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1 1 Northwest River Forecast Center National Weather Service Implementation of Community Hydrologic Prediction System CHPS Acceleration Team ABRFC, CNRFC, NERFC, NWRFC, and OHD Delft |WL Hydraulics, Deltares National HIC Meeting February 2009

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3 There are so many of people who made this project happen and have contributed immensely to its current successes. Gary Carter, Pedro Restrepo for supporting the RFCs in this endeavor on many levelsGary Carter, Pedro Restrepo for supporting the RFCs in this endeavor on many levels OHD staff for their program management, budget, software, and technical supportOHD staff for their program management, budget, software, and technical support –J.Roe, C.Dietz, R.Rieman, J.Gofus, many others Delft|WL DeltaresDelft|WL Deltares –The caliber of staff and dedication to maintain the aggressive schedule has been simply outstanding Accolades

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Page 1: 1 1 Northwest River Forecast Center National Weather Service Implementation of Community Hydrologic Prediction System CHPS Acceleration Team ABRFC, CNRFC,

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Northwest River Forecast Center

National Weather Service Implementation of CommunityHydrologic Prediction System CHPS Acceleration Team ABRFC, CNRFC, NERFC, NWRFC, and OHDDelft |WL Hydraulics, Deltares

National HIC MeetingFebruary 2009

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• CAT background and historyCAT background and history

• Describe Baseline Operational Describe Baseline Operational Capabilities (BOC)Capabilities (BOC)

• CAT TimelineCAT Timeline

• Present Baseline Operational Present Baseline Operational Capabilities (BOC-II)Capabilities (BOC-II)

• Follow-on RFCs timeline (CAT-II)Follow-on RFCs timeline (CAT-II)

OutlineOutline

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There are so many of people who made this project There are so many of people who made this project happen and have contributed immensely to its happen and have contributed immensely to its current successes.current successes.

• Gary Carter , Pedro Restrepo for supporting the RFCs in this Gary Carter , Pedro Restrepo for supporting the RFCs in this endeavor on many levelsendeavor on many levels

• OHD staff for their program management, budget, software, OHD staff for their program management, budget, software, and technical supportand technical support– J.Roe, C.Dietz, R.Rieman, J.Gofus, many othersJ.Roe, C.Dietz, R.Rieman, J.Gofus, many others

• Delft|WL DeltaresDelft|WL Deltares– The caliber of staff and dedication to maintain the aggressive The caliber of staff and dedication to maintain the aggressive

schedule has been simply outstandingschedule has been simply outstanding

AccoladesAccolades

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• CATCAT CHPS Acceleration TeamCHPS Acceleration Team

• BOCBOCBaseline Operational CapabilityBaseline Operational Capability

• CAT-IICAT-II The 9 follow-on RFCsThe 9 follow-on RFCs

• BOC-IIBOC-II Updated version of the BOCUpdated version of the BOC

DefinitionsDefinitions

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OperationalOperational

OperationalOperational 20062006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

BOCBOC

MigrationMigration

Parallel OpsParallel Ops

Parallel OpsParallel Ops

MigrationMigration

CAT RFCsCAT RFCs

CAT-II RFCsCAT-II RFCs

TodayToday

Pilots/DemonstrationsPilots/Demonstrations

CAT & CAT-II TimelinesCAT & CAT-II Timelines

BOC-IIBOC-II

BOC Software Development

BOC-II Software Development

Retire NWSRFSRetire NWSRFS

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CAT – CHPS Acceleration TeamCAT – CHPS Acceleration Team• Develop Implementation Strategy and Plan to address NWSRFS-to-Develop Implementation Strategy and Plan to address NWSRFS-to-

CHPS migration at CATsCHPS migration at CATs

• The CAT basin demonstrations captured the varying hydrology and The CAT basin demonstrations captured the varying hydrology and hydraulics as the first foray into FEWShydraulics as the first foray into FEWS

• Success relies upon the strategy, planning, and execution on part of all Success relies upon the strategy, planning, and execution on part of all the playersthe players– OHD, Deltares, CATsOHD, Deltares, CATs– Well organized approach to strategy and planningWell organized approach to strategy and planning– Frequent and direct interfacings/workshopsFrequent and direct interfacings/workshops

• Basis of CAT activities followed a Basis of CAT activities followed a Baseline Operational Baseline Operational CapabilityCapability,, or or BOCBOC

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Implementation StrategyImplementation Strategy

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Develop a Develop a Baseline Operational CapabilityBaseline Operational Capability

• BOC required examination of the end-to-end forecast BOC required examination of the end-to-end forecast systemsystem

• Clearly defined requirements to duplicate operations Clearly defined requirements to duplicate operations without NWSRFSwithout NWSRFS

