120508 2012 annual meeting - oilsearch.com · safety is our top priority 6 total recordable injury...
TRANSCRIPT
1
2012 Annual Meeting Agenda
Overview
2011 Financial Results
PNG LNG Project Update
Expansion Opportunities
Production/Near Field
Other Material Exploration
Local Issues
Summary
2
3
Significant Growth Phase
Oil Search has been top quartile performer for past six years
Significant growth opportunities have been identified, capable of driving future value
Largest ever development, appraisal and exploration programme has commenced, to deliver this growth:
PNG LNG T1 & 2 construction well underway
PNG Highlands resource base being evaluated
Gulf area potential to be assessed through drilling programme
Material oil prospects in Middle East to be drilled
Results will be progressively delivered over next 18 months
Built off steady production, strong cash flows and healthy balance sheet
4
Consistent Strong Share Price Performance
5
Woodside
Santos
ASX 200
Brent
Oil Search
Share price (rebased to OSH)
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
Jan 07 Jul 07 Jan 08 Jul 08 Jan 09 Jul 09 Jan 10 Jul 10 Jan 11 Jul 11 Jan 12
Safety is our Top Priority
6
Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate of 1.85 in 2011
TR
I /
1,0
00
,00
0 H
ou
rs
Oil Search
Australian Companies (APPEA)
InternationalCompanies
(OGP)
Australian Benchmarking
7
Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate Data for 2011per Million Hours Worked (All Reported Data)
Fletcher Building
BramblesTreasury Wine Est.
OZ Minerals
Downer EDI
United Group
Origin
Incitec Pivot
Boart Longyear
Contact Energy
James Hardie
Stockland
Transfield
Newcrest
AWE
BHP Billiton
Amcor
Santos
Orica
Woodside
Oil Search
Source: Company data, Citi Investment Research and Analysis Note: TRIFR – Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate per million hours worked
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
CSRQantas
Wesfarmers
WorleyParsons
CaltexPanAust
AGL Energy
Monadelphous
Hastie Group
FY11Dec YE
8
2011 Financial Performance
Full year revenue benefited from higher realised oil prices (US$116/bbl vs US$80/bbl in 2010), partially offset by 11% lower oil and gas sales Increase in non-cash charges balanced by lower exploration expense9% increase in profit after tax, 64% rise if significant items (one-off tax items, impairments) are excluded
9
(US$’m)RevenueCash ExpensesEBITDAXNon-cash itemsExploration Expense / BDInterest income/(expense)Pre-tax ProfitTaxNPAT**Core Profit**
583.6 (111.8)
471.7 (62.7)
(131.2)(0.8)
277.2 (91.6)185.6
144.1*
2010 2011
732.9(137.0)
595.9(84.4)(70.9)(0.7)
439.9(237.4)
202.5235.6*
+26%
+26%
+59%
+9%
2011 NPAT Drivers
10
0
185.6
202.5
209.1
(25.1)(145.8)
US$m
50
100
150
200
250
300
400
350
(64.9)
20
10
NP
AT
Cash
OP
EX
Reven
ue -
Pri
ce
Reven
ue -
Vo
lum
e
Tax
Exp
lora
tio
n
DD
&A
20
11
NP
AT
64.4
(1.4)
Imp
air
men
t
(4.1)
Bu
sin
ess
Dev
(17.4)
2.3
Oth
er
EBIT growth driven by higher oil prices and lower exploration expense (Wasuma and Korka wells written off in 2010), partially offset by lower volumes, Shakal impairment and higher tax expensePrior year NPAT impacted by one off benefit associated with restatement of deferred tax balances
1111
Cost Management
FY11 FY10US$’m US$’m
Field Costs - Oil: PNG- Hides
85.96.5
73.38.0
Other Prod’n Opex
92.4 81.3
- Oil- Hides
16.80.7
15.40.6
17.5 16.0
Net Corp Costs 21.8 16.6
FX Losses/(gains) 1.2 (2.2)
Total 132.9 111.8
Costs within guidance (US$20.16/boe)Adverse impact of A$ and Kina movement against US$ impacting operating and corporate costsPNG capacity constraints placing pressure on costsProgramme activities actively managed
