1. industry analysis - amic · amic july 2012 report . index industry analysis 03 1.1. total market...

IMC INTEGRATED MANAGEMENT CONSULTANCY

Rami Y. Camel-Toueg & Associates

AMIC July 2012 Report

Index Industry Analysis 03

1.1. Total Market 04

1.2. Passenger Cars Market 13

1.3. Buses Market 38

1.4. Trucks Market 54

Monthly Flash News 69

1.1. Macro Flash News 70

1.2. Local Industry News 77

1. Industry Analysis

1. 1. Total Market

Total Market Split July 2011 –

July 2012

Total Market volume for the month of July 2012 was lower than July 2011 sales by

From to units

The Passenger cars segment had a volume decrease of in units, when comparing

July 2011 to July 2012; the Buses segment had a volume increase of

and the Trucks segment had a volume increase of

-5%

-11%

86%

2%

17,688 16,802

Total Market Volume Total Market Volume 16,80217,688

14,264

Buses

Passenger Cars Passenger Cars

Buses

2,774

1,325

12,703

711

Trucks2,713Trucks

PC

14,264 Units

81%

Buses

711 Units

4%

Trucks

2,713 Units

15%

July 2011

PC

12,703 Units

76% Buses

1,325 Units

8%

Trucks

2,774 Units

16%

July 2012

Total Market Split YTD 2011 – YTD

2012

Total Market volume for the YTD 2012 was higher than YTD 2011 sales by from

to units.

The Passenger cars segment had a volume increase of almost in units, when

comparing YTD 2012 to YTD 2011; the Buses segment had a volume increase of 49%

and the Trucks segment had a volume increase of

94,712

20%

105,577

6%

11%

Passenger Cars

105,577

71,173

Total Market Volume

Buses 10,156

Total Market Volume

20,129

Passenger Cars

6,831 Buses

16,708 TrucksTrucks

75,292

94,712

PC

71,173 Units

75%

Buses

6,831 Units

7%

Trucks

16,708 Units

18%

YTD 2011

PC

75,292 Units

71%

Buses

10,156 Units

10%

Trucks

20,129 Units

19%

YTD 2012

Total Market July 2012 Sales

Analysis in volume

* July 2012 sales are higher than 2012 YTD average by


* July 2012 sales are higher than 2011 average by

* July 2012 sales are lower than July 2011 by

* July 2012 sales are higher than June 2012 by

24.18%

14.46%

11.40%

-5.01%

22.94%

Performance in July 2012 sales are higher than 2012 YTD average,

2011 YTD average, 2011 average and June 2012 sales.. But lower than

July 2011 sales.

12,234

13,800

17,213 16,405

15,456

13,667

16,802 14,921

5,317

12,176

12,419

14,798

17,393 17,688

16,396 17,514

16,040

13,784

17,711

17,551

19,647 20,569

19,341

21,896 22,590 22,424

21,813 21,666

20,258 20,422 20,740

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2012 2011 2012 YTD Avg 2011 YTD Avg 2010 2010 YTD Avg

Total Market YTD 2012 – YTD 2011

By Origin

CKD sales for Year 2012 are higher than Year 2011 by 2% when comparing

YTD 2012 to 2011 results.

From another side, CBU YTD 2012 sales are higher by 20% than 2011.

CKD CBU

45,655

49,057 46,581

58,996

YTD 11 YTD 12

Total Market by Brand July 2012

- July 2011– in Volume (Top12 )

3,184

100

234

220

888

200

468

779

501

864

1040

5102

4108

1,472

279

304

358

465

473

599

814

868

1277

1704

3843

4346

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000

Other

King Long

Volks Wagen

BMW

Speranza

Skoda

Suzuki

Renault

Mitsubishi

Toyota

Kia

Hyundai

Chevrolet

Jul-12 Jul-11

Total Market by Brand July 2012–

July 2011–in Market Shere (Top12 )

18%

1%

1%

1%

5%

1%

3%

4%

3%

5%

6%

29%

23%

9%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

4%

5%

5%

8%

10%

23%

26%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Other

King Long

Volks Wagen

BMW

Speranza

Skoda

Suzuki

Renault

Mitsubishi

Toyota

Kia

Hyundai

Chevrolet

Jul-12 Jul-11

Total Market by Brand YTD 2012 –

YTD 2011 – in Volume (Top 12 )

17,833

1,304

0

1,959

1,955

903

5,030

3,168

4,408

5,402

6,100

22,175

24,475

10,869

1,803

1,913

2,075

2,474

3,658

3,714

3,925

4,939

7,273

10,385

25,088

27,461

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000

Others

King Long

Golden Dragon

Volkswagen

Skoda

Mitsubishi

Speranza

Suzuki

Renault

Toyota

Kia

Hyundai

Chevrolet

YTD 2012 YTD 2011

Total Market by Brand YTD 2012 -

YTD 2011– in Market Share ( Top 12 )

