a 3d future
DESCRIPTION
a quick look at what's being printed in 3d, how it works, and brainstorming exercises o the possibilities of how it will change industries and lives.TRANSCRIPT
april 2013@michelebkim
A 3D FUTURETHE THIRD MANUFACTURING REVOLUTION
FORECASTING THE FUTURE
SCI-FI PREDICTIONS THAT EXIST TODAY“The only way of discovering the limits of the possible is to
venture a little way past them into the impossible.”
- Arthur C. Clarke
SCI-FI PREDICTIONS THAT EXIST TODAY
TUPAC AT 2012 COACHELLAR2D2 DISPLAYS HOLOGRAPHIC
SCI-FI PREDICTIONS THAT EXIST TODAY
GOOGLE GLASSESTERMINATOR
TRANSMETROPOLITAN
SCI-FI PREDICTIONS THAT EXIST TODAY
UNIVERSAL TRANSLATOR GOOGLE TRANSLATE
SCI-FI PREDICTIONS THAT EXIST TODAY
ROBOTSBAXTER
SCI-FI PREDICTIONS THAT EXIST TODAY
BACK TO THE FUTURE HOVER
SCI-FI PREDICTIONS THAT EXIST TODAY
Jean Grey Telekinesis XWave
SCI-FI PREDICTIONS THAT EXIST TODAY
Professor X Mind controlled robotic arm
SCI-FI PREDICTIONS THAT EXIST TODAY
LIGHT SABER LASER SWORD
SCI-FI PREDICTIONS THAT EXIST TODAY
3D PRINTER REPLICATOR
3D PRINTING IS IN IT’S INFANCY
AND LIKE WITH ANYTHING NEW,
TRULY DISRUPTIVE, OR SOMETHING PEOPLE
DON’T UNDERSTAND, THERE WILL BE HATERS
“This telephone has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication.”
Internal MemoWestern Union,1876
“I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.”
Thomas Watson Chairman of IBM, 1943
“There is no reason why anyone would want a computer in their home.”
Ken Olsen Digital Equipment 1977
BUT FOR THOSE NERDS WHO DARE
TO DREAM…
“We are not even close to finishing the basic dream of what the PC can be.”
Bill Gates
SO WHAT ABOUT 3D PRINTERS?
PERCEPTION
What are they?Too large to be practical.
Too expensive.
A toy for nerds.
3D Printers are good for making 3D printers (or other useless
things.)
Might be interesting in
the future.
REALITY
Additive manufacturing
tool
Comes 8x8 to industrial
Cost of an iPhone
Will shape
industries
It saves lives It’s happening
now
Choose a design:Open source designs3D Scan to ModelDesign your ownDownload design
Choose material:Currently over 30 materials availableIncluding:Sterling SilverStainless SteelLeatherSandstoneMaterial that mimic human cells
Print:Process called “Additive Manufacturing”Finish
1
2
3
HOW IT WORKS
$499!Starting as low as…
NOT JUST FOR NERDS
“THE FUTURE IS ALREADY HERE. IT IS JUST NOT VERY EVENLY DISTRIBUTED”- William Gibson, Sci-Fi writer
WE’VE ALREADY PRINTED A SHIT TON OF COOL THINGS.
GADGETS & GIZMOS A PLENTYFully function instruments and camera
parts.
People are already innovating on design and function.
To the right a 3D printing “Pen” 3Doodler raised more than $2M on Kickstarter.
Below, a 3D Printing “Vending Machine”
Brands are starting to play
Staples sells home printers in storesAmazon 3D store and online market
Google Sketchup 3D WarehouseMakerbot storefront
PERFECTLY FORMED TO YOUR BODYDITA VON TEESEFASHION
The piece’s intricate lace-like texture was created with precision by lasers (in a process known as Laser Sintering) and would have
been impossible to realize any other way.Recycle Clothes into New designs
WEAPONSParts for Assault Rifles. Blueprints for parts have
already been downloaded hundreds of thousands of times
The gun was assembled from separate printed components made from ABS plastic - only the firing pin was made from metal
AUTOMOBILES & PLANES
Urbee can drive from SF to NY on $10 of gas.
