2014 tmc spring future truck

Confidential and Proprietary, © 2013, Tech-I-M, LLC

Future Truck/Far HorizonTMC Spring 2014

http://www.airflowtruck.com/2015_Concept_Vehicle.html

http://www.airflowtruck.com/2015_Concept_Vehicle.html


Change is Inevitable

If you always do what you have always done,

you will always get what you have always got!

Change It Up!!!


Carl Kirk Comments

Global Truck Platforms . . . Non-regulatory issue, yet a concern of fleets

•  Production of global truck platforms forecast to reach 612,000 units by 2018 . . . double that of 2011

•  By 2018 30% of all heavy truck production among top

12 global OEMs will be based on global platforms •  Automotive market: Top 10 global platforms are

projected to deliver 94% of the increase in global sales volume

•  Fleet concern . . . Absence of user involvement

•  Call to action . . . Need for reciprocity among U.S. and European-based fleets at a minimum

In thinking of “macro” issues that the Far Horizons might consider, I would offer the issue of “global pla>orms” now being offered by truck OEMs and the relaCve absence of user involvement in the design process. This would allow us to remain faithful to the original purpose of TMC’s Future Truck Program – albeit at a macro level. It seems that TMC has to adapt, as the manufacturing climate has changed since the Future Truck program’s original incepCon. While the development of global pla>orms among truck OEMs is an inexorable trend that we are not going to stop, we at least should be able to have some input in the design process. And this could apply in numerous ways: electronics, diagnosCcs, ergonomics, etc. (Duke – I believe you menConed to me some years ago that when you were speaking to a Swedish engineer about some Volvo trucks, he had no idea of RP1210 and its uClity to the industry.) “Global pla>orms” is commonly defined as sharing common design, engineering and manufacturing elements across brands of trucks – both internal and external to a corporaCon.


Truck of the Future

http://www.automotiveworld.com/analysis/innovation-safety-fuel-efficiency-key-achieving-truck-future/

The truck of the future will be smarter safer and cleaner, was the consensus, following the theme of the event; this will be achieved thanks to constantly improving industry efforts and legislative advances in Europe. However, more is still

needed to ensure the meeting of many future goals, including the EC-proposed 2020 target to reduce

greenhouse gas emissions by 20%.

http://www.automotiveworld.com/analysis/innovation-safety-fuel-efficiency-key-achieving-truck-future/


TMA Meeting in Chicago

A global approach to further improve energy efficiency and reduce greenhouse gas emissions from commercial vehicles has been approved in a meeting in Chicago by the world’s leading manufacturers of heavy-duty commercial trucks and engines in Europe, Japan and the US.At the meeting, the chief executives of the assembled companies agreed to continue their joint efforts to work with government bodies to promote harmonised global standards.…The meeting was chaired by Tom Linebarger, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Cummins, and was the eleventh meeting of the chief executives to discuss global issues and address challenges facing commercial vehicle and engine manufacturers.…In addition to the participation of the chief executives, the meeting brought together representatives of the European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA), the Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association and the Truck and Engine Manufacturers Association.

http://www.automotiveworld.com/analysis/cv-oems-seek-global-approach-improving-efficiency/


Vic Suski Comments

• Look far out to the distant horizon

• Not a grab bag of things that Study groups can handle

•Macro issues and emerging trends

• Increased leasing and impact on maintenance, such as MRO’s in aerospace• Machines that heal themselves—put maintenance out of business• Throw away trucks more like India• More LTL, small packaging, drone deliveries• Platooning (finally)

• Actions

• Engage the World future Society, and its National Capitol chapter•Work with Bob Costello who in effect is doing for economics what the Far Horizons is trying to do for

technolgy.•Work to eliminate any roadblock to one OEM building both the tractor and trailer• Institute a Reliability function in Future Truck to assess the effect of coming innovations on systems

reliability• Reliability is the "elephant in the room" that no one wants to talk about. Yet the more complex we make things the more

accidents and deaths will occur (e.g. unintended auto acceleration, Boeing 787 batteries, automated cockpit failures/pilot confusion)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aKp-G14TA78

