1 understanding and managing addiction as a chronic condition michael l. dennis, ph.d. chestnut...
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Understanding and Managing Addiction as a Chronic Condition
Michael L. Dennis, Ph.D.Chestnut Health Systems
Normal, IL
Presentation at the Congressional Addiction, Treatment, and Recovery Caucus Briefing, “Reducing Health Care Costs: Chronic Disease Management for Alcohol & Drug Problems,” June 11, 2009 from 1:00-3:00 p.m., 122 Cannon House Office Building. This presentation was supported by funds from and data from NIDA grants no. R01 DA15523, R37-DA11323, CSAT contract no. 270-07-0191 and several other authors/studies. It is available electronically at www.chestnut.org/li/posters. The opinions are those of the author and do not reflect official
positions of the government. I would like to thank Redonna Chandler, Wilson Compton, Mark Godley, Thomas Hilton, Randy Muck, Chris Scott, and Alan Sender, for their assistance
in preparing this presentation. Please address comments or questions to the author at [email protected] or 309-451-7801.
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The Goals of this Presentation are to:
1. Illustrate the chronic nature of substance use disorders
2. Examine the likelihood and nature of sustained recovery
3. Demonstrate the feasibility of using simple protocols like recovery checkups to improve long-term outcomes
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Normal
10 days of abstinence
100 days of abstinence
Source: Volkow ND, Hitzemann R, Wang C-I, Fowler IS, Wolf AP, Dewey SL. Long-term frontal brain metabolic changes in cocaine abusers. Synapse 11:184-190, 1992; Volkow ND, Fowler JS, Wang G-J, Hitzemann R, Logan J, Schlyer D, Dewey 5, Wolf AP. Decreased dopamine D2 receptor availability is associated with reduced frontal metabolism in cocaine abusers. Synapse 14:169-177, 1993.
Prolonged Substance Use Injures The Brain:Prolonged Substance Use Injures The Brain:Healing Takes Time Healing Takes Time
Normal levels of brain activity in PET
scans show up in yellow to red
After 100 days of abstinence, we can
see brain activity “starting” to recover
Reduced brain activity after regular
use can be seen even after 10 days
of abstinence
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Alcohol and Other Drug Abuse, Dependence and Problem Use Peaks at Age 20
Source: 2002 NSDUH and Dennis & Scott, 2007, Neumark et al., 2000
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
12-13
14-15
16-17
18-20
21-29
30-34
35-49
50-64
65+Other drug or heavy alcohol use in the past year
Alcohol or Drug Use (AOD) Abuse or Dependence in the past year
Age
Severity Category
Over 90% of use and
problems start between the ages of
12-20
It takes decades before most recover or die
Per
cent
age
People with drug dependence die an
average of 22.5 years sooner than those
without a diagnosis
5
8.9%
21.2%
7.3%
0.5% 1.0% 0.6%0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
12 to 17 18 to 25 26+
Alcohol or Other Drug Abuse or Dependence Any Public or Private Treatment
Substance Use Disorders are Common,But Treatment Participation Rates Are Low
Source: OAS, 2006 – 2003, 2004, and 2005 NSDUH
Over 88% of adolescent and young adult treatment and
over 50% of adult treatment is publicly funded
Few Get Treatment: 1 in 17 adolescents,
1 in 22 young adults, 1 in 12 adults
Much of the private funding is limited to 30 days or less and authorized day by day
or week by week
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People Entering Publicly Funded Treatment Generally Use For Decades
Per
cen
t st
ill u
sin
g
Years from first use to 1+ years of abstinence302520151050
Source: Dennis et al., 2005
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
It takes 27 years before half reach 1 or more years of abstinence or die
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Per
cen
t st
ill u
sin
g
Years from first use to 1+ years of abstinence
under 15
21+
15-20
Age of First Use
302520151050
Source: Dennis et al., 2005
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
60% longer
The Younger They Start, The Longer They Use
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Per
cen
t st
ill u
sin
g
Years from first use to 1+ years of abstinence
Years to first
Treatment Admission
302520151050
Source: Dennis et al., 2005
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
20 or more years
0 to 9 years
10 to 19 years
57% quicker
The Sooner They Get The Treatment, The Quicker They Get To Abstinence
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After Initial Treatment…
• Relapse is common, particularly for those who: – Are Younger– Have already been to treatment multiple times – Have more mental health issues or pain
• It takes an average of 3 to 4 treatment admissions over 9 years before half reach a year of abstinence
• Yet over 2/3rds do eventually abstain• Treatment predicts who starts abstinence• Self help engagement predicts who stays abstinent
Source: Dennis et al., 2005, Scott et al 2005
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The Likelihood of Sustaining Abstinence Another Year Grows Over Time
36%
66%
86%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1 to 12 months 1 to 3 years 4 to 7 years
Duration of Abstinence
% S
usta
inin
g A
bsti
nenc
eA
noth
er Y
ear
.