18.8%

1.4%

0.0%

2.1%

2.1%

1.0%

5.3%

3.3%

4.7%

5.7%

6.4%

23.4%

25.8%

10.3%

1.7%

1.8%

2.0%

2.3%

3.5%

3.5%

3.7%

4.7%

6.9%

9.8%

23.8%

26.0%

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0%

Others

King Long

Golden Dragon

Volkswagen

Skoda

Mitsubishi

Speranza

Suzuki

Renault

Toyota

Kia

Hyundai

Chevrolet

YTD 2012 YTD 2011

1. 2. Passenger Cars Market

PC Market Split July 2011

July 2012 in volume

31%

-11%

1.5L ~1.6 L

SUV<=2.0 L

1.6L ~ 2.0 L

634

174

2,526

<= 1.0 L

1.3L ~1.5 L 1.3L ~1.5 L

1.0L ~ 1.3 L17%

-33%

28%1.0L ~ 1.3 L 495

1.5L ~1.6 L

SUV > 2.0 L

-49%1.6L ~ 2.0 L

404SUV > 2.0 L

SUV<=2.0 L

100

131

877669

62555%

PC Volume 12,70314,264

<= 1.0 L

PC Volume

2,157

195

> 2.0 L 99

261

-24%

32%

7,6369,984

> 2.0 L

For the month of July 2012, the overall total PC market decreased by -11%

From to units.14,264 12,703

<= 1.0L

2%

1.0L~1.3L

3%

1.3L~1.5L

15%

1.5L~1.6L

70%

1.6L~2.0L

1%

>2.0L

2%

SUV<=2.0L

5%

SUV>2.0L

3%

July 2011

<= 1.0L

1%

1.0L~1.3L

5%

1.3L~1.5L

20%

1.5L~1.6L

60%

1.6L~2.0L

1% >2.0L

1%

SUV<=2.0L

7%

SUV>2.0L

5%

July 2012

PC Market Split YTD 2011 YTD 2012

in volume

The overall total PC market increased by from units to

units.

6% 71,173 75,292

PC Volume 75,292PC Volume 6%

1.3L ~1.5 L 11,127

487

SUV > 2.0 L

5,496

2,608

47,485

13,279

456

SUV<=2.0 L

402

1.3L ~1.5 L

41%

-64%

SUV<=2.0 L

-1%

-2%

SUV > 2.0 L

1.6L ~ 2.0 L

52%

47,951

1,273

1.0L ~ 1.3 L

1.5L ~1.6 L

1,856

71,173

> 2.0 L -17%

<= 1.0 L 1,319

21%

1,287

1.6L ~ 2.0 L

> 2.0 L

3,612

19%

3,548 1.0L ~ 1.3 L

1.5L ~1.6 L

4,279

<= 1.0 L

<= 1.0L

2%

1.0L~1.3L

5%

1.3L~1.5L

16%

1.5L~1.6L

67%

1.6L~2.0L

2% >2.0L

1%

SUV<=2.0L

5%

SUV>2.0L

2%

2011 YTD

<= 1.0L

2%

1.0L~1.3L

6%

1.3L~1.5L

18%

1.5L~1.6L

63%

1.6L~2.0L

1% >2.0L

0%

SUV<=2.0L

7%

SUV>2.0L

3%

2012 YTD

PC Market July 2012 Sales

Analysis in volume




* July 2012 sales are lower than July 2011 by

* July 2012 sales are higher than June 2012 by


2011 YTD average, 2011 average and June 2011 sales..

But lower than June 2012 sales.

14.5%

32.9%

-11%

25%

18.1%

8,761 9,912

12,519

11,081

10,758

9,558

12,703

10,957

3,130

9,138

8,830

11,182

13,672 14,264

12,626

13,599

12,032

10,060

13,675 13,951

15,670 14,938 15,036

16,013

17,444 18,411

16,281 16,995

15,694 15,660

16,755



PC Market YTD 2011 - 2012 By

Origin

CKD decreased in volume by , and CBU increased by -4% 13%

CKD CBU

29,315

41,858

28,084

47,208

YTD 11 YTD 12

PC Market YTD 2011 - 2012 By Brand

Origin

* European decreased by

* Japanese decreased by

* South Korean increased by

* US increased by

* Asian increased by

* Chinese decreased by -29.2%

-13%

77.4%

24.9%

2.0%

-4%

13,304

9,445

28,090

13,598

558

6,178

12,733

8,252

35,071

13,869

990

4,377

Europe Japan S.Korea US Asia China

YTD 11

YTD 12

PC Market by Brand July 2012–

July 2011 in volume ( Top 12 )

2194

61

170

224

220

888

200

411

363

777

1040

2662

5054

880

148

153

202

358

465

473

748

775

813

1704

2237

3747

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000

Other

Peugeot

Suzuki

VW

BMW

Speranza

Skoda

Mitsubishi

Toyota

Renault

Kia

Chevrolet

Hyundai

Jul-12 Jul-11

PC Market by Brand July 2012–

July 2011 in Market Share ( Top 12 )

15%

0%

1%

2%

2%

6%

1%

3%

3%

5%

7%

19%

35%

7%

1%

1%

2%

3%

4%

4%

6%

6%

6%

13%

18%

29%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Other

Peugeot

Suzuki

VW

BMW

Speranza

Skoda

Mitsubishi

Toyota

Renault

Kia

Chevrolet

Hyundai

Jul-12 Jul-11

PC Market By Brand YTD 2012

YTD 2011 in Volume ( Top 12 )

11,410

871

536

1,100

1,092

1,905

1,955

411

2,054

5,030

4,378

6,100

12,341

21,990

5,146

863

880

881

1,184

1,791

2,474

2,816

3,338

3,714

4,919

10,385

12,215

24,686

Others

Daihatsu

Peugeot

Suzuki

BMW

VW

Skoda

Mitsubishi

Toyota

Speranza

Renault

Kia

Chevrolet

Hyundai

YTD 12

YTD 11

PC Market By Brand YTD 2012-

YTD 2011 in in Market Share ( Top 12 )

