, defining concept aircrafts. TE will conduct assessments on the various

concept aircrafts at three levels:

Aircraft level

A Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft and its reference technology aircraft2 is compared along the same

trajectory in order to determine the environmental benefit of the Clean Sky 2 technologies,

namely noise on ground and emissions (CO2 and NOX).

Airport level

A Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft replaces its reference technology counterpart at different time

scales (2015/2020/2035/2050) in terms of airport traffic scenarios. The purpose of this

replacement approach is to evaluate the full potential of environmental benefits of Clean Sky 2

technologies to an airport area, namely noise on the ground and population impacted by certain

noise levels and emissions (CO2 and NOx).

Air transport system (ATS) level

Similarly to airport level, a Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft replaces its reference technology counterpart

at different time scales (2015/2020/2035/2050) in terms of airport traffic scenarios. However, in this

case the impact is measured at worldwide level.

Work package 4 of TE will focus on airport level assessments for aircraft applications based on

scenarios defined by the Topic Manager in agreement with the relevant Clean Sky 2 Members. This

call will address this work package, which will be coordinated by the Partner.

2. Scope of work

In this exercise, the Partner will be provided by the Topic Manager, in agreement with the relevant

Clean Sky 2 Members, with the models for:

Long range aircraft and their reference

Short and Medium Range aircraft and their reference

2 The reference technology aircraft is the current state-of-the-art in 2015.

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Regional aircraft and their reference

Business jet aircraft and their reference

The airport impact assessments comprise:

1) environmental impact, including

noise on the ground and population impacted by certain noise levels

emissions (CO2 and NOx), including contribution to local air quality

other type of environmental assessments could be included upon further discussion with the

Topic Manager and the relevant Clean Sky 2 Members.

All airport level assessments are carried out in the frame of WP4 for aircraft traffic at and around

airports (table1 and 2).

Airport level assessments address the air traffic movements from aircraft at and around airports,

including local airspace (e.g., control zones and terminal manoeuvring areas). Within a given airport

fleet the Clean Sky 2 concept aircrafts environmental impact is assessed covering a wide range of air

traffic from business jet, regional, short/medium range and long range aircraft. After insertion of

Clean Sky 2 concept aircrafts in a number of airport fleets according to flight schedules provided by

the topic manager, the assessments will quantify the Clean Sky 2 benefits in terms of environmental

impacts but also including capacity and time efficiency.

In summary the work will cover:

1) selection of a set of airports

2) simulation of airport aircraft traffic scenarios with adequate tools

3) quantification of Clean Sky 2 environmental benefits

Table 1 lists the tasks to be performed:

Tasks

Ref. No. Title – description Indicative Date

WP 4.1 Selection of airports and traffic Scenarios

Selection of a representative set of airports which will be

used for the assessments. They will cover all airport types

from regional to hubs.

When available generic airport can also be used

The topic manager will provide the partner with flight

schedules for the selected airports

T0+6

WP 4.3 Airport assessments (aircraft traffic)

Based on flight schedules provided by the topic manager

performance of airport aircraft fast time traffic

simulation for the selected airports in WP4.1. The

simulations will be based on real flight procedures at

T0+42

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Tasks

Ref. No. Title – description Indicative Date

these airports.

Based on the fast time traffic simulations quantification

of Clean Sky 2 environmental benefits for the selected

airports in WP4.1

Higher aggregated noise footprint calculations covering

all major European airports (about 50) making use of

statistical runway usage data for these airports. The topic

manager will provide the partner with this data.

3. Major deliverables/ Milestones and schedule (estimate)

Table 2 lists the deliverables to be performed:

Deliverables

Ref. No. Title – Description Type Due Date

D 4.3.1 airport aircraft traffic simulation Simulation

results

T0+18;

T0+36

D 4.3.2 quantification of the Clean Sky 2

environmental benefits for the selected

airports with fast time traffic simulation

in WP4.1

Report T0+24;

T0+42

D 4.3.3 quantification of the Clean Sky 2 noise

benefits by calculation of airport noise

footprints covering all major European

airports at higher aggregated level in

WP4.3

Report T0+24

D 4.4 Final Report with the analysis and the

results at airport level for aircraft traffic

including dissemination/communication

Report T0+48

Milestones (when appropriate)

