1 gfnorte: 1h07 results september, 2007. 2 1.1h07 overview. 2.stock metrics. 3.final considerations....

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1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007

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Page 1: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

1

GFNORTE:1H07 Results

September, 2007

Page 2: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

2

1. 1H07 Overview.

2. Stock Metrics.

3. Final Considerations.

Contents

Page 3: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

3

1. 1H07 Overview

Page 4: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

4

HighlightsCONSTANT MILLION PESOS

Performing Loan Growth

Past Due Loan Ratio

Reserve Coverage

Net Income

ROE

Stock Price

EPS

P/BV

Net Interest Margin

Tax Rate

1H071H06

25% 28%

0.75 0.83

1.6%

174%

1.5%

141%

12%

36% 35%

2,938 12% 3,292

26% 24%

26.25 89% 49.58

7.6% 7.3%

2.21 55% 3.42

Page 5: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

5

Income StatementCONSTANT MILLION PESOS

Net Interest Income

Service Fees

Recovery

FX & Trading

Non Interest Income

Total Income

Non Interest Expense

Net Operating Income

Non Operating Income (Expense) Net

Income Tax

Net Income

Provisions

Subsidiaries and Minority Interest

1H06 Change1H07

11%7,8437,069

10%

(51%)

(7%)

(3%)

2,760

288

883

3,932

2,519

587

947

4,054

6%

8%

11,775

(6,792)

11,123

(6,288)

3%

1,462%

18%

12%

18%

(70%)

4,983

931

(1,742)

3,292

(987)

108

4,835

60

(1,472)

2,938

(839)

354

Page 6: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

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Recurring Net Income

635

2Q04

1,345

2Q05

1,521

2Q06

CONSTANT MILLION PESOS

1,325

1Q07

1,675

2Q07

1,617

2,196

851

292

Recurring

Non Recurring

Page 7: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

7

Non Interest ExpenseCONSTANT BILLION PESOS

EFFICIENCY RATIO

Non Interest Expense

1H06

6.3

1H07

6.88%

57%

1H05

56%

1H06

57%

1H07

54%

NewAccounting Standards

+ Expansion Program

300bp

Page 8: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

8

Net Interest Margin vs CETESPERCENTAGE

106%

CETES

NIM

8.1

9.0

9.7 9.5

8.6

7.6

7.0

6.2

7.3

8.5 8.3 8.5

7.5

7.1

7.1 7.0 7.0

7.7 8.0 7.9

77%

7.5

7.1

1Q074Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 2Q07

Average CETE :

1H05: 9.34%

1H06: 7.36%

1H07: 7.09%

Page 9: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

9

Core DepositsCONSTANT BILLION PESOS

Mix

Demand

Time

Demand

Time

Total

Deposits 2Q05 2Q072Q06

98

58

156

83

46

128

71

40

111 22%16%

9%

12%

10%

YoY Changew/o INB

18%

28%

17%

14%

63%

37%

100%

64%

36%

100%

64%

36%

100%

Page 10: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

10

CONSTANT BILLION PESOS

Performing Loan Portfolio

2Q06 1Q07 2Q07 QoQChange

YoY

Commercial

Corporate

Government

Total

Consumer

2Q06 1Q07 2Q07

128150 163

5% 35%

19% 36%

13% 25%

9% 28%

8% 17%

63

30

17

163

54

60

25

15

150

50

46

22

13

128

46

YoYw/o Extras

26%

19%

28%

Page 11: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

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Performing Consumer Loan PortfolioCONSTANT BILLION PESOS