16.0%

1.2%

0.8%

1.5%

1.5%

2.7%

2.7%

0.6%

2.9%

7.1%

6.2%

8.6%

17.3%

30.9%

6.8%

1.1%

1.2%

1.2%

1.6%

2.4%

3.3%

3.7%

4.4%

4.9%

6.5%

13.8%

16.2%

32.8%

Others

Daihatsu

Peugeot

Suzuki

BMW

VW

Skoda

Mitsubishi

Toyota

Speranza

Renault

Kia

Chevrolet

Hyundai

YTD 12 YTD 11

PC CKD By Brand July 2012

July 2011 in Volume

839

6

10

180

0

179

888

1808

1468

0

2

4

68

168

334

465

2017

2167

0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500

Other

GWM

Mahindra

Jeep

Toyota

BMW

Speranza

Chevrolet

Hyundai

Jul-12 Jul-11

PC CKD By Brand YTD 2012-

YTD 2011 in Volume

4,961

32

38

96

71

-

827

922

5,030

8,150

9,188

-

20

25

35

161

481

793

1,056

3,714

9,786

12,013

Others

Peugeot

Jac

Great Wall

Mahindra

Toyota

Jeep

BMW

Speranza

Chevrolet

Hyundai

YTD 12 YTD 11

PC CBU By Brand July 2012

July 2011 in Volume ( Top 12 )

971

90

151

49

170

224

854

200

363

411

777

3586

1040

556

137

137

148

153

202

220

473

607

748

813

1580

1704

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000

Other

Proton

Daihatsu

Peugeot

Suzuki

VW

Chevrolet

Skoda

Toyota

Mitsubishi

Renault

Hyundai

Kia

Jul-12 Jul-11

PC CBU By Brand YTD 2012

YTD 2011 in Volume ( Top 12 )

5,100

487

504

871

1,100

1,905

4,191

1,955

411

2,054

4,378

6,100

12,802

2,950

829

860

863

881

1,791

2,429

2,474

2,816

3,338

4,919

10,385

12,673

- 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000

Others

Proton

Peugeot

Daihatsu

Suzuki

VW

Chevrolet

Skoda

Mitsubishi

Toyota

Renault

Kia

Hyundai

YTD 12 YTD 11

PC Models By Segment YTD 2012 in

Market Share (1)

Units1,287

Segment <=1 L

0%

7.8%

24.0%

68.2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Others

Jac - AO

Chevrolet - Spark

Suzuki - M800

Maruti


Market Share (2)

Segment From 1L to 1.3 L

Units4,279

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

4%

6%

26%

28%

29%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Others

Geely - CKII

Daihatsu - Sirion

Geely -Panda Cross

Mitsubishi - Lancer

Geely - Panda

Fiat - Punto

Chevrolet - New Spark

Proton - Saga

Hyundai - I10

Speranza - A113

Kia - New Picanto

13,279 Units

Segment from 1.3L to 1.5L


Market Share (3)

4%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

3%

7%

8%

34%

38%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

Others

Brilliance Auto - FSV

Brilliance - FRV

VW - Volkswagen CC

Ford - Fiesta

Toyota - Avanza 1.5

VW - New Jetta

VW - Golf 6

VW - Passat 1.4

Kia - New Rio

Chevrolet - Aveo 1.5

Chevrolet - Lanos

Segment from 1.5L to 1.6L

47,485 Units


Market Share (4)

9.9%

0.7%

0.8%

1.0%

1.3%

2.1%

2.7%

5.0%

5.0%

5.3%

5.4%

6.3%

6.4%

8.8%

14.1%

25.3%

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0%

Others

Speranza - A516

Kia - Soul

Chevrolet - Cruze

Renault - Fluence

Renault - SANDERO H/B

Chevrolet - OPTRA

Toyota - Corolla NG 1.6

Skoda - Oct. Fantasia

Kia - New Cerato

Mitsubishi - Lancer

Renault - Logan Sedan

Kia - New Carens

Hyunadi - Accent RB

Hyundai - New Elantra

Hyundai - Verna 1.6

Units

Segment from 1.6L to 2L

456


Market Share (5)

0%

1%

1%

2%

5%

16%

16%

17%

19%

22%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Others

Kia - New Optima

Hyundai - Sonata

Speranza - A620

BMW - New 328i

Audi - A4

Hyundai - New Sonata

Audi - A6

BMW - 320i

BMW - 318i

Units

Segment >2L

402


Market Share (6)

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

5%

10%

54%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Others

Chrysler - 300C

Audi - A8

BMW - 3-series

Jaguar - XJ6

Kia - CARNIVAL

Jaguar - XF

Dodge - Charger

BMW - 330i

Chrysler - Town & Country Limited

BMW - New 335i

Audi - A7 Sportback

BMW - 740Li

Chrysler - Town & Country Touring

BMW - 750Li

BMW - New 5 Series

PC Models Share By Segment YTD

2012 in Volume (6)

Units5,496

SUV< =2L

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

3%

4%

4%

15%

27%

38%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

Others

Hover

Land Rover - Evoque

Audi - Q5

Volvo - XC60

Jonway -A380

Subaru - XV

Mahindra - Scorpio GLX 4x2 + 4x4

Tiggo 2.0

Renault - Duster

BMW - NEW X1

Terios

Tiggo 1.6

Kia - New Sportage 1.6L

SUV > 2L

2,608 Units


Market Share (7)

