a system dynamics approach for looking at the … · carlos ochoa1, vincent tidwell2, alexander...

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System Dynamics HYDROLOGY ECONOMICS ECOLOGY SOCIO-CULTURAL A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR LOOKING AT THE HUMAN AND ENVIRONMENTAL INTERACTIONS OF COMMUNITY-BASED IRRIGATION SYSTEMS IN NEW MEXICO. Carlos Ochoa 1 , Vincent Tidwell 2 , Alexander Fernald 1, 3 , Ken Boykin 1 , Andres Cibils 1 , Steve Guldan 1 , Brian Hurd 1 , Marquita Ortiz 4 , Jose Rivera 5 , Sylvia Rodriguez 5 , Caiti Steele 1 , and John Wilson 6 Community participation Study sites Human-Environment Interactions 1 New Mexico State University; 2 Sandia National Laboratories; 3 NM Water Resources Research Institute; 4 New Mexico Acequia Association; 5 University of New Mexico; 6 New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology. Funding NSF Coupled Natural and Human Systems award # 1010516 NSF NM EPSCoR RII award # 0814449 New Mexico Agricultural Experiment Station Numerous connections exist between valley irrigation communities and contributing upland watersheds. Introduction Support from the community has been essential for the success of this research initiative, which has grown from its beginnings at the NMSU Alcalde Science Center to include research collaborations throughout surrounding communities. With the invaluable cooperation of many people in different communities we: Installed new wells and/or instrumented existing domestic wells to monitor groundwater level fluctuations; Conducted field campaigns and instrumented acequias and rivers for monitoring stream flow; Installed weather stations to measure different climate variables; Installed soil moisture stations and other instrumentation to calculate water budgets at the farm and valley scales; and Learned from people in the community who have shared with us their experiences and knowledge of acequias. Community members and research team meeting in Santa Fe, NM In the arid southwestern United States community water management systems have adapted to cope with climate variability and with socio-cultural and economic changes that have occurred since the establishment of these systems more than 300 years ago. In New Mexico, these community-based irrigation systems, also known as Acequias, were established by Spanish settlers and have endured climate variability in the form of low levels of precipitation and have prevailed over important socio-cultural and economic challenges over the years. Because of their inherent nature of integrating land and water use with society involvement these community-based systems have multiple and complex economic, ecological, and cultural interactions. Current urban population growth and more variable climate conditions are adding pressure to the survival of these systems. We are conducting a multi-disciplinary research project that focuses on characterizing these intrinsically complex human and natural interactions in three community-based irrigation systems in northern New Mexico. We are using a system dynamics approach to integrate different hydrological, ecological, socio-cultural and economic aspects of these three irrigation systems. Coupled with intensive field data collection, we are building a system dynamics model that will enable us to simulate important linkages and interactions between environmental and human elements occurring in each of these water management systems. We will test different climate variability and population growth scenarios and the expectation is that we will be able to identify critical tipping points of these systems. Results from this model can be used to inform policy recommendations relevant to the environment and to urban and agricultural land use planning in the arid southwestern United States. Three irrigated valley-watershed systems: Alcalde, El Rito, and Rio Hondo. Climate change and urban population growth may be important stressors to these community-based irrigation systems and their linked watersheds. Soil moisture/soil properties Deep percolation Canal flow Weather Stream flow Shallow groundwater Multiple field parameters are being monitored and data is being used to populate the model. Infiltration Crop water uptake Economic Capital Urban Development Local Product Markets Crop Price Crop Yield Farm Costs Irrigation Efficiency Irrigation Diversion Livestock Feed Grazing Intensity Livestock Costs Livestock Price Hunting/Eco Tourism Off Farm Jobs Children Mobility Willinges to Sell Land or Water Water Right Value Land Value Gap between Sale Value of Land/Water vs Value of Goods Generated from Land + + + - + + + + Cultivated Acreage + + + + + + + + + + + + + Livestock Revenue + + - Crop Revenue - + + Non-Agricultural Revenue + + + + + Farmer Decision on Utilization of Land + - + + + Mutualism/Social Capital + + Environmental Capital - Farmer On-Land Labor Intensity + - + + Community Involvenment + Stream Flow Irrigation Diversions Water Rights Administration Urban Development Natural Resource Management Grazing Intensity Cultivated Acreage Irrigation Efficiency Coooperation Over Resource Allocation Infrastructure Operation and Maintenance Mutualism/Social Capital Acequia Governance Change in Land Ownership Local Knowledge Transmission + - - + + + + - + + + + + + + + - + + + - Willingness to Sell Land or Water + Acequia Investment Community Investment + + + + + + + Resource Management by Traditional Practices + Environmental Capital - + + Economic Capital - + + - Children Mobility + - + Community Involvenment Moral Economy - - + + + + - Vegetative Habitat Faunal Diversity Erosion Aquatic Habitat Aquatic Diversity Runoff Grazing Intensity Native Upland Vegetation Type and Structure + + + + - Precipitation Soil Moisture Vegetation Uptake + + Temperature + - Native Riparian Vegetation Type and Structure - - Intense Fire - - - - + Natural Resource Management - - + Environmental Capital + + Regulation Resource Management by Traditional Practices - - + - + + + - - + + - - Cultivated Acreage Groundwater Storage + + Runoff Stream Flow Downstream Deliveries Irrigation Diversion Domestic Pumping Precipitation Groundwater Recharge Upland Soil Moisture Upland Vegetation Uptake Temperature Riparian Uptake Groundwater Storage Baseflow Canal and Crop Seepage + + + + + + + - + + + + + + + - - - + + - - + Water Demand by Crop Type Irrigation Efficiency Crop Uptake + + + - - Vegetation Type and Structure - - Cultivated Acreage - + - Field data collection.

