20111106 innovation and market
DESCRIPTION
A model for predicting market penetration speed and market potential for innovations is proposed.TRANSCRIPT
06-11-2011
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Some historical data analysis
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Some historical data analysis
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
50000
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
Some historical data analysis
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
50000
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
Some historical data analysis
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
50000
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
Some historical data analysis
Some historical data analysis
Some historical data analysis
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Some historical data analysis
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Some historical data analysis
0
500000000
1E+09
1,5E+09
2E+09
2,5E+09
1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040
Some historical data analysis
0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
1
1,2
1,4
1,6
1,8
2
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
Milj
ard
en
Some historical data analysis
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980
Some historical data analysis
0,00%
5,00%
10,00%
15,00%
20,00%
25,00%
30,00%
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040
US Televisions 17,5 years
Global Cars, 128 years
Global McDonalds 40 years
Global Internet 41 years
Global Nespresso 25 years
NL Van Dobben kroket 15 years
Global Starbucks 22 years
Predicting markets: Model for predicting market penetration time
Predicting markets:
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040
Predicting markets: Facebook
2004
17
Predicting markets: Facebook
0
500000000
1E+09
1,5E+09
2E+09
2,5E+09
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Predicting markets: Facebook
Predicting markets: Facebook
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
Milj
oe
ne
n
Predicting markets: photovoltaic Si cells
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040
1977
29
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060 2080
Predicting markets: photovoltaic Si cells
Predicting markets: photovoltaic Si cells
Predicting markets