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

5%

8%

9%

12%

12%

18%

18%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Others

Volvo - XC90

BMW - X-series

Hyundai - Santa Fe

Mitsubishi - Pajero

Audi - Q7

Ford - EDGE

Mahindra - Scorpio VLX 4x4 + 4x2

Dodge - Durango

Land Rover - Range Rover

BMW X3

Dodge - Ram

Chevrolet - Captiva

Grand Cherokee

BMW - New X3

Jeep - Wrangler Unlimited

Toyota - Land Cruiser

Toyota - Fortuner

Jeep - Cherokee 3.7

Taxi Sales in Volume

911

569

520 522

625 624 583

551

446

274

87

581

110

163

349

182

288

152

259

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12

Total Taxi

Taxi Sales as a Percentage of Total

.

8.31%

18.18%

5.69%

5.91% 5.59%

4.56%

4.09% 4.36%

3.28% 2.28%

0.86%

4.25%

1.26% 1.64%

2.79%

1.64%

2.68%

1.59%

2.04%

0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

14.00%

16.00%

18.00%

20.00%

Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12

Percentage of Total PC

July 2012 Taxi Sales

259

0 0 0 0 0

50

100

150

200

250

300

HYUNDAI / Verna 1.6 Chevrolet / LANOS SPERANZA / A516 SPERANZA / A113 PEUGEOT / PARS

1. 3. Buses Market

Buses Market Split July 2011

- July 2012

Transport Midi

Transport Maxi

Tourism Mini

Tourism Micro

7

70

276 Transport Micro

3

Tourism Mini

Tourism Maxi

114

100

Transport Mini

Tourism Maxi

Buses Volume

Transport Midi

Transport Micro Micro

-

21

Transport Maxi-City

Buses Volume

124

32

Transport Micro

381

-

Transport Micro Micro 221

7

Transport Mini

Transport Maxi-City-

58

13

Transport Maxi

711 1,325

609

Tourism Micro

When comparing July 2011 to July 2012, total Buses Segment increased by an overall of

units to unitsfrom 711 86% 1,325

Transport

Micro Micro

31%

Tourism

Micro

10%

Transport

Micro

39%

Tourism Mini

1%

Transport

Mini

16%

Transport

Midi

2%

Tourism Maxi

0%

Transport

Maxi

1%

Transport

Maxi-City

0%

July 2011 Transport

Micro Micro

29%

Tourism

Micro

8%

Transport

Micro

46%

Tourism

Mini

4%

Transport

Mini

9%

Transport

Midi

2%

Tourism

Maxi

0%

Transport

Maxi

2%

Transport

Maxi-City

0%

July 2012

Buses Market Split YTD 2011 -

YTD 2012

Transport Maxi

3,084

Transport Mini 672

Transport Midi

252

250

736

Transport Maxi-City

6,831

59

Tourism Maxi

Tourism Mini

Buses Volume

533 Tourism MicroTourism Micro 441

Transport Micro Micro 2,102

Transport Micro 5,201

Tourism Maxi

Transport Midi

2,905

Transport Micro Micro

10,156

7

140

17

Tourism Mini

221

48

Transport Mini

Transport Maxi-City209

110

Transport Maxi

Buses Volume

Transport Micro

When comparing YTD 2011 to YTD 2012, total Buses Segment increased by an overall of

from units to units. Tourism segments volume increased by

Transport segments volume increased by 50%

6,831 34%10,156

49%

Transport

Micro Micro

30%

Tourism

Micro

5% Transport

Micro

51%

Tourism

Mini

3%

Transport

Mini

7%

Transport

Midi

3%

Tourism

Maxi

0%

Transport

Maxi

1%

Transport

Maxi-City

0%

2012 YTD

Transport

Micro Micro

31%

Tourism

Micro

6% Transport

Micro

42%

Tourism

Mini

2%

Transport

Mini

11%

Transport

Midi

3%

Tourism

Maxi

1%

Transport

Maxi

1%

Transport

Maxi-City

3%

2011 YTD

Buses Market Sales July 2012

Analysis in volume 1017 units from this

number are Golden Dragon

YTD from Jan to April

1,285 1,211

1,124

2,323

1,358

1,530

1,325

1,013

994 986 988 1,039

1,100

711

1,034

1,209 1,213

1,342

1,400

774

1,133

1,783

1,420

2,307

1,689

1,417 1,523

1,146 1,144

1,376

1,051



* July 2012 sales are lower than 2012 YTD average by



* July 2012 sales are higher than July 2011 by

* July 2012 sales are lower than June 2012 by

Performance in July 2012 sales are higher than 2011 YTD average, 2011 average,

July 2011 sales.. But lower than 2012 YTD average and June 2012 sales

86%

22.0%

35.8%

-8.67%

-13.4%

Buses Market YTD 2011 - 2012 By

Origin

CKD increased by in volume against last year's volume.

