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1Q11 Results Presentation May 16, 2011 1 [email protected] www.tam.com.br/ri

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Page 1: 110516   webconference ingles tam- 1 t11 ss

1Q11 Results PresentationMay 16, 2011

1

[email protected] www.tam.com.br/ri

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Warning - Information and Projection

� This notice may contain estimates for future events. These estimates merely reflect the expectations of

the Company’s management, and involve risks and uncertainties. The Company is not responsible for

investment operations or decisions taken based on information contained in this communication. These

estimates are subject to changes without prior notice. estimates are subject to changes without prior notice.

� This material has been prepared by TAM S.A. (“TAM“ or the “Company”) includes certain forward-

looking statements that are based principally on TAM’s current expectations and on projections of future

events and financial trends that currently affect or might affect TAM’s business, and are not guarantees

of future performance. They are based on management’s expectations that involve a number of

business risks and uncertainties, any of each could cause actual financial condition and results of

operations to differ materially from those set out in TAM’s forward-looking statements. TAM undertakes

no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements.

� This material is published solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation

2

or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. Likewise it does not give and

should not be treated as giving investment advice. It has no regard to the specific investment objectives,

financial situation or particular needs of any recipient. No representation or warranty, either express or

implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained

herein. It should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment.

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Agenda

� Highlights

� Domestic Market

� International Market

� Financial Results

3

� Guidance and Fleet Plan

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We started 2011 with achievements in several areas

Daily Passenger Record

136 thousand passengers transported on April 25th

High levels of operational efficiency

5.4% increase in the daily aircraft utilization to 13.2 hours5.4% increase in the daily aircraft utilization to 13.2 hours

TAM Vacations had 17 new stores inaugurated in 2011, trough the franchise model

Until the end of the year, its network will be composed by

200 stores in the whole

TAM Cargo launched two new

products: the Prepaid service and

the Cooled Big Box

4

10 years since its creation

New website www.tammro.com.br

Growth in sales for other companies

200 stores in the whole country

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Status of TAM & LAN combination

August 13, 2010:

Approvals &Registrations:• CVM (Brazil), SVS(Chile), SEC (USA)• Antitrust authorities inMarch 1, 2011:2010:

We announced the intetion to combine with LAN

• Antitrust authorities inChile, Brazil, Spain,Germany, Italy andArgentina

Shareholders’

ExchangeOffer &Closing

March 1, 2011:ANAC approved the proposed corporate structure

January 18, 2011: May 26, 2011:

LATAM

5

Shareholders’Meetings

January 18, 2011:LAN and TAM signedbinding agreements

May 26, 2011:Public HearingLAN, TAM and interestedparties will give their opinionabout the transaction to the TDLC Court.

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Multiplus is presenting itself as an important source of profitability

OPERATING HIGHLIGHTS

• 17 billion points issued, a growth of 62% versus 1Q10 and of 6% versus 4Q10

• 9 billion points redeemed, compared to 1.3 billion points in 1Q10 and 7.7 billion points in 4Q10

• Average Breakage rate (12 months) of 23%, versus 22,6% in both periods 1Q10 and 4Q10• Average Breakage rate (12 months) of 23%, versus 22,6% in both periods 1Q10 and 4Q10

NEW PARTNERSHIPS

1Q11

CAPITAL REDUCTION

• Gross Billings of points of R$ 340 million, a growth of 48% versus 1Q10 and of 4.5% compared to 4Q10

• Net Revenue of R$ 242 million, compared to R$ 41 million in 1Q10 and R$ 206 million in 4Q10

• Adjusted EBITDA of R$ 103 million 55% higher than 1Q10 and 124% higher than 4Q10 (margin of 33%)

• Net Income of R$ 71 million, versus R$ 7.5 million in the 1Q10 and R$ 43 million in 4Q10 (margin of 29%)

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

1Q11

2Q11

6

• On March 18, 2011 was approved a reduction of the Company’s in the amount of R$600 million

• Company’s shareholders will receive reimbursement of R$3.72 per share

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To capture the growth of cities not served by our network, we announced an investment in TRIP

