2014 tromso generalised and fractional langevin equations implications for energy balance models

16
Generalised and fractional Langevin equations-implications for energy balance models Nick Watkins ([email protected]) Norklima meeting, Tromso, 29 th September, 2014 Paper in prep, with Sandra, David, Rainer Klages and Aleksei Chechkin

Upload: prof-nick-watkins

Post on 16-Jul-2015

98 views

Category:

Science


3 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: 2014 tromso generalised and fractional Langevin equations implications for energy balance models

Generalised and fractional Langevin equations-implications

for energy balance models Nick Watkins

([email protected])

Norklima meeting, Tromso, 29th September, 2014

Paper in prep, with Sandra, David, Rainer Klages and Aleksei Chechkin

Page 2: 2014 tromso generalised and fractional Langevin equations implications for energy balance models

Description of Slide DeckGiven as an invited talk on 29th September 2014 in the kickoff workshop of NORKLIMA project“Long-range memory in Earth’s climate response and its implications for future global warming” at Quality Hotel Saga in Tromso, Norway, September 29th-October 1st

Papers currently in preparation with co-authors listed on cover page: Sandra Chapman,David Stainforth, Rainer Klages and Aleksei Chechkin.

Uploaded to Slideshare in pdf on 8th January 2015 by Nick Watkins ([email protected]).

Page 3: 2014 tromso generalised and fractional Langevin equations implications for energy balance models

Summary• Energy balance models (EBMs) longstanding field [e.g. Sellers 1969, Budyko 1969, Ghil 1984]

• Stochastic EBMs can be used to study time dependent problems of climate sensitivity[e.g. Padilla et al, 2011; Rypdal, 2012; Rypdal and Rypdal, 2014]

• 1st question: Can we make use of what we already know about the Langevin equation, andthe full Generalised Langevin Equation (GLE) that it approximates [Kubo, 1966; Haenggi, 1978],in order to study EBMs with memory i.e. a Generalised Stochastic EBM ?

• 2nd Question: Can we make use of what we know about fluctuation-dissipation theorem ?

• 3rd question: If the memory kernel in the GLE takes a power law form, we get the FractionalLangevin equation or FLE. If we do the same with the Generalised Stochastic EBM wewill get a fractional stochastic EBM, is it useful ?

Page 4: 2014 tromso generalised and fractional Langevin equations implications for energy balance models

Climate Sensitivity via Energy Balance Models

1 eq

d QS T F

dt

Q C T 0

0

Q Q Q

T T Te.g. Rypdal, JGR, 2012

Page 5: 2014 tromso generalised and fractional Langevin equations implications for energy balance models

Solving Linear Energy Balance Models

1

1

eq

d TC T F

dt S

d TC T F

C

dt

dC T F

dt

Green function

( )

1( )

solves homogene

e

ous d.

xp( / )

1( ) ( ) exp( / ) F(s

e

1

)

dC G t t

dt

G t tC

T G t s F s sC

e.g. Rypdal and Rypdal, J Climate, 2014

Page 6: 2014 tromso generalised and fractional Langevin equations implications for energy balance models

Stochastic version … looks familiar

Stochasti

1

c EBM

dC T F

dt

'

Langevin equation

dM v U

dt M

1st Question for this workshop is: Can we make use of what we already know about the Langevin equation, and the full Generalised Langevin Equation (GLE) that itis an approximation to, in order to study EBMs with memory ?

One advantage of doing this might be the ability to handle more types of memory than purelyshort or long-ranged.

Page 7: 2014 tromso generalised and fractional Langevin equations implications for energy balance models

EBM – Langevin correspondence

1

dC T F

dt

'

LE: when ( / ) ( )

dM v U

dt M

M t t

1st Question for this workshop is: Can we use what we know about Langevin equation, & Generalised Langevin eqn. [Kubo, 1966; Haenggi,1978] on stochastic EBMs with memory ?

0(t) (t t') v(t') dt' '

GLE: notation Lutz, as . 2001

td

M v Udt

v x

What goes here ?

Page 8: 2014 tromso generalised and fractional Langevin equations implications for energy balance models

What would generalised stochastic EBM be ?

