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© 2010 CME Group. All rights reserved
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© 2010 CME Group. All rights reserved
COMEX (Globex)
NYMEX (Globex)
Product Size Code Type SettlementGold 100 oz GC Futures / Options PhysicalmiNY Gold 50 oz QO Futures FinancialE-Micro Gold 10 oz MGC Futures PhysicalSilver 5,000 oz SI Futures / Options PhysicalmiNY Silver 2,500 oz QI Futures FinancialHigh Grade Copper 25,000 lbs HG Futures / Options Physical
Product Size Code Type Settlement
Platinum 50 oz PL Futures / Options Physical
Palladium 100 oz PA Futures / Options Physical
UxC Uranium Swap Futures 250 lbs UX Futures Financial
Steel Coil, U.S. Domestic HR 20 Short Tons HRC Futures Financial
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© 2010 CME Group. All rights reserved
E-Micro Gold Futures• The launch of the E-Micro Gold Futures contract, though still in it’s
infancy, has shown significant promise to becoming a successful and useful product for the retail and institutional customer.
• The dramatic increase in the price for Gold and the notional value for the Gold Futures contract has made the E-Micro Gold Futures contract more attractive to smaller retail investors
• Physical Delivery makes Gold futures contracts more attractive as the appeal of Gold as an investment is ultimately dependent on it’s status as an asset with limited supply. In the psychology of the market, physical delivery implies that its limited availability is safeguarded.
• Liquidity, as measured by bid/ask spreads on quote size, is greatest when overseas markets are open. This includes the 4:00 p.m. to 9:00 p.m. period when European markets are most active. The afternoon (2:00 a.m. to 4:00 a.m.) also exhibits an increase in liquidity as arbitrage with the ETF markets becomes most active.
** Times are in Singapore time zone
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
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DiNapoli Levels- Advanced Fibonacci Analysis
Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in
Metal Markets
Presented by Jason ZengPinpoint your Entry,
Stop placement,and Profit Objectives
ahead of market action.
http://www.fibtradercn.com
email: [email protected]
Disclaimer: The information contained herein is subject to change without notice and was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. Those using the materials for trading purposes are responsible for their own actions. No guarantee is made that trading signals or methods of analysis will be profitable or will not result in losses. It should not be assumed that performance will equal
or exceed past results. 4
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Metals markets have been experiencing
an explosive bull run
since the end of 2008 …
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Gold - an explosive bull run since the end of 2008 …
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Silver - an explosive bull run since the end of 2008 …
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Copper - an explosive bull run since the end of 2008 …
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Metals markets have been experiencing
an explosive bull market since the end of 2008
Along with the metals prices getting higher and higher
more and more traders join the game…
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Many Successful traders master
Technical Analysis
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Three major Technical Analysis Schools:
WD Gann Theory
Elliott Wave Principle
Fibonacci Trading Methods
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WD Gann theory and Elliott wave principle are good trading methods
This presentation will focus on
Fibonacci trading methods
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Not the regular Fibonacci trading methods,
But an Advanced Fibonacci Trading Method:
DiNapoli-Levels
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Using the advanced Fibonacci Trading Method -DiNapoli-Levels
To identify markets’ turning points ahead of time:
1) What is DiNapoli-Levels?
2) What advantages does DiNapoli-Levels have?
3) How to use it to identify the metal markets turning points?
4) Current Gold market analysis
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1) What are DiNapoli-Levels?
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DiNapoli-Levels
was created by Mr. Joe DiNapoli in the
mid-1980’s
It is one of three leading indicators
Mr. DiNapoli developed
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FIBONACCI NUMBERS
1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233,610, 987, 1597, 2584, 4181, 6765,
10946, 17711, 28657, 46368, 75025, 121393, 196418, 317811 . . . . . . .
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FIBONACCI TOOLS
• Fibonacci Arcs
• Fibonacci Circles
• Fibonacci Fans
• Fibonacci Time Counts
• Fibonacci Regression
• Most Fibonacci Clusters
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RETRACEMENT RATIOS EXPANSION RATIOS
.090 .618 *
.146 1.00 *
.236 1.382
.382 * 1.500
.500 1.618 *
.618 * 2.618
POPULAR FIBONACCI RATIOS
XXX
X
XX
X
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Here's What DiNapoli-Levels Use . . .