Field cost per boe changes
0
4
8
12
16
2010 FY 2011 FY
Volume
BaseIncrease
External/Non-recurring
US$m/boe
Liquidity
Strong balance sheet, augmented by strong cash flows from operationsLiquidity at 31 March 2012 ~US$1.1 billion (US$0.9bn cash plus US$232m within corporate facility)At end March 2012, US$2.01 billion drawn down under PNG LNG project finance facilityCompany remains well placed to meet existing commitments, with sufficient liquidity to deliver on strategic plan initiatives
12
2014
US
$m
Liquidity (cash plus undrawn bank debt)
Dec 2011
13
PNG LNG Project Overview
1414
Kumul Terminal
Port Moresby
7°S
145°E
HidesWells
Kutubu CPF
145°E 146°E144°E143°E
6°S
8°S
9°S
GorokaKundiawa
Mt. Hagan
Mendi
Kerema
100km
Daru
Wabag
Lae
Offshore pipeline
Onshore pipelineand Infrastructure
Gobe PF
Kopi Wharf
Oil Field
Gas Field
Oil Pipeline
PNG LNGGas Pipeline
OSH Facility
PNG LNG Project Facility
Major Road
LNG Facility
Juha Facility
Komo Airfield
Hides Gas Conditioning Plant
( Feb 2012)
PNG LNG Project Overview
1515
Kumul Terminal
Port Moresby
7°S
145°E
HidesWells
Kutubu CPF
145°E 146°E144°E143°E
6°S
8°S
9°S
GorokaKundiawa
Mt. Hagan
Mendi
Kerema
100km
Daru
Wabag
Lae
Offshore pipeline
Onshore pipelineand Infrastructure
Gobe PF
Kopi Wharf
Oil Field
Gas Field
Oil Pipeline
PNG LNGGas Pipeline
OSH Facility
PNG LNG Project Facility
Major Road
LNG Facility
Juha Facility
Komo Airfield
Hides Gas Conditioning Plant
SEMAC I – Offshore pipelay vessel
PNG LNG Project Overview
1616
Kumul Terminal
Port Moresby
7°S
145°E
HidesWells
Kutubu CPF
145°E 146°E144°E143°E
6°S
8°S
9°S
GorokaKundiawa
Mt. Hagan
Mendi
Kerema
100km
147°E
Daru
Wabag
Lae
Offshore pipeline
Onshore pipelineand Infrastructure
Gobe PF
Kopi Wharf
Oil Field
Gas Field
Oil Pipeline
PNG LNGGas Pipeline
OSH Facility
PNG LNG Project Facility
Major Road
LNG Facility
Juha Facility
Komo Airfield
Hides Gas Conditioning Plant
Pipe stringingPipeline route clearingPipe burial
Pipe welding team
PNG LNG Project Overview
1717
Port Moresby
7°S
145°E
HidesWells
145°E 146°E144°E143°E
6°S
8°S
9°S
GorokaKundiawa
Mt. Hagan
Mendi
Kerema
100km
Daru
Wabag
Lae
Offshore pipeline
Onshore pipelineand Infrastructure
Gobe PF
Kopi Wharf
Oil Field
Gas Field
Oil Pipeline
PNG LNGGas Pipeline
OSH Facility
PNG LNG Project Facility
Major Road
LNG Facility
Juha Facility
Komo Airfield
Hides Gas Conditioning Plant
Kutubu CPF
Kumul Terminal
New CALM Buoy being lowered into position.First offtake March 2012
TEG Dehydration Unit installation
New Control Room at CPF - commenced operations in January 2012
PNG LNG Project Overview
1818
Kumul Terminal
Port Moresby
7°S
145°E
HidesWells
Kutubu CPF
145°E 146°E144°E143°E
6°S
8°S
9°S
GorokaKundiawa
Mt. Hagan
Mendi
Kerema
100km
Daru
Wabag
Lae
Offshore pipeline
Onshore pipelineand Infrastructure
Gobe PF
Kopi Wharf
Oil Field
Gas Field
Oil Pipeline
PNG LNGGas Pipeline
OSH Facility
PNG LNG Project Facility
Major Road
LNG Facility
Juha Facility
Komo Airfield
Hides Gas Conditioning Plant
Komo AirfieldHides Gas Conditioning Plant and
Hides well pad access road
PNG LNG Project Overview
1919
Kumul Terminal
Port Moresby
7°S
145°E
HidesWells
Kutubu CPF
145°E 146°E144°E143°E
6°S
8°S
9°S
GorokaKundiawa
Mt. Hagan
Mendi
Kerema
100km
Daru
Wabag
Lae
Offshore pipeline
Onshore pipelineand Infrastructure
Gobe PF
Kopi Wharf
Oil Field
Gas Field
Oil Pipeline
PNG LNGGas Pipeline
OSH Facility
PNG LNG Project Facility
Major Road
LNG Facility
Juha Facility
Komo Airfield
Hides Gas Conditioning Plant
Timetable