Signature of a non-binding agreement to acquire 31% of the total capital of TRIP

Capture market growth

More significant exposure in the medium density routes market

About TRIP

7

About TRIP43 Aircraft fleet – Embraers and ATRs82 Destinations in BrazilR$ 747 million of revenues in 2010

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Agenda

� Highlights

� Domestic Market

� Internacional Market

� Financial Results

8

� Guidance and Fleet Plan

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ASK10,422

11,872 11,767

ASK, RPK e Load Factor

We increased by 8% our domestic passengers revenue

Domestic Passengers

13%Passenger Revenue - R$ Million

8%

RPK

7,2208,225 8,288

1Q10 4Q10 1Q11

10,422

Load Factor 69% 69% 70%

1%

Yield - R$ Cents

1%

15%

1,3971,581 1,511

1Q10 4Q10 1Q11

4%

RASK - R$ Cents

9

19.3 19.2 18.2

1Q10 4Q10 1Q11

6%

5%

12.6 12.7 12.3

1Q10 4Q10 1Q11

3%

3%

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We have entered into strategic partnerships that will increase the supply and distribution of our network

Piauí

Bus tickets to 29 cities in 3 states served by Princesa do Agreste

PiauíCeará

São Paulo

Pernambuco

MinasGerais Pássaro Marron serves 50 cities in the states of

São Paulo and Minas Gerais

10

We will sell bus tickets through TAM Vacations stores and our air tickets will

be sold on bus terminals

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Agenda

� Highlights

� Domestic Market

� International Market

� Financial Results

11

� Guidance and Fleet Plan

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In dollars, we increased by 14% our international passengers revenue and our RASK by 2% comparing to the previous year

ASK6,557

7,198 7,334

ASK, RPK e Load Factor12%

2%R$816 R$833 R$862

Passenger Revenue - Million6%

International Passengers

RPK5,020

5,749 5,838

1Q10 4Q10 1Q11

6,557

Load

Factor 77% 80% 80%

2%

16%

2%

U$453 U$491 U$517

1Q10 4Q10 1Q11

R$816 R$833 R$8623%

5%

14%

Yield - Cents RASK - Cents

12

1.80 1.70 1.67

1T10 4T10 1T11

-8%

-2%

Avg US Dollar

U$ 9.0 U$ 8.5 U$ 8.9

1Q10 4Q10 1Q11

R$ 16.2R$ 14.5 R$ 14.8

Yield - Cents

9%

2%

4%

2%

U$6.9 U$6.8 U$7.0

1Q10 4Q10 1Q11

R$12.4R$11.6 R$11.7

RASK - Cents

6%

1%

3%

2%

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On May 13, we completed our first year as members of Star Alliance

� We recorded 63% increase in the number of passengers with tickets from partner airlines

Additional revenues generated by the Star Alliance member � Additional revenues generated by the Star Alliance member companies exceeded the estimate of US$ 60 million per year

5

6

7

Billion of international RPKs

13

-

1

2

3

4

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Routes to Brazil have the higher volumes of passengers

Finland

U.S. and Europe passenger destinations in South America

United Kingdom

Ireland

France

Portugal

Norway

Sweden

Germany

Nether-lands

Denmark

Poland

Estonia

Latvia

Belarus

Ukraine

Lithuania

SlovakiaSwitzerland Austria

Romania

Hungary

Czech Rep.

Croatia

Moldavia

NV

WA

OR

CA

AZ

UT

ID

MT

WY

CO

NM

TX

OK

KS

NE

SD

NDMN

IA

MO

AR

LA

MS

IL

WI

IN

KY

TN

AL GASC

NC

VAWV

OHPA

ME

MI NY

NJ

14

Spain

Portugal

Italy

Yugos-lavia Bulgaria

GreeceAlb.