1

dC T F

dt

Obvious guess is just to make same substitutions as were made for EBM

0(t) (t t') (t') dt'

tdC T T F

dt

'

LE: when ( / ) ( )

dM v U

dt M

M t t0

(t) (t t') v(t') dt' '

GLE: notation Lutz, as . 2001

td

M v Udt

v x

Page 9: 2014 tromso generalised and fractional Langevin equations implications for energy balance models

Why fluctuation dissipation theorems ?2nd Question for this workshop is: Can we make use of what we know about the Fluctuation-dissipation theorem ?To see why an FDT must exist, set acceleration and deterministic force both equal to zero. FDT then stops particle speeding up or slowing down purely due to noise effects (which we don’t want). In EBM this would be T increase/decrease

(t) (t t') v(t') dt' '

d

M v Udt

“We know that the complementary force … is indifferently positive and negative and that its magnitude is such as to maintain the agitation of the particle, which, given the viscous resistance, would stop without it ”-Langevin, 1908, quoted in Lemons, 2002.

Page 10: 2014 tromso generalised and fractional Langevin equations implications for energy balance models

FDT for Generalised Langevin equation

1( ') ( ) (t')

which in ordinary Langevin case becomes

( ') ( / ) ( ')

Note in EBM case, will not a be factor

B

M t t tk

t t

T

M t t

kT

Page 11: 2014 tromso generalised and fractional Langevin equations implications for energy balance models

Fractional Langevin equation (FLE)

3rd Question for workshop is: If the kernel in the GLE takes a power law form, we get the Fractional Langevinequation or FLE. If we do the same with the Generalised Stochastic EBM we will get an equation, is it useful ?

0

0

1

1

(t) (t t') v(t') dt' '

( )Now ~

( )

can be replaced by fractional derivative

(t

Lutz

, so integral

) v(t) '

Details in no,

2001. t white noisNote

t

t

dM v U

dt

v tt

t t

dM v U

dt t

e

Page 12: 2014 tromso generalised and fractional Langevin equations implications for energy balance models

Fractional Langevin equation (FLE)

• FLE has 3 key properties from point of view of this workshop.

• Can be given a detailed and physical derivation in terms of a coordinate coupled to a heat bath [see e.g. NWW Dresden talk on Slideshare, and Kupferman, 2004]

• Its noise term is proportional to fractional Gaussian noise [Kupferman, op. cit.]

• Known to obey an Fluctuation-Dissipation Theorem [e.g. Metzler et al, 2014]

Page 13: 2014 tromso generalised and fractional Langevin equations implications for energy balance models

Fluctuation DissipationTheorem for FLE[Metzler et al, in press, 2014]

Page 14: 2014 tromso generalised and fractional Langevin equations implications for energy balance models

So is this a useful fractional stochastic EBM ?

1

1

1

1

T(t) (t)

c.f. (t) v(t) '

dT F

dt t

dM v U

dt t

C

Page 15: 2014 tromso generalised and fractional Langevin equations implications for energy balance models

Can we solve the fractional stochastic EBM ?

1

1T(t) (t)

Can we solve by fractionally integrating both sides ?

dT F

dtC

t

Page 16: 2014 tromso generalised and fractional Langevin equations implications for energy balance models

Summary• Energy balance models (EBMs) longstanding field [e.g. Sellers 1969, Budyko 1969, Ghil 1984]

• EBMs can be used to study time dependent problems of climate sensitivity[e.g. Padilla et al, 2011; Rypdal, 2012; Rypdal and Rypdal, 2014]

• 1st question: Can we make use of what we already know about the Langevin equation, andthe full Generalised Langevin Equation (GLE) that it approximates [Kubo, 1966; Haenggi, 1978],in order to study EBMs with memory i.e. a Generalised Stochastic EBM ?

• 2nd Question: Can we make use of what we know about fluctuation-dissipation theorem ?

• 3rd question: If the memory kernel in the GLE takes a power law form, we get the FractionalLangevin equation or FLE. If we do the same with the Generalised Stochastic EBM wewill get a fractional stochastic EBM, is it useful ?