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A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL VARIATIONS IN THE POWER DISTRIBUTION GRID QIWEI ZHENG, PENG XIAO UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT

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Page 1: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE

THE SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL VARIATIONS

IN THE POWER DISTRIBUTION GRID

QIWEI ZHENG, PENG XIAO

UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT

Page 2: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

A Data-Driven Approach to Analyze

the Spatial and Temporal Variations

in the POWER DISTRIBUTION GRID

Page 3: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

From Wikipedia

Page 4: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

A Data-Driven Approach to Analyze

the Spatial and Temporal Variations

in the POWER DISTRIBUTION GRID

Page 5: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

A Data-Driven Approach to Analyze

the Spatial and Temporal Variations

in the POWER DISTRIBUTION GRID

Page 6: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

* **

Page 7: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

1. Motivation of The Concept

2. Feasibility

3. Ultimate Goals

4. Data Processing

5. Future Application on Visualization

Page 8: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

Figure 1

Page 9: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

OVERVIEW� The project aims at providing a stable and

healthy distribution grid by optimizing its

configuration through the analysis of past

sampling data.

� A feeder line with minimum fluctuation is considered as steady and robust.

� Also, an entire distribution grid needs to have

small difference between peak and valley as

possible.

Page 10: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

MOTIVATION

1. Seasonal change (summer and

winter)

2. Different patterns on

holiday/weekends

3. Power source in distribution grid

(new energy/renewable energy

source)

Page 11: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

From Wikipedia

Page 12: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

• Adapt the change

• More stable and healthy power network

Page 13: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

DAS220kV

10kV

10kV

Substation

A

Substation B

RMU

#1

RMU

#2

RMU

#3

RMU

#4

RMU

#5GA01

GB01

G101

G203

G105

G103

G301 G302 G505

G202G201

G303

G401

G406

G501

G403

G506

LD 1 LD 3 LD 5

LD 2 LD 4

Figure 1

Figure 2

Page 14: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

PREDICTION

Last Year ���� Seasonal Prediction

Weekdays / Weekends

Recently data Adapt Changes

Page 15: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

Spring Mar. 21 ~ June 22

Summer June 23 ~ Sept. 23

Fall Sept. 24 ~ Dec. 22

Winter Dec. 23 ~ Mar. 20

Page 16: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

DATA

Figure 1

Page 17: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

DATA

• Every 15mins

• 96 points a day

• Auto-regressive Moving Average Module

• Probability distribution

ϕi=

Ni

n i = 0,1,2...10

Page 18: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

0

5

10

15

20

25

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

Spring weekdays Load Graph For Unit 1

Page 19: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

Spring weekdays Load Graph For Unit 2

Page 20: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

220kV

10kV

10kV

Substation A

Substation B

RMU #1

RMU #2

RMU #3

RMU #4

RMU #5

GA01

GB01

G101

G203

G105

G103

G301 G302 G505

G202G201

G303

G401

G406

G501

G403

G506

LD 1 LD 3 LD 5

LD 2 LD 4

Figure 2

Page 21: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

SIMPLEST APPROACH

220kV

10kV

10kV

Substation A

Substation B

RMU #1

RMU #2

RMU #3

RMU #4

RMU #5

GA01

GB01

G101

G203

G105

G103

G301 G302 G505

G202G201

G303

G401

G406

G501

G403

G506

LD 1 LD 3 LD 5

LD 2 LD 4

Page 22: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

AUTO CORRELATION

220kV

10kV

10kV

Substation A

Substation B

RMU #1

RMU #2

RMU #3

RMU #4

RMU #5

GA01

GB01

G101

G203

G105

G103

G301 G302 G505

G202G201

G303

G401

G406

G501

G403

G506

LD 1 LD 3 LD 5

LD 2 LD 4

Page 23: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

CORRELATION (CONT.)

Page 24: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

GIS APPROACH

Figure 5

Page 25: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

GIS APPROACH

Page 26: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

DDACTS

Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety

NHTSA National Highway Traffic Safety Administration

and CTSRC Connecticut Transportation Safety Research Center

Page 27: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

Figure 6

Source: Nampa Police Department

Page 28: A DATA-DRIVEN APPROACH TO ANALYZE THE SPATIAL AND …€¦ · OVERVIEW The project aims at providing a stable and ... DDACTS Data-Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety NHTSA

THANK YOU