Ref. No. Title – Description Type Due Date

M1 TE assessment Overall TE assessment

results at airport level

for aircraft traffic

T0+48

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4. Special skills, Capabilities, Certification expected from the Applicant(s)

University/Public Research Organisation shall act as coordinator of the proposal

Extensive expertise and experience in the application of Fast-Time simulation tools for

airport air traffic optimization used in the context of Departure and Approach simulations as

well as Airport Ground Movements studies

Extensive expertise and experience in the application of airport noise modelling tools -

compliant with the best practice modelling guidance provided by both ECAC Doc.29 3rd

Edition and ICAO Document 9911 – including the simulation of noise exposure to populations

around given airports

Extensive expertise and experience in the simulation of emissions calculations in the wide

vicinity of airports

Extensive expertise and experience in the modelling and simulation of noise for assessing

noise experience (including capability enabling the experience of noise of aircraft flyovers in

virtual reality environment), and capability to interactively provide insight in airport traffic

and environmental impacts (serious gaming)

Extensive expertise and experience in the definition of future airport aircraft traffic

(development) scenarios

Profound knowledge in aircraft noise and emissions modelling

Profound knowledge in airport categorizations

Profound knowledge in operational scenario modelling for aircraft fleet applications at large

(and complex) airports, including TMA operations

Profound knowledge in simulation platforms to perform integrated airport impact

assessments (e.g. trade-off studies and optimization) in an integrated way and at different

levels of detail (e.g. ranging from key performance indicators to detailed impact results)

Expert knowledge of seamless coupling of free-to-choose models and of automated

workflows in a web-based simulation environment

Established track record including: Expert team, International research calibre, working with

industry and previous participation in large EU Programs,

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II. Airport and ATS Level Assessment (Rotorcraft)

Type of action (RIA/IA /CSA) RIA

Programme Area TE

Joint Technical Programme (JTP V5) Ref. WP4: Airport impact assessment for fast rotorcraft

WP5: ATS impact assessment for fast rotorcraft

Indicative Funding Topic Value (in k€) 550

Topic Manager DLR Type of

Agreement

Cooperation

Agreement

Duration of the action (in Months) 48 Indicative

Start Date3

Q4 2017

Identification Title

JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-02 Airport and ATS Level Assessment (Rotorcraft)

Short description (3 lines)

This topic consists of performing Airport and Air Transport System (ATS) impact assessments for fast

rotorcraft applications. These comprise the simulation of fast rotorcraft fleet and traffic scenarios at

airport/heliport, city and world regions for various missions.

3 The start date corresponds to actual start date with all legal documents in place.

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1. Background

Cross-positioned within the Clean Sky 2 Programme, the Technology Evaluator (TE) is a dedicated

evaluation platform. It has the key role of assessing the environmental impact of the technologies

developed in Clean Sky 2 and their level of success towards well-defined environmental (noise, CO2,

NOx) and societal benefits and targets.

These technologies are developed by the IADPs (Innovative Aircraft Demonstrator Platforms) and

ITDs (Integrated Technology Demonstrator projects) and clustered in coherent and mutually

compatible solution sets, defining concept aircrafts. TE will conduct assessments on the various

concept aircrafts at three levels:

Aircraft level

A Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft and its reference technology aircraft4 is compared along the same

trajectory in order to determine the environmental benefit of the Clean Sky 2 technologies,

namely noise on ground and emissions (CO2 and NOX).

Airport level

A Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft replaces its reference technology counterpart at different time

scales (2015/2020/2035/2050) in terms of airport traffic scenarios. The purpose of this

replacement approach is to evaluate the full potential of environmental benefits of Clean Sky 2

technologies to an airport area, namely noise on the ground and population impacted by certain

noise levels and emissions (CO2 and NOx).

Air transport system (ATS) level

Similarly to airport level, a Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft replaces its reference technology

counterpart at different time scales (2015/2020/2035/2050) in terms of airport traffic scenarios.

However, in this case the impact is measured at worldwide level.