TWO RETRACEMENT RATIOS THREE EXPANSION RATIOS
.382 .618
.618 1.00
1.618
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BASIC RETRACEMENT ANALYSIS UTILIZING THE TWO MAJOR RATIOS .382 AND .618
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Here are the equations relatingto the above criteria.
FIBNODE EQUATIONS
F3 = B - .382(B-A)
F5 = B - .618(B-A)
F3 is the 3/8 Fibnode or .382retracement .
F5 is the 5/8 Fibnode or .618retracement .
FIBNODE EQUATIONS
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BASIC RETRACEMENT ANALYSIS UTILIZING THE TWO MAJOR RATIOS .382 AND .618
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DiNapoli-Levels:
F3=0.382 Retracement
F5=0.618 Retracement
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BASIC FIBONACCI EXPANSION ANALYSIS UTILIZING THE THREE MAJOR EXPANSION RATIOS .618, 1.0, AND 1.618:
COP
XOP
OP
B
A
C
COP
C
A
B
XOP
OP
CHART 6A CHART 6B
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OBJECTIVE POINT EQUATIONS
OBJECTIVE POINT EQUATIONS
OP = B - A + C OBJECTIVE POINT
COP = .618 (B -A) + C CONTRACTED OBJECTIVE POINT
XOP = 1.618 (B - A) + C EXPANDED OBJECTIVE POINT
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BASIC FIBONACCI EXPANSION ANALYSIS UTILIZING THE THREE MAJOR EXPANSION RATIOS .618, 1.0, AND 1.618:
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DiNapoli-Levels:
COP=0.618 Expansion
OP=1.0 Expansion
XOP=1.618 Expansion
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Advanced
D-Levels
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Dropping your time frameweekly daily
Reaction
not visible in the weekly
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ADVANCED FIBONACCI ANALYSIS WITH 2 REACTIONS
F3
F5 F3
F5
LINEAGE MARKINGS2
1
0
F
CONFLUENCE K
B
A
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3 Reaction Lows
6 Fibnodes
2 Confluence Areas
F
3
2
1
F3F5
F3
F5 F3
F5
K 2
ADVANCED FIBONACCI ANALYSIS WITH 3 REACTIONS
K 1
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ADVANCED FIBONACCI ANALYSIS
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DiNapoli-Levels:
Agreement = the area of logical objective points(COP, OP or XOP) and finnodes (F3 or F5) getting closer to each other
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ADVANCED FIBONACCI ANALYSIS
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DiNapoli-Levels:
Confluence = the area of F3 and F5 nearing each other
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DiNapoli-Levels:
Retracement: F3=0.382 & F5=0.618
Expansion: COP, OP and XOP
Confluence Area - K
Agreement Area - A
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2) What advantages do D-Levels have?
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D-Levels vs. Regular Fibonacci Levels
1-Quality2-Clarity3-Ease of use
Traders need a plan that allows them to pull the trigger!
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D-Levels vs. Regular Fibonacci Levels - Quality
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D-Levels vs. Regular Fibonacci Levels - Quality
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D-Levels vs. Regular Fibonacci Levels - Clarity
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D-Levels vs. Regular Fibonacci Levels - Clarity
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D-Levels vs. Regular Fibonacci Levels – Ease of Use
Quality, Clarity and Ease of Use Combined !
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D-Levels vs. Regular Fibonacci Levels
1-Quality2-Clarity3-Ease of use
Traders need a plan that allows them to pull the trigger!
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3) How to use D-Levels to identify themetals markets turning points?
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3) How to use D-Levels to identify the metals markets turning points?