2020
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
FinancialClose
•Continued early works•Detailed design•Order long leads and place purchase orders
•Open supply routes•Contractor mobilisation•Commence AG construction
•Complete pipe lay•Ongoing drilling•Complete Hides plant•Commission LNG plant with Kutubu gas
•Ongoing procurement and mobilisation
•Airfield construction•Drilling mobilisation•Start offshore pipeline construction
•Onshore line clearing and laying
•Start LNG equipment installation
First Gas from Train 1,
then Train 2
•Complete AG •Continue onshore pipe lay
•Complete offshore pipe lay
•Start Hides plant installation
PROJECT REMAINS ON TRACK FOR FIRST LNG SALES IN 2014
21
Gas Maturation Activities, PNG Highlands
Four facets to Highlands gas growth strategy, focused on converting proven and probable to proven contractable reserves plus new exploration :
P’nyang South – recent success, has materially increased gas resource
Trapia exploration well
Hides development and appraisal drilling
Associated Gas reserves expansion and certification
Additional seismic to be acquired over Angore and adjacent areas
2222
Angore anticline, PNG Highlands
P’nyang South
P’nyang South 1 discovered 184m gas zone gas in southern fault block
Sidetrack, P’nyang South 1 ST1, drilled to define gas:water contact. Intersected contact ~200m below lowest gas in P'nyang South, extending known gas column to ~380m
Seismic and structural data suggests additional potential up-dip, taking total gas column >650m
Result materially increases total estimated 2C gas resources in P’nyang field, potential key underpinning volume for LNG expansion
PRL 3: ExxonMobil 49%, Oil Search 38.5%, JX Holdings 12.5%
23
P’nyang 1X
P’nyang South 1
P’nyang 2X
ST1
6°S
8°S
144°E142°E
Hides
Kutubu
SE Gobe
Moran
Agogo
Juha
Angore
100km
P’nyangSouth
Trapia 1
Trapia exploration well scheduled to spud shortlyPRL 11: Oil Search 52.5%, ExxonMobil 47.5% Series of prospects in area with multi-tcf potential 2D seismic programme in 2012/13 to further mature prospectsRecent acquisition of adjacent licence, PPL 277, 50:50 with ExxonMobil
24
6°S
8°S
144°E142°E
Hides
Kutubu
SE Gobe
Moran
Agogo
Juha
Angore
100km
P’nyangSouth
Trapia
Trapia 1
Tagari
Huria
NW Angore
Hides
25
36.81%16.66%24.03%20.50%2.00%
PDL 1ExxonMobilOil SearchSantosPNG GovtGas Resources Gigira Ltd.(L/O)
36.81%40.69%20.50%2.00%
PDL 7ExxonMobilOil Search PNG GovtGas Resources Hides No.4 Ltd.(L/O)
36.812%40.69%20.50%2.00%
PDL 8ExxonMobilOil SearchPNG GovtGas Resources Angore Ltd. (L/O)
Hides development/ appraisal drilling programme:
Part of PNG LNG developmentScheduled to commence in mid 2012, with GWC well planned for early in drilling sequenceGWC well has potential to increase overall Hides resource volume significantlyDrilling timing adjusted to accommodate Project critical path optimisation
Hides Nogoli Camp
GTE PL 1 Hides GTE PlantPDL 1 – Hides Field10 New WellsDrilling 2012+
PDL 7 – South Hides
Hides Gas Conditioning PlantConstruction 2012/13
PDL 8 – Angore Field2 New Wells
10km
Komo Airstrip
Further Resources from Oil Fields
26
6°S
8°S
144°E142°E
Kutubu
Gobe
Moran
Agogo
100km
SE Mananda
Reserves and deliverability review underway for oil and gas in existing oil fields
Will provide optimal production management plan post commencement of gas production for PNG LNG
Number of recent discoveries, identification of areas for potential new reserves and success in gas conservation ahead of original prognosis will provide further reserves for PNG LNG
Potential upside for both gas and ongoing oil production
