1. problem set 14 from osborne’s introd. to g.t. p.332 ex. 332.1

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Page 1: 1. problem set 14 from Osborne’s Introd. To G.T. p.332 Ex. 332.1

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Page 2: 1. problem set 14 from Osborne’s Introd. To G.T. p.332 Ex. 332.1

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problem set 14

from Osborne’sIntrod. To G.T.

p.332 Ex. 332.1

Page 3: 1. problem set 14 from Osborne’s Introd. To G.T. p.332 Ex. 332.1

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Separating Equilibrium

Type chooses : L e* L

Type chooses : *SH e

y L,e

e

HI

e* L

y H,e

e* H

EnvyEnvyLI

*Se

Beliefs:

H LL

Payoffs for educationThe firm’s action plan

Page 4: 1. problem set 14 from Osborne’s Introd. To G.T. p.332 Ex. 332.1

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The structure of equilibrium

Type chooses : L e* L

Type chooses : *SH e

The firm must believe :

after observing :

after observing : *S

L e* L

H e

after observing anything else it can believe anything.

Specify what it believes after observing any signal.

The firm chooses an optimal action given its belief

, are 's optimal signals given the firm's

action plan

*se* L e L,H

Page 5: 1. problem set 14 from Osborne’s Introd. To G.T. p.332 Ex. 332.1

5

Separating Equilibrium

Type chooses : L e* L

Type chooses : *SH e

y L,e

e

HI

e* L

y H,e

e* H

LI

*Se

Beliefs:

H LL

Can the firm have these beliefs???

It is a strictly dominated (inferior) strategy for type L to send a signal in this interval

Whatever action the firm takes, (even if it pays him as if

he were H) he is better off sending e*(L).

*Se

L(An H is better off in this interval if he is identified as H. )Any signal above e*s is dominated for both types, so the

firm is allowed to believe something.

Page 6: 1. problem set 14 from Osborne’s Introd. To G.T. p.332 Ex. 332.1

6

Separating Equilibrium

Type chooses : L e* L

Type chooses : *SH e

y L,e

e

HI

e* L

y H,e

e* H

LI

*Se

Beliefs:

H LL

If we accept this argument then the firm ‘s belief in this interval should be H.

*Se

The only separating equilibrium is when eS* is at the left of this

interval

This argument is known as The Intuitive Criterion The Intuitive Criterion of In-Koo Cho & David Kreps

L

Page 7: 1. problem set 14 from Osborne’s Introd. To G.T. p.332 Ex. 332.1

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Beer or Quiche

Page 8: 1. problem set 14 from Osborne’s Introd. To G.T. p.332 Ex. 332.1

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Beer or Quiche

Nature chooses the type of player 1 : Weak, Strong with probability r, 1-r

The Weak type likes Quiche for his breakfast, the Strong likes Beer. Player 1 chooses his breakfast

Player 2 does not know the type of player 1 but observes what he had for breakfast. He then decides whether to pick up a fight with player 1.

Player 1 gets 1 point if he had his favorite meal, and gets additional 2 points if there was no fight.

Player 2 gets 1 point if he fought the Weak type or if he did not fight the Strong

all other payoffs are 0

Page 9: 1. problem set 14 from Osborne’s Introd. To G.T. p.332 Ex. 332.1

9

Beer or Quiche

N

S

W

r

1-r

beer

beer

quiche

quiche

fight

fight

I II

fight

fight

II

0 , 1

3 , 1

1 , 0

2 , 0

1 , 1

2 , 1

0 , 0

3 , 0

Is there a separating equilibrium ?

pq

1-p1-q

Page 10: 1. problem set 14 from Osborne’s Introd. To G.T. p.332 Ex. 332.1

10

Beer or Quiche

N

S

W

r

1-r

beer

beer

quiche

quiche

fight

fight

I II

fight

fight

II

0 , 1

1 , 0

1 , 1

2 , 1

3 , 0

Is there a separating equilibrium ?

01

10 3 , 1

not an equilibrium

2 , 0

0 , 0

Page 11: 1. problem set 14 from Osborne’s Introd. To G.T. p.332 Ex. 332.1

11

Beer or Quiche

N

S

W

r

1-r

beer

beer

quiche

quiche

fight

fight

I II

fight

fight

II

2 , 0

1 , 1

0 , 0

Is there a separating equilibrium ?

10

01 3 , 1

0 , 1

2 , 1

not an equilibrium

3 , 0

1 , 0

Page 12: 1. problem set 14 from Osborne’s Introd. To G.T. p.332 Ex. 332.1

12

Beer or Quiche

N

S

W

r

1-r

beer

beer

quiche

quiche

fight

fight

I IIfight

fight

II

2 , 0

1 , 1

0 , 0

3 , 0

Is there a pooling equilibrium ?

rq

1-r1-q 3 , 1

0 , 1

2 , 1

If r > ½ then fight

1 , 0

not an equilibrium

Page 13: 1. problem set 14 from Osborne’s Introd. To G.T. p.332 Ex. 332.1

13

Beer or Quiche

N

S

W

r

1-r

beer

beer

quiche

quiche

fight

fight

I IIfight

fight

II

2 , 03 , 0

Is there a pooling equilibrium ?

pr

1-p1-r 3 , 12 , 1

If r > ½ then fight

r > ½

0 , 0

1 , 1 0 , 1

1 , 0

not an equilibrium

Page 14: 1. problem set 14 from Osborne’s Introd. To G.T. p.332 Ex. 332.1

14

Beer or Quiche

N

S

W

r

1-r

beer

beer

quiche

quiche

fight

fight

I IIfight

fight

II

3 , 0

Is there a pooling equilibrium ?

rq

1-r1-q

0 , 1

2 , 1

If r < ½ then not fight

1 , 0

r < ½

2 , 0

3 , 1

If q > ½ then fight

0 , 0

1 , 1

an equilibrium

Page 15: 1. problem set 14 from Osborne’s Introd. To G.T. p.332 Ex. 332.1

15

Beer or Quiche

N

S

W

r

1-r

beer

beer

quiche

quiche

fight

fight

I IIfight

fight

II

2 , 0

Is there a pooling equilibrium ?

pr

1-p1-r 3 , 1

If r < ½ then not fight

r < ½

0 , 0

1 , 1

If p > ½ then fight

0 , 1

1 , 0

p > ½

an equilibrium

3 , 0

2 , 1

but …..

Page 16: 1. problem set 14 from Osborne’s Introd. To G.T. p.332 Ex. 332.1

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Beer or Quiche

N

S

W

r

1-r

beer

beer

quiche

quiche

fight

fight

I IIfight

fight

II

2 , 0

Is there a pooling equilibrium ?

pr

1-p1-r 3 , 1

r < ½

0 , 0

1 , 1 0 , 1

1 , 0

p > ½

3 , 0

2 , 1

Is it reasonable for player 2 to believe that W will drink beer when all his possible payoffs (after beer) are less than 3 ?

00 , 1

22 , 033 , 0