64 gan rf market growing at 12% cagr to $2bn in 2025...ums doubled its gan rf business in 2019, due...

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Market focus: RF devices semiconductorTODAY Compounds&AdvancedSilicon • Vol. 15 • Issue 4 • May/June 2020 www.semiconductor-today.com 64 T he total gallium nitride (GaN) radio frequency (RF) market is rising at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12% from $740m to more than $2bn by 2025, forecasts market research and strategy consulting company Yole Développement in its annual report ‘GaN RF market: applications, players, technology, and substrates 2020’. “In the past few years, RF applications have received a boost from the implementation of GaN technology,” says technology & market analyst Ezgi Dogmus PhD. “The main GaN RF market drivers remain telecom and defense applications.” In telecom infrastructure, the aftermath of US sanctions related to Huawei slowed the GaN-based remote radio head (RRH) market in 2019 and pushed original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) to restructure their supply chain for the coming years. Nevertheless, GaN deployment will remain the same for the long term. In active antenna systems (AAS), the increase in bandwidth will favor increasing GaN implementation. Also, small cells and backhaul connections will see impressive deployment of GaN in the coming years, reckons the report. In military applications, with investments from govern- ments to improve their national security by replacing travelling-wave tube (TWT)- based systems, defense will remain one of the GaN RF market’s main drivers, pre- dicts the report. “Radar is the main driver in military appli- cations, mainly due to the increase of transmit/receive (T/R) modules in new GaN- based AESA [active elec- tronically scanned array] systems and stringent requirements for lightweight devices for airborne sys- tems,” says technology & market analyst Ahmed Ben Slimane PhD. “The total GaN RF military market will surpass $1.1bn in 2025, at a 22% CAGR,” he adds. For handsets, GaN’s high performance and small form factor could attract OEMs. The adoption of GaN power amplifiers (PAs) will depend on the evolution over the next five years of GaN’s technology maturity, supply chain, and cost, as well as OEM strategies. However, Yole says it is not possible today to give a comprehensive picture of the RF GaN industry without taking into account the US–China trade conflict and COVID-19 outbreak, since both events are having a significant impact on the landscape of the semiconductor industry. China is the largest market for antenna systems and will remain so for the next several years. Due to US sanctions related to China-based Huawei, the OEM’s supply chain has been restructured. As a consequence, Yole identifies a positive impact on Asian integrated device manufacturers (IDMs) and foundries, as well as European players. For example, the European foundry UMS doubled its GaN RF business in 2019, due mainly to the base transceiver station (BTS) market. The Coronavirus outbreak to have minor impact on GaN deployment for 5G in 2020, reckons Yole Développement . GaN RF market growing at 12% CAGR to $2bn in 2025 2019–2025 packaged GaN RF device market forecast — split by application

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Page 1: 64 GaN RF market growing at 12% CAGR to $2bn in 2025...UMS doubled its GaN RF business in 2019, due mainly to the base transceiver station (BTS) market. The Coronavirus outbreak to

Market focus: RF devices

semiconductorTODAY Compounds&AdvancedSilicon • Vol. 15 • Issue 4 • May/June 2020 www.semiconductor-today.com

64

The total gallium nitride (GaN) radio frequency(RF) market is rising at a compound annualgrowth rate (CAGR) of 12% from $740m to more

than $2bn by 2025, forecasts market research andstrategy consulting company Yole Développement in itsannual report ‘GaN RF market: applications, players,technology, and substrates 2020’. “In the past few years, RF applications have received

a boost from the implementation of GaN technology,”says technology & market analyst Ezgi Dogmus PhD.“The main GaN RF market drivers remain telecom anddefense applications.” In telecom infrastructure, the aftermath of US

sanctions related to Huawei slowed the GaN-basedremote radio head (RRH) market in 2019 and pushedoriginal equipment manufacturers (OEMs) to restructuretheir supply chain for the coming years. Nevertheless,GaN deployment will remain the same for the long term.In active antenna systems (AAS), the increase inbandwidth will favor increasing GaN implementation.Also, small cells and backhaul connections will seeimpressive deployment of GaN in the coming years,reckons the report. In military applications, with investments from govern-

ments to improve their national security by replacingtravelling-wavetube (TWT)-based systems,defense willremain one ofthe GaN RFmarket’s maindrivers, pre-dicts thereport. “Radar is the

main driver inmilitary appli-cations, mainlydue to theincrease oftransmit/receive(T/R) modulesin new GaN-based AESA[active elec-

tronically scanned array] systems and stringentrequirements for lightweight devices for airborne sys-tems,” says technology & market analyst Ahmed BenSlimane PhD. “The total GaN RF military market willsurpass $1.1bn in 2025, at a 22% CAGR,” he adds. For handsets, GaN’s high performance and small form

factor could attract OEMs. The adoption of GaN poweramplifiers (PAs) will depend on the evolution over thenext five years of GaN’s technology maturity, supplychain, and cost, as well as OEM strategies. However, Yole says it is not possible today to give a

comprehensive picture of the RF GaN industry withouttaking into account the US–China trade conflict andCOVID-19 outbreak, since both events are having asignificant impact on the landscape of the semiconductorindustry. China is the largest market for antenna systems and

will remain so for the next several years. Due to USsanctions related to China-based Huawei, the OEM’ssupply chain has been restructured. As a consequence,Yole identifies a positive impact on Asian integrateddevice manufacturers (IDMs) and foundries, as well asEuropean players. For example, the European foundryUMS doubled its GaN RF business in 2019, due mainlyto the base transceiver station (BTS) market. The

Coronavirus outbreak to have minor impact on GaN deployment for 5G in 2020,reckons Yole Développement.

GaN RF market growing at12% CAGR to $2bn in 2025

2019–2025 packaged GaN RF devicemarket forecast — split by application

Page 2: 64 GaN RF market growing at 12% CAGR to $2bn in 2025...UMS doubled its GaN RF business in 2019, due mainly to the base transceiver station (BTS) market. The Coronavirus outbreak to

Market focus: RF devices

www.semiconductor-today.com semiconductorTODAY Compounds&AdvancedSilicon • Vol. 15 • Issue 4 • May/June 2020

65

US–China trade war also makes it more urgent forHuawei and ZTE to have domestic suppliers. “According to the industry feedback, despite the virus

outbreak, leading Chinese telecom operators’ 5G con-struction goals remain unchanged and developmentcontinues,” notes Dogmus. The virus outbreak is there-fore likely to have minor consequences for GaNdeployment in 2020. “We could also expect a marketadjustment starting from second-half 2020 in China as

well as the rest of the world,” he concludes. The GaN-based military market will likely follow the

same trend, predicts Yole. The firm expects only minorchanges in the long term, as the defense market is ‘on demand’. However, in the short term, some disrup-tions to the supply chain may slow the global militarymarket. ■www.i-micronews.com/products/gan-rf-market-applications-players-technology-and-substrates-2020

Global industrial supply chain GaN-on-silicon capability.

Technology choice for macro sites: competitive analysis between GaN and LDMOS.