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Page 1: A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR LOOKING AT THE … · Carlos Ochoa1, Vincent Tidwell2, Alexander Fernald1, 3, Ken Boykin1, Andres Cibils1, Steve Guldan1, Brian Hurd1, Marquita Ortiz4,

System Dynamics

HYDROLOGY

ECONOMICS ECOLOGY

SOCIO-CULTURAL

A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR LOOKING AT THE HUMAN AND ENVIRONMENTAL INTERACTIONS OF

COMMUNITY-BASED IRRIGATION SYSTEMS IN NEW MEXICO. Carlos Ochoa

1, Vincent Tidwell

2, Alexander Fernald

1, 3, Ken Boykin

1, Andres Cibils

1, Steve Guldan

1, Brian Hurd

1, Marquita Ortiz

4, Jose Rivera

5, Sylvia Rodriguez

5, Caiti Steele

1, and John Wilson

6

Community participation

Study sites

Human-Environment Interactions

1New Mexico State University;

2Sandia National Laboratories;

3NM Water Resources Research Institute;

4New Mexico Acequia Association;

5University of New Mexico;

6New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology.

Funding NSF Coupled Natural and Human Systems award # 1010516

NSF NM EPSCoR RII award # 0814449

New Mexico Agricultural Experiment Station

• Numerous connections exist between valley

irrigation communities and contributing upland

watersheds.

Introduction

Support from the community has been essential for the success of this research initiative,

which has grown from its beginnings at the NMSU Alcalde Science Center to include research

collaborations throughout surrounding communities.

With the invaluable cooperation of many people in different communities we:

• Installed new wells and/or instrumented existing domestic wells to monitor groundwater level

fluctuations;

• Conducted field campaigns and instrumented acequias and rivers for monitoring stream

flow;

• Installed weather stations to measure different climate variables;

• Installed soil moisture stations and other instrumentation to calculate water budgets at the

farm and valley scales; and

• Learned from people in the community who have shared with us their experiences and

knowledge of acequias.

Community members and research team meeting in Santa Fe, NM

In the arid southwestern United States community water management systems have

adapted to cope with climate variability and with socio-cultural and economic changes

that have occurred since the establishment of these systems more than 300 years

ago. In New Mexico, these community-based irrigation systems, also known as

Acequias, were established by Spanish settlers and have endured climate variability in

the form of low levels of precipitation and have prevailed over important socio-cultural

and economic challenges over the years. Because of their inherent nature of

integrating land and water use with society involvement these community-based

systems have multiple and complex economic, ecological, and cultural interactions.