After 1 to 3 years of abstinence, 2/3rds will make it another year
After 4 years of abstinence, about 86% will make it
another year
Source: Dennis, Foss & Scott (2007)
Only a third of people with
1 to 12 months of abstinence will
sustain it another year
But even after 7 years of abstinence, about
14% relapse each year
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Source: Dennis, Foss & Scott (2007)
What does recovery look like on average?
Duration of Abstinence1-12 Months 1-3 Years 4-7 Years
• More social and spiritual support• Better mental health • Housing and living situations continue to improve • Dramatic rise in employment and income • Dramatic drop in people living below the poverty line
• Virtual elimination of illegal activity and illegal income • Better housing and living situations • Increasing employment and income
• More clean and sober friends• Less illegal activity and incarceration • Less homelessness, violence and victimization • Less use by others at home, work, and by social peers
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Sustained Abstinence Also ReducesThe Risk of Death
Source: Scott, Dennis, Simeone & Funk (forthcoming)
-
Users/Early Abstainers more likely
to die in the next 12
months
The Risk of Death goes down with
years of sustained abstinence
It takes 4 or more years of abstinence for
risk to get down to
community levels
(Matched on Gender, Race & Age)
Dea
ths
in t
he
nex
t 12
mon
ths
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Other factors related to death rates
• Death is more likely for those who – Are older– Are engaged in illegal activity– Have chronic health conditions– Spend a lot of time in hospitals– Spend a lot of time in and out of substance abuse
treatment
• Death is less common for those who – Have a greater percent of time abstinent– Have longer periods of continuous abstinence– Get back to treatment sooner after relapse
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Recovery Management Checkups (RMC)
• Quarterly monitoring after treatment• Linkage meeting/motivational interviewing to:
– provide personalized feedback to participants about their substance use and related problems,
– help the participant recognize the problem and consider returning to treatment,
– address existing barriers to treatment, and – schedule an assessment.
• Linkage assistance– reminder calls and rescheduling– Transportation and being escorted as needed
• Treatment Engagement Specialist
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Reducing Time from Relapse to Readmission
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0% 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21
Months From Relapse to Readmission
Percent Readmitted 1+ Times37% Control
55% Checkups
Time from relapse to readmission
reduced by over 50%
Source: Scott & Dennis (2009)
50% more got back to
treatment
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Positive Consequences of Early Readmission
• Checkups and Early Readmission to Treatment were associated with: – Less substance use and problems– Longer periods of abstinence– More attendance and engagement in self help
activities• Above were associated with:
– Fewer HIV risk behaviours– Less illegal activity, arrests, and time
incarcerated– Fewer mental health problems– Less utilization and costs to society
Source: Scott & Dennis (2009)
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Source: French et al., 2008; Chandler et al., 2009; Capriccioso, 2004
Cost of Substance Abuse Treatment Episode
$407
$1,249$1,132$1,384$2,486$2,907
$4,277$14,818
$0
$1
0,0
00
$2
0,0
00
$3
0,0
00
$4
0,0
00
$5
0,0
00
$6
0,0
00
$7
0,0
00
Screening & Brief Inter.(1-2 days)In-prison Therap. Com. (28 weeks)
Outpatient (18 weeks)Intensive Outpatient (12 weeks)
Treatment Drug Court (46 weeks)Residential (13 weeks)
Methadone Maintenance (87 weeks)Therapeutic Community (33 weeks)
$22,000 / year to incarcerate
an adult
$30,000/ child-year in foster care
$70,000/year to keep a child in
detention
• $750 per night in Detox• $1,115 per night in hospital • $13,000 per week in intensive care for premature baby• $27,000 per robbery• $67,000 per assault
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Investing in Treatment has a Positive Annual Return on Investment (ROI)
• Substance abuse treatment has been shown to have a ROI of between $1.28 to $7.26 per dollar invested
• Treatment drug courts have an average ROI of $2.14 to $2.71 per dollar invested
Source: Bhati et al., (2008); Ettner et al., (2006)
This also means that for every dollar treatment is cut, we lose more money than we saved.