CBU increased by in volume against last year's volume. 93%

3.3%

CKD CBU

3,369 3,462 3,480

6,676

YTD 11 YTD 12

Buses Market By Brand July 2012 –

July 2011 in volume

98

1

0

0

11

51

47

66

117

0

100

220

0

1

7

12

32

39

52

117

208

228

279

350

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400

Other

Volks Wagen

Hafei

Changhe

Mercedes

Mitsubishi

Hyundai

Chevrolet

Toyota

Golden Dragon

King Long

Suzuki

Jul-12 Jul-11

Buses Market By Brand July 2012–

July 2011 in market share

14%

0%

0%

0%

2%

7%

7%

9%

16%

0%

14%

31%

0%

0%

1%

1%

2%

3%

4%

9%

16%

17%

21%

26%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Other

Volks Wagen

Hafei

Changhe

Mercedes

Mitsubishi

Hyundai

Chevrolet

Toyota

Golden Dragon

King Long

Suzuki

Jul-12 Jul-11

Buses Market By Brand YTD 2012 -

YTD 2011 in volume

381

34

-

365

252

167

-

9

1,073

1,576

1,304

-

1,670

8

35

66

146

163

175

292

404

1,063

1,688

1,803

1,913

2,400

Others

Volks Wagen

Hafei

MCV Mercedes

Mitsubishi

Hyundai

Changhe

Brilliance Auto -Jinbei

Chevrolet

Toyota

King Long

Golden Dragon

Suzuki

YTD 12 YTD 11

Buses Market By Brand YTD 2012-

YTD 2011 in Market Share

5.6%

0.5%

0.0%

5.3%

3.7%

2.4%

0.0%

0.1%

15.7%

23.1%

19.1%

0.0%

24.4%

0.1%

0.3%

0.6%

1.4%

1.6%

1.7%

2.9%

4.0%

10.5%

16.6%

17.8%

18.8%

23.6%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Others

Volks Wagen

Hafei

MCV Mercedes

Mitsubishi

Hyundai

Changhe

Brilliance Auto -Jinbei

Chevrolet

Toyota

King Long

Golden Dragon

Suzuki

YTD 12 YTD 11

Buses Models By Segment YTD 2012 In

Volume & Market Share

Transport Micro Micro Segment3084

Suzuki - Microbus

2400 Units

78%

Chevrolet - N300

326 Units

10%

Changhe Super Panda

147 Units

5%

Changhe - FREDOM

CH6390E

145 Units

5%

Hafei – Microbus

66 Units

2%

Suzuki - Microbus

Chevrolet - N300

Changhe Super Panda

Changhe - FREDOM CH6390E

Hafei - Microbus

533

Tourism Micro Segment



Toyota Hiace

379 Units

71%

Hyundai H-1 STAREX TQ

120 Units

22%

VW - Caddy Combi

30 Units

6%

Mercedes - MB 311 CDI

4 Units

1%

Transport Micro Segment

5201



King Long -SXQ6500

1803 Units

34%

Golden Dragon – HAICE

1913 Units

37%

Toyota Hiace

1081 Units

21%

BRILLIANCE AUTO JINBEI

404 Units

8%

King Long -SXQ6500

Golden Dragon - HAICE

Toyota Hiace




Tourism Mini segment

252

Toyota – Coaster

228 Units

91%

Hyundai – Country

18 Units

7%

VW – Crafter

5 Units

2%

Mercedes - MCV 260

1 Unit

0%

Toyota - Coaster

Hyundai - Country

VW - Crafter

Mercedes - MCV 260

Transport Mini Segment

672



GM- NPR66L

527 Units

78%

Hyundai - Minibus - LS

30 Units

4%

Mitsubishi - GB CRUISER

NGL4/GB

52 Units

8%

GB CRUISER NGL\GB

24 Units

4%

MCV 260R

22 Units

3%

MCV 240E

17 Units

3%

GM- NPR66L

Hyundai - Minibus - LS

Mitsubishi - GB CRUISER

NGL4/GB

GB CRUISER NGL\GB

MCV 260R



Transport Midi Segment

250

Chevrolet - GM-NQR 71R

210 Units

84%

Mitsubishi - GB MIDI-BUS NGR/GB

40 Units

16%


Mitsubishi - GB MIDI-BUS NGR/GB

Buses Models YTD 2012 – YTD 2011

( Top 12 )

