1 the international mobility of researchers: recent trends and policy initiatives ester basri...
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The international mobility of researchers: recent trends and policy initiatives
Ester BasriScience and Technology Policy Division
Contact: [email protected]
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Outline
• Why is international mobility important?
• Why is international mobility increasing?
• Where are the highly skilled moving?
• What are the motives of researchers?
• How are policy makers responding?
3
Data issues
• Significant attempts to improve data on students, migration, foreign PhDs and HRST generally
• This presentation draws on the latest data
• However, continuing data problems, especially on migration and researchers
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Why is international mobility an important policy issue?
• Human resources in science and technology (HRST) are critical to innovation and growth
• R&D expenditure and demand for HRST is growing
• International mobility is growing rapidly
• International mobility is not just a supply issue – it facilitates knowledge diffusion and catch-up development
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Demand – HRST occupations growing faster than
employmentAverage annual growth rate HRST occupations and total employment, %, 1995-2004
- 3 - 2 - 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Czech RepublicPortugal
Slovak RepublicPoland
SwitzerlandGermanyEU19 (2)
FinlandUnited States
United KingdomBelgiumFrance
SwedenEU15
DenmarkCanada
New ZealandAustralia
KoreaIceland
ItalyAustria
NetherlandsGreeceNorway
LuxembourgHungary
IrelandSpain
HRST occupations Total employment
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Strong growth in researchers and R&D personnel
Average annual growth rate, %, 1995-2005,
- 4
- 2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
New Z
ealan
d
Singap
ore
Finlan
d
Turke
ry
Spain
South
Afri
ca
Icelan
d
Czech
Rep
ublic
Mex
ico
Irelan
d
China
Portu
gal
Austri
a
Korea
Greec
e
Denm
ark
Chines
e Taip
ei
Luxe
mbo
urg
Sweden
Hunga
ry
Austra
lia
Canad
a
Belgium
Total
OECD
EU-15
Norway
Argen
tina
EU-25
United
Sta
tes
Franc
e
United
King
domJa
pan
Poland
Switzer
land
Germ
any
Slovak
Rep
ublic
Nethe
rland
sIta
ly
Russia
n Fed
erat
ion
Researchers Total R&D personnel
%
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Maintaining capability
• Demand for researchers and HRST is expected to increase further– Total OECD R&D expenditure reached USD
726 billion in 2004, average annual increase almost 10% from 2000
• Demand is also driven by demographic changes
• Supply is affected by the attractiveness of research careers
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A large proportion of expatriates are highly-skilled
Expatriates as a % of all native-born, OECD, 2001
0
5
10
15
20
25
United
Sta
tes
Spain
Japa
n
Korea
Austra
lia
Turke
y
Franc
e
Norway
Sweden
Czech
Rep
ublic
Finlan
d
Mex
ico
Belgium
Canad
aIta
ly
Denm
ark
Germ
any
Nethe
rland
s
Hunga
ry
Poland
Greec
e
Portu
gal
Slovac
Rep
ublic
Switzer
land
Austri
a
United
King
dom
Luxe
mbo
urg
Irelan
d
New Z
ealan
d
Total population Highly skilled
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But differences across the OECD
Distribution of expatriates by skill level and country of origin, 2001
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
United
Sta
tes
Japa
n
Austra
lia
New Z
ealan
d
Korea
United
King
dom
Canad
a
Sweden
Denm
ark
Switzer
land
Franc
e
Icelan
d
Nethe
rland
s
Belgium
Norway
Germ
any
Austri
a
Hunga
ry
Luxe
mbo
urg
Irelan
d
Poland
Finlan
d
Czech
Rep
Spain
Greec
e
Slovak
Rep Ita
ly
Portu
gal
Turke
y
Mex
ico
High-skill Medium-skill Low-skill
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Expatriates concentrated in US, EU Canada and Australia
Shares of highly-skilled immigrants in the OECD, 2001
Netherlands1.1%
Sweden1.1%
United States44.6%
Canada11.0%
Australia8.0%
United Kingdom7.5%
Japan1.5%
Italy1.3%
Switzerland1.5%
Belgium1.0%
Spain2.2%
Germany6.4% France
5.5%
Other7.3%
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Almost one-third intra-OECD mobility
Highly skilled migrants by OECD country of residence, 2001, as % of highly skilled natives
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Luxe
mbo
urg
Switzer
land
Austra
lia
New Z
ealan
d
Irelan
d
Canad
a
Austri
a
Sweden
United
King
dom
Belgium
Norway
Greec
eEU15
Portu
gal
United
Sta
tes
Franc
e
Denm
ark
EU19
Czech
Rep
ublic
OECD
Turke
y
Nethe
rland
s
Slovak
Rep
ublic
Spain
Germ
any
Hunga
ry
Finlan
d
Mex
ico
Poland
Korea
Japa
n
Highly skilled from OECD countries Highly skilled from non-OECD countries
% 85
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Some OECD countries have high proportions of foreign
PhDsForeign-born doctoral holders as % of total doctoral
holders, by OECD country of residence, 2001
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
NewZealand
Ireland Sweden Norway Belgium Greece Spain CzechRepublic
Denmark Poland Finland Mexico
%
13
Tertiary education has internationalised - 0.6 million students in 1975 to 2.7 million in
2004Distribution of foreign students by country of
destination, 2004
J apan, 4%
Canada, 5%
Australia, 6%
France, 9%Germany, 10%
United Kingdom, 11%
United States, 22%
Other non-OECD, 9%
Russian Federation, 3%
New Zealand, 3%
South Africa, 2%
Belgium, 2%Spain, 2%
Italy, 2%Sweden, 1%
Other OECD, 6%Malaysia, 1%
Austria, 1%
Switzerland, 1%
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Why are researchers mobile?
• Employment related– Better employment opportunities,
professional development, career advancement
• Access to scientific infrastructure & research funding
• Personal reasons– Family-related, lifestyle
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Policy options to foster international mobility
• Policy initiatives now involve coordinated and explicit strategies across ministerial portfolios
• Initiatives include economic incentives, immigration programmes, support mechanisms (housing, language training etc)
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Main messages
• The global demand for talent has become increasingly competitive
• This is likely to continue and may accelerate since opportunities are improving across countries
• Policies cannot simply focus on monetary incentives – HRST and researchers are attracted by wider support for science and innovation
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Moving forward
• Need for data improvements
• Major questions on how international mobility relates to domestic capacity-building
• Need for better understanding of optimal mobility rates