Current urban population growth and more variable climate conditions are adding

pressure to the survival of these systems. We are conducting a multi-disciplinary

research project that focuses on characterizing these intrinsically complex human and

natural interactions in three community-based irrigation systems in northern New

Mexico. We are using a system dynamics approach to integrate different hydrological,

ecological, socio-cultural and economic aspects of these three irrigation systems.

Coupled with intensive field data collection, we are building a system dynamics model

that will enable us to simulate important linkages and interactions between

environmental and human elements occurring in each of these water management

systems. We will test different climate variability and population growth scenarios and

the expectation is that we will be able to identify critical tipping points of these

systems. Results from this model can be used to inform policy recommendations

relevant to the environment and to urban and agricultural land use planning in the arid

southwestern United States.

• Three irrigated valley-watershed systems: Alcalde, El Rito, and Rio Hondo.

• Climate change and urban population growth may be important stressors to

these community-based irrigation systems and their linked watersheds.

Soil moisture/soil properties Deep percolation

Canal flow

Weather

Stream flow Shallow groundwater

• Multiple field parameters are being monitored and data is being used to populate the model.

Infiltration

Crop water uptake

EconomicCapital

UrbanDevelopment

Local ProductMarkets

Crop Price

Crop Yield

Farm Costs

IrrigationEfficiency

IrrigationDiversion

LivestockFeed

GrazingIntensity

LivestockCosts

LivestockPrice

Hunting/EcoTourism

Off FarmJobs

ChildrenMobility

Willinges to SellLand or Water

Water RightValue

Land Value

Gap between Sale Value ofLand/Water vs Value of Goods

Generated from Land

+

++

-

++

+

+

CultivatedAcreage

+

++

+

+

+

+

+

+

++

+

+

LivestockRevenue +

+-

Crop Revenue

-

++

Non-AgriculturalRevenue

++

+ ++

Farmer Decision onUtilization of Land

+ -+

+

+

Mutualism/SocialCapital

+

+

EnvironmentalCapital-

Farmer On-LandLabor Intensity

+

-

+

+

CommunityInvolvenment

+

Stream Flow

IrrigationDiversions

Water RightsAdministration

UrbanDevelopment

Natural ResourceManagement

GrazingIntensity

CultivatedAcreage

IrrigationEfficiency

Coooperation OverResource Allocation

InfrastructureOperation andMaintenance

Mutualism/SocialCapital

AcequiaGovernance

Change in LandOwnership

Local KnowledgeTransmission

+

-

-

+

+

+

+

-

++

+

+

++

+

+

-

+

+

+-

Willingness to SellLand or Water

+

AcequiaInvestment

CommunityInvestment

+

+

+

+

+ +

+

Resource Managementby Traditional Practices

+

EnvironmentalCapital

-

++Economic

Capital -

+

+

-

Children Mobility

+-

+

CommunityInvolvenment

MoralEconomy

-

-

+

+

+

+

-

VegetativeHabitat

FaunalDiversityErosion

AquaticHabitat

AquaticDiversity

Runoff

Grazing Intensity

Native UplandVegetation Type and

Structure

+

+

+

+

-

Precipitation

Soil Moisture

VegetationUptake

+

+

Temperature

+

-

Native RiparianVegetation Type and

Structure

-

-

Intense Fire-

-

-

-+

Natural ResourceManagement

-

-

+

EnvironmentalCapital

+

+

Regulation

Resource Managementby Traditional Practices

-

-+

-

+

+

+

-

-

+

+

-

-

CultivatedAcreage

GroundwaterStorage

+

+

Runoff

Stream Flow

DownstreamDeliveries

IrrigationDiversion

DomesticPumping

Precipitation

GroundwaterRecharge

Upland SoilMoisture

Upland VegetationUptake

Temperature

RiparianUptake

GroundwaterStorage

Baseflow

Canal and CropSeepage

++

+

+

+ +

+-

+

++

+

+

+

+

-

-

-

+

+

-

-+

Water Demand byCrop Type

IrrigationEfficiency

Crop Uptake++

+

-

-

Vegetation Typeand Structure

-

-

CultivatedAcreage-

+

-

Field data collection.