Within the perimeter of this call the airport and ATS impact assessments are addressed. The Partner

shall perform airport (TE Work Package 4) and ATS (TE Work Package 5) assessments for fast

rotorcraft applications based on traffic scenarios provided by the Topic Manager in agreement with

the relevant Clean Sky 2 Members.

2. Scope of work

In this exercise, the Partner will be provided by the Topic Manager, in agreement with the relevant

Clean Sky 2 Members, with the models for:

- Tiltrotor and its reference

- Compound and its reference

4 The reference technology aircraft is the current state-of-the-art in 2015.

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Regarding the mission types, it includes:

- Passenger transport

- Emergency and medical services (EMS)

- Search and rescue (S&R)

- Oil and gas (O&G)

Other missions could be included upon further discussion with the Topic Manager and the relevant

Clean Sky 2 Members.

The airport impact assessments comprise:

1) environmental impact, including

- noise on the ground and population impacted by certain noise levels

- emissions (CO2 and NOx)

Due to the nature fast rotorcraft vehicles, the airport notion includes heliports and city locations.

Henceforth, when airport is written, it should be understood as airport/heliport and city locations.

The Air Transport System (ATS) impact assessments, it means:

1) environmental impact, including

- noise on the ground and population impacted by certain noise levels

- emissions (CO2 and NOx)

- other type of environmental assessments could be included upon further discussion with the

Topic Manager and the relevant Clean Sky 2 Members.

2) mobility impact, namely

- connectivity

- productivity improvements

All rotorcraft assessments are carried out in the frame of WP4 for rotorcraft traffic at airport level

and in the frame of WP5 for rotorcraft traffic in world regions (See table 1 and 2).

Table1 lists the tasks to be performed:

Tasks

Ref. No. Title – description Indicative Date

WP 4.1 Airport Traffic Scenarios

The Topic Manager in agreement with the Clean Sky 2

Members will provide the Partner with the number of

T0+6

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Tasks

Ref. No. Title – description Indicative Date

movements/flight schedule for selected locations (see

WP4.2) and then the Partner will define and calculate all

trajectories flown by these fleets using also appropriate

own models where needed.

WP 4.2 Airport assessments

The Partner in agreement with the Topic Manager and

the relevant Clean Sky 2 Members will select several

locations to carry out these assessments in terms of

environmental impact as mentioned above.

T0+42

WP 5.1 ATS Traffic Scenarios

The Topic Manager in agreement with the relevant Clean

Sky 2 Members will provide the Partner with the fleet

flight schedules for selected world regions and then the

Partner define and calculate all trajectories flown by

these fleets using also appropriate own models where

needed.

T0+8;

T0+18;

T0+36

WP 5.3 ATS assessments

The Partner will carry out the assessments for

environmental and mobility impacts for the fleets as

defined in WP5.1 for all mission types

T0+12;

T0+24;

T0+42

Table 1: TE work packages covering rotorcraft traffic assessments

3. Major deliverables/ Milestones and schedule (estimate)

Table2 lists the deliverables to be performed:

Deliverables

Ref. No. Title – Description Type Indicative

Date

D 4.1. Generation of fast rotorcraft traffic

scenarios for airport level for all mission

types

Report T0+6;

D 4.2 Quantification for the traffic scenarios in

WP 4.1 of Clean Sky 2 benefits with

Simulation

results and

T0+12;

T0+24;

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Deliverables

Ref. No. Title – Description Type Indicative

Date

respect to environmental impacts intermediate

reports

T0+42

D 4.4 Report with the analysis and the final

results of the simulation at airport level

Final report T0+48

D 5.3 Quantification of the Clean Sky 2

benefits for world regions fleet scenarios

in terms of environmental and mobility

Simulation

results and

intermediate

reports

T0+12;

T0+24;

T0+42

D 5.4 Report with the analysis and the final

results of the simulation at ATS level

Final report T0+48

Milestones (when appropriate)

Ref. No. Title – Description Type Due Date

M1 TE assessment Overall TE assessment

results for rotorcraft

fleets at airport level

T0+48

M2 TE assessment Overall TE assessment

results for rotorcraft

fleets in world regions

T0+48

4. Special skills, Capabilities, Certification expected from the Applicant(s)

University/Public Research Organisation shall act as coordinator of the proposal

Extensive expertise in the application of rotorcraft noise, emissions and performance tools