1,485

156

0

0

169

104

0

9

462

1472

1304

0

1670

473

120

145

147

210

228

326

404

527

1460

1803

1913

2400

Others

Hyundai/H-1Starex TQ

Changhe - FREDOM CH6390E

Changhe - Super Panda


Toyota Coaster

Chevrolet - N300


Chevrolet - GM-NPR66L

TOYOTA/HIACE

King Long XMQ6500E

Golden Dragon - HAICE

SUZUKI/Microbus

YTD 12

YTD 11

1. 4. Trucks Market

Trucks Market Split July 2012 –

July 2011

140

1,919

-33%Medium Trucks

Mini Pickup /Van

46

12

Light Medium Trucks

Pickup

93

Medium Trucks

Pickup-9%

Light Medium Trucks498

18

-32%

2% 2,774

Heavy Trucks

51%

1,746

Mini Pickup /Van 117

Heavy Trucks

Truck Volume

124%

2,713

14%

262

68

Light TrucksLight Trucks

Truck Volume

568

Trucks segment increased by when comparing July 2012 sales to July 2011 sales2%

Mini

Pickup/

Van

4%

Pickup

71%

Light

Trucks

3%

Light

Medium

Trucks

18%

Medium

Trucks

1%

Heavy

Trucks

3%

July 2011

Mini Pickup/

Van

9%

Pickup

63%

Light Trucks

5%

Light

Medium

Trucks

21%

Medium

Trucks

0%

Heavy

Trucks

2%

July 2012

Mini Pickup /Van 1393

Pickup

Light Trucks

Light Medium Trucks

Medium Trucks

Heavy Trucks

20129

199

351

16708

Medium Trucks

Truck VolumeTruck Volume

329Heavy Trucks

Mini Pickup /Van

3844

Light Trucks

182

772

1394

12965

3143

11594Pickup

671

Light Medium Trucks

Trucks segment increased by , mainly due to Pickup segment increased by

, Light Trucks segment increased by , Light Medium Trucks segment by

over the figures of 2011

20.5%

22%

12%

108%

Trucks Market Split YTD 2012 –

YTD 2011

Mini

Pickup

/Van

5%

Pickup

69%

Light

Trucks

4%

Light

Medium

Trucks

19%

Medium

Trucks

1%

Heavy

Trucks

2%

2011 YTD

Mini Pickup

/Van

7%

Pickup

64%

Light

Trucks

7%

Light

Medium

Trucks

19%

Medium

Trucks

1%

Heavy

Trucks

2%

2012 YTD

Trucks Market July 2012

Sales Analysis in volume

* July 2012 sales are lower than 2012 YTD average by



* July 2012 sales are higher than July 2011 sales by

* July 2012 sales are higher than June 2012 sales by


2011 average, July 2011 sales and June 2012 sales ..

But lower than 2012 YTD average.

16.2%

11.1%

2.2%

7.6%

-3.5%

2,188

2,677

3,570 3,001

3,340

2,579

2,774 2,951

1,193

2,052

2,601 2,577 2,621

2,713

2,736 2,706 2,795

2,382

2,636

2,826

2,844

3,848

2,885

3,576 3,457

2,596

4,009

3,525 3,420 3,386

2,934



Trucks Market YTD 2012 - 2011

By Origin

CKD increased by and CBU increased by 15.8% 36.8%

CKD CBU

12,971

3,737

15,017

5,112

YTD 11 YTD 12

Trucks Market By Brand July 2012–

July 2011 in Volume ( Top 12 )

