2007 paul vanraden, melvin tooker*, george wiggans animal improvement programs laboratory...

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200 7 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory [email protected] 200 9 Can you believe those Can you believe those genomic evaluations for genomic evaluations for young bulls? young bulls?

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Page 1: 2007 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Melvin.Tooker@ars.usda.gov 2009 Can you believe those genomic

2007

Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory [email protected]

2009

Can you believe those genomic Can you believe those genomic evaluations for young bulls?evaluations for young bulls?

Page 2: 2007 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Melvin.Tooker@ars.usda.gov 2009 Can you believe those genomic

Council on Dairy Cattle Breeding, April 2009 (2) Melvin Tooker200

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Proven Bulls or Young Bulls?Proven Bulls or Young Bulls?

Page 3: 2007 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Melvin.Tooker@ars.usda.gov 2009 Can you believe those genomic

Council on Dairy Cattle Breeding, April 2009 (3) Melvin Tooker200

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Genotyped Animals (n=6,005)Genotyped Animals (n=6,005)In North America as of April 2008In North America as of April 2008

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Predictee

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Page 4: 2007 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Melvin.Tooker@ars.usda.gov 2009 Can you believe those genomic

Council on Dairy Cattle Breeding, April 2009 (4) Melvin Tooker200

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Genotyped Animals (n=19,464)Genotyped Animals (n=19,464)In North America as of December 2008In North America as of December 2008

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Page 5: 2007 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Melvin.Tooker@ars.usda.gov 2009 Can you believe those genomic

Council on Dairy Cattle Breeding, April 2009 (5) Melvin Tooker200

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Genotyped Animals (n=25,393)Genotyped Animals (n=25,393)In North America as of April 2009In North America as of April 2009

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Page 6: 2007 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Melvin.Tooker@ars.usda.gov 2009 Can you believe those genomic

Council on Dairy Cattle Breeding, April 2009 (6) Melvin Tooker200

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Adoption of Genomic TestingAdoption of Genomic TestingUS young bulls with NAAB codes, Apr 2009US young bulls with NAAB codes, Apr 2009

Birth Year

Bulls Sampled

Bulls Tested

Genomic Tested %

2008* 649 615 95

2007* 1548 1172 76

2006 1726 1118 65

2005 1677 1217 73

2004 1655 991 60

* 2007-2008 counts are incomplete

Page 7: 2007 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Melvin.Tooker@ars.usda.gov 2009 Can you believe those genomic

Council on Dairy Cattle Breeding, April 2009 (7) Melvin Tooker200

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Genomic Tested BullsGenomic Tested BullsAvailable Apr 2009Available Apr 2009

Age (yrs) Reliability Net Merit

Freddie 4 74 905

Twist 1 68 874

Cassino 1 69 871

Al 1 69 866

ManOMan 5 83 779

Page 8: 2007 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Melvin.Tooker@ars.usda.gov 2009 Can you believe those genomic

Council on Dairy Cattle Breeding, April 2009 (8) Melvin Tooker200

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Young vs. Old Bull TestYoung vs. Old Bull Test

Genomic PTAs computed from Nov 2004 data• Select top 20 young and old bulls for

genomic or traditional NM$

Predict Jan 2009 daughter merit• Remove direct contribution of PA (similar

to DYD)• Compare regressions and bias (adjusting

for 2005 base change)

Page 9: 2007 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Melvin.Tooker@ars.usda.gov 2009 Can you believe those genomic

Council on Dairy Cattle Breeding, April 2009 (9) Melvin Tooker200

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Net Merit of Top 20 Bulls Net Merit of Top 20 Bulls from 2009 data based on selection in 2004from 2009 data based on selection in 2004

Bulls Selection Net Merit

young

Parent average

$395

Genomic $516

provenTraditional $381

Genomic $463

Page 10: 2007 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Melvin.Tooker@ars.usda.gov 2009 Can you believe those genomic

Council on Dairy Cattle Breeding, April 2009 (10) Melvin Tooker200

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Changes in Net Merit meansChanges in Net Merit means for top 20 bulls for top 20 bulls (2009 – 2004)(2009 – 2004)

