2015 it and communications predictions

17
ITCandor 2015 Predictions IT and Communications Forecast [email protected]

Upload: martin-hingley

Post on 12-Jul-2015

247 views

Category:

Technology


2 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: 2015 IT and Communications Predictions

ITCandor 2015 PredictionsIT and CommunicationsForecast

[email protected]

Page 2: 2015 IT and Communications Predictions

ITC revenue, net profit ($US) forecast - 2003-20192015 revenue share by category

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

$8,000

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

Revenue

Net Profit

+1.6%

+2.3%

Reve

nue

($U

S Bi

llion

)

Net

Pro

fit ($

US

Billi

on)

IT Service23.9%

Hardware19.1%

Software14.2% Telecom

Service42.9%

ITC Total:$6.7T

Page 3: 2015 IT and Communications Predictions

ITC revenue growth forecast by region ($US, € Euro and Chinese Yuan) 2004-2019 and 2015 by quarter

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Americas

Asia Pacific EMEA

World0.5%

3.7%

-0.3%

1.4%

2.2%

1.5%

2.2%

2.7%

4.7%

2.1%2.1%

0.6% 0.8%

2.3%

4.4%

1.4%

Q115 Q215 Q315 Q415

Page 4: 2015 IT and Communications Predictions

Major Currency fluctuation against the $US by year since 2003

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014YTD

Japan

China

Euro

Pound

Russia

Korea

Worth Less

Worth More

Page 5: 2015 IT and Communications Predictions

ITC revenue growth forecast 2015 (local currency) by country

-4% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4%RussiaGreeceFranceRomaniaSpainBulgariaItaly

HungaryMexico

USAIran

IsraelPortugal

NigeriaCanadaPoland

Czech RepublicBelgium

GermanyDenmark

BrasilAustriaFinland

AustraliaSwedenNorway

UKUAE

EgyptIreland

South AfricaNetherlandsSwitzerland

JapanIndia

ChinaTurkey

Page 6: 2015 IT and Communications Predictions

ITC revenue ($US billion) forecast 2015 by country

$3$8

$11$14$15$15

$17$17$18$18$18

$21$28$30$31$33$33$33

$37$38

$47$55

$72$93

$109$115$123

$168$172

$201$225$241

$295$340$363

$552$1,641

$1 $10 $100 $1k $10kBulgariaHungaryRomania

Czech RepublicIreland

PortugalFinlandGreece

IsraelEgypt

NigeriaDenmark

AustriaSweden

UAEPoland

South AfricaBelgium

IranNorway

SwitzerlandNetherlands

TurkeySpainIndia

CanadaMexicoRussia

ItalyAustralia

BrasilFrance

UKGermany

ChinaJapan

USA

Notes: This chart uses a logarithmic scale

Page 7: 2015 IT and Communications Predictions

Source: ITCandor, 2014

Major country share of population, GDP, energy production andITC revenue ($US) - 2015

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

United States EU China India Japan Russia

Population

GDP

Energy Production

ITC Revenue

Page 8: 2015 IT and Communications Predictions

ITC revenue growth forecast 2015 ($US) by offering

-20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

PeripheralImplementationPCOther HardwareNetworkingFixed Line

OutsourcingStorage SystemInternet Service

Converged DeviceCustom Software

WirelessBroadband

Hardware MaintenanceSoftware Maintenance

ServerApplication Software

Operating SystemInfrastructure Software

SaaSIaaS/PaaS

Gaming Console

Page 9: 2015 IT and Communications Predictions

ITC revenue ($US billion) forecast 2015 by offering

$26$48$51$52

$79$80$87$91

$131$175$179$184

$213$260$292$330

$390$408

$466$602

$1,147$1,383

$1 $10 $100 $1k $10k

Operating SystemGaming ConsoleOther Hardware

SaaSIaaS/PaaS

Storage SystemServer

Custom SoftwarePeripheral

Infrastructure SoftwareNetworking

Hardware MaintenanceOutsourcing

Software MaintenancePC

BroadbandImplementation

Converged DeviceInternet Service

Application SoftwareFixed Line

Wireless

Notes: This chart uses a logarithmic scale

Page 10: 2015 IT and Communications Predictions

Enterprise computing choices and the Cloud

Network

Storage

Server

Hypervisor

InfrastructureSoftware

Database

Application

Orchestration

build yourown buy IaaS buy PaaS buy SaaS

Page 11: 2015 IT and Communications Predictions

ITC revenue growth ($US) forecast by customer size and type – 2012-2019

-4%

-3%

-2%

-1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Consumer

Large (>1k employees)

Medium(100-1k employees)

Small(<100 employees)

All

Page 12: 2015 IT and Communications Predictions

ITC revenue growth forecast 2015 ($US) by industry sector

-1.7%

-0.7%

-0.1%

0.3%

3.8%

4.1%

4.4%

5.1%

6.1%

8.1%

8.6%

-4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%

Transport/Utilities/Communications

Central Government

Local Government

Agriculture/Mining/Construction

Finance

Other

Retail/Wholesale

Manufacturing

Business Services

Health

Education

Page 13: 2015 IT and Communications Predictions

ITC revenue forecast ($US billion) 2015 by industry sector

$111

$116

$230

$232

$238

$327

$348

$397

$533

$763

$814

$0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 $900

Other

Education

Transport/Utilities/Communications

Agriculture/Mining/Construction

Health

Central Government

Business Services

Local Government

Finance

Retail/Wholesale

Manufacturing

Page 14: 2015 IT and Communications Predictions

ITC revenue growth forecast ($US) by category – 2003-2019

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Hardware

ITService

Software

TelecomService

All

Page 15: 2015 IT and Communications Predictions

ITC profitability forecast ($US) by category – 2003-2019

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Hardware

IT Service

Software

TelecomService

All

Page 16: 2015 IT and Communications Predictions

Converged Infrastructure and Integrated System schematics

Syste m M

an agemen t

Hypervisor/OS

Orchestrated HardwareServer Storage Network

Converged Infrastructure

Build Your Own HardwareServer Storage Network

Virtual

Software DefinedData Centre

Tool Application WorkloadVirtualMachine

Service Catalogue

Tool Application WorkloadTool Application Workload

VirtualMachine

VirtualMachine

VirtualMachine

VirtualMachine

Software

Secret Sauce

Hardware

SaaS

PaaS

IaaS

Page 17: 2015 IT and Communications Predictions

ITC in 2015 offers a complex choice of theme and action

Discover

Define

Strategise

Design

ImplementOperate

Measure

Optimise

Internetof Things

Data CentreSecurity

ITVirtualisation

CloudComputing

Big DataAnalytics

SocialBusiness

Mobility

Actions

Themes