412

15

0

289

38

1

17

51

39

78

9

384

1380

3

4

11

20

30

44

48

50

81

96

101

294

1992

0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500

Other

Volvo

Changhe

JMC

Mercedes

Hyundai

Daihatsu

Jac

Mitsubishi

Suzuki

Volks Wagen

Toyota

Chevrolet

Jul-12 Jul-11

Trucks Market By Brand July 2012–

July 2011 in Market Share

15%

1%

0%

11%

1%

0%

1%

2%

1%

3%

0%

14%

51%

0%

0%

0%

1%

1%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

4%

11%

72%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Other

Volvo

Changhe

JMC

Mercedes

Hyundai

Daihatsu

Jac

Mitsubishi

Suzuki

Volks Wagen

Toyota

Chevrolet

Jul-12 Jul-11

Trucks Market By Brand YTD 2012 –

YTD 2011 in Volume

1,542

68

33

118

8

18

54

281

50

249

516

300

398

240

1,772

11,061

59

26

27

54

81

227

249

261

289

312

312

479

644

679

2,247

14,183

Others

Mahindra

Fiat

Iveco

Peugeot

Hyundai

VW

MCV/Mercedes

Changhe

Daihatsu

JMC

JAC

Suzuki

Mitsubishi

Toyota

Chevrolet

YTD 12 YTD 11

Trucks Market By Brand YTD 2012 –

YTD 2011 in Market Share

9.2%

0.4%

0.2%

0.7%

0.0%

0.1%

0.3%

1.7%

0.3%

1.5%

3.1%

1.8%

2.4%

1.4%

10.6%

66.2%

0.3%

0.1%

0.1%

0.3%

0.4%

1.1%

1.2%

1.3%

1.4%

1.6%

1.6%

2.4%

3.2%

3.4%

11.2%

70.5%

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0%

Others

Mahindra

Fiat

Iveco

Peugeot

Hyundai

VW

MCV/Merce…

Changhe

Daihatsu

JMC

JAC

Suzuki

Mitsubishi

Toyota

Chevrolet

YTD 12 YTD 11

Trucks Models By Segment YTD 2012

in Volume & Market Share

12965

Pickup Segment

Chevrolet - TFR Single CAB

10230 Units

79%

Toyota - Hilux

2201Units

17%

Changhe - CH1012C

279 Units

2%

JMC - Pickup S/C

189 Units

1% Others

66 Units

1%



Light Trucks Segment

1394

Chevrolet - NKR 55,

894 Units

64%

Jac – HFCL

407 Units

29%

JMC - 2.5 Ton-SRT

50 Units

4%

JMC - 2.5 Ton

32 Units

2%

JMC - 2.5 Ton-DRT

10 Units

1% Other

1 Units

0%

Chevrolet - NKR 55

Jac - HFCL

JMC - 2.5 Ton-SRT

JMC - 2.5 Ton

JMC - 2.5 Ton-DRT

Other

Light Medium Trucks Segment

3844



Chevrolet - NPR 66 TRK

2286 Units

59%

Mitsubishi - Canter 7.4

522 Units

14%

Chevrolet - 700P

405 Units

10%

Chevrolet - NQR 71 TRK

301 Units

8%


125 Units

3%

Hyundai - 'HD 72

145 Units

4%

Chevrolet - NPR 66P

28 Units

1% Others

32 Units

1%

Chevrolet - NPR 66 TRK


Chevrolet - 700P



Hyundai - 'HD 72

Chevrolet - NPR 66P

Others

Medium Trucks Segment

182



Hyundai - HD 120

45 Units

25%

Iveco - ML180E28

41 Units

22% Mitsubishi - Fuso HL

32 Units

18%

Jac – HFCH

37 Units

20%

Mercedes - Atego 1725

25 Units

14%

Mercedes - Actros 1835

2 Units

1%

Hyundai - HD 120

Iveco - ML180E28

Mitsubishi - Fuso HL

Jac - HFCH

Mercedes - Atego 1725


Heavy Trucks Segment

351



Mercedes Actros 4048 S/L,

70 Units

20%

Mercedes Actros 3340

42 Units

12%

Mercedes Actros 2040

26 Units

7%


29 Units

8%

Hyundai - HD 170

16 Units

4%

Jac – HFCHT

16 Units

5%

Mercedes -

Actros 4140/4141B

13 Units

4%


12 Units

3%


9 Units

3%

Mercedes - ACTROS 2031

7 Units

2%

Volvo - FM-400

7 Units

2%

Renault - KERAX 380

6 Units

2%

Volvo - FH-400

10 Units

3%

Others

88 Units

25%

Trucks Models YTD 2012 – YTD 2011

( Top 12 )

2,971

50

205

267

90

308

263

147

202

440

1,742

2,242

7,781

1,661

279

299

301

308

336

405

407

522

894

2,201

2,286

10,230

Others

Changhe - CH1012C

Daihatsu - Van


Suzuki Van

Suzuki Pickup

Chevrolet 700P

JAC HFCL

Mitsubishi Canter 7.4

Chevrolet NKR55

Toyota/Hilux

Chevrolet NPR 66

Chevrolet TFR

YTD 12 YTD 11

2. Monthly News

Egypt Macro Flash

SUEZ CANAL REVENUE FALL IN JULY Source: Reuters, August 12, 2012

Revenue from Suez Canal fell about 3.6% Y-o-Y in July to USD433.1 million, the Egyptian government reported, extending a fourth consecutive month decline. A slowing European economy has greatly impacted trade from Asia to Europe which was a main source of the waterway’s revenue growth in 2011. Moreover, LNG shipments through the waterway have been witnessing a large decline after record growth in 2011, contributing to the decline in the waterway’s revenues.

Egypt Macro Flash

EGYPT INFLATION REACHES SIX-YEAR LOW IN JULY Source: Al Bawaba, August 8, 2012

Egypt’s urban consumer inflation eased to 6.4% in July, its lowest in six years, driven by a smaller increase in food prices, official figures showed.It comes as Egypt’s economy struggles to recover from the political turmoil in the 18 months since the overthrow of President Hosni Mubarak, but analysts said it was unlikely to lead to an easing of the Central Bank of Egypt’s (CBE) monetary policy.Egypt’s pound is under pressure from weak inward investment and tourism and the CBE has spent well over half its foreign exchange reserves to stave off a sharp decline in the currency.Urban consumer inflation slowed from 7.2% in June, figures from the state statistics agency CAPMAS showed.Core inflation, which strips out more volatile items and is used by the CBE to help set interest rates policy, slowed to 6.34% from 7.04% in June. The CBE holds its next rate-setting policy meeting on September 6.

Egypt Macro Flash

EGYPT'S FOREIGN RESERVES DECLINE IN JULY Source: Middle East News Agency, August 14, 2012

Egypt's foreign reserves observed a steep decline by USD1.11 billion in July, recording USD14.42 billion compared to USD15.53 billion in June. They were pulled lower by the government's repayment of a USD1 billion Eurobond and a USD607 million payment to Paris Club lenders, according to the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE).The CBE has drained much of its foreign currency to avert a sharp decline in the Egyptian pound and avoid the risk of exacerbating inflation. The current foreign reserve reached its lowest rate since 2004.Haytham Abdel Fatah, senior official at the Industrial Development and Workers Bank described such a decline as "normal" due to the payment of Egypt's due debts. However, he expected that the foreign reserves will be negatively affected during the coming stage in light of Egypt's political turmoil – especially after the Rafah attacks. Many foreign investors fear from a sharp fall in the pound - should pressure on the beleaguered economy grow in the coming months.

Egypt Macro Flash

EGYPT MULLS PRIVATISATION OF STOCK EXCHANGE Source: Ahram Online, August 15, 2012

Egypt’s stock exchange may become a joint stock company instead of a completely state-run organization, stated Ashraf El-Sharqawy, head of Egypt’s financial watchdog, Egyptian Financial Supervisory Authority (EFSA). According to a draft proposal, banks, financial institutions, brokerage companies, and individual investors could be shareholders in the new structure of the Bourse, but the state will hold a majority stake. El-Sharqawy said the proposal is about changing the legal structure of the Bourse. "This requires parliamentary legislation, so we will wait until a new parliament is elected," he commented. "The proposed legal structure allows more flexibility and accountability,” Mohamed Omran, chairman of Egypt's stock exchange, said. Omran added that it will be a political decision. “Neither the Bourse nor EFSA will have a hand in this,” he said. In the long-term, Egypt's Bourse could see full privatisation, like most global stock exchanges, Omran suggests. Mohamed Abdel-Salam, former chairman of the Bourse, said that if the government becomes the main shareholder through a majority stake, the current situation in which the Bourse is controlled by the country through EFSA will remain the same. Established in 1883, the Cairo-based stock exchange is the fourth oldest in the world.