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
50
CPF, APF, GPF Flare History
0
10
20
30
40
2012F
60
70
Dail
y A
vera
ge (
mm
scf/
d)
PNG LNG Project Sanction
Forecast
27
Kumul Terminal
Port Moresby
7°S
145°E
LNG plant site
145°E 146°E144°E143°E
6°S
8°S
GorokaKundiawa
Mt. Hagan
Mendi
Kerema
100km
147°E
Daru
Wabag
Lae
Offshore pipeline
Kopi Wharf
Oil Field
Gas Field
Oil Pipeline
PNG LNGGas Pipeline
OSH Facility
PNG LNG Project Facility
Major Road
Prospect
Gulf Area LNG
Multi-licence, multi play type, multi well opportunity with material equityLarge, initial seismic programme completed in 2011:
~6,300 km² 3D offshore and 95 km 2D onshore
Significant resource potential identified in proven hydrocarbon (gas & condensate) province
Over 30 opportunities identified across multiple play typesPotential to support two LNG trains
Additional 3D seismic acquisition underway over neighbouring areaSemi-sub recently contracted to drill 2 firm wells + 2 options, commencing 4Q12Bids from potential partners to farm-in under review, farm-down likely mid-year
28
PRL01
PPL234
PRL10
9°S
145°E 146°E144°E
Gobe
PPL276
PPL312
PPL338
PPL339
PPL339
339
339
338
338
338
339
339
339
8°S
7°S
339
PPL244
50km
Elk/Antelope
KumulTerminal
Pandora
Flinders
2011 3D Seismic Regions
2D Seismic Lines
2D Seismic 2011 Lines
Uramu
Hagana
TadivaLade
New 2012 3D Seismic
Region 2011 3D Seismic Regions
Example of Offshore 3D Seismic PPL 234
29
?
Faulted Miocene
Faulted Miocene
Is gas migrating
from the deep kitchen
through faults in the
Miocene section?
30
Moran, SE Mananda, Agogo 6 wellsite & Agogo Production Facility
31
Oil Search Production Outlook -existing fields
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Net Production (mmboe)
7.668.12
(Forecast)
6.2-6.76.69
Hides GTESE ManandaSE Gobe
Gobe MainMoranKutubu
Production guidance range for 2012 of 6.2 – 6.7 mmboe, unchanged from 2011Production in 2013 expected to be broadly flat, subject to success of work programmesRig 103 to be mobilised back to PDL 2, to provide optionality to pursue exploration and appraisal opportunities as well as development programme
2012/13 Development & Near-Field Appraisal Drilling Activity
32
PRL08
PPL240
PRL11
PDL7
PPL239 PDL1
PPL233
PPL219
PRL2
PDL2
PDL5PDL6
PRL09
PRL14
PPL260
PDL4
PDL3
PDL4
PDL7
50km
Juha
Hides
SE Mananda
Barikewa
Kimu
Cobra
Iehi
PPL240
PPL233
6°S
143°E 144°E
7°S
Mananda 5
PPL277
PDL8
PDL9
PRL11
Angore
Oil Field
Gas Field
Prospect
Oil Pipeline
PNG LNGGas Pipeline
OSH Facility
PNG LNG Project Facility
Major Road
Usano2012 : ± 1 well, 1 workover
Kutubu2012 : ± 1 well, 4 workovers2013 : 1 well, 2 workovers
Agogo2012 : 1 well2013 : 1 well
Moran2012 : 1 well2013 : 1 well
SE Gobe2012 : 2 well interventions
33
Kurdistan Region of Iraq- Taza PSC
Taza PSC: Oil Search 60% (operator), ShaMaran 20%, KRG 20%
Very prospective location adjacent to four fields
Large, simple 4-way dip closure identified from 2010 seismic
Well planning underway for mid-2012 spud
Recoverable resources in success case: 200 - 400 mmbbl (mean estimate), dependent on recovery factors and phases present
3434
Taza PSC
TazaProspect
Up to 180km2
Kor MorGas Field
PulkhanaOil Field
JamburOil Field
Open
Taza Seismic
35
Four regional reservoir targets:Jeribe - Euphrates/Serikagni - Kirkuk Group - Jaddala
Lower Fars
Upper Fars
Saliferous
2km
SW NE
Kor MorGas Field
PulkhanaOil Field
Jambur OilField downdip
Taza 1
Tunisia – Tajerouine PSC