Extensive expertise in rotorcraft noise, emissions and performance modelling including:

o Ability to model a range of rotorcraft airframes: Conventional helicopters, Tilt-rotor,

Compound with propellers/ducted fans, Co-axial

o Ability to model a range of rotorcraft power plants: conventional and advanced

configurations

o Expertise in the development of comprehensive, highly integrated, multi-disciplinary

simulation frameworks for rotorcraft: Non-linear structural dynamics, 3D rotor dynamics,

Unsteady non-linear wake and blade aerodynamics, Aeroelasticity, Flight dynamics (trim,

stability and control), Real time flight simulation, Power plant performance, Gaseous

emissions, Noise, 4D trajectory analysis, Rotorcraft systems

o Expertise in the multi-disciplinary design of integrated rotorcraft/power plant systems

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Profound knowledge in operational scenario modelling for rotorcraft fleet applications at

airport level and world regions for all mission types.

Established track record including: Expert team, International research calibre, Working with

industry and previous participation in large EU Programs, ability to manage large work packages

at EU level

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III. ATS Level Business Jet 2035 forecast

Type of action (RIA/IA /CSA) CSA

Programme Area TE

Joint Technical Programme (JTP V5) Ref. WP5.1 – TE ATS level 2035 forecast: bizjet

Indicative Funding Topic Value (in k€) 120

Topic Manager DLR Type of

Implementation

Cooperation

Agreement

Duration of the action (in Months) 12 Indicative Start

Date5

Q4 2017

Identification Title

JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-03 ATS Level business jet 2035 forecast

Short description

This topic consists of performing a forecast for bizjet fleet and movements starting from 2015,

passing by 2020/2025/2030 until 2035. This forecast should detail at country/region/world levels.

5 The start date corresponds to actual start date with all legal documents in place.

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1. Specific challenge

Cross-positioned within the Clean Sky Programme, the Technology Evaluator (TE) is a dedicated

evaluation platform. It has the key role of assessing the environmental impact of the technologies

developed in Clean Sky 2 and their level of success towards well defined environmental (Noise, CO2,

NOx) and societal benefits and targets.

These technologies are developed by the IADPs (Innovative Aircraft Demonstrator Platforms) and

ITDs (Integrated Technology Demonstrator projects) and clustered in coherent and mutually

compatible solution sets, defining concept aircrafts. TE will conduct assessments on the various

concept aircrafts at three levels:

Aircraft level

A Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft and its reference technology aircraft6 is compared along the same

trajectory in order to determine the environmental benefit of the Clean Sky 2 technologies,

namely noise on ground and emissions (CO2 and NOX).

Airport level

A Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft replaces its reference technology counterpart at different time

scales (2015/2020/2035/2050) in terms of airport traffic scenarios. The purpose of this

replacement approach is to evaluate the full potential of environmental benefits of Clean Sky 2

technologies to an airport area, namely noise on the ground and population impacted by certain

noise levels and emissions (CO2 and NOx).

Air transport system (ATS) level

Similarly to airport level, a Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft replaces its reference technology

counterpart at different time scales (2015/2020/2035/2050) in terms of airport traffic scenarios.

However, in this case the impact is measured at worldwide level.

This call partially addresses the ATS level for business jets by concentrating on a forecast for all types

of bizjets and movements starting from 2015, passing by 2020/2025/2030 until 2035 as input for

environmental, economic and connectivity assessments.

2. Scope

The forecast will be developed in the following steps:

a) Review of available bizjet forecasts

The Partner should compare the various available forecasts in terms of assumptions, data sources,

relevance of drivers and variables. In addition, the Partner should draft a clear and concise

comparison, highlighting the most relevant existing statistical and information gaps.

6 The reference technology aircraft is the current state-of-the-art in 2015.

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b) Fine-tuning of the forecasting approach

The Partner should agree with the Topic Manager which approach should be selected to pursue the

forecasting, including the assumptions, drivers and especially market potentials targeted by other

vehicles.

The forecast should focus on passenger transport and provide results on expected movements

between airports in terms of number of trips, average journey times and average distances. Based on

known airports this implies to identify drivers for extrapolation of growth and for the distribution of

flights.

