1 doan quang hoan hoandq@rfd.gov.vn director general authority of radio frequency management of s.r....

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Doan Quang HOANhoandq@rfd.gov.vn

Director GeneralAuthority of Radio Frequency Management of S.R.

of Viet Nam

ITU Asia-Pacific Regional Development Forum

Session 1: Harnessing Digital Opportunity through Broadband

29 April 2013Phnom Penh, Cambodia

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Agenda

Objective: Spectrum availability and efficiency for wireless broadband and digital dividend

Challenges Comments

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Wireless Broadbandoverview

Vietnam’s contribution to ITU-R 5D model

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 20200

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Mob

ile t

raff

ic (

PB

/mon

th)

High estimation

Low estimation

Mobile traffic growth

Mobile market growth

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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Year

Sub

s [m

il.]

Mobile Subscriber

Logistic model

Mobile subs. growth

Opened 3G market when 2G was approaching saturation

Exponential growth

Highly competitive markets ARPU: VN < $5; Japan ~ $58.46; Korea ~ $34.20;

GDP below average Low demand on devices (smart phones, services);

Lack of local contents E-banking, E-business,… are still not widely used.

Lack of modern transportation User’s behavior is adapting gradually 5

ChallengesSocial factors

Commuting

Basic phones are used significantly

Spectrum availability

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DD after 2020

Sweet Band

Spectrum availability

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In used band

Ready band

• Refarming 2G’s bands for wireless broadband;• 2.3 & 2.6 GHz bands are ready for future use;• Digital dividend band will be allocated for mobile broadband.

Digital Dividend

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Technology Trend

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GSM

HSPA / LTE

Source: Ericsson

Comments• HSPA is the leading technology in the next

5 years• LTE will reach 10% penetration after 2016

Comments on Spectrum Management

Deploy new service when mass-market has been established: Cost-effective; Wide range of handset for end-users; Avoid first adopter’s pitfalls.

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Comments on Spectrum Management

Market forecast is crucial for successful mobile broadband deployment: Mobile traffic growth; Spectrum demand; Time to open spectrum band(s).

Number of operators should be managed carefully to: To foster healthy competition; To growth market.

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Comment on Spectrum Management

Social factors should be considered seriously: User behavior; ARPU vs. GNI.

Global/regional bands

plan harmonization: Economic of scale; Competition to reduce price; Greatest economic benefit.

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Source: Wireless Intelligence (GSMA), 2013

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