Tajerouine PSC: Oil Search 100%Seismic acquired in 2010, with additional infill seismic shot in late 2011Proven oil plays present and new deeper gas play developedFiscal regime favourable – discovery would be materialSemda-1 planned for 4Q12, after Taza. Has potential for >100 mmboe
3636
~10km
Tajerouine
37
PNG Issues
Unprecedented political uncertainty in PNG over past year:
No impact to operations with continued progress on all projects
Security and safety of staff in run up to election is paramount
Looking forward to election in June/July 2012 with new government formed in August/September:
Anticipate no change to operating status but cautious and watchful
Oil Search likely to be PNG’s largest single investor in 2012, with over US$2bn to be spent on development, appraisal, exploration and operations:
Significant vote of confidence in quality of assets and ability of Company to work with Government, bureaucrats and community and manage operating and investment risks
Future consistency of fiscal terms vital for sustained investment
38
Sustainability Focus
Desire to play a role in long term development and wellbeing of people of PNG – to ‘give back’Continued push towards improved transparency and governance of:
Benefits distributionTaxesLanco payments
Investment in community health programmes has doubled, driven by Oil Search Health Foundation. Major focus areas:
Expansion of existing health programmes. Now working in 9 provinces across PNGCore public health programmes in Malaria, HIV/Aids, Child and Maternal HealthSupported by The Global Fund, AusAid, Asian Development Bank
Active community development programmes:Education and training AgricultureHealth and sport development
39
Summary
2012 is a potentially transformational year for Oil Search. Unprecedented opportunity to underscore long term value growth from OSH’s portfolio of assets
Peak activity year for PNG LNG Project delivery
Largest drilling programme ever undertaken by Oil Search underway, will continue through 2012 into 2013
Continued strong oil field production performance and active pursuit of near field opportunities
Activities underwritten by strong cash flows, solid balance sheet
Remain confident that country risks and challenges can be managed
40
Oil Search Production Outlook, including PNG LNG T1/2
41
2008 2009
8.607.66
2010
8.12
2011
6.69
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2018
25Net Production (mmboe)
0
5
10
15
20
MENAHides GTESE ManandaSE GobeGobe MainMoranKutubu
2017
6.2-6.7
(Forecast)
42
DISCLAIMER
While every effort is made to provide accurate and complete information, Oil Search Limited does not warrant that the information in this presentation is free from errors or omissions or is suitable for its intended use. Subject to any terms implied by law which cannot be excluded, Oil Search Limited accepts no responsibility for any loss, damage, cost or expense (whether direct or indirect) incurred by you as a result of any error, omission or misrepresentation in information in this presentation. All information in this presentation is subject to change without notice.
This presentation also contains forward-looking statements which are subject to particular risks associated with the oil and gas industry. Oil Search Limited believes there are reasonable grounds for the expectations on which the statements are based. However actual outcomes could differ materially due to a range of factors including oil and gas prices, demand for oil, currency fluctuations, drilling results, field performance, the timing of well work-overs and field development, reserves depletion, progress on gas commercialisation and fiscal and other government issues and approvals.
43