(2) human centered disaster management 24th oct.ppt

7/27/2019 (2) Human Centered Disaster management 24th Oct.ppt

1/65

By Prof. Stefano Tsukamoto

(Osaka University) 1


2/65


3/65

3

But in fact,7-18M

Tsunami

Has come


4/65


5/65

One week afterEarthquake inIshinomakiCity


6/65

6


7/65


8/65


9/659


10/6510


11/65

Then..March 11, 2: 46 pmBig Earthquake happened311246

Big shake cannot walk which has never had.The continuous shake of about 5 minutes5

Get the information about the earthquake,Teachers found it was in the near coastalareas.

Recognized TSUNAMI Decided to evacuate to the 2nd Evacuation

Place on the hill.


12/65

One solution: Go up stairs on the roof. Fast! And can evacuate from Tsunami.

But that is the Dead end of the way to evacuate.

We will be isolated in damage.

Fire office also, Tsunami will not come to the roof.

Other solution: Evacuate high mountain with passagein principle. I can respond to big tsunami and the tsunami to

repeat. And Evacuation at other places is possible.BUT, about 10 minutes is required for evacuation to

heights.10


13/65

Decision by the deliberations for two years.2

1) Take radio, Children list of names and a first aid tool, and a

cellular phone.

2) Principle decide the evacuation place from the situation of an

earthquake on the day, a marine situation, and the information

on television or Radio.

3) Increase a study in the school programs and also take in training

of the evacuation which can be assumed.

4) Take advice from specialist for tsunami prevention.


14/65

Second Evacuation Place: Distance 400


15/65


16/65


17/65

- A school building, a gymnasium, poolcomplete collapse.

- the playground equipment which was in theschoolyard, planting, and all buildings -- aspill.

-80 percent of children's homes are collapsed.

-One guardian death, one child death11

- 50 percent of a school staffs homes are

collapsed. - One teacher death. 1


18/65


19/65


20/65


21/65


22/65


23/65


24/65


25/65


26/65


27/65


28/65


29/65

SecondEvacuation

Place


30/65


31/65


32/65


33/65


34/65

34

The preparation to a disaster

1 The preparation of the situation of thearea, the special feature of a disaster, etc.

2 Examine all possibilities manualzing

3 The response to an unexpected

situation. (

We assume "There may be unexpected."


35/65

35

There is "no absolute safety" in a naturaldisaster.

1 Examine all possibilities Manual & Training

2 Leave assumption of a decision time, and the room

of selection (20%) 3 Also assume an unexpected situation (5%)

An adaptable response is required

- "Condition maintenance" which can dodecision quickly, "training"


36/65

36

It is important for us to know as the knowledge, rather thanto learn the manual, to raise the children and students whocan determine that you have independence.

Teachers of Tokura elementary School


37/65

Government

Community

People

Top Dawn ApproachMake strategies &Policy

Bottom Up ApproachNeedsLocal Cooperation

Rehabilitations


38/65

Public

Protection

SelfProtection

CommunityProtection

Participation


39/65

39

ZonePeace

Culture

SocialRelation

Historical

Humanright

Gender

Economic

Political


40/65

Income

SafetyHealth

40

Living Condition

CommunityRelationship

Communication

GovernmentSupport

MentalSupport

Zone ofPeace


41/65

In what kind of situation does man feel safety and

peace?

People's safety and peace evaluated by socialenvironment and social change.

Zone of Peace Index (ZPI)is the simple researchtechnique of answering the feeling evaluated by

1 (Negative) -10 (Positive) point, and checking a

moving change of people's feeling accompanyingthe social change to each question.


42/65

Sri Lanka Case


43/65


44/65


45/65


46/65


47/65

2

6

18

13

34

3

7

10

2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Negative =ZP Scale= Positive

Q1: Worrying Delivery?ZP Scale Point

Negative: 1 22 6

3 18

4 13

5 3

6 4

7 38 7

9 10

Positive: 10 2

Total 68

ZP Index 5.0


48/65

48

3 months before


49/65

0

2

4

10

6

8

19

16

3

00

2

4

6

810

12

14

16

18

20

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

p

erson

Negative ZP Scale Positive

Q5: Satisfy the support for Health?

ZP Scale Point

Negative:1 0

2 2

3 4

4 10

5 6

6 87 19

8 16

9 3

Positive:10 0

Total 68

ZP Index 6.2


50/65

50


51/65

51

Pangukrejo


52/65

PangukrejoVillage

Level of Risk

KRB Level 3 Not recommended for settlement

Distance from Merapi

10 KM

RED ZONE AREA

Number of People

676 Number of Houses Destroyed

195


53/65

Pentingsatri


54/65

YELLOW ZONEAREA

Pentingsatri

Village Level of Risk

KRB Level 2 Allowed for settlement

Distance from Merapi12.5 KM

Number of People

398 Number of Houses Destroyed

None


55/65

Methodology

Number of answerersPangukrejo Village(Red Zone): 42

Pentingsari Village(Yellow Zone): 62

Total 104 peopleTotal 16 questions

Each 11 Japanese students made a pair withUGM students to conduct questionnaire.

Date: 9/9/2012

4 A till i d b t


56/65

0

5

10

15

20

25

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

4. Are you still worried aboutnext eruption?

Not

WorriedWorried

ZP Index=5.1

8 Were you satisfied with the assistance


57/65

8. Were you satisfied with the assistance

when you evacuated in the shelter

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Pangukrejo

ZP Index=5.6

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Pentingsari

ZP Index=7.00Red zone Yellowzone

9 Did you get enough information


58/65

9. Did you get enough information

(ab.evacuation & prevention)

about eruption before it happened?

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

ZP Index=7.4


59/65

11. How satisfing is your living condition now?

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Pangukrejo

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Pentingsari

Red zone Yellowzone

ZP Index=5.6 ZP Index=6.2


60/65

12. Is your income sufficient for your daily life?

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Pangukrejo

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Pentingsari

Red zone Yellowzone

ZP Index=6.3ZP Index=5.0

13 Do you still need any more assistance


61/65

13. Do you still need any more assistance

from others?

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Pangukrejo

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Pentingsari

Red zone Yellowzone

ZP Index=5.4ZP Index=3.5

NotNecessary

Necessary

G h i bili i f i f i


62/65

Gathering capabilities of information

If you can not collect the information

Under these circumstances of post-disaster, if present conditions as to

whether is exactly is people, it is not

possible to action following.

Until now, information is one of the

work of local government primarily, it

may be good to go safety of people is

proportional to the ability of the

government.

However, for the disaster in thefuture, to understand the situation

residents themselves, would not be

required is a system that can action?


63/65

How to get the information

From the local Government From the People

Disaster

PeopleTake Action

Assessment

Differences in

administrative

capacity

1. From neighborhood

2. Analysis by DIS


64/65

Source http://worldbank.org

240 million peopleNumber of population

more than

INDONESIA


65/65

Mobile Disaster

Information System

MOBILE APPLICATION SYSTEM CONCEPT

(2) human centered disaster management 24th oct.ppt

Documents