11 gfnorte november 2008.. 2 yearly recap net income net interest margin roa roe book value past due...

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1 GFNORTE November 2008.

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Page 1: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

11

GFNORTE

November 2008.

Page 2: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

2

Yearly Recap

Net Income

Net Interest Margin

ROA

ROE

Book Value

Past Due Loan Ratio

MILLION PESOS

3Q083Q07

1,740 15% 2,007

22.3% 21.8%

2.6% 2.4%

Efficiency Ratio 55.4% 48.0%

7.7% 7.7%

1.5% 1.7%

Reserve Coverage 132% 123%

15.98 18.4415%

Page 3: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

3

Income Statement

MILLION PESOS

Net Interest Income

Service Fees

Recovery

Non Interest Income

Total Income

Non Interest Expense

Net Operating Income

Non Operating Income, Net

Income Tax

Net Income

Provisions

Subs & Minority Interest

FX & Trading

2Q08 QoQ YoY3Q07 3Q08

1,712

117

160

1,989

7,221

(3,903)

3,318

551

(751)

1,806

(1,255)

(57)

5,2324,435

1,520

119

1,939

6,374

(3,607)

2,767

527

(806)

1,740

(709)

(39)

300

5,756

1,682

223

2,028

7,784

(3,736)

4,048

593

(982)

2,007

(1,653)

1

123

10%

(2%)

90%

2%

8%

(4%)

22%

7%

31%

11%

32%

102%

(23%)

30%

11%

88%

5%

22%

4%

46%

12%

22%

15%

133%

103%

(59%)

Page 4: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

4

Subsidiaries

NET INCOME IN MILLION PESOS

Bank

Broker Dealer

Insurance / AFORE

Other Finance Companies

Total

2Q08 QoQ YoY3Q07 3Q08

143

63

85

1,806

1,5221,545

72

66

55

1,740

1,802

58

111

60

2,007

18%

(59%)

76%

(29%)

11%

17%

(19%)

67%

8%

15%

Microlending (7)2 (24) - (1,214%)

Holding 1- - (108%) -

Page 5: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

5

Quarterly Net Income

MILLION PESOS

1,685

4Q07

1,928

1Q08

1,806

2Q08

2,007

3Q08

1,740

3Q07

Page 6: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

6

Core Earnings

1,758

3Q07

2,138

1Q08

2,134

4Q07

(NII + Fees – Expenses – Provisions)

MILLION PESOS

1,903

2Q08

2,272

3Q08

Page 7: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

7

Non Interest ExpenseBILLION PESOS

EFFICIENCY RATIO

Interest Income

3Q07

6.3

3Q08

7.722%

Non Interest Expense 3.6 3.74%

57%

9M07

52%

9M08

55%

3Q07

48%

3Q08

Page 8: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

8

PERCENTAGE

NIM

113%

95%

Cetes

Cetes

NIM

1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08

7.1

7.0 7.17.2 7.4

7.5 7.78.2

7.4

7.97.5

7.5

8.1

7.7

Net Interest Margin vs CETES

Page 9: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

9

Deposits

Demand

Time *

Total

3Q083Q07

108

134

241

97

86

183

BILLION PESOS

2Q08

107

114

221

QoQ

Change

YoY

11%

56%

32%

1%

17%

9%

* Retail time deposits plus money market promissory notes.

Page 10: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

10

2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08

10

Funding Evolution

Demand

Time *

Interbank

49%

39%

12%

47%49% 45% 43%

42%41% 41%

47%11%

10% 15%10%

Retail and Wholesale Deposits

(Billion pesos)

206.6 205.3226.2 231.5

246.0

41%

51%

9%

264.8

10* Retail time deposits plus money market promissory notes.