QoQChange

YoY

2Q06 1Q07 2Q07

4650 54

3% 5%

10% 45%

10% 26%

8% 17%

8% 11%

12

26%

YoY Changew/o Extras

25%

Consumer

Car Loans

Credit Card

Payroll Loans

Mortgage

2Q06 1Q07 2Q07

7

6

54

30

6

10

5

50

28

6

8

4

46

27

Page 12: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

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Asset Quality

Past Due Loans

Loan Loss Reserves

2Q06 1Q07 2Q07

RESERVECOVERAGE

PAST DUE LOANRATIO

2Q06 1Q07 2Q072Q06 1Q07 2Q07

Total Loan Portfolio

CONSTANT BILLION PESOS

2.0

3.6

141%

174%

149%1.5%1.6%

1.4%

132

2.2

3.3

154

2.5

3.5

168

Page 13: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

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Capitalization Ratio

Tier 1

Tier 2

TOTAL

2Q05 2Q06 2Q07

Percentage Tier 1

10.9%

4.3%

15.2%

72%

14.0%

3.3%

17.3%

81%

12.7%

2.6%

15.2%

83%

PERCENTAGE

Page 14: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

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Net Income

1H05

362

1H06

406

1H07

313

CONSTANT MILLION PESOS

46 39 30

19 2532

2Q03 2Q04 2Q05

Banorte

IPAB

65 63 62

4

55

2Q06

59

2

55

2Q07

57

ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENTCONSTANT BILLION PESOS

Assets6.2

Portfolio

49.0

Total: 56.5

Investment Projects

1.3

ASSET BREAKDOWN 2Q07CONSTANT BILLION PESOS

Recovery Bank

Page 15: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

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AFORE INSURANCEANNUITIES

LONG TERM SAVINGS

248

408

1H05 1H06

250

1H07

82

45

1H05 1H06

33

1H07

26

256

1H05 1H06

143

1H07

140

108

1H05 1H06

74

1H07

ROE: 13%

ROE: 84%

ROE: 19%

Long Term SavingsNET INCOME IN CONSTANT MILLION PESOS

Page 16: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

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BROKERAGE HOUSE

OTHER FINANCE COMPANIES

46

77

1H05 1H06

122

1H07

102130

1H05 1H06

144

1H07

NET INCOME IN CONSTANT MILLION PESOS

ROE: 32%

ROE: 25%

Subsidiaries

Page 17: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

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CONSTANT MILLION DOLLARS

INB Results

Net Interest Margin 4.7%

1H07

4.5%

Performing Loan Portfolio 721 92228%

Deposits 977 1,28031%

Efficiency 43.5% 41.3%

1H06

ROE 20.8% 23.7%

ROA 1.8% 1.8%

Net Income (Banorte’s 70%) 7.0 8.825%

Page 18: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

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Commissions and fees: +11%.

International services, remittances and letters of credit.

Banorte Securities.

Operating Income: +32%; Net Income: +70%.

Branch referrals.

US $40 million.

2,672 accounts.

Cross border mortgages.

Origination: US $39 million in 1H07; US $80 million expected in ’07.

Banorte USA Developments

Page 19: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

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2. Stock Metrics

Page 20: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

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60

100

140

180

220

260

300

340

380

420

460

500

540

Dic

-03

Ab

r-0

4

Ag

o-0

4

Dic

-04

Ab

r-0

5

Ag

o-0

5

Dic

-05

Ab

r-0

6

Ag

o-0

6

Dic

-06

Ab

r-0

7

Ag

o-0

7

2004 - 2007

Stock Performance

Bolsa: 334

Banorte: 478

Page 21: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

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MILLION DOLLARS

1,7921,420

2Q03 2Q04

3,365

2Q05

CAGR 60%

4,660

2Q06

9,209

2Q07

Market Capitalization

8,478

Aug-07

Page 22: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

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1H03 1H04

2.0

5.4

1H05

7.2

1H06

14.9

CAGR 78%

1H07

20.2

MILLION DOLLARS

Daily Turnover

Page 23: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

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3. Final Considerations

Page 24: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

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Final Considerations

Profitability.

Average NIM of 7.5% during the year.

Consensus Net Income for ’07e: Ps $6.7 – $6.8 billion.

Branch Expansion Program.

Total: 70 in 2007.

52 new branches in ’07 (29 originally planned) and 50 in ‘08.

18 refurbishments and relocations in ’07 and 18 in ‘08.

Planned investment of US $30 million remains unaltered.

Asset Quality.

Seasoning of the credit card portfolio.

Provisions: 1.5% of the average loan portfolio during the year.

Page 25: 1 GFNORTE: 1H07 Results September, 2007. 2 1.1H07 Overview. 2.Stock Metrics. 3.Final Considerations. Contents

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