5 - kapiti coast district · industrial 199 612 3 6 266 33 27 1,147 1,201 2,348 retail 386 1,308 30...
TRANSCRIPT
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TABLE 1: KAPITI COAST EMPLOYEE COMPOSITION AND TEMPORAL TRENDS 2000-2010 ..... 8
TABLE 2: KAPITI BUSINESS NODE ACTIVITY SHEET ...................................................... 14
TABLE 3: 2014 NODAL EMPLOYMENT DISTRIBUTION BY MESHBLOCK ............................. 16
TABLE 4: EMPLOYMENT GROWTH SCENARIO SUMMARIES (2014 - 2033) (EX. RETAIL)...... 27
TABLE 5: TOTAL EMPLOYMENT PROJECTIONS BY SECTOR TO 2033 ................................. 29
TABLE 6: INDUSTRIAL EMPLOYMENT PROJECTIONS TO 2033 ......................................... 30
TABLE 7: COMMERCIAL EMPLOYMENT PROJECTIONS TO 2033 ........................................ 30
TABLE 8: TOTAL EMPLOYMENT PROJECTIONS BY SECTOR TO 2033 ................................. 31
TABLE 9: INDUSTRIAL EMPLOYMENT PROJECTIONS TO 2033 ......................................... 32
TABLE 10: COMMERCIAL EMPLOYMENT PROJECTIONS TO 2033 ...................................... 32
TABLE 11: INDUSTRIAL LAND DEMAND PROJECTIONS (SCENARIO 1) ............................. 34
TABLE 12: INDUSTRIAL LAND DEMAND PROJECTIONS (SCENARIO 2) ............................. 34
TABLE 13: COMMERCIAL LAND DEMAND PROJECTIONS (SCENARIO 1) ............................ 36
TABLE 14: COMMERCIAL LAND DEMAND PROJECTIONS (SCENARIO 2) ............................ 36
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FIGURE 5: AVERAGE IMPORTANCE RATING OF KEY FACTORS INFLUENCING LOCATION .... 21
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014Net Growth
2000 - 2014
Net Growth
2000 - 2014%
A Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing 479 550 387 374 356 329 340 360 -119 -25%
B Mining 18 9 9 6 18 12 15 9 -9 -50%
C Manufacturing 998 829 876 838 839 816 804 669 -329 -33%
D Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services 81 57 69 61 96 100 86 73 -8 -10%
E Construction 732 867 1,055 1,364 1,481 1,254 1,059 1,179 447 61%
F Wholesale Trade 202 191 213 163 177 171 195 164 -38 -19%
G Retail Trade 1,863 1,900 1,974 2,120 2,168 2,055 2,097 2,162 299 16%
H Accommodation and Food Services 829 760 1,090 1,174 1,274 1,283 1,183 1,186 357 43%
I Transport, Postal and Warehousing 232 270 278 315 338 282 291 277 45 19%
J Information Media and Telecommunications 140 161 180 212 250 262 138 134 -6 -4%
K Financial and Insurance Services 128 129 154 167 208 182 174 143 15 12%
L Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services 192 188 284 339 234 192 207 176 -16 -8%
M Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 367 434 515 588 579 555 555 601 234 64%
N Administrative and Support Services 211 220 295 278 405 237 245 207 -4 -2%
O Public Administration and Safety 227 287 293 340 366 371 365 443 216 95%
P Education and Training 1,066 1,268 1,413 1,276 1,388 1,454 1,380 1,316 250 23%
Q Health Care and Social Assistance 1,109 1,215 1,098 1,143 1,512 1,804 1,726 1,922 813 73%
R Arts and Recreation Services 205 145 157 215 215 268 311 296 91 44%
S Other Services 355 418 492 444 478 478 466 474 119 34%
Total All Industries 9,434 9,898 10,832 11,417 12,382 12,105 11,637 11,791 2,357 25%
31%
-5%
18%
-2%
24%
1%
-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
2000 - 2008
2008 - 2014
Kapiti Coast District Wellington Region New Zealand
Source: Property Economics
Employment Count OtakiParaparaumu
CentralRaumati Beach Raumati South Waikanae
Pakakariki
Town Centre
Paraparaumu
BeachIn Centre Not in Centre Total
Industrial 199 612 3 6 266 33 27 1,147 1,201 2,348
Retail 386 1,308 30 340 27 159 2,250 920 3,170
Commercial 74 756 41 164 12 78 1,123 1,222 2,346
Other 77 823 177 3 182 3 41 1,305 2,622 3,927
Total 736 3,499 250 9 951 75 305 5,825 5,966 11,791
Land Area (ha) OtakiParaparaumu
CentralRaumati Raumati South Waikanae
Pakakariki
Town Centre
Paraparaumu
BeachTotal
District Centre 0.0 68.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 68.2
