2q/1h 2017 analysts - pds group · • paid traffic increased significantly from january 2016 given...
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2Q/1H 2017 Analysts’ Briefing8 August 2017 | The Globe Tower BGC
Performance Highlights: Record revenues and EBITDA driven by data services. NIATimpacted by higher depreciation and interest charges.
• Record revenues again led by data-relatedrevenues.62.9
Service Revenues
Php billion
1H17
+5%YoY
2Q17
31.8Service Revenues
Php billion
+6%vs.
2Q16
• Record EBITDA driven by recordrevenues, overcoming increases inoperating expenses.
27.3EBITDA
Php billion
+6%YoY 13.9
EBITDA
Php billion
+11%vs.
2Q16
• Lower NIAT due to higher depreciationand interest expenses.8.7
Normalized NIAT 1
Php billion
-4%YoY 4.5
Normalized NIAT 1
Php billion
-3%vs.
2Q16
2
22.753Q17 Cash Dividend
/sh+3%
vs.
2Q16
• Record date on August 22, 2017• Payment date on September 6, 2017
1 Excludes SMC-related charges for comparability
Revenue growth led by Mobile and Home Broadband
Mobile Home Broadband
Fixed Line Voice
Corporate Data
Total
Δ1H17 +5% +8% +3% -5% +5%
3• Beginning 2017, Globe to report prepaid subscribers which excludethose who do not reload within 90 days of the second expiry periodversus the previous cut-off of 120 days.
• Increase in subscriber base due to strong gross acquisitionsin fixed wireless segment
+8%-3%61.3million
59.7million
Mobile Subscribers Home Broadband Subscribers
2Q16 2Q17
1.14million
2Q16 2Q17
1.23million
Postpaid Prepaid TM Wireless Wired
Δ2Q17 +8% +7% -1% -8% +6%
Petabytes
50%
Data-related services now account for 53% of total service revenues
Home BroadbandIn Php Billions
Corporate DataIn Php Billions
Mobile DataIn Php Billions
Total Data Revenues as a Percentage of Total Service Revenues
53%
1H16 1H17 280Petabytes
+85%
Mobile Data Users as a % of Mobile Subscribers
Mobile Data Traffic1H171H16
55%1H171H16
Non-Data Revenues Data Revenues
20.3
*Normalized to account for the impact of revenue allocation rules
7.7 5.0+24%* +8% +3%
4
151
44% +11 ppts
17.920.3
1H16 1H17Jan-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16 Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Paid
Free……
+1125%Paid FB volume
End of Globe Prepaid’s free Facebook offer
+13%
+24%Normalized MDS growth
End of TM’s free Facebook
offer
• Period of adjustment following end of Free FB promotionfollowed by an increase in paid traffic
• Paid traffic increased significantly from January 2016 giventhe shift in usage habits of consumers
• MDS revenues grew 13% on reported revenues butnormalized MDS growth at 24%
• Normalized MDS growth more reflective of thestate of the MDS business
On a normalized basis, mobile data revenues would have grown by 24% year on year.
Facebook Traffic Mobile DataIn Php Billions
New products, events and initiatives that enrich the Filipino digital lifestyle.
6
Globe’s SEA-US Cable system to go commercial this August
Never miss out on online fun with Globe GoWiFi Auto
Globe #StreamFest highlights new GoBIG data plans
Globe LIVE brings Newsies, West Side Story to Manila
Create. The Rush Within. With Globe entertainment packs
Watch longer, whenever withGoWATCH29 on GoSURF50
Financial Highlights
6M17
Reported
6M16
ReportedYoY %
VTI
Impact
(6M17)
6M17
NormalizedYoY% 2Q17 1Q17
Gross Service Revenues 62,901 59,872 5% 62,901 5% 31,779 31,122
*OPEX & Subsidy (35,642) (34,274) 4% (35,642) 4% (17,836) (17,806)
EBITDA 27,259 25,598 6% 27,259 6% 13,943 13,316
EBITDA Margin 43% 43% 44% 43%
Depreciation (13,067) (11,458) 14% (13,067) 14% (6,630) (6,437)
EBIT 14,192 14,140 - 14,192 - 7,313 6,879
Non-Operating Charges (2,477) (1,353) 83% (727) (1,750) 29% (1,157) (1,320)
Provision for Income Tax (3,627) (3,813) -5% 161 (3,788) -1% (1,829) (1,798)
Net Income 8,088 8,974 -10% (567) 8,655 -4% 4,327 3,761
**Core Net Income 7,974 8,837 -10% (567) 8,541 -3% 4,293 3,681
* OPEX & Subsidy includes interconnect charges.** Core Net Income excludes forex, mark-to-market gains and losses, and non-recurring items.