LA

FL

Source: Airbus DEMAX – IATA PAXis

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Agenda

� Highlights

� Domestic Market

� International Market

� Financial Results

15

� Guidance and Fleet Plan

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Our EBIT increased 44%, a 3.6% margin

3,043

2,932

2,604

2,527

1Q11 vs 1Q1016.8%

16.0%

1Q11 vs 4Q10-5.6%

-2.5%

In Reais 1Q11 1Q10

3,225

3,006

4Q10

Net Revenue (million)

Operating Expenses (million) 2,932

110

3.6%

380

12.5%

140

129

15.9

2,527

77

2.9%

376

14.5%

(173)

(71)

15.3

16.0%

43.5%

0.7p.p.

1.1%

-2.0p.p.

-

-

3.9%

-2.5%

-49.5%

-3.1p.p.

-25.0%

-3.2p.p.

111.9%

-14.4%

-5.8%

3,006

218

6.8%

507

15.7%

66

151

16.9

Operating Expenses (million)

EBIT (million)

EBIT Margin

EBITDAR (million)

EBITDAR Margin

Financ. Result + Others* (million)

Net Income (million)

Total RASK (cents)

16

15.9

15.4

9.8

9.2

5.9

15.3

14.9

10.2

8.3

5.7

3.9%

3.1%

-3.8%

11.5%

4.0%

-5.8%

-2.6%

-9.7%

-0.9%

-8.1%

16.9

15.8

10.9

9.3

6.4

Total RASK (cents)

CASK (cents)

CASK ex-fuel (cents)

CASK USD (cents)

CASK USD ex-fuel (cents)

* Others includes “Movements in fair value of fuel derivatives” and “Gains (losses) on aircraft revaluation”

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2,400

2,700

Liquidity and debt profile

Adequate debt profile Liquidity Position

R$ Million

2,4532,607

1,9142,145

2,569

2,083

2,500

3,000R$ Million

Caixa 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 20200

300

600

900

1,200

1,500

1,800

2,100

6.3 6.5

8.0

Debentures, bonds and othersLeasing on the balance sheet

Debt mix by currency

Adjusted Net Debt / EBITDAR

R$

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 1Q11

995

1,9142,083

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

17

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 1Q11

3.8

2.1

5.66.3 6.5

3.8 3.8

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

84%

16%

R$

US$

Obs.1: Net Debt Adjusted includes annual operating leases x 7Obs.2: Debt is considered in US GAAP for 2005 and 2006 and in IFRS since 2007

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WTI Hedge Position

2Q11

2H11

1,0202,0401,810

868691

25%24%21%

Volume¹ Strike² Coverage³

5

9 9 9 9

65 5

Hedge Cash Impact Sensitivity

(USD Million)

1H122H121Q13

1,810900150

919797

21%10%3%

Apr12 –Mar13 1,740 96 10%

Apr11 –Mar12 4,180 87 25%

1 – Volume in thousands of barrels 2 – Average Strike (USD/barrel)

3 – Projected consumption coverage

18

1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13

-9

-2

5

-12

-1

-12

-1

-12

-1

-14

-1

-7

-1

-3

5

-3

5

-1

2

70 USD/barrel

90 USD/barrel

110 USD/barrel

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Agenda

� Highlights

� Domestic Market

� International Market

� Financial Result

19

� Guidance and Fleet Plan

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Domestic Market

2011 Guidance

Guidance for2011

ActualJan-Mar

Demand growth (RPK) 15% - 18% 17%

Supply growth (ASK) 10% - 13% 13%

Domestic 10% - 14% 13%

International 10% 12%

Load Factor 73% - 75% 74%

Domestic 67.5% - 70% 70%

International 83% 80%

20

* Accumulated until May 13, 2011

Assumptions

New international frequency or destination 2 3

CASK ex-fuel -5% -3.8%

Average WTI USD 93 USD 99*

Average US dollar rate R$ 1.78 1.64*

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A340 -2 23

1012

12

156163

168174

182

Fleet Plan

Total Fleet (end of period)

43

A33018

A321 - 8

A320

86

43

20

9

86

8

21

131

103

19

136

12

22

140

24

146

152 156163

A319

26

5

29

3

1Q11 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

21

B767 Airbus wide-body Airbus narrow-bodyB777 ATR-42

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[email protected]/ir