Town Centre 12.2 0.0 3.0 6.2 0.0 5.2 27.0
Local Centre 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 6.2
Outer Business Zone 0 11.7 0 0 0 0 30.0
Industrial 57.6 64.7 0.0 1.1 7.5 0.0 0.0 136.4
Airport Mixed Use 0.0 125.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 125.9
Total 69.8 270.5 3.0 1.1 13.7 1.5 5.2 393.7
Vacant Land Area (ha) OtakiParaparaumu
CentralRaumati Beach Raumati South Waikanae
Pakakariki
Town Centre
Paraparaumu
BeachIn Centre Not in Centre Total
Commercial 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1 0.0 2.1
Industrial 27.8 10.7 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 38.9 38.9
Airport Mixed Use 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Paraparaumu Town Centre 0 36.1 0 0 0 0 36.1 0.0 36.1
Waikanae North Mixed Use 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total 29.3 47.0 0.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 38.2 38.9 77.1
Vacant Land % OtakiParaparaumu
CentralRaumati Beach Raumati South Waikanae
Pakakariki
Town Centre
Paraparaumu
BeachIn Centre Not in Centre Total
Commercial 71% 10% 0% 14% 5% 0% 100% 0% 100%
Industrial 72% 27% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 100% 100%
Airport Mixed Use 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Paraparaumu Town Centre 0% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
Waikanae North Mixed Use 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Total 38% 61% 0% 1% 0% 0% 50% 50% 100%
Source: Property Economics, KCDC
NB: Based on the most recent land information provided by KCDC 2015 and 2011 vacancy data.
Node / Area Industrial Retail Commercial Other Total
Kapiti Road 355 145 91 136 727
Otaki Outlet Centre 30 223 17 12 281
Otaki South 127 17 17 32 193
Otaki TC 42 147 40 34 262
Pakakariki TC 33 27 12 3 75
Paraparaumu Airport 18 75 0 9 102
Paraparaumu Beach 27 159 78 41 305
Paraparaumu East 43 18 12 12 85
Paraparaumu TC 196 1,070 653 666 2,585
Raumati Beach 0 30 41 177 247
Raumati South 6 0 0 3 9
Waikanae East 120 40 30 49 240
Waikanae TC 145 300 134 132 711
Out of centre 1,204 920 1,222 2,622 5,969
Total 2,348 3,170 2,346 3,927 11,791
Employment Industrial Commercial Total
Base Year (2014) 2,438 2,632 11,423
Scenario 1 (2033) 3,426 3,713 16,308
Net Growth # 988 1,081 4,885
Net Growth % 41% 41% 43%
Scenario 2 (2033) 3,789 4,178 17,672
Net Growth 1,351 1,546 6,249
Net Growth % 55% 59% 55%
Land Requirements (2014 - 2033) Industrial Commercial
Scenario 1 (ha) 15.26 9.69
Scenario 2 (ha) 20.47 12.97
Category 2006 2010 2014 2023 2028 2033
A Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing 376 322 360 388 394 391
B Mining 6 12 9 19 24 29
C Manufacturing 847 792 669 976 1,010 1,027
D Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services 59 94 73 137 160 186
E Construction 1,376 1,230 1,179 1,516 1,569 1,597
F Wholesale Trade 178 165 164 203 210 213
G Retail Trade 2,081 2,008 2,162 2,494 2,599 2,667
H Accommodation and Food Services 1,169 1,303 1,186 1,673 1,793 1,900
I Transport, Postal and Warehousing 308 275 277 335 343 345
J Information Media and Telecommunications 189 266 134 250 301 355
K Financial and Insurance Services 169 171 143 215 227 235
L Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services 321 190 176 212 200 179
M Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 622 539 601 651 663 661
N Administrative and Support Services 250 173 207 199 193 181
O Public Administration and Safety 316 382 443 506 555 604
P Education and Training 1,299 1,320 1,316 1,662 1,753 1,823
Q Health Care and Social Assistance 1,173 1,824 1,922 2,406 2,632 2,854
R Arts and Recreation Services 221 213 296 264 276 283
S Other Services 463 474 474 598 632 658
Total All Industries 11,423 11,753 11,791 14,824 15,652 16,308
Source: Property Economics
2014 2023 2028 2033
H Accommodation and Food Services 178 251 269 285
J Information Media and Telecommunications 134 250 301 355
K Financial and Insurance Services 143 227 236 268
L Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services 176 200 154 118
M Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 601 663 638 628
N Administrative and Support Services 207 193 164 137
O Public Administration and Safety 443 555 631 866
P Education and Training 197 249 263 273
Q Health Care and Social Assistance 481 601 658 714
R Arts and Recreation Services 74 66 69 71
Total Industry 2,634 3,256 3,382 3,713
2014 2023 2028 2033
A Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing 36 39 39 39
B Mining 9 19 24 29
C Manufacturing 669 976 1,010 1,027
D Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services 73 137 160 186
E Construction 1,179 1,516 1,569 1,597
F Wholesale Trade 164 203 210 213
I Transport, Postal and Warehousing 308 275 277 335
Total Industrial 2,438 3,164 3,289 3,426
Source: Property Economics
Category 2006 2010 2014 2023 2028 2033
A Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing 376 322 360 422 427 422
B Mining 6 12 9 19 22 27
C Manufacturing 847 792 669 1,078 1,121 1,146
D Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services 59 94 73 149 173 201
E Construction 1,376 1,230 1,179 1,656 1,713 1,742
F Wholesale Trade 178 165 164 230 242 249
G Retail Trade 2,081 2,008 2,162 2,728 2,842 2,914
H Accommodation and Food Services 1,169 1,303 1,186 1,819 1,941 2,050
I Transport, Postal and Warehousing 308 275 277 382 401 411
J Information Media and Telecommunications 189 266 134 272 326 383
K Financial and Insurance Services 169 171 143 234 245 254
L Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services 321 190 176 246 242 228
M Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 622 539 601 708 718 713
N Administrative and Support Services 250 173 207 228 228 220
O Public Administration and Safety 316 382 443 550 601 651
P Education and Training 1,299 1,320 1,316 1,807 1,897 1,967
Q Health Care and Social Assistance 1,173 1,824 1,922 2,615 2,849 3,079
R Arts and Recreation Services 221 213 296 287 298 305
S Other Services 463 474 474 650 684 710
Total All Industries 11,423 11,753 11,791 16,078 16,971 17,672
2014 2023 2028 2033
H Accommodation and Food Services 178 273 291 307
J Information Media and Telecommunications 134 272 326 383
K Financial and Insurance Services 143 245 255 304
L Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services 176 242 196 202
M Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 601 718 688 713
N Administrative and Support Services 207 228 199 294
O Public Administration and Safety 443 601 681 833
P Education and Training 197 271 285 295
Q Health Care and Social Assistance 481 654 712 770
R Arts and Recreation Services 74 72 75 76
Total Industry 2,634 3,576 3,708 4,178
2014 2023 2028 2033
A Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing 36 42 43 42
B Mining 9 19 22 27
C Manufacturing 669 1,078 1,121 1,146
D Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services 73 149 173 201
E Construction 1,179 1,656 1,713 1,742
F Wholesale Trade 164 230 242 249
I Transport, Postal and Warehousing 308 275 277 382
Total Industrial 2,438 3,448 3,591 3,789
Employee Growth Manufacturing
Transport
& Storage Construction
Wholesale
Trade Other Total
2014 - 2023 307 -33 337 39 77 726
2023 - 2033 34 2 54 7 28 125
2014 - 2033 341 -31 390 46 105 851
Floorspace Growth (sqm)
2014 - 2023 18,672 -3,828 9,763 2,813 9,105 36,524
2023 - 2033 2,085 232 1,556 487 3,383 7,743
2014 - 2033 20,757 -3,596 11,318 3,300 12,488 44,267
Land Requirements (ha)
2014 - 2023 6.44 -1.32 3.37 0.97 3.14 12.59
2023 - 2033 0.72 0.08 0.54 0.17 1.17 2.67
2014 - 2033 7.16 -1.24 3.90 1.14 4.31 15.26
Employee Growth Manufacturing
Transport &
Storage Construction
Wholesale
Trade Other Total
2014 - 2023 409 -33 477 66 92 1,010
2023 - 2033 44 2 57 12 29 143
2014 - 2033 452 -31 534 78 120 1,153
Floorspace Growth (sqm)
2014 - 2023 24,897 -3,828 13,837 4,757 10,888 50,552
2023 - 2033 2,654 232 1,651 875 3,414 8,826
2014 - 2033 27,551 -3,596 15,488 5,632 14,302 59,377
Land Requirements (ha)
2014 - 2023 8.59 -1.32 4.77 1.64 3.75 17.43
