3-1-tragedy of commons.pdf
TRANSCRIPT
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
1/27
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
2/27
The Earth is made up o large, connected systems. As we discussed in the
introduction, human activity is changing many o these systems - especially
those involving the surace o the planet the atmosphere, oceans, orests
and ecosystems. For each o these systems, take a moment to think o and
describe a way in which you believe the system has been degraded or other-
wise negatively eected by human activity. Make a note o your answers well
come back to them at the end o this lecture.
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
3/27
There are o course many answers. For example, you may have said that the
atmosphere is being polluted by greenhouse gases or smog, or that surace
lights have obscured the stars in the night sky. Forests have been logged, pre-
vented rom going through natural orest re cycles, and suered introduced
species, such as the emerald ash borer. Oceans have suered over-shing,
plastic pollution and run-o rom arms. Ecosystems have been transormed
by human land use, while some species have even become extinct. I we
wish to live sustainably, we must solve these problems.
This seems hard, as it is a long list o problems but while the details
change, there is oten an underlying principle that each o these problemshave in common.
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
4/27
Is there some kind o general hidden me
these dierent problems? I we nd a gene
nd a general solution.
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
5/27
There is a uniying model, or concept, that can help us
understand many o the environmental problems that we
ace. This concept was rst described by Garrett Hardin in
1968 and is known as the Tragedy o the Commons.
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
6/27
In this case, commons means a shared area open to all. An early ex-
ample would be a common grazing area. No one herdsman owned the
land, but all the herdsman shared the land and its resource odder or
their livestock.
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
7/27
The tragedy reers to the inevitable destruction o the
in this case, overgrazing will cause all the grass to be
that it will not recover, and wind and rain will remove
mons topsoil, degrading it rom lush rangeland to a panse. It is a central part o this concept that this des
inevitable. I overgrazing is the result o too many ani
many sheep, goats, cattle, reindeer or anything else
o a nite plot o land, why might overgrazing be inev
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
8/27
Lets illustrate this tragedy sequence with a simple model.
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
9/27
Consider a single common pasture.
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
10/27
I it is overgrazed, the pasture will become steadily more degraded, as the
cattle eat the grass aster than it can grow. I the pasture is denuded o grass, it
is vulnerable to topsoil loss when conditions are unusually dry or wet.
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
11/27
I the top soil is lost, the grass will never recove
will be supported in the uture.
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
12/27
As a group, the armers do not want to overgraze the commons.
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
13/27
The individual incentive is
Its in each armers own
many cattle as possible, a
the amount o meat and
a subsistence armer, ev
could really help by ma
between having well-ed
children, or example.
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
14/27
And i one o your neighbors grazes three cattle and you have only have two, it
would only be air to add to your herd even i your other neighbor has only one
cow.
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
15/27
Each extra cow degrades
degradation is shared.
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
16/27
I ty armers have a total o 100
cows on the commons , adding a
single cow will increase your pro-
ductivity by 50% (rom 2 to 3 milk
producers), but the commons is only
1% more utilized (rom 100 cows to
101). So or every individual armer,
its well worth adding livestock.
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
17/27
Its especially well worth doing
ers have the same incentive
way and take the same action
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
18/27
I you do nothing, the commons will still be degraded, and your long-term uture is still blea
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
19/27
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
20/27
The Tragedy o the Commons con-
cept is now used metaphorically to
describe many Earth systems.
The Tragedy reers to the inevita-
bly o the destruction o the naturalsystem, and the Commons reers
to any shared resource that is open
to all. So the Tragedy o the Com-
mons claims that i a resource is
open or use by anyone, it will be de-
stroyed.
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
21/27
Examples o Commons include the atmosphere we
all share the same air oceans theyre all connected,
and owned by no one and many orests.
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
22/27
Global sheries are perhaps the strongest evidence that the Tragedy o the Commons
concept has some validity.
The oceans are a shared resource with many individual sherman but i too many sh are
extracted, the shery collapses there are not enough mature sh let to repopulate. The
Tragedy o the Commons would predict that sherman would increase their catches past
the sustainable limit. It is in the interests o each individual sher to catch as many sh as
possible but when all shers maximize their own catch by purchasing more and bigger
boats rates o extraction can exceed rates o repopulation.
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
23/27
This has been observed in
world. As an example, here
northwest Atlantic. Notice h
o improved shing techniqu
in the shing feet in the 50s
creased catch, at rst, until o
the supply. The decline in th
only a tiny raction o sh is t
compared to hal a century a
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
24/27
And this pattern is repeated everywhere. Note on this graph that the number o over-exploited or collapsed sheries (o
and red portions o the graph) have increased rom almost nothing to around hal o all sheries. The northwest Atlant
shery is an example o a collapsed shery. The other hal are currently ully exploited. The overshed and collapsed
ies are clearly bad or the sh and their ecosystem, but theyre also a disaster or coastal communities the rational ac
o individual have created a collective disaster, devastating the livelihoods o millions and destroyed valuable resource
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
25/27
Greenhouse gas warming o the atmosphere by
ossil uels can also be thought o as a Tragedy o
the Commons. In this case, using ossil uels has
a private benet individual countries and peoplegain the use o cheap energy, while the carbon di-
oxide produced pollutes the common resource o
the atmosphere.
So individual users gain all o the benet but experi-
ence only an innitesimal part o the cost. Collec-
tively, however, the atmosphere is degraded. Does
this mean that there is no hope in preventing large-
scale climate change, just as we have been unable
to prevent the collapse o sheries? Perhaps but
we will examine potential solutions to the Tragedy
o the Commons in the next lecture.
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
26/27
-
7/30/2019 3-1-Tragedy of Commons.pdf
27/27