The Partner should use the expected GDP growth figures from Global Insight.

In this exercise, the Partner will be provided by the Topic Manager, in agreement with the relevant

Clean Sky 2 Members, with the following variables:

- expected population growth

- operational and technological parameters (travel time, costs, etc.)

When data is lacking for certain variables, the Partner should provide an approach to fill the

gaps, which will be discussed and agreed with the Topic Manager and the relevant Clean Sky

2 Members.

c) Production of forecast

The forecast shall start with 2015 based on available data. The forecast should quantify fleet and

movements for the years 2020, 2025, 2030 and 2035 and should be carried out at

country/region/world levels.

Please find below the indicative schedule:

- Month 2 – Kick-off meeting (1 day) in Brussels

The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the Topic

Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the comparison of the various available

forecasts in terms of assumptions, data sources, and relevance of drivers and variables,

highlighting the most relevant existing statistical and information gaps. In addition, the

Partner should put forward for discussion a proposal on the approach to fill the statistical and

information gaps.

- Month 4 – Submission to the JU of the first report

This report should contain in detail:

o summary of the discussions during the kick-off meeting with the Topic Manager

and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members

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o comparison of the various available forecasts in terms of assumptions, data

sources, and relevance of drivers and variables, highlighting the most relevant

existing statistical and information gaps.

o defined approach to fill the statistical and information gaps

- Month 8 – Intermediate meeting I (1 day) in Brussels

The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the Topic

Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the first forecast results.

- Month 9 - Submission to the JU of the draft final report

This report should contain in detail the first forecast results, including the remarks made

during Intermediate meeting I.

- Month 10 – Intermediate meeting II (1 day) in Brussels

The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the

Topic Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the revised forecast results.

- Month 12 – Final meeting (1 day) in Brussels

The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the

Topic Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the final forecast.

- Month 12 – Submission to the JU of the final report

This report should contain in detail:

o description of the results including detailed movements matrices

o abstract and an executive summary of a maximum of 6 pages

o recommendations

Regarding data and results, they should also be provided in electronic form (i.e. Excel, csv,

txt or equivalent).

3. Expected Impact

The forecast will provide information on the potential technology diffusion for different market

segments of Clean Sky 2 bizjet based on assumptions with regards to improved vehicle productivity.

Furthermore, the forecast will support the impact assessments of Clean Sky 2 vehicle technologies

and the quantification of the aviation footprint. Based on this, the Technology Evaluator will quantify

the benefits of Clean Sky 2 technologies and their level of contribution to the Flightpath 2050 goals

regarding environment, economy, connectivity/mobility and competitiveness.

In addition, identified growth rates will be used to support airport level assessments, in which fleet

mix changes will be used to quantify environmental assessments at airport level.

4. Special skills and capabilities expected from the applicants

University/Public Research Organisation shall act as coordinator of the proposal

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Proven experience in the business jet sector

Expertise in forecasting

Experience in analysing and reporting on long-term trends for air traffic

Access to an appropriate methodology; including the ability to quantify vehicle

improvements and their impact on the market diffusion and fleet development

Awareness of current literature relevant to long-term trends

Ability to deliver clear and concise reports in English, based on solid evidence

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IV. ATS Level Rotorcraft 2035 forecast

Type of action (RIA/IA /CSA) CSA

Programme Area TE

Joint Technical Programme (JTP) Ref. WP5.1 – TE ATS level 2035 forecast: rotorcraft

Indicative Funding Topic Value (in k€) 150

Topic Manager DLR Type of

Agreement

Cooperation

Agreement

Duration of the action (in Months) 12 Indicative

Start Date7

Q4 2017

Identification Title

JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-04 ATS Level Rotorcraft 2035 forecast

Short description (3 lines)

This topic consists of performing a forecast for all types of rotorcraft fleet and movements starting

from 2015, passing by 2020/2025/2030 until 2035. This forecast should detail per type of mission at

country/region/world levels.

1. Specific challenge

Cross-positioned within the Clean Sky 2 Programme, the Technology Evaluator (TE) is a dedicated

evaluation platform. It has the key role of assessing the environmental impact of the technologies

developed in Clean Sky 2 and their level of success towards well-defined environmental (noise, CO2,

NOx) and societal benefits and targets.