A. Gold futures market
B. Silver futures market
C. Copper futures market
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1) Using D-Levels to identify Gold market turning points
Mr. Joe DiNapoli’s famous Gold market prediction
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Using D-Levels to identify Gold market turning points
Joe’s original chart – South Africa TV interview49
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Using D-Levels to identify Gold market turning points
Joe’s original chart
Gold Top
728
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Using D-Levels to identify Gold market turning points
Joe’s original chart
728
1026
Joe first visit China
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Using D-Levels to identify Gold market turning points
Joe’s original chart
Massive drop after 1033 was hit
1033
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Using D-Levels to identify Gold market turning points
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Using D-Levels to identify Gold market turning points
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Using D-Levels to identify Gold market turning points
1590
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Using D-Levels to identify Gold market turning points
Low risk/high reward entry areas
during the Gold bull run
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Using D-Levels to identify Gold market turning points
Low risk/high reward entry areas – After Gold hit the COP=728
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Using D-Levels to identify Gold market turning points
Low risk/high reward entry areas – After Gold hit the OP=1026
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Using D-Levels to identify Gold market turning points
Low risk/high reward entry areas
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
2) Using D-Levels to identify Silver market turning points
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Using D-Levels to identify Silver market turning points
4909
Caught the recent top!
4982
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Using D-Levels to identify Silver market turning points
Caught the recent support!
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
3) Using D-Levels to identify Copper market turning points
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Using D-Levels to identify Copper market turning points
Caught a major top 362
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Using D-Levels to identify Copper market turning points
Caught a major top 362
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Using D-Levels to identify Copper market turning points
Caught a major top 362
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Using D-Levels to identify Copper market turning points
Caught a major top 362
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Using D-Levels to identify Copper market turning points
Caught a retracement bottom 272
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Using D-Levels to identify Copper market turning points
From 272 to the recent top 462
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Using D-Levels to identify Copper market turning points
Caught the recent top 462 and various support levels
444 448
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
D-Levels have been every effective to
identify the metal markets’ turning points
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
4) Current Gold market analysis~ What would I like to trade
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
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First of all, I would like to briefly talk about the importance of selecting right instruments
to participate in the markets
Many Chinese traders suffered big losses during the sudden drop of the Gold and Silver
markets in early May this year
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
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The importance of selecting right instruments to participate the metal markets
4909
Silver’s huge drop in a week
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
CME metals products are good choices to participate in the metals markets
for futures traders
The importance of selecting the right instruments to participate in the metal markets
• Transparent
• Volume
• Liquidity
• Global 24-hour access
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
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Current Gold market analysis
Yearly Chart
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Current Gold market analysis
Quarterly Chart77
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Current Gold market analysis
Monthly Chart78
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Current Gold market analysis
Weekly Chart
Supported at D-Level
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Current Gold market analysis
Daily Chart80
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
DiNapoli Trading Method is a modulated judgmental trading system
DiNapoli-Levels (narrow definition) is only one of
three Mr.DiNapoli’s leading indicators
9 Directional Signals
OS/OB analysis
Entry and stop tactics
etc…
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
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Where and how to learn more about the
DiNapoli-Levels?
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THE BEST SINGLE SOURCE TO LEARN DiNapoli-Levels
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
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THE BEST SINGLE SOURCE TO LEARN DiNapoli-Levels
The book has been translated into many languages
– this is the Chinese translation
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
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Mr. Joe DiNapoli and Me in US Traders Expo
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
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Besides the books,Joe DiNapoli and I also
provide training seminars
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
Fibtrader.comYou can find the book, software and other products there
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
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FibtraderCN.com
Fibforum.comChinese Website
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My email address:[email protected]
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Using Fibonacci Levels to Identify Turning Points in Metal Markets fibtradercn.com
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Thank you!
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Direct Access TradingWorldwide
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Why IB
Global Offerings Best Execution Low Costs Superior Trading Technology Risk Management Comprehensive Reporting Strength & Security
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IB’s Trader Workstation (TWS) The Professional’s Gateway to the World’s Markets
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Scale trader
The TWS ScaleTrader is a flexible, automated trading algorithm that lets you scale into a large position without being subject to increasingly deteriorating prices, or trade continually over a specified price range to capture a user-defined profit offset amount.
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Chart Trader
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Perry Tse
Phone:+852 2156 7990 Fax: +852 2509 4102
Interactive Brokers LLC Hong KongSuite 1512 Two Pacific Place, 88 Queensway,
Admiralty, Hong Kong
• When you apply for the application, please select Perry Tse as the sales representative, so i can assist you on structural matters.
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