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aKp-G14TA78


Megatrends Europe 2013Many academics, environmentalists, industrialists – including those in the wider automotive industry – and politicians, a group frequently maligned for its short-sightedness, are convinced that by the middle of this century the world population will have grown from seven billion today to nine billion, and that as many as 80% of those people will live in cities compared with around 60% at the moment. Some people might think that because populations will be living closer to their places of work, world energy demand will fall, but no: the number of vehicles will almost triple from 800 million today to two billion by 2050, and two-thirds of them will still have an internal combustion engine, even if it is allied to some form of electrification.

http://www.automotiveworld.com/analysis/world-2050-9-billion-people-2-billion-cars-congested-megacities/


Timeline — To Influence Future Trucks

2011 2013 20172015 20212019 20252023 2027 2027

Phase 1 Regulations

DOE SuperTruckPhase 2 Regulations

NAS Interim Report

NAS Final Report

Survey Fleets

ComVec Presentations

TMC White Papers

@ Phase 2 Regulations Effective

@ New Vehicles@ New Vehicles

@ New Vehicles


S.1 Electrical & Instruments 1.  Increased operating truck system voltage from today’s 12 volt system to 24 volt

or higher. This provides: •  Weight savings for conductors, alternator, starter motor, electric motors •  Reduces conductor bundle size •  Improves packaging with reduced size and weight

2.  Easily identifiable (visually) difference between AGM and Flooded batteries 3.  Component based diagnostics

•  Self-check feature on battery, LVD, alternator and starter 4.  Remote temperature compensation for alternators

•  Extend battery life by varying voltage based on battery compartment temperature 5.  Total vehicle multiplexed with communication through chassis and cab ECM’s 6.  One standardized wiring diagram format from all vehicle manufacturers

•  Diagram should show wire type (GXL, SXL, etc. for repair purposes) 7.  Cycle life standards printed on battery label 8.  Improvements in lighting and lighting interfaces 9.  Test equipment calibration standards 10.  Shorter cabling

S.1 Electrical & Instruments 1.  Mobile Technology developing much faster than Vehicle

Technology 2.  Integration of Mobile Technology to Vehicle Technology need

for human factors studies i.e. Vehicle Simulators driven by software modules

3.  Standard wireless communication for Commercial TPMS for tires: for example, TPMS products for the passenger cars are OEM specific with many protocols

4.  Performance Standard for forward lighting products needed 5.  Performance Standard for up coming video cameras &

connectors 6.  Commercial Drivers want to be be Connected to Internet

during operation and the Industry must find a way with Safety and Productivity as key factors

Al Lesesky, S.1 Future Truck Input


S2 top 10 critical items for the future 1.  Tire inflation

•  Maintenance, ATIS, TPMS, equalizers, gauges, gaseous fill 2.  Low Rolling Resistance tires

•  Reduced RR, non-trade off of traditional performance measures, perception of traction

3.  Weight Reduction •  Of the tire and wheel assembly, maintain durability

4.  Widebase tires •  445/50R22.5, 455/55R22.5, any size 365 cross section or larger and

19.5 wheel diameter and larger; RR, mileage, traction, durability, retreadability

5.  Aero •  Tires, wheel covers, more aggressive skirts on trailers and tractors;

affects of wheel end temperatures

S2 top 10 critical items for the future 6.  Retread & Repair

•  Longer use of casings, more puncture & section repairs per tire

7.  Automatic tread depthing of tires •  Maintenance aid, more accurate, more often, allows additional

32nds used

8.  Non-pneumatic tire designs/materials 9.  Splash & Spray

•  Improved vision for passenger cars during passing, improved sighting for drivers

10.  Thermal Management •  Less heat equals less RR, less component damage; addressing

under inflation, misadjusted bearings, dragging brakes, insufficient lube


S.3 Engines


S.4 Cab & Controls 1.  Vision- to include field of view (Direct), windshield, side

glass & mirror (dimensional and environmental) as well as Glare management (day & night)