GE and China are developing parts for jets and planes to reduce costs.
BUILDINGS
Intricate designsReduce waste and labor
Flexible, customCan print entire zones
Electronics
Battery smaller than a gran of sand which means high powered tiny robots and mini medical implants. Motion sensor glovesButton sensors
IDENTICAL IMPLANTSTeeth, jaws, splints, prosthetics and parts of skulls that are perfect duplicates of patient’s are being
implanted saving lives!
BIOPRINTINGLIVING CELLS
We’re even printing human stem cells,
meat, human organs, urethras, and entire body parts and even
DNA.
Pictures: Ear, DNA, steak, human stem cells, lung
“[Our lab uses] a desktop inkjet printer, but instead of using ink, we're using cells.”
“Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.” -
Arthur C. Clarke
SORCERY. ALCHEMY. SCIENCE.
CURRENT LIMITATIONS
40
Quality, Materials, Speed, Cost, Time
The 3rd power law of 3-D printing: Everything from cost and time to amount of material increases to the third power.
BUT REALLY, 3D HAS ALREADY DONE SO MUCH...
WHAT ABOUT THE FUTURE?
Intellectual Property
Human Capital
Consumption Behavior
Laws and Regulations
Health & Medicine
Goods Capital
Manufacturing
Environmental Impact
& as brand builderswhat about our clients?
The average life expectancy of a Fortune 500 firm has dropped
from 75 years in 1937 to 5 years today.
Put on your thinking caps.
OVERVIEW OF 3D
45
Design:Impossibly intricate(The more intricate, the less cost. Flipping traditional design strategy in manufacturing.)
CustomizableEfficientEasy access to online community of designs, or simply 3D scan (Kinect ps4)
Materials:From ceramic to human stem cells
B2B- B2C structure:Direct to consumer?Peer to peer?Store layouts?A printer in every home?Specialty hubs?
Legal:Intellectual property theft Regulations need evolving
Designers:Artistic & technical skill become high value
Environment:Recyclable Less wasteEncourages re-useAuto/plane less emissions
Bio:Guilt free meat?Possibly a “disease free” world
Business:Spurs rapid prototyping & innovation
“Musicians used to make money selling music. Now Apple makes money selling
music.”
KILL INDUSTRIES
If people will one day be able to print everything they need, that means the designs and raw material will be what is valuable. With information piracy
rampant, how will companies protect their designs?
5 min Work in groups/partners to kill as many industries as possible. Write as many as you can think of with an explanation for
how.
How will 3D printers one day shape and kill industries?
What are all the things we use daily that we can 3D
print one day?
Will people even need stores?
SAVE THE WORLD
Can we place 3D printers in developing countries to provide
printed aid, or glasses, etc.
5 minWork with a different partner/group to think of as many ways as possible 3D
printing can do good in the world. Come up with as much as you can.
What are all the beautiful possibilities of 3D printing?
How will this reduce environmental impact?
Are we going to print our bacon? Is that better for the
world?
INVENT SOMETHING
In the way Etsy and Kickstarter has empowered thousands to chase their
dreams and make whatever makes them happy, what kind of cool/strange/weird
things will come out of 3d printing?
5 minIndividually or with a partner, come up with a cool idea, invention, business, process, way of doing things that might be possible with
3D printing. Draw if you want to.
How will 3D printing help spur entrepreneurship?
What are things you’d like to invent or prototype using a 3d
printer?
THE FUTURE IS[CRAZY]
THE FUTURE IS[WEIRD]
THE FUTURE IS[SCARY]
THE FUTURE IS[EXCITING]
AND ONLY LIMITED TO OUR IMAGINATIONS
“[Every Steve Jobs Quote Ever.]”