These technologies are developed by the IADPs (Innovative Aircraft Demonstrator Platforms) and

ITDs (Integrated Technology Demonstrator projects) and clustered in coherent and mutually

compatible solution sets, defining concept aircrafts. TE will conduct assessments on the various

concept aircrafts at three levels:

Aircraft level

A Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft and its reference technology aircraft8 is compared along the same

trajectory in order to determine the environmental benefit of the Clean Sky 2 technologies,

namely noise on ground and emissions (CO2 and NOX).

Airport level

A Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft replaces its reference technology counterpart at different time

scales (2015/2020/2035/2050) in terms of airport traffic scenarios. The purpose of this

replacement approach is to evaluate the full potential of environmental benefits of Clean Sky 2

technologies to an airport area, namely noise on the ground and population impacted by certain

7 The start date corresponds to actual start date with all legal documents in place.

8 The reference technology aircraft is the current state-of-the-art in 2015.

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noise levels and emissions (CO2 and NOx).

Air transport system (ATS) level

Similarly to airport level, a Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft replaces its reference technology

counterpart at different time scales (2015/2020/2035/2050) in terms of airport traffic scenarios.

However, in this case the impact is measured at worldwide level.

This call partially addresses the ATS level for rotorcraft by concentrating on a forecast for all types of

rotorcraft fleet and movements starting from 2015, passing by 2020/2025/2030 until 2035 as input

for environmental, economic and connectivity assessments.

2. Scope

The forecast will be developed in the following steps:

a) Review of available rotorcraft forecasts

The Partner should compare the various available forecasts in terms of assumptions, data sources,

relevance of drivers and variables. In addition, the Partner should draft a clear and concise

comparison, highlighting the most relevant existing statistical and information gaps.

b) Fine-tuning of the forecasting approach

The Partner should agree with the Topic Manager which approach should be selected to pursue the

forecasting, including the assumptions, drivers and especially market potentials targeted by other

vehicles.

The forecast should include:

- rotorcraft types, namely:

o Conventional

o Compound

o Tilt-rotor

- missions, namely:

o passenger transport

o air taxi charter

o emergency and medical services (EMS)

o search and rescue (S&R)

o civil utility

o law enforcement

o oil and gas

o transport of goods

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- movements (operator and operating country, heliports, airfields, airports, off-shore

platforms and hospitals) in terms of number of trips or flight hours for the forecasted

year, based on average journey times and distances for each rotorcraft type.

Future technological alternatives such as UAVs and adopted policies should also be taken

into account.

The Partner should use the expected GDP growth figures from Global Insight.

In this exercise, the Partner will be provided by the Topic Manager, in agreement with the relevant

Clean Sky 2 Members, with the following variables:

- expected population growth

- operational and technological parameters (speed, costs, etc.)

- location of heliports for EMS, S&R, off-shore platforms and law enforcement

The Partner is welcomed to bring new data to these variables.

When data is lacking for certain variables, the Partner should provide an approach to fill the

gaps, which will be discussed and agreed with the Topic Manager and the relevant Clean Sky

2 Members.

c) Production of forecast

The forecast shall start with 2015 based on available data. The forecast should quantify fleet and

movements for the years 2020, 2025, 2030 and 2035 and should be carried out at

country/region/world levels.

Please find below the indicative schedule:

- Month 2 – Kick-off meeting (1 day) in Brussels

The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the Topic

Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the comparison of the various available

forecasts in terms of assumptions, data sources, and relevance of drivers and variables,

highlighting the most relevant existing statistical and information gaps. In addition, the

Partner should put forward for discussion a proposal on the approach to fill the statistical and

information gaps.

- Month 4 – Submission to the JU of the first report

This report should contain in detail:

o summary of the discussions during the kick-off meeting with the Topic Manager

and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members

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o comparison of the various available forecasts in terms of assumptions, data

sources, and relevance of drivers and variables, highlighting the most relevant

existing statistical and information gaps.

o collection of the data related to the (operator and operating country, heliports,

airfields, airports, off-shore platforms and hospitals)

o defined approach to fill the statistical and information gaps

- Month 8 – Intermediate meeting I (1 day) in Brussels

The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the Topic

Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the first forecast results.