2.  Information Overload/Distracted Driving 3.  Cab aerodynamics effects on fuel economy 4.  Connected vehicle interface with driver 5.  Cab construction durability for safety and crash

worthiness 6.  Interior noise reduction 7.  Cab insulation to reduce HVAC inefficiencies 8.  Back up cameras 9.  Driver coaching


S.5 Fleet Maintenance Management


S.6 Chassis and Brake Systems


S.7 Trailers, Bodies & Material Handling

1.  Active trailer gap control 2.  Higher cube trailer configurations 3.  Lift axles 4.  Backup warning and or camera’s 5.  Hybrid refrigeration 6.  Alternate fuel refrigeration 7.  2 way Telematics to monitor systems, load and security 8.  Alternate loading and unloading to accommodate newer

trailer configurations 9.  Total vehicle aero dynamics 10. Hydraulic, electric regenerative power systems to power

accessories or for propulsion assist.


S.11 Energy Conversion 1.  Improve ton mile per diesel equivalent unit of energy 40% by 2025

•  Examples of areas to apply technology I.  Parasitic accessory loads should be electrically driven II.  Increase the recovery of heat sources with which to drive generation of electricity for vehicle use III.  Reduce rolling resistance of each wheel position IV.  Recapture energy during deceleration from all wheel positions V.  Implement active alignment systems that reduce energy consumption during vehicle maneuvering

2.  Implementation of Zero emission commercially viable delivery vehicles 3.  Implementation of vehicles and shop facilities and equipment that supports regional fleet

utilization of closest forms of energy. (Reduce the amount of energy transportation cost) 4.  Build new or improve business facilities with direct objective of energy efficiency

I.  Improve building heat exchange utilizing improved insulation, doors and windows II.  Increase use of renewable resources for lighting, heat and cooling

5.  Train repeatedly employees to conserve energy by providing proper equipment utilization and resource recycling instruction

6.  Requiring supplies be sold to us in efficient packaging I.  Least mass II.  Least possible use of natural resources III.  Always completely & easily recyclable

7.  Drastically change the shape of tractors and trailers to reduce coefficient of friction while in motion


S.12 On-Board Vehicle Electronics


S.14 Light and Medium-Duty & Specialty Trucks


S.16 Service Provider 1.  Technician Recruiting - while I know this doesn't specifically have a

direct correlation to the Future Truck, it does indirectly. How do we go about reaching out to high school students, in vocational areas, to understand that being a Truck Technician is a demanding, yet highly technical field that will be in demand for years to come? I think the primary way is a PR campaign of sorts targeting Guidance Counselors and teachers that are in contact with kids at a younger age.

•  When it comes to attracting high quality players to work in the service end of our industry, I think we could look at what it takes to "create a want" to be part of our industry. We seem to do a good job in spelling out how to attract and retain people, but how do go about getting people to want to be in our industry versus choosing another industry as a career?

2.  What are the effects of "Right to Repair" going to have on all of us? •  How are we going to be able to diagnose and repair issues on these vehicles?

3.  How do we stay on top of training and adjusting to the new technologies that are being implemented to ensure maximum efficiency during the useful life of the products?

•  EPA Requirements •  Electronics (ABS, GPS, Telematics, etc.) •  Idle Reduction products/strategies

S.16 Service Provider 4.  As fleets are now utilizing the VMRS standards in their maintenance

practices in order to get better analytics, Service Providers continue to resist implementation due to a host of reasons, not the least of which is cost. I think there needs to be some sort of standard EDI, or communication protocol (i.e., Bluetooth) for all software providers to ensure that maintenance and repair data can be communicated directly from the Service Provider to the Fleet Maintenance Management software, thus eliminating the need for groups of people "translating" repair orders into VMRS codes.

5.  Training for service provider office personnel........ most dealers that I have worked with throughout my 30 years in this industry focus on training their gross profit generating technicians and do little to turn their front line office people into knowledgeable players.... What metric is there to train service writers and foreman versus " jump in the position and learn it”?