Page 11: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

11

BILLION PESOS

Performing Loan Portfolio

3Q07 2Q08 3Q08 QoQChange

YoY

Commercial

Corporate

Government

Total

Consumer

26%8%

47%6%

42%4%

31%6%

26%5%

85

45

25

230

74

79

43

24

217

71

68

31

18

175

59

3Q07 2Q08 3Q08

175217 230

Page 12: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

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Consumer Loan PortfolioBILLION PESOS

Car Loans

Credit Card Loans

Payroll Loans

Consumer

Mortgage Loans

3Q07 2Q08 3Q08YoY

ChangeQoQ

12%3%

29%2%

18%8%

26%5%

29%6%

8

16

7

74

43

8

16

7

71

40

7

13

6

59

33

3Q07 2Q08 3Q08

59 71 74

Page 13: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

1313

Loan Portfolio Breakdown

3Q07 3Q082Q08

Mortgage

Credit Card

Payroll /Personal

Car

Commercial

Corporate

Government

19

4

7

3

39

18

10

19

4

7

3

36

20

11

19

3

7

3

37

20

11

PERCENTAGE

3Q06

22

5

6

4

36

17

10

Page 14: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

1414

Loans to Deposits Ratio

Total Loans / Total Deposits

97%

4Q07

98%

3Q07

103%

1Q08

100%

2Q08

95%

2Q07

90%

1Q07

97%

3Q08

Page 15: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

15

Asset Quality

Past Due Loans

Loan Loss Reserves

RESERVECOVERAGE

PAST DUE LOANRATIO

Total Loan Portfolio

BILLION PESOS

2Q08

3.2

4.2

220

3Q07

2.7

3.6

180

3Q08

4.0

4.9

233

123%132% 131%

3Q07 2Q08 3Q08

1.7%1.5% 1.5%

3Q07 2Q08 3Q08

Page 16: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

16

New Reserve Requirements

CNBV instructed the banks to increase the reserves on credit

cards with zero missed payments from 0.5% to 2.5%:

2Q08: $103 million pesos against equity.

3Q08: $121 million against P&L.

4Q08: $122 million against P&L.

Possible increase in 2009.

2.5% to 4%.

Response to increase in delinquencies.

Growth in this product will slow down.

Page 17: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

17

Provisions

As a % of Average Gross Loan Book

2.9%*

1.6%2.4%

3Q07 2Q08 3Q08

2.6%

Recurring

* The non recurring item corresponds to Ps $121 million from a new requirement by the authorities.

Page 18: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

18

Past Due Loans

3Q07

Payroll

Car

Mortgage

Credit Cards

1.8%

1.8%

2.4%

5.5%

2Q08

2.0%

1.7%

1.5%

6.7%

3Q08

9.0%

1.9%

1.8%

Commercial 1.2% 1.1%

Corporate 0% 0%

Government 0% 0%

1.6%

1.3%

0%

0%

Page 19: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

19

Capitalization

Tier 1

Tier 2

TOTAL

3Q06 3Q07 3Q08

% Tier 1

11.0%

3.9%

14.9%

74%

12.6%

2.3%

14.9%

84%

10.6%

5.2%

15.8%

67%

Page 20: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

20

Inter National Bank

3Q07

Deposits

Net Income (70%)

ROE

Performing Loans

1,269

4.2

20.9%

928

3Q08

1,415

5.0

20.9%

1,084

Efficiency 42.2% 42.8%

NIM 4.4% 4.2%

MILLION DOLLARS IN US GAAP

YoY

12%

19%

17%

2Q08

1,420

4.1

18.3%

1,018

43.9%

4.1%

QoQ

0%

20%

6%

Page 21: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

21

Banorte’s medium term strategy.

Adequate reading of environment.

Maintain solid fundamentals.

- Deposits - Costs

- Capitalization - Collections

- Asset Quality - Liquidity

Moderation in growth strategy / investments.

Strict risk management practices.

Anticipate market opportunities.

Final Considerations

Page 22: 11 GFNORTE November 2008.. 2 Yearly Recap Net Income Net Interest Margin ROA ROE Book Value Past Due Loan Ratio MILLION PESOS 3Q083Q07 1,740 15% 2,007

22

www.banorte.com/ri

[email protected]