Steve Jobs
THANK YOU.
linksGuitar- Guardian http://www.guardian.co.uk/technology/2012/jun/15/3d-printing-revolutionising-guitar-making
Additive Manufacturing – The Engineer http://www.theengineer.co.uk/in-depth/the-big-story/the-rise-of-additive-manufacturing/1002560.article
Make Eyewear http://www.makeeyewear.com/
3D Couture - Paris Fashion Week http://www.pddnet.com/news/2013/01/wearable-stratasys-and-materialise-3d-printed-pieces-hit-paris-fashion-week
3D Gun site gets license to make and sell Firearms http://venturebeat.com/2013/03/17/defense-distributed-federal-license/
Defense Distributed Master Plan http://defensedistributed.com/proofgun-2/
3D printer could test gun-control efforts – Washington Post http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/weapons-made-with-3-d-printers-could-test-gun-control-efforts/2013/02/18/9ad8b45e-779b-11e2-95e4-6148e45d7adb_story.html
1899 view of 2000 http://publicdomainreview.org/2012/06/30/france-in-the-year-2000-1899-1910/
Figurines http://laughingsquid.com/3d-printer-photo-booth-makes-figurines-instead-of-photos/
3D Skull – Mashable http://mashable.com/2013/03/07/3d-printed-skull/
3D Printing Clothes at Home http://www.psfk.com/2013/03/3d-printed-clothes.html http://jhharris.prosite.com/104313/973830/work/design-for-2050-clothing-printer
Camera Gear –Thingiverse http://www.thingiverse.com/7777773/collections/camera-gear/page:1
3D Bike http://www.engadget.com/2011/03/09/eadss-airbike-is-a-3d-printed-nylon-bicycle-actually-looks-rat/
3D Car http://www.smartplanet.com/blog/bulletin/plastic-3d-printed-car-ready-for-the-streets/14330
Dreambox Vending Machine http://mashable.com/2013/03/07/dreambox-3d-printing-vending-machine/
Modern Meadow Printing Meat http://www.core77.com/blog/digital_fabrication/modern_meadow_ceo_on_the_merits_of_3d_printed_meat_24475.asp
First 3D printed human liver http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn23419-3d-printer-makes-tiniest-human-liver-ever.html?cmpid=RSS%7CNSNS%7C2012-GLOBAL%7Conline-news
3D Printed Ear http://www.livescience.com/27280-3d-printed-ear-created.html
3D Printed Organs http://www.designboom.com/technology/3d-printed-organs-from-regenerative-living-cells/
Where to download design files http://www.solidoodle.com/how-to-2/where-to-download-3d-files/
Pirate site for 3D Designs http://thepiratebay.se/blog/203
Printing a Human Kidney – TED http://www.ted.com/talks/anthony_atala_printing_a_human_kidney.html
3D Flute - Engadget http://www.engadget.com/2010/12/29/3d-printed-concert-flute-rapidly-prototypes-sound-video/
3D print 2012 Year in Review http://www.3ders.org/articles/20121220-3d-printing-in-2012-year-in-review.html
3D Printing Revolution Infographic http://holykaw.alltop.com/3d-printing-how-long-til-the-revolution-infographic
Ponoko Making System http://www.ponoko.com/3d-printing
Planningness Bud Caddell http://vimeo.com/42811532
Fortune 500 Turnover http://www.kauffman.org/uploadedFiles/fortune_500_turnover.pdf
3D printer mimic human-like tissue http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/04/05/3d-printed-cells-tissue-human_n_3021600.html
http://blog.makezine.com/volume/make-ultimate-guide-to-3d-printing/
http://www.businessinsider.com/next-phase-3d-printing-in-china-2013-4
http://www.engadget.com/2013/04/22/inside-3d-printing-conference-and-expo/
http://www.bklyndesigns.com/#attend
http://blog.makezine.com/2013/04/25/make-visits-the-inaugural-inside-3d-printing-conference-expo/
http://sketchup.google.com/3dwarehouse/
http://www.mediabistro.com/inside3dprinting/
http://www.cassandradaily.com/tech/close-encounters-of-the-3d-kind/
http://gizmodo.com/5994293/3d-printed-headphones-you-can-build-from-the-ground-up
http://boingboing.net/2013/06/10/how-3d-printing-will-rebuild-r.html