6.  Dealer to Dealer policy guidelines--- one dealer does an improper repair, truck leaves and breaks down, and gets fixed correctly at another dealer--- maybe we look at some guidelines to keep things fair and balanced/ process orientated versus putting the customer in the middle of the situation


Professional Technician Development Committee


Corrosion Control Action Committee 1.  Improve OEM’s utilization of proper SAE test protocols for

corrosion resistance, including newer de-icing and pre-icing chemical solutions

2.  Weather / moisture proof wiring connections, trailer cords and lighting receptacles

3.  Improve corrosion prevention at wheel-to-hub mating surfaces 4.  External Controllers sealed or encapsulated from the elements, or

located in a position that protects them from the elements 5.  Improve routing and clipping methods to reduce corrosion 6.  Eliminate galvanic corrosion from dissimilar metals contact 7.  More corrosion resistant substrates for cab construction 8.  Improve corrosion resistant coatings on truck and trailer frames 9.  Proper repair where coatings have been compromised 10.  Reduce corrosive effects of Truck Washes / Acid cleaners in joints

and crevices


Future Truck Committee •  Duke Drinkard input

1.  There are a few things that have come up from the past and still will be sometime in the future before they can be developed. First is the need for a standard on forward lighting. With the advancements being made in forward lighting there are problems with night vision. Passenger vehicles such as cars are lower to the ground and the oncoming bright lights are creating more glare for the driver that is meeting these bright lights. While they offer a greater field of vision to the driver with the brighter lights the drivers that are meeting them has their vision greatly reduced. There could be a smart windshield glass that could filter the light come toward to vehicle while at the sometime giving a unrestricted view to the lighted field of light being aimed away from the vehicle.

2.  Another item that should be considered for the far horizon vehicle is a prescription seat for drivers. This would require that a method of determining the setting for the seat by a medical doctor would have to be developed. Seat have many setting now but as the drivers move from one truck to another the setting are not the same therefore the driver with a physical problem has no way of making the seat the same as the one that was setup for him/her. If we had a seat that could read an electronic prescription and adjust itself before the driver gets into the seat then fleets would not have to be changing out good seats and hopefully drivers would not have to be in as much pain after driving vehicles that are not setup to their requirements.

Future Truck Committee • Duke Drinkard

3.  Standard for sand pits/dings in windshield per unit area for determination of visibility and windshield replacement

4.  Americans with Disabilities Act


Where do we go from here—discussion

• Alternative voltages, 48v/24v/dual voltage, higher• Bosch

• Start/stop for passenger cars and trucks• Common data busses• Change S11 from Energy Conversion to Conservation• Engage study groups• Encourage waste heat recovery to produce energy• Future alternative fueled vehicles• Seat at the table with NAS• What is needed for training and recruitment of technicians?• Advance notice of new techniques and products and procedures• Standard language for parts and repairs (VMRS for instance)• Private sector discussions with SAE/ISO, with government through ATA• Membership committee to get more vehicle OEM involvement• Government committees and organizations that fund development/research


Where do we go from here?

• SAE Truck and Bus Council• Demand TMC RP’s when ordering trucks• Venue to influence and interact with heads of vehicle

OEM engineering• TAG meetings at vehicle OEM’s and Tier 1 suppliers• Utilize ACT One group


Items that caught my attention recently


http://spectrum.ieee.org/tech-talk/semiconductors/optoelectronics/wide-fields-in-exquisite-detail

Better, Smaller Wide Angle Lens

http://spectrum.ieee.org/tech-talk/semiconductors/optoelectronics/wide-fields-in-exquisite-detail


Solar Power

http://wardsauto.com/asia-pacific/dutch-team-recaptures-crown-solar-challenge-race?NL=WAW-04&Issue=WAW-04_20131016_WAW-04_321&YM_RID=paulmenig@tech-i-

m.com&YM_MID=1427710&sfvc4enews=42

Dutch Team Recaptures Crown in Solar Challenge Race Oct. 11, 2013 Alan Harman | WardsAuto

The Nuon team took 33.05 hours to drive their car, Nuna 7, the 1,877 miles (3,021 km) from Darwin to Adelaide on solar power at an average speed of 56.35 mph (90.71 km/h).