- Month 9 - Submission to the JU of the draft final report

This report should contain in detail the first forecast results, including the remarks made

during Intermediate meeting I.

- Month 10 – Intermediate meeting II (1 day) in Brussels

The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the

Topic Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the revised forecast results.

- Month 12 – Final meeting (1 day) in Brussels

The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the

Topic Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the final forecast.

- Month 12 – Submission to the JU of the final report

This report should contain in detail:

o description of the results including detailed movements matrices

o abstract and an executive summary of a maximum of 6 pages

o recommendations

Regarding data and results, they should also be provided in electronic form (i.e. Excel, csv,

txt or equivalent).

3. Impact

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The forecast will provide information on the potential technology diffusion for different market

segments of Clean Sky 2 rotorcraft based on assumptions with regards to improved vehicle

productivity. Furthermore, the forecast will support the impact assessments of Clean Sky 2 vehicle

technologies and the quantification of the aviation footprint. Based on this, the Technology Evaluator

will quantify the benefits of Clean Sky 2 technologies and their level of contribution to the Flightpath

2050 goals regarding environment, economy, connectivity/mobility and competitiveness.

In addition, identified growth rates will be used to support airport level assessments, in which fleet

mix changes will be used to quantify environmental assessments at airport level.

4. Special skills and capabilities expected from the applicants

University/Public Research Organisation shall act as coordinator of the proposal

Proven experience in the rotorcraft sector

Expertise in forecasting

Experience in analysing and reporting on long-term trends for air traffic

Access to an appropriate methodology; including the ability to quantify vehicle

improvements and their impact on the market diffusion and fleet development

Awareness of current literature relevant to long-term trends

Ability to deliver clear and concise reports in English, based on solid evidence

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V. ATS Level SAT 2035 forecast

Type of action (RIA/IA/CSA) CSA

Programme Area TE

Joint Technical Programme (JTP) Ref. WP5.1 – TE ATS level SAT 2035 forecast

Indicative Funding Topic Value (in k€) 150

Topic Manager DLR Type of

Agreement

Cooperation

Agreement

Duration of the action (in Months) 12 Indicative

Start Date9

Q4 2017

Identification Title

JTI-CS2-2016-CFP05-TE2-01-05 ATS Level SAT 2035 forecast

Short description (3 lines)

This topic consists of performing a forecast for SAT (Small Air Transport) fleet and movements

starting from 2015, passing by 2020/2025/2030 until 2035. This forecast should detail at

country/region/world levels.

1. Specific challenge

Cross-positioned within the Clean Sky 2 Programme, the Technology Evaluator (TE) is a dedicated

evaluation platform. It has the key role of assessing the environmental impact of the technologies

developed in Clean Sky 2 and their level of success towards well-defined environmental (noise, CO2,

NOx) and societal benefits and targets.

These technologies are developed by the IADPs (Innovative Aircraft Demonstrator Platforms) and

ITDs (Integrated Technology Demonstrator projects) and clustered in coherent and mutually

compatible solution sets, defining concept aircrafts. TE will conduct assessments on the various

concept aircrafts at three levels:

Aircraft level

A Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft and its reference technology aircraft10 is compared along the same

trajectory in order to determine the environmental benefit of the Clean Sky 2 technologies,

namely noise on ground and emissions (CO2 and NOX).

Airport level

A Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft replaces its reference technology counterpart at different time

scales (2015/2020/2035/2050) in terms of airport traffic scenarios. The purpose of this

replacement approach is to evaluate the full potential of environmental benefits of Clean Sky 2

9 The start date corresponds to actual start date with all legal documents in place.

10 The reference technology aircraft is the current state-of-the-art in 2015.

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technologies to an airport area, namely noise on the ground and population impacted by certain

noise levels and emissions (CO2 and NOx).

Air transport system (ATS) level

Similarly to airport level, a Clean Sky 2 concept aircraft replaces its reference technology

counterpart at different time scales (2015/2020/2035/2050) in terms of airport traffic scenarios.

However, in this case the impact is measured at worldwide level.