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Summary Points
• Addiction can be a chronic condition with high costs to the individual and society
• Getting people to recovery earlier requires getting people to treatment sooner after initial use and after relapse
• Simple protocols like recovery checkups can help achieve abstinence sooner and improve a wide range of outcomes
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Implications for Health Care Reform
• Finance addiction care similar to models for other chronic conditions
• Fund programs to get people into treatment early
• Expand capacity to reduce treatment gap
• Increase step down and continuing care
• Increase links to self help and recovery services
• Require several years of monitoring and early re-intervention when people relapse
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References• Bhati et al. (2008) To Treat or Not To Treat: Evidence on the Prospects of Expanding Treatment to Drug-Involved Offenders. Washington, DC: Urban Institute.• Capriccioso, R. (2004). Foster care: No cure for mental illness. Connect for Kids. Accessed on 6/3/09 from http://www.connectforkids.org/node/571• Chandler, R.K., Fletcher, B.W., Volkow, N.D. (2009). Treating drug abuse and addiction in the criminal justice system: Improving public health and safety. Journal American
Medical Association, 301(2), 183-190• Dennis, M.L., Foss, M.A., & Scott, C.K (2007). An eight-year perspective on the relationship between the duration of abstinence and other aspects of recovery. Evaluation
Review, 31(6), 585-612• Dennis, M. L., Scott, C. K. (2007). Managing Addiction as a Chronic Condition. Addiction Science & Clinical Practice , 4(1), 45-55.• Dennis, M. L., Scott, C. K., Funk, R., & Foss, M. A. (2005). The duration and correlates of addiction and treatment careers. Journal of Substance Abuse Treatment, 28, S51-S62.• Ettner, S.L., Huang, D., Evans, E., Ash, D.R., Hardy, M., Jourabchi, M., & Hser, Y.I. (2006). Benefit Cost in the California Treatment Outcome Project: Does Substance Abuse
Treatment Pay for Itself?. Health Services Research, 41(1), 192-213. • French, M.T., Popovici, I., & Tapsell, L. (2008). The economic costs of substance abuse treatment: Updated estimates of cost bands for program assessment and reimbursement.
Journal of Substance Abuse Treatment, 35, 462-469• Neumark, Y.D., Van Etten, M.L., & Anthony, J.C. (2000). Drug dependence and death: Survival analysis of the
Baltimore ECA sample from 1981 to 1995. Substance Use and Misuse, 35, 313-327.• Office of Applied Studies (2006). Results from the 2005 National Survey on Drug Use and Health: National Findings Rockville, MD: Substance Abuse and Mental Health
Services Administration. http://www.oas.samhsa.gov/NSDUH/2k5NSDUH/2k5results.htm#7.3.1 • Riley, B.B.,, Scott, C.K, & Dennis, M.L. (2008). The effect of recovery management checkups on transitions from substance use to substance abuse treatment and from treatment
to recovery. Poster presented at the UCLA Center for Advancing Longitudinal Drug Abuse Research Annual Conference, August 13-15, 2008, Los Angles, CA. www.caldar.org .
• Scott, C. K., & Dennis, M. L. (in press). Results from Two Randomized Clinical Trials evaluating the impact of Quarterly Recovery Management Checkups with Adult Chronic Substance Users. Addiction.
• Scott, C. K., Dennis, M. L., Simeone, R., & Funk R. (forthcoming). Predicting the likelihood of death of substance users over 9 years based on baseline risk, treatment and duration of abstinence. Chicago, IL: Chestnut Health Systems.
• Scott, C. K., Foss, M. A., & Dennis, M. L. (2005). Pathways in the relapse, treatment, and recovery cycle over three years. Journal of Substance Abuse Treatment, 28, S61-S70.• Volkow N.D., Fowler J.S., Wang G-J., Hitzemann R., Logan J., Schlyer D., Dewey 5., Wolf A.P. (1993). Decreased dopamine D2 receptor availability is associated with reduced
frontal metabolism in cocaine abusers. Synapse 14:169-177.• Volkow, N.D., Hitzemann R., Wang C-I., Fowler I.S., Wolf A.P., Dewey S.L. (1992). Long-term frontal brain metabolic changes in cocaine abusers. Synapse 11:184-190.