2023 - 2033 0.92 0.08 0.57 0.30 1.18 3.04
2014 - 2033 9.50 -1.24 5.34 1.94 4.93 20.47
Source: Property Economics
Employee Growth Communication
Property,
Business
Services &
Finance Health Government Other Total
2014 - 2023 116 156 121 112 117 622
2023 - 2033 51 -91 56 76 34 126
2014 - 2033 167 65 177 188 151 749
Floorspace Growth (sqm)
2014 - 2023 3,700 3,651 7,017 4,546 8,962 27,877
2023 - 2033 1,627 -2,135 3,274 3,084 2,622 8,472
2014 - 2033 5,327 1,516 10,291 7,630 11,584 36,348
Land Requirements (ha)
2014 - 2023 1.28 0.81 1.57 1.57 1.99 7.22
2023 - 2033 0.56 -0.47 0.73 1.06 0.58 2.47
2014 - 2033 1.84 0.34 2.31 2.63 2.57 9.69
Employee Growth Communication
Property,
Business
Services &
Finance Health Government Other Total
2014 - 2023 138 307 173 158 166 942
2023 - 2033 54 -95 58 80 35 132
2014 - 2033 192 212 232 238 201 1,074
Floorspace Growth (sqm)
2014 - 2023 4,394 7,177 10,053 6,405 12,733 40,762
2023 - 2033 1,724 -2,222 3,387 3,244 2,648 8,781
2014 - 2033 6,118 4,956 13,439 9,648 15,381 49,542
Land Requirements (ha)
2014 - 2023 1.52 1.59 2.25 2.21 2.83 10.40
2023 - 2033 0.59 -0.49 0.76 1.12 0.59 2.57
2014 - 2033 2.11 1.10 3.01 3.33 3.42 12.97
Source: Property Economics
District
Total Employed
Labour Force
Adjusted
Employment
Retention
Rate
Waitakere City 88,143 51,441 58%
Waimakariri District 22,032 13,254 60%
Upper Hutt City 19,479 12,089 62%
Porirua City 22,545 15,169 67%
Selwyn District 19,035 13,072 69%
Kapiti Coast District 20,448 14,332 70%
Waikato District 20,820 14,692 71%
Area Outside Territorial Authority 216 155 72%
Rodney District 44,265 31,770 72%
Manawatu District 15,048 11,144 74%
Franklin District 29,745 22,232 75%
Papakura District 20,601 16,239 79%
Western Bay of Plenty District 20,400 16,280 80%
Waipa District 21,906 17,650 81%
Manukau City 142,044 117,333 83%
Rangitikei District 7,368 6,172 84%
Hauraki District 7,770 6,578 85%
Tasman District 23,313 19,994 86%
Horowhenua District 12,960 11,118 86%
North Shore City 108,891 93,716 86%
Stratford District 4,413 3,826 87%
Waimate District 3,507 3,060 87%
Lower Hutt City 49,398 43,373 88%
South Wairarapa District 4,545 4,021 88%
Carterton District 3,618 3,201 88%
Napier City 27,564 25,407 92%
Clutha District 9,087 8,462 93%
Tararua District 8,997 8,424 94%
Southland District 16,524 15,479 94%
Whakatane District 14,427 13,537 94%
Hurunui District 5,697 5,350 94%
Chatham Islands Territory 363 342 94%
South Waikato District 9,411 8,860 94%
Westland District 4,635 4,406 95%
Wanganui District 19,035 18,111 95%
District
Total Employed
Labour Force
Adjusted
Employment
Retention
Rate
Kaipara District 8,355 8,014 96%
Taupo District 16,161 15,504 96%
New Plymouth District 33,918 32,723 96%
Opotiki District 3,363 3,245 97%
Gisborne District 19,281 18,663 97%
Waitaki District 9,990 9,716 97%
Otorohanga District 4,599 4,473 97%
Far North District 22,611 22,025 97%
Central Otago District 9,201 8,980 98%
Wairoa District 3,723 3,644 98%
Gore District 6,354 6,226 98%
Central Hawke's Bay District 6,954 6,824 98%
Buller District 4,677 4,593 98%
Marlborough District 22,731 22,362 98%
Kaikoura District 2,034 2,023 99%
Matamata-Piako District 15,135 15,069 100%
Whangarei District 33,414 33,297 100%
Dunedin City 58,131 57,929 100%
Invercargill City 25,335 25,288 100%
Queenstown-Lakes District 14,673 14,695 100%
Rotorua District 30,822 30,935 100%
Ashburton District 15,057 15,151 101%
Waitomo District 4,596 4,631 101%
Masterton District 10,935 11,031 101%
Grey District 6,924 7,003 101%
Timaru District 21,156 21,418 101%
Ruapehu District 6,561 6,737 103%
Thames-Coromandel District 12,153 12,530 103%
South Taranaki District 13,023 13,447 103%
Hastings District 34,869 36,104 104%
Mackenzie District 2,193 2,313 105%
Tauranga City 48,957 52,255 107%
Christchurch City 178,092 192,943 108%
Nelson City 22,023 24,833 113%
Hamilton City 62,772 70,859 113%
Palmerston North City 39,150 44,447 114%
Wellington City 102,633 128,364 125%
Auckland City 202,545 298,482 147%
Kawerau District 2,409 3,577 148%
Average 94%