This call partially addresses the ATS level for SAT by concentrating on a forecast for all types of Small

Air transport aircraft (seats 4-19, pressurized and unpressurized cabin) and movements starting from

2015, passing by 2020/2025/2030 until 2035 as input for environmental, economic and connectivity

assessments.

2. Scope

The forecast will be developed in the following steps:

a) Review of available SAT forecasts

The Partner should compare the various available forecasts in terms of assumptions, data sources,

relevance of drivers and variables. In addition, the Partner should draft a clear and concise

comparison, highlighting the most relevant existing statistical and information gaps.

b) Fine-tuning of the forecasting approach

The Partner should agree with the Topic Manager which approach should be selected to pursue the

forecasting, including the assumptions, drivers and especially market potentials targeted by other

vehicles.

The forecast should focus on passenger transport and provide results on expected movements

between airports and airfields in terms of number of trips, average journey times and average

distances.

The Partner should use the expected GDP growth figures from Global Insight.

In this exercise, the Partner will be provided by the Topic Manager, in agreement with the relevant

Clean Sky 2 Members, with the following variables:

- expected population growth

- operational and technological parameters (speed, costs, etc.)

The Partner is welcomed to bring new data to these variables, especially on airfields.

When data is lacking for certain variables, the Partner should provide an approach to fill the

gaps, which will be discussed and agreed with the Topic Manager and the relevant Clean Sky

2 Members.

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c) Production of forecast

The forecast shall start with 2015 based on available data. The forecast should quantify fleet and

movements for the years 2020, 2025, 2030 and 2035 and should be carried out at

country/region/world levels.

Please find below the indicative schedule:

- Month 2 – Kick-off meeting (1 day) in Brussels

The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the Topic

Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the comparison of the various available

forecasts in terms of assumptions, data sources, and relevance of drivers and variables,

highlighting the most relevant existing statistical and information gaps. In addition, the

Partner should put forward for discussion a proposal on the approach to fill the statistical and

information gaps.

- Month 4 – Submission to the JU of the first report

This report should contain in detail:

o summary of the discussions during the kick-off meeting with the Topic Manager

and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members

o comparison of the various available forecasts in terms of assumptions, data

sources, and relevance of drivers and variables, highlighting the most relevant

existing statistical and information gaps.

o collection of the data related to the expected movements

o defined approach to fill the statistical and information gaps

- Month 8 – Intermediate meeting I (1 day) in Brussels

The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the Topic

Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the first forecast results.

- Month 9 - Submission to the JU of the draft final report

This report should contain in detail the first forecast results, including the remarks made

during Intermediate meeting I.

- Month 10 – Intermediate meeting II (1 day) in Brussels

The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the

Topic Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the revised forecast results.

- Month 12 – Final meeting (1 day) in Brussels

The meeting will be organised by the Topic Manager. The Partner should present to the

Topic Manager and relevant Clean Sky 2 Members the final forecast.

- Month 12 – Submission to the JU of the final report

This report should contain in detail:

o description of the results including detailed movements matrices

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o abstract and an executive summary of a maximum of 6 pages

o recommendations

Regarding data and results, they should also be provided in electronic form (i.e. Excel, csv,

txt or equivalent).

3. Impact

The forecast will provide information on the potential technology diffusion for different market

segments of Clean Sky 2 Small Air Transport aircraft based on assumptions with regards to improved

vehicle productivity. Furthermore, the forecast will support the impact assessments of Clean Sky 2

vehicle technologies and the quantification of the aviation footprint. Based on this, the Technology

Evaluator will quantify the benefits of Clean Sky 2 technologies and their level of contribution to the

Flightpath 2050 goals regarding environment, economy, connectivity/mobility and competitiveness.

In addition, identified growth rates will be used to support airport level assessments, in which fleet

mix changes will be used to quantify environmental assessments at airport level.

4. Special skills and capabilities expected from the applicants

University/Public Research Organisation shall act as coordinator of the proposal

Proven experience in the SAT sector

Expertise in forecasting

Experience in analysing and reporting on long-term trends for air traffic

Access to an appropriate methodology; including the ability to quantify vehicle

improvements and their impact on the market diffusion and fleet development

Awareness of current literature relevant to long-term trends

Ability to deliver clear and concise reports in English, based on solid evidence