‘all people’- demographics, socio-economic trends and
TRANSCRIPT
2nd European SUMP conference
Bucharest 17.06.2015
Michael Glotz-Richter
Free Hanseatic City of Bremen Senior Project Manager ‚Sustainable Mobility‘
‘All people’-Demographics, socio-economic trends
and implications for SUMPs
A view to 2040
Welcome to Bremen TomTom congestion indexTomTom congestion index
TomTom ranking 161
TomTom congestion indexTomTom congestion indexWelcome to Bremen
552.000 inhabitants
Welcome to Bremen
Modal Split Bremen
of all Bremen citizens
All trips of all Bremen citizens
walking
cyclingcycling
Car + motobike
PT
Source: SrV 2008
City
of
Bre
men
City
of
Bre
men
Development population (State of Bremen)
plus
due tomigration
http://www.umweltbundesamt.de/sites/default/files/medien/384/bilder/3_abb_bevoelkerungszahl_1950-2060_201-07-04_neu.png
Development population (Germany)
Modality preferences Bremen / age
car
bicycle
PT
less mobile
Car + bicycle
Modal Split Bremen / age
SUMP Bremen
Strategies for 2025
Walking & Cycling
The bicycle is the ultimate zero-emission-vehicle
Walking & Cycling
Cycle highway network
Public Transport
priority for public transport
extension of network
• Environmental Zone
• Promotion of clean vehicles
• Electricification ofpublic transport
clean vehicles
16 hrs/d < 1 hrs/d
... before introducing electric vehicles...
...after introducing electric vehicles...
Car-Sharing Bremen
Target 2020:20,000 Car-Sharerreplacing 6,000 private cars
Urban development
Inner city low car developments(4 car parking / 10 units)Mobility Management (cycle parking, Car-Sharing etc.)
Likely / expected trends:
• slightly shrinking by natural developmentof population
• (over-) compensation by migration?
• Housing space / capita: growing or stable?
• Mobility patterns ?
Robust development:
• Large scale infrastructure – potential risks
• Demographic trends / ageing population- available income ? „mobility poverty“ ??- a less car dependent city offers betteroptions for walking (+ public transport)
2015
2040
25 years
25 years ago
Progress ?
25 years ago
today
Progress ?
25 years ago
www. (March 1989)
.
26 years old … and changed the world
25 years ago
today
today
today
Under test today
Under test today
Mercedes video
What the future may/will bring?
Driving office
New applications
So
urc
e: N
ielv
an
Ste
en
is/
pre
sen
tatio
no
n C
N+
sce
na
rio
wo
rksh
op
Questions
Urban
• leading to more cars (also idling around in order to find some parking – otherwise just idling around) – or fewer cars?
• Private or fleet based? …car ownership: something of the past ?
• Chance to reorganise cities (when about 80% of cars can be removed)
Questions
Regional
• More decentralisation ?(as moving around can be integrated in work)
• Freight transport: more infrastructure…or more efficient use of existing transport infrastructure?
• Potential impacts not considered in EU White Paper 2050 (!!) or national road strategies (2030)
Thank you for your kind attention!
More information (German language only):www.bau.bremen.de/vepwww.bremenbewegen.de
Freie Hansestadt BremenDer Senator für Umwelt, Bau und VerkehrContrescarpe 7228195 Bremen