Consolidated Financial Highlights: Record revenues and EBITDA but higher operatingand non-operating expenses, and depreciation resulted in lower NIAT and Core NIAT.
8
• Decline in 2Q17 non-operating charges stems from lower equity in net loss related to SMC transactiondue to reduced losses in the joint venture and reversals of previous accruals for spectrum amortization.
25,598
27,259
3,029 583
-
822
- - -
827 1,129
818
6M16EBITDA
Inc. inRevenues
Dec. inInterconnect
Charges
Inc. in StaffCosts
Dec. inMarketing &
Subsidy
Inc. inNetworkCosts
Inc. inProvisions,Services &
Other OPEX
6M17EBITDA
+6%YoY
Change in EBITDA
In Php Millions
9
Record EBITDA on the back of record revenues partially offset by higher operatingexpenses
QoQChange in
EBITDAIn Php Millions
13,316
13,943 -
657 52
271
-
-
60
217 75
-
1Q17 EBITDA Inc. inRevenues
Inc. inInterconnect
Charges
Dec. in StaffCosts
Dec. inMarketing &
Subsidy
Inc. in NetworkCosts
Inc. inProvisions,Services &
Other OPEX
2Q17 EBITDA
+5%
8,974 8,088 8,655
1,661
186 567
1,609 1,124
6M16 ReportedNet Income
Change inEBITDA
Inc inDepreciation
Inc in Non-operatingExpenses
Dec in Tax 6M17 ReportedNet Income
SMC Impact 6M17Normalized Net
Income
Reported NIAT lower by 10% year on year as increases in depreciation and non-operating charges negated record EBITDA; on a normalized basis NIAT lower by 4%year on year.
YoY Change in Reported
Net IncomeIn Php Millions
10
-10%
-4%
QoQChange in Reported
Net IncomeIn Php Millions
3,761
4,327
657 163 30 193 31
1Q17 NetIncome
Inc. in Revenues Inc. in OPEX Inc. inDepreciation
Dec. in Non-operatingexpenses
Inc. in Tax 2Q17 NetIncome
+15%
21.2
32.1
36.7
27.5
2014 2015 2016 6M17
* Based on FX rate of Php49.72
Capital expenditures at approximately Php27.5 billion or USD553million*,with 87% related to data requirements
Capex* In Php Billions
11
15% 15% 15% 11% 6%
15% 10% 8% 10%6%
36%27% 30%
14%1%
35%49% 48%
65%87%
2013 2014 2015 2016 6M17
Business Support Others Core Data
Capex Breakdown
37.0
2Q17 Roll-out Updates
1,133LTE SITES
~150KHOME BROADBAND SUBSCRIBER LINES
+
1.512.15 2.44
2015 2016 6M17
Following payment of the final tranche of the SMC transaction in 2Q17, debtlevels remain within covenant ratios.
Gross Debt In Php Millions
Gross D/E RatioCovenant = 2.5:1
Gross Debt/EBITDACovenant = 3:1
12
Cash Dividend per Common Share:
Php 22.75
Record Date: August 22, 2017
Payment Date: September 6, 2017
3Q17 Dividends
72,229 105,729
123,578
2015 2016 6M17
1.221.67
1.89
2015 2016 6M17
C R E A T E . W O N D E R F U L .