Egypt Macro Flash

TDA PLANNING TO OFFER 28 MILLION SQM FOR TOURISTIC DEVELOPMENT Source: Al Borsa, August 9, 2012

The Tourism Development Authority (TDA) is planning to start offering 28 million square meters (sqm) to touristic developers at end of October 2012, Tourism Minister Hisham Zazou stated. The pricing of these plots will be based on a number of factors that include the plot’s location as well as the occupancy rates achieved in neighboring areas of the offered plot. The TDA is looking to offer plots in Sinai, Red Sea as well as Marsa Alam.

Egypt Macro Flash

NEW PETROCHEMICAL COMPLEX AT GULF OF SUEZ GULF Source: Middle East News Agency, August 14, 2012

A new Petrochemical project of El Tahrir Company will be launched in the industrial zone northwest Gulf of Suez, with a total investment cost of USD3.7 billion. Osama Saleh, Chairman of the General Authority for Investment and Free Zones (GAFI) said. Despite circumstances witnessed by the Egyptian economy following the January 25 Revolution, the petrochemical industry has survived and continued to implement the planned projects in Egypt according to their planned time program. For his part, Basil El-Baz, Chairman of the Egyptian Company for Hydrocarbons, said that the project is built on an area of two million square meters and consists of a unit naphtha cracker according to international specifications with annual production of 5.3 million tons. The output of the cracker manufacturing will be directed to the local and export markets, with annual production capacity of 3.1 million tons of polyethylene, 662,000 tons of polypropylene, as well as 414,000 tons of benzene, and 214,000 tons of butadiene. It is expected that the volume of labor for the project during the construction phase is approximately 20,000 employees in addition to 100,000 indirect ones.

Egypt Macro Flash

EGYPT & WORLD BANK SIGN USD200 MILLION LOAN PROJECT Source: The Guardian, August 14, 2012

Egyptian Cabinet ministers and the World Bank officials have signed a USD200 million project aimed at creating 250,000 jobs after more than a year of slow economic growth. The World Bank says the investments in public works, such as cleaning canals and improving schools and rural roads, will target communities most in need of work in Menoufia, Sharkia, Assiut, and Sohag provinces. Egypt has been in an economic downturn since the popular uprising that brought down longtime President Hosni Mubarak last year. Egypt and the World Bank agreed on the loan in late June and signed it in Cairo on August 14. It's the second part of a USD300 million deal that began in 2011.The World Bank says the sanitation infrastructure project will focus on constructing wastewater treatment plants.

Automotive Industry Local

News Clips

المصرية للسوق وول جريت سيارات أحدث (30C ) تقدم “العز البافارية”•

2012أغسطس 11 –أخبار اليوم

مننخ خننرب أربرننز مرامنن لالميننز لعة ننميم ةابرننز ل ننرمز صرينن ووب ةممننخ ة ننميم(C30 ) مننخ الورننور بننللعت المسننةويا الةنن ة ننام

السيارا اليابانبز واألوروبيز الرريقز سنوا لعنت مسنةوع مرنإن انسنيابيط خطنوط السنيارخ منخ الخنارإ أو منإع اةسناا مق نورخ رمابرنا منخ

ارخالإاخب وة ويإها بمب الةصري ا والمماليا الة ةةوافق مع فئةرا الرائعيز المةوسطز وهو ما انرمنس فن النراينز لعنت ورورهنا بمورنر السني

.الم افوز ذا المرمح الرياضيز

وةةوافرC30 منم فن نيخ 2,610بمق ورخ رماب ر بز لمب مخ رماب المقإمز والمؤخرخ يث ي ب طوب قالإخ لصنر السنيارخ النت

لمب مخ الطوب والررض واإلرةفاا لعت الةوال ف نيخ ي ينإ ارةفالرنا ( مم Х 1,705 Х 1,480 4,452) ةبعغ أبراإ السيارخ مخ الخارإ

.مم وبالةال فر ةرإ مخ ألعت السيارا ف فئةرا لخ سطح األرض 155لخ سطح األرض لخ

Automotive Industry Local

News Clips

(5DS) سيتروين الجديدة سيارتها بتقديم تحتفل العرب عز•

2012أغسطس 4 –أخبار اليوم

نوم مصمولز ل الررب الوميب الو يإ لعررمز الفرنسيز سنيةرويخ فنرب بمناسنبز ةقنإيم أ نإث طنرا ا الررمنز ال نريرخ رسنمياب لعسنوق

.. رإ ال فب ضور لإإ مبير مخ المرةميخ بالسوق الم عيز لعسيارا مخ المو ليخ والةصار ورصاب اإللرم( DS5) الم ريز السيارخ

ومخ صانبط أمإ المرنإس ه ام ل الررب رئيس مصعس اإارخ مصمولز ل الررب أخ السيارخDS5 ةمثب القمز بنيخ المصمولنز الراقينز منخ

DS5 سنةنافس لعنت القمنز برنإ انضنمام DSطرا اةرا وانرا ف نفس الوقن رسنالز لعمةرنامعيخ بالسنوق الم عينز بنلخ سنيةرويخ منع طنرا ا

مرعنننز نرايننز مفرنوم ارةننبط بسننيارا سنيةرويخ بلنرننا موصرننط بالإرصنز األولنن لر نناق السنيارا الرمعيننز يننث ةنننقعرم DS4و DS3ل نقيقاةرا

.الت مسةوع لال مخ الرفاهيز ف اطار المورر الرياض الصذاب DSطرا ا

Thank You

1. industry analysis - amic · amic july 2012 report . index industry analysis 03 1.1. total market...

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