activity-based demand simulation models in the usa: how far have we come?

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  • 8/3/2019 Activity-Based Demand Simulation Models in the USA: How Far Have We Come?

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    Gh} des getj }j bhaj8]gjsj esj }j mhnlm8

    Aes` Cseioj~DZYZSE / Lhtjacjs 5/ 3;55

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    Hzy hd 3: oesmjry ZR A[Hr

    = eosjei~ zrj EC ahijor

    55 getj EC ahijor nl ijtjoh{ajly

    = lhy ~jy

    Hzy hd 5> Beondhslne A[Hr

    5; getj EC ahijor nl zrj hs nl ijtjoh{ajly

    Nlbozijr ygj : oesmjry/ {ozr : raeoojs A[Hr

    RC 2=: sjuznsjr oeli zrj

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    Zlnyr hd ijbnrnhlr Ysn{r

  • 8/3/2019 Activity-Based Demand Simulation Models in the USA: How Far Have We Come?

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    Ghzrjghoir c~ {h{zoeynhl rjmajly ( sjrnijlbj YEV

    ? Ysn{ mjljseynhl seyjr < Ysn{r c~ {h{zoeynhl rjmajly ( ysn{ {zs{hrj ( sjrnijlbj YEV

    ? Ysn{ inrysnczynhl ahijo

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    ZSCELDHSJBERYNLM ELI[OELLNLM

    Ysn{Inremmsjmeyhs

    I~leanb errnmlajlyYsn{ OnryLjy}hs`

    {jsdhsaelbj'r`nar.

    GG([jsrhl

    ie~!yhzs!ysn{onry

    Hygjs ysn{r!!ens{hsy!jwyjsleor

    !!bhaajsbneoEC GHZRJGHOI YSETJO

    IJAELI RNAZOEYHS

    YSELR[HSYAHIJO R^RYJA

    [jsrhl Ie~ Rnazoeyhs

    [h{zoeynhl eliOhlm Yjsa Bghnbj

    Rnazoeyhs

    [h{zoeynhlEyysnczyjr

    Ebbjrrncnony~Yselr{hsyLjy}hs`r

    [esbjo eli VhleoEyysnczyjr

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    Ahry sjmnhleo ahijor }jsj ijrnmlji yh

    {oel aefhs shei}e~r eli yselrny onljr

    Ahijor ygey zrj dnlj!ojtjo r{eyneo ijyeno

    getj cjjl zrji dhs ohbeonvji {shfjbyr

    Lj} {honb~ jltnshlajly eli sjmzoeynhlr'RC 2=:. sjuznsj sjmnhleo ahijor yh ijeo

    }nyg ygj reaj y~{jr hd ohbeonvji jddjbyr

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    @jj{ ygj nl{zyr inremmsjmeyj '{esbjo hs

    cohb` ojtjo. eli emmsjmeyj ygj hzy{zyr

    Ygj nije nr lhyyh zrj ygj dhsjberyr ey ygjdnljry ojtjo hd ijyeno

    Ygj nije nryh ahijo ygj cjgetnhs ey nyrleyzseo rbeoj 'ethni emmsjmeynhl cner.

    Ahry na{hsyely nr yh {shtnij sjerhlecojrjlrnyntny~ yh `j~ tesnecojr ygey sjuznsjr{eyneo ijyeno

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    Bjlrzr

    Ojtjo Vhljr Cohb`r [esbjorLzacjs 5/;;; ! 2;/;;;! 2;;/;;;!{js sjmnhl 9/;;; 53;/;;; 5/3;;/;;;

    Cjry zrji Gnmg}e~ Jtjs~ygnlm

    dhs, aeysnbjr jorj

    Yselrny Czddjs!

    onlj!gezo cerji

    aeysnbjr ajerzsjr

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    Ijlrny~ hd ijtjoh{ajly

    Ijlrny~ hd inddjsjly oeli zrjr nl yjsar hd fhcr/ dohhs r{ebj/ghzrjghoir/ ryzijly jlshoajly/ jyb,Ijrynleynhlr ebbjrrncoj c~ dhhy/ cn`j hs yselrny

    Echtj oeli zrjr $ {es`r eli hygjs h{jl r{ebjIntjsrny~

    Anwji zrj6 jlysh{~!y~{j ajerzsjrInryelbj yh yselrny

    Yselrny ryh{r dhs tesnhzr yselrny ahijrIjrnml

    Lzacjs hd 2+ lhij nlyjsrjbynhlrLzacjs hd ijei!jlir/ bzo ij rebrDsebynhl hd rysjjy ojlmyg }nyg rnij}eo`r/ cn`j oeljr[es`nlm rz{{o~ eli {snbj

  • 8/3/2019 Activity-Based Demand Simulation Models in the USA: How Far Have We Come?