Appendix 1Historical Consolidated Gross / Net Service Revenues and EBITDA Margin
14
(In Million Pesos) 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
Mobile 21,635 22,826 23,052 23,730 23,148 22,779 22,577 23,753 23,799 24,520
Mobile Voice 9,191 9,556 9,315 9,065 8,181 8,471 8,752 8,662 7,901 8,322
Mobile SMS 6,807 6,757 6,641 6,192 5,763 5,577 5,704 6,155 5,930 5,860
Mobile Data 5,636 6,513 7,096 8,472 9,203 8,731 8,121 8,936 9,968 10,338
Fixed Line & Broadband 4,585 4,784 6,475 6,593 6,856 7,089 7,079 7,308 7,323 7,259
Home Broadband 2,300 2,419 3,127 3,474 3,534 3,615 3,738 3,793 3,844 3,882
Corporate Data 1,543 1,603 2,349 2,204 2,367 2,496 2,443 2,567 2,541 2,481
Fixed Line Voice 742 762 999 916 955 978 898 949 938 896
Total 26,220 27,610 29,527 30,323 30,004 29,868 29,656 31,061 31,122 31,779
EBITDA 11,043 11,672 12,073 11,174 13,067 12,531 11,912 12,468 13,315 13,944
EBITDA Margin 42% 42% 41% 37% 44% 42% 40% 40% 43% 44%
(In Million Pesos) 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
Net Service Revenues 24,162 25,438 27,565 28,084 27,689 27,537 27,423 28,933 29,065 29,662
Interconnection Settlement
Costs2,057 2,173 1,962 2,238 2,316 2,330 2,233 2,129 2,057 2,117
2015 2016
2014 2015 2016
2017
CONSOLIDATED SERVICE REVENUES
Appendix 2Mobile Subscribers, Net Adds, Churn Rates and Gross ARPUs
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Subscribers 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
Globe Postpaid 2,458,045 2,517,215 2,561,290 2,597,027 2,564,148 2,521,218 2,508,800 2,489,719 2,467,069 2,460,671
Globe Prepaid 22,214,373 23,287,012 24,391,990 25,915,096 25,452,193 27,381,884 29,409,827 28,433,793 26,678,674 27,696,014
TM 23,745,018 25,195,520 26,130,002 27,670,555 29,249,341 31,408,346 33,444,153 31,875,346 29,434,517 29,565,407
Total 48,417,436 50,999,747 53,083,282 56,182,678 57,265,682 61,311,448 65,362,780 62,798,858 58,580,260 59,722,092
Net Adds 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
Globe Postpaid 9,361 59,170 44,075 35,737 (32,879) (42,930) (12,418) (19,081) (22,650) (6,398)
Globe Prepaid 1,071,443 1,072,639 1,104,978 1,523,106 (462,903) 1,929,691 2,027,943 (976,034) (1,755,119) 1,017,340
TM 1,248,151 1,450,502 934,482 1,540,553 1,578,786 2,159,005 2,035,807 (1,568,807) (2,440,829) 130,890
Total 2,328,955 2,582,311 2,083,535 3,099,396 1,083,004 4,045,766 4,051,332 (2,563,922) (4,218,598) 1,141,832
Churn Rate 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
Globe Postpaid 3.5% 2.9% 3.3% 3.2% 3.7% 3.7% 3.1% 2.8% 2.8% 2.5%
Globe Prepaid 5.9% 6.2% 6.1% 5.2% 7.7% 5.7% 5.3% 8.2% 10.0% 6.8%
TM 6.7% 6.6% 6.8% 6.1% 6.1% 6.0% 5.2% 8.8% 10.5% 7.5%
Blended 6.1% 6.2% 6.3% 5.5% 6.7% 5.8% 5.2% 8.3% 9.9% 7.0%
Gross ARPU 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
Globe Postpaid 1,116 1,130 1,088 1,122 1,105 1,123 1,143 1,168 1,158 1,177
Globe Prepaid 128 130 124 117 116 109 99 104 111 119
TM 74 76 73 70 65 61 57 60 64 68
Blended 153 154 146 141 136 128 119 123 130 138
HOME BROADBAND 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
Revenues 2,300 2,420 3,126 3,474 3,534 3,615 3,738 3,793 3,844 3,881
Subscribers 779,590 826,001 1,026,466 1,068,920 1,101,189 1,136,608 1,147,951 1,130,750 1,191,261 1,229,573
Gross Adds 100,387 111,152 139,094 137,417 144,543 158,130 159,041 144,515 157,401 156,396
Churn Rate 2.7% 2.7% 3.6% 3.5% 3.4% 3.6% 4.2% 4.7% 2.9% 3.3%
2017
2017
2017
2017
20172015
2015
2015
2015
2015
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
Appendix 3Reconciliation of Net Income to Core Net Income
(in Million Pesos) 2Q17 2Q16 % Change 1Q17 % Change
Reported Net Income After Tax 4,327 4,639 -7% 3,761 15%
Deferred Tax on Unexercised
Stock Options8 (7) -224% (44) -118%
Add (deduct) Forex loss (gain) (60) 27 -325% (64) -6%
Other Adjustments – (including
acc. depreciation)18 (8) -325% 28 -36%
Core Net Income 4,293 4,651 -8% 3,681 17%
16