1 gfnorte: 1h07 results september, 2007. 2 1.1h07 overview. 2.stock metrics. 3.final considerations....
TRANSCRIPT
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GFNORTE:1H07 Results
September, 2007
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1. 1H07 Overview.
2. Stock Metrics.
3. Final Considerations.
Contents
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1. 1H07 Overview
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HighlightsCONSTANT MILLION PESOS
Performing Loan Growth
Past Due Loan Ratio
Reserve Coverage
Net Income
ROE
Stock Price
EPS
P/BV
Net Interest Margin
Tax Rate
1H071H06
25% 28%
0.75 0.83
1.6%
174%
1.5%
141%
12%
36% 35%
2,938 12% 3,292
26% 24%
26.25 89% 49.58
7.6% 7.3%
2.21 55% 3.42
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Income StatementCONSTANT MILLION PESOS
Net Interest Income
Service Fees
Recovery
FX & Trading
Non Interest Income
Total Income
Non Interest Expense
Net Operating Income
Non Operating Income (Expense) Net
Income Tax
Net Income
Provisions
Subsidiaries and Minority Interest
1H06 Change1H07
11%7,8437,069
10%
(51%)
(7%)
(3%)
2,760
288
883
3,932
2,519
587
947
4,054
6%
8%
11,775
(6,792)
11,123
(6,288)
3%
1,462%
18%
12%
18%
(70%)
4,983
931
(1,742)
3,292
(987)
108
4,835
60
(1,472)
2,938
(839)
354
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Recurring Net Income
635
2Q04
1,345
2Q05
1,521
2Q06
CONSTANT MILLION PESOS
1,325
1Q07
1,675
2Q07
1,617
2,196
851
292
Recurring
Non Recurring
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Non Interest ExpenseCONSTANT BILLION PESOS
EFFICIENCY RATIO
Non Interest Expense
1H06
6.3
1H07
6.88%
57%
1H05
56%
1H06
57%
1H07
54%
NewAccounting Standards
+ Expansion Program
300bp
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Net Interest Margin vs CETESPERCENTAGE
106%
CETES
NIM
8.1
9.0
9.7 9.5
8.6
7.6
7.0
6.2
7.3
8.5 8.3 8.5
7.5
7.1
7.1 7.0 7.0
7.7 8.0 7.9
77%
7.5
7.1
1Q074Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 2Q07
Average CETE :
1H05: 9.34%
1H06: 7.36%
1H07: 7.09%
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Core DepositsCONSTANT BILLION PESOS
Mix
Demand
Time
Demand
Time
Total
Deposits 2Q05 2Q072Q06
98
58
156
83
46
128
71
40
111 22%16%
9%
12%
10%
YoY Changew/o INB
18%
28%
17%
14%
63%
37%
100%
64%
36%
100%
64%
36%
100%
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CONSTANT BILLION PESOS
Performing Loan Portfolio
2Q06 1Q07 2Q07 QoQChange
YoY
Commercial
Corporate
Government
Total
Consumer
2Q06 1Q07 2Q07
128150 163
5% 35%
19% 36%
13% 25%
9% 28%
8% 17%
63
30
17
163
54
60
25
15
150
50
46
22
13
128
46
YoYw/o Extras
26%
19%
28%
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Performing Consumer Loan PortfolioCONSTANT BILLION PESOS
QoQChange
YoY
2Q06 1Q07 2Q07
4650 54
3% 5%
10% 45%
10% 26%
8% 17%
8% 11%
12
26%
YoY Changew/o Extras
25%
Consumer
Car Loans
Credit Card
Payroll Loans
Mortgage
2Q06 1Q07 2Q07
7
6
54
30
6
10
5
50
28
6
8
4
46
27
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Asset Quality
Past Due Loans
Loan Loss Reserves
2Q06 1Q07 2Q07
RESERVECOVERAGE
PAST DUE LOANRATIO
2Q06 1Q07 2Q072Q06 1Q07 2Q07
Total Loan Portfolio
CONSTANT BILLION PESOS
2.0
3.6
141%
174%
149%1.5%1.6%
1.4%
132
2.2
3.3
154
2.5
3.5
168
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Capitalization Ratio
Tier 1
Tier 2
TOTAL
2Q05 2Q06 2Q07
Percentage Tier 1
10.9%
4.3%
15.2%
72%
14.0%
3.3%
17.3%
81%
12.7%
2.6%
15.2%
83%
PERCENTAGE
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Net Income
1H05
362
1H06
406
1H07
313
CONSTANT MILLION PESOS
46 39 30
19 2532
2Q03 2Q04 2Q05
Banorte
IPAB
65 63 62
4
55
2Q06
59
2
55
2Q07
57
ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENTCONSTANT BILLION PESOS
Assets6.2
Portfolio
49.0
Total: 56.5
Investment Projects
1.3
ASSET BREAKDOWN 2Q07CONSTANT BILLION PESOS
Recovery Bank
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AFORE INSURANCEANNUITIES
LONG TERM SAVINGS
248
408
1H05 1H06
250
1H07
82
45
1H05 1H06
33
1H07
26
256
1H05 1H06
143
1H07
140
108
1H05 1H06
74
1H07
ROE: 13%
ROE: 84%
ROE: 19%
Long Term SavingsNET INCOME IN CONSTANT MILLION PESOS
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BROKERAGE HOUSE
OTHER FINANCE COMPANIES
46
77
1H05 1H06
122
1H07
102130
1H05 1H06
144
1H07
NET INCOME IN CONSTANT MILLION PESOS
ROE: 32%
ROE: 25%
Subsidiaries
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CONSTANT MILLION DOLLARS
INB Results
Net Interest Margin 4.7%
1H07
4.5%
Performing Loan Portfolio 721 92228%
Deposits 977 1,28031%
Efficiency 43.5% 41.3%
1H06
ROE 20.8% 23.7%
ROA 1.8% 1.8%
Net Income (Banorte’s 70%) 7.0 8.825%
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Commissions and fees: +11%.
International services, remittances and letters of credit.
Banorte Securities.
Operating Income: +32%; Net Income: +70%.
Branch referrals.
US $40 million.
2,672 accounts.
Cross border mortgages.
Origination: US $39 million in 1H07; US $80 million expected in ’07.
Banorte USA Developments
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2. Stock Metrics
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60
100
140
180
220
260
300
340
380
420
460
500
540
Dic
-03
Ab
r-0
4
Ag
o-0
4
Dic
-04
Ab
r-0
5
Ag
o-0
5
Dic
-05
Ab
r-0
6
Ag
o-0
6
Dic
-06
Ab
r-0
7
Ag
o-0
7
2004 - 2007
Stock Performance
Bolsa: 334
Banorte: 478
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MILLION DOLLARS
1,7921,420
2Q03 2Q04
3,365
2Q05
CAGR 60%
4,660
2Q06
9,209
2Q07
Market Capitalization
8,478
Aug-07
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1H03 1H04
2.0
5.4
1H05
7.2
1H06
14.9
CAGR 78%
1H07
20.2
MILLION DOLLARS
Daily Turnover
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3. Final Considerations
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Final Considerations
Profitability.
Average NIM of 7.5% during the year.
Consensus Net Income for ’07e: Ps $6.7 – $6.8 billion.
Branch Expansion Program.
Total: 70 in 2007.
52 new branches in ’07 (29 originally planned) and 50 in ‘08.
18 refurbishments and relocations in ’07 and 18 in ‘08.
Planned investment of US $30 million remains unaltered.
Asset Quality.
Seasoning of the credit card portfolio.
Provisions: 1.5% of the average loan portfolio during the year.
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