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    5:

  • 8/3/2019 Activity-Based Demand Simulation Models in the USA: How Far Have We Come?

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    Bzaz

    oeyntjdsebynhlhdysn{r

    (Czddjs}jnmgy

    W!^ rysenmgy onlj inryelbj 'anojr.

    Ohmnrynb }jnmgy 1 '5+jw{';,>&!;,:.. ( '5+jw{';,>&'Inry(;,3: ! ;,:...

    Jw{hljlyneo }jnmgy 1 jw{'!3,:3;:&Inry.

    ]eo` Ysn{r

    Ohmnrynb Bzstj

    Jw{hljlyneo bzstj

  • 8/3/2019 Activity-Based Demand Simulation Models in the USA: How Far Have We Come?

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    Bzazoeyntjdsebynhlhdysn{r(Czddjs}jnmgy

    W!^ rysenmgy onlj inryelbj 'anojr.

    Ohmnrynb }jnmgy 1'5+jw{';,>&!;,:.. ( '5+jw{';,>&'Inry(5,3: ! ;,:...

    Jw{hljlyneo }jnmgy 1 jw{'!;,924:&Inry.

    Cn`j Ysn{r

    Ohmnrynb Bzstj

    Jw{hljlyneo bzstj

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    Ahsj ebbzseyj {oebjajly hd r{jbndnb ysn{

    y~{jr ljes r{jbndnb eyysebynhl y~{jr

    Ahsj ebbzseyj ajerzsjr hd }eo` ebbjrr

    inryelbj yh yselrny 'ahsj bha{ojw yselrnyljy}hs`r sjuznsj ahsj bha{ojw e{{shebg.

    Ahsj ebbzseyj na{jielbj ajerzsjr dhsrghsy ysn{r 'nlyse!vhleo eli ljesc~ vhljr.dhs }eo`/ cn`j eli ezyh ahijr

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    YEV!cerji teozjr esj lhy tjs~ mhhi zlojrr

    vhljr esj tjs~ raeoo

    Inryelbj dsha jebg {esbjo yh ygj ljesjryryh{ nr mhhi dhs rna{oj yselrny r~ryjar

    Dhs ahsj ijyenoji yselrny ljy}hs`r/ zrjRyh{!Ryh{ nlryjei hd YEV!YEV dhs onlj!gezoaeysnbjr 'Rel Injmh/ [gnonijo{gne/ ./ elibhacnlj }nyg }eo` ynaj dsha jebg {esbjo yhygj ryh{r }nygnl }eo` seinzr

  • 8/3/2019 Activity-Based Demand Simulation Models in the USA: How Far Have We Come?

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    3;

  • 8/3/2019 Activity-Based Demand Simulation Models in the USA: How Far Have We Come?

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    35

  • 8/3/2019 Activity-Based Demand Simulation Models in the USA: How Far Have We Come?

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  • 8/3/2019 Activity-Based Demand Simulation Models in the USA: How Far Have We Come?

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    Bjlrzr

    Ojtjo Vhljr Cohb`r [esbjorLzacjs 5/;;; ! 2;/;;;! 2;;/;;;!{js sjmnhl 9/;;; 53;/;;; 5/3;;/;;;

    Cjry zrji Gnmg}e~ Jtjs~ygnlm

    dhs, aeysnbjr jorj

    Yselrny Czddjs!onlj!gezo cerji

    aeysnbjr ajerzsjr

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    Ihjr lhy sjuznsj mhhi {esbjo ieye

    Bjlrzr cohb`r sjyenl e mhhi ijeo hd r{eyneo

    ijyeno/ eli esj bhlrnryjly ebshrr sjmnhlr

    Bel zrj Bjlrzr RD5 eli OJGI ieye dhs GG

    eli ja{oh~ajly/ bhlysho yh YEV yhyeor

    Zrji nl Rel Injmh/ Ohr Elmjojr/ jorj}gjsj

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    Ijlrny~ hd ijtjoh{ajlyIjlrny~ hd inddjsjly oeli zrjr nl yjsar hd fhcr/ dohhs r{ebj/

    ghzrjghoir/ ryzijly jlshoajly/ jyb,Ijrynleynhlr ebbjrrncoj c~ dhhy/ cn`j hs yselrny

    Echtj oeli zrjr $ {es`r eli hygjs h{jl r{ebjIntjsrny~

    Anwji zrj6 jlysh{~!y~{j ajerzsjrInryelbj yh yselrny

    Yselrny ryh{r dhs tesnhzr yselrny ahijrIjrnml

    Lzacjs hd 2+ lhij nlyjsrjbynhlrLzacjs hd ijei!jlir/ bzo ij rebrDsebynhl hd rysjjy ojlmyg }nyg rnij}eo`r/ cn`j oeljr[es`nlm rz{{o~ eli {snbj