It was Nuon's fifth win in seven starts in the event.

The Nuon team edged out defending champions Tokai Challenger from Japan's Tokai University, which won the last event two years ago with an average speed of 56.54 mph (90.99 km/h).

http://wardsauto.com/asia-pacific/dutch-team-recaptures-crown-solar-challenge-race?NL=WAW-04&Issue=WAW-04_20131016_WAW-04_321&[email protected]&YM_MID=1427710&sfvc4enews=42

http://wardsauto.com/author/alan-harman


Solar Power

http://morepingslessdings.com

http://morepingslessdings.com


Solar Power

http://electricvehicle.ieee.org/2013/10/31/mobypost-french-public-private-project-utilize-solar-produced-hydrogen-postal-

delivery-vehicles/

http://electricvehicle.ieee.org/2013/10/31/mobypost-french-public-private-project-utilize-solar-produced-hydrogen-postal-delivery-vehicles/


Identification

Prototype to Production

http://www.idownloadblog.com/2013/10/16/meet-authentecs-early-touch-id-predecessor/

http://www.idownloadblog.com/2013/10/16/meet-authentecs-early-touch-id-predecessor/


Emergency AutoSteering or Parking?

http://spectrum.ieee.org/tech-talk/green-tech/advanced-cars/ford-demos-emergency-autosteering/?utm_source=techalert&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=101713

Fall asleep at the wheel of the right prototype car and it will steer you around obstacles. That's what Ford's demonstration of an obstacle avoidance system at its proving ground near Lommel, Belgium, this week implies. But it won't be ready for a long time. Ford took advantage of the attention its prototype drew to announce its full parking-assistance technology, which is mature enough that it might be in your next car and wins hands-down against the autosteering for clever advertising.

http://spectrum.ieee.org/tech-talk/green-tech/advanced-cars/ford-demos-emergency-autosteering/?utm_source=techalert&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=101713

http://www.autoblog.com/2013/10/09/ford-fully-automated-self-parking-car-video/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44CiwhvJWyU#action=share


ITS JPO 2015-2019 Strategic Plan

Booz Allen Hamiltonhttp://www.its.dot.gov/strategicplan/pdf/RITA_Stakeholder_Announcement_0722131.pdf

http://www.its.dot.gov/strategicplan/pdf/RITA_Stakeholder_Announcement_0722131.pdf



http://www.its.dot.gov/press/2013/stakeholder_strategicplan.htm


iPhone as Safety System from Israel

http://harmaninnovation.com/blog/harman-acquires-ionroad/http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XRTLk13FXkk&feature=youtu.be

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XRTLk13FXkk&feature=youtu.be

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XRTLk13FXkk&feature=youtu.be


BLE is the Enabler of Many Battery Powered Devices

http://appleinsider.com/articles/14/01/11/teo-bluetooth-padlock-lets-you-secure-school-lockers-chains-gates-with-apples-iphone


Camera—Continuous Recording

http://getnarrative.com

http://getnarrative.com


Magnetic Rheologic Fluids

http://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/sae/13OFHD1107/index.php?startid=4#/24

http://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/sae/13OFHD1107/index.php?startid=4#/24


Wireless Charging

http://articles.sae.org/12647/

http://articles.sae.org/12647/


Wireless Power Transfer Could Mean

• Remove wires for portable equipment

• Wireless sensors in cab or on chassis

• Tire pressure without batteries

• Keyless entry without battery


Transportation Research Board

NCHRP Proposals

http://www.trb.org/Main/Home.aspx

http://apps.trb.org/cmsfeed/TRBNetProjectDisplay.asp?ProjectID=3672

http://www.trb.org/Main/Home.aspx

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