1 doan quang hoan [email protected] director general authority of radio frequency management of s.r....
TRANSCRIPT
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Doan Quang [email protected]
Director GeneralAuthority of Radio Frequency Management of S.R.
of Viet Nam
ITU Asia-Pacific Regional Development Forum
Session 1: Harnessing Digital Opportunity through Broadband
29 April 2013Phnom Penh, Cambodia
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Agenda
Objective: Spectrum availability and efficiency for wireless broadband and digital dividend
Challenges Comments
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Wireless Broadbandoverview
Vietnam’s contribution to ITU-R 5D model
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 20200
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Mob
ile t
raff
ic (
PB
/mon
th)
High estimation
Low estimation
Mobile traffic growth
Mobile market growth
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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Year
Sub
s [m
il.]
Mobile Subscriber
Logistic model
Mobile subs. growth
Opened 3G market when 2G was approaching saturation
Exponential growth
Highly competitive markets ARPU: VN < $5; Japan ~ $58.46; Korea ~ $34.20;
GDP below average Low demand on devices (smart phones, services);
Lack of local contents E-banking, E-business,… are still not widely used.
Lack of modern transportation User’s behavior is adapting gradually 5
ChallengesSocial factors
Commuting
Basic phones are used significantly
Spectrum availability
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DD after 2020
Sweet Band
Spectrum availability
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In used band
Ready band
• Refarming 2G’s bands for wireless broadband;• 2.3 & 2.6 GHz bands are ready for future use;• Digital dividend band will be allocated for mobile broadband.
Digital Dividend
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Technology Trend
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GSM
HSPA / LTE
Source: Ericsson
Comments• HSPA is the leading technology in the next
5 years• LTE will reach 10% penetration after 2016
Comments on Spectrum Management
Deploy new service when mass-market has been established: Cost-effective; Wide range of handset for end-users; Avoid first adopter’s pitfalls.
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Comments on Spectrum Management
Market forecast is crucial for successful mobile broadband deployment: Mobile traffic growth; Spectrum demand; Time to open spectrum band(s).
Number of operators should be managed carefully to: To foster healthy competition; To growth market.
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Comment on Spectrum Management
Social factors should be considered seriously: User behavior; ARPU vs. GNI.
Global/regional bands
plan harmonization: Economic of scale; Competition to reduce price; Greatest economic benefit.
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Source: Wireless Intelligence (GSMA), 2013
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