Bulls Selection Change

young

Parent average

-$278

Genomic -$130

provenTraditional -$96

Genomic -$30

Page 11: 2007 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Melvin.Tooker@ars.usda.gov 2009 Can you believe those genomic

Council on Dairy Cattle Breeding, April 2009 (11) Melvin Tooker200

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Net Merit regressions Net Merit regressions Predict 2009 from 2004 data, Predict 2009 from 2004 data, expected = 1.00expected = 1.00

Bulls Selection Regression

young

Parent average

0.63

Genomic 0.74

provenTraditional 0.91

Genomic 1.10

Page 12: 2007 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Melvin.Tooker@ars.usda.gov 2009 Can you believe those genomic

Council on Dairy Cattle Breeding, April 2009 (12) Melvin Tooker200

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Average regressions across all traits Average regressions across all traits Predict 2009 from 2004 data, Predict 2009 from 2004 data, expected = 1.00expected = 1.00

Bulls Selection Regression

young

Parent average

0.85

Genomic 0.92

provenTraditional 1.03

Genomic 1.05

Page 13: 2007 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Melvin.Tooker@ars.usda.gov 2009 Can you believe those genomic

Council on Dairy Cattle Breeding, April 2009 (13) Melvin Tooker200

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Genomic vs. TraditionalGenomic vs. Traditional

Examine traditional and genomic trends for two traits:• Net Merit • Protein

Data from February 2009

Page 14: 2007 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Melvin.Tooker@ars.usda.gov 2009 Can you believe those genomic

Council on Dairy Cattle Breeding, April 2009 (14) Melvin Tooker200

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Genomic vs. traditional – Genomic vs. traditional – protein protein PTAPTA

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Genomic

Traditional

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Page 15: 2007 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Melvin.Tooker@ars.usda.gov 2009 Can you believe those genomic

Council on Dairy Cattle Breeding, April 2009 (15) Melvin Tooker200

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Genomic vs. traditional – Genomic vs. traditional – net meritnet merit

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Page 16: 2007 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Melvin.Tooker@ars.usda.gov 2009 Can you believe those genomic

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Genomic vs. trad. – Genomic vs. trad. – protein protein reliabilityreliability

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Page 17: 2007 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Melvin.Tooker@ars.usda.gov 2009 Can you believe those genomic

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Net

mer

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GenomicTraditional PA

Genomic vs. trad. – Genomic vs. trad. – net merit net merit reliabilityreliability

Page 18: 2007 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Melvin.Tooker@ars.usda.gov 2009 Can you believe those genomic

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Reliability frequencyReliability frequency

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Genomic PTA

Traditional PA

Page 19: 2007 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Melvin.Tooker@ars.usda.gov 2009 Can you believe those genomic

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ConclusionsConclusions

Almost all new bulls and majority of in-waiting bulls are genotyped

Genomic PTAs have • Less bias than parent averages • Regressions closer to 1.0• Higher correlations with later data

Higher Net Merit for top 20 young bulls than proven bulls from 2004

Page 20: 2007 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Melvin.Tooker@ars.usda.gov 2009 Can you believe those genomic

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AcknowledgmentsAcknowledgments

Genotyping and DNA extraction:• USDA Bovine Functional Genomics Lab, U.

Missouri, U. Alberta, GeneSeek, Genetics & IVF Institute, Genetic Visions, and Illumina

Computing: • AIPL staff (Leigh Walton, Jay Megonigal)

Funding: • National Research Initiative grants

– 2006-35205-16888, 2006-35205-167012006-35205-16888, 2006-35205-16701• Agriculture Research Service• Holstein, Jersey and Brown Swiss breed

associations• Contributors to Cooperative Dairy DNA Repository

(CDDR)

Page 21: 2007 Paul VanRaden, Melvin Tooker*, George Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Melvin.Tooker@ars.usda.gov 2009 Can you believe those genomic

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CDDR ContributorsCDDR Contributors

National Association of Animal Breeders (NAAB, Columbia, MO)• ABS Global (DeForest, WI)• Accelerated Genetics (Baraboo, WI)• Alta (Balzac, AB, Canada)• Genex (Shawano, WI)• New Generation Genetics (Fort Atkinson, WI)• Select Sires (Plain City, OH)• Semex Alliance (Guelph, ON, Canada)• Taurus-Service (Mehoopany, PA)