102845390 egypt political power map july 2012

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  • 7/30/2019 102845390 Egypt Political Power Map July 2012

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    Formal relationshipor influence

    Informal relationshipor influence

    Institutions

    Parties andmovements

    Egypt: political power map (July 2012)

    arabist.net

    Interior

    Foreign Affairs

    Justice

    Information

    SCAF

    The State

    Bureaucracy

    "Sovereign"

    ministries

    Cabinet run by

    technocratic

    Prime Minister

    Other

    ministries

    Pro-SCAF / Anti-Brotherhood

    secular parties (Wafd, Free

    Egyptians, ex-NDP, etc.)

    Secular democratic parties

    (Social Democrats,

    Socialists, etc.)

    Judiciary

    State

    Armed Forces

    (army, air

    force, navy,

    air defenses)

    General

    Intelligence

    Service

    Military

    Intelligence

    Muslim

    BrotherhoodSalafists

    Wasati

    parties

    Presidential

    Chief of

    Staff (Gen.

    Abdel Momen

    Fouda,

    appointed by

    SCAF)

    President

    Mohammed

    Morsy

    Presidential

    aides

    National

    Defense

    Council

    Council of

    Presidential Advisors

    (to be appointed)

    Vice-

    presidents

    Pro-Morsy / Anti

    (e.g. April

    Unaffiliated / r

    both SCAF and

    Anti-Morsy (e.

    Maspero Coptic U

    The Brotherhood's

    influence over

    President Morsy is

    a key point of

    contention

    Secularists

    expect President

    Morsy to form a

    national unity

    government andinclude them in

    his team

    SCAF is likely to retain

    indirect control over the

    ministries of defense,

    information, interior,

    justice and foreign affairs

    The relationship (or power-

    sharing) with between the

    presidency and the military

    is the key unresolvedconstitutional and

    institutional question of

    post-Mubarak Egypt. SCAF's

    Supplemental Constitutional

    Declaration of June 17

    leaves the presidency's

    powers severely undermined

    and grants the generals

    legislative powers until a

    new parliament is elected.

    Wasati "Middle trend" Islamists such as

    former presidential candidate Abdel Moneim

    Aboul Fotouh and leaders of the Wasat or

    Egyptian Current parties have had better

    success in forging alliances with secularists

    Weakened by

    the 2011

    uprising,

    the once-

    powerful

    Ministry of

    Interior has

    fallen under

    military and

    GIS control

    Judges are keen to reverse executive

    control of the ministry of justice

    and worry about Islamists'

    intentions towards the judiciary

    The Interior Ministry

    is likely to be

    headed by a police

    general, leavingquestions of Security

    Sector Reform outside

    civilian control.

    Egypt has two foreign

    policies: one run bythe presidency,

    another by the MFA,

    SCAF and GIS.

    Old and new parties, as well as someBrotherhood movements, have fou

    common cause with old regime netwand the military against President Mo

    Control of state television, radio

    and newspapers appears likely to

    remain in the deep state's hands,

    providing a crucial propaganda tool

    and making reform unlikely

    Secular parties afraid of

    Islamist dominance have

    appealed to SCAF as a

    "protector of the civil state"

    100s of retired generals

    have jobs in the senior

    civil service

    Islamist parties (all backed Morsy)

    Revolutionary groups

    The "Deep State"

    The Presidency

    Secular parties

    Parliament

    (dissolved)

    Constituent

    Assembly

    (contested)State institutions

    Major revolutionary groups such as April 6 backed

    Morsy against Shafiq in the presidential election,

    hoping to steer the Brotherhood away from SCAF and

    assert the principle of civilian rule.

    Defence