• Process served to define/direct software development & Process served to define/direct software development & model transition activities at OHD and Deltaresmodel transition activities at OHD and Deltares

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Implementation StrategyImplementation Strategy

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CAT RecommendationCAT Recommendation

BOC had Resource ImplicationsBOC had Resource Implications

• Re-direct OHD resources toward CHPS & FEWSRe-direct OHD resources toward CHPS & FEWS

• Terminate “dead-end” NWSRFS enhancementsTerminate “dead-end” NWSRFS enhancements

• Align/re-evaluate HSMB-oriented “Research to Align/re-evaluate HSMB-oriented “Research to Operations” (RTO) projectsOperations” (RTO) projects

• Establish a priority work plan at the RFCEstablish a priority work plan at the RFC– Not above forecast operationsNot above forecast operations

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BOC - BOC - Baseline Operational CapabilityBaseline Operational Capability defined defined

• BOC is the minimum set of software, hardware, and BOC is the minimum set of software, hardware, and information infrastructure to operationally support the 4 CAT information infrastructure to operationally support the 4 CAT RFCsRFCs– Models, Operations, Display utilitiesModels, Operations, Display utilities

• Consistent with operational service delivery as of Consistent with operational service delivery as of Jan 1, 2008Jan 1, 2008– Snapshot of 4 CAT RFC determined functionality and operations that would be included Snapshot of 4 CAT RFC determined functionality and operations that would be included

in initial CHPS systemin initial CHPS system

• Mechanical change onlyMechanical change only– No re-calibration of models/basinNo re-calibration of models/basin– Except HEC-RASExcept HEC-RAS

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Baseline Operational CapabilityBaseline Operational Capability

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BOC – Empower facilities delivered BOC – Empower facilities delivered withwith FEWS FEWS• Comprehensive database/repositoryComprehensive database/repository

– Time SeriesTime Series– Point/grid/mean arealPoint/grid/mean areal– Model statesModel states– MODsMODs– Approved/non-approved runsApproved/non-approved runs

• Archive capableArchive capable• Backup potentialBackup potential• System synchronizationSystem synchronization• Built-in GIS facilitiesBuilt-in GIS facilities• Technology upgrade Technology upgrade

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Baseline Operational CapabilityBaseline Operational Capability

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Following slides will highlight several areas the Following slides will highlight several areas the CAT, OHD, and Deltares addressed based CAT, OHD, and Deltares addressed based on the BOC roadmap on the BOC roadmap

• Data processingData processing• NWSRFS OFS Pre ProcessorsNWSRFS OFS Pre Processors• Observed and forecast forcingsObserved and forecast forcings• Evaluate Models and OperationsEvaluate Models and Operations• Post processingPost processing

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Baseline Operational CapabilityBaseline Operational Capability

• Ensemble CapabilitiesEnsemble Capabilities• CalibrationCalibration• ArchiveArchive• TrainingTraining• Strategic and Tactical PlanningStrategic and Tactical Planning

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Hydrologic/Hydraulic ConfigurationHydrologic/Hydraulic Configuration

• Workflows will emulate Workflows will emulate Forecast GroupForecast Group and and SegmentSegment structure of current NWSRFS implementationsstructure of current NWSRFS implementations

• This will help simplify migrationThis will help simplify migration

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Baseline Operational CapabilityBaseline Operational Capability

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OFS Models and OperationsOFS Models and Operations

3-classes of 3-classes of ModelsModels or or OperationsOperations changes related to changes related to porting NWSRFS systemporting NWSRFS system

• Re-written into JAVARe-written into JAVA

• Adapters added to current NWSRFS functionality and Adapters added to current NWSRFS functionality and ported to FEWSported to FEWS

• Employing functions within FEWSEmploying functions within FEWS

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NWSRFS Model/OperationsNWSRFS Model/Operations

Baseline Operational CapabilityBaseline Operational Capability

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Models re-written into JavaModels re-written into Java• Hydrologic/Hydraulic ModelsHydrologic/Hydraulic Models• Soil Moisture ModelsSoil Moisture Models• Snow ModelsSnow Models

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NWSRFS Model/OperationsNWSRFS Model/Operations

Apply adapters for other models and operationsApply adapters for other models and operations• Reservoir ModelsReservoir Models• Routing ModelsRouting Models• Consumptive UseConsumptive Use

RES-J, RES-SNGL, BASEFLOW, SARROUTE, CONS_USE, LAG/K, LAY-RES-J, RES-SNGL, BASEFLOW, SARROUTE, CONS_USE, LAG/K, LAY-COEF, TATUM, TIDEREV, MUSKROUT, RES-J, RSNWELEV, CHANLOSS, COEF, TATUM, TIDEREV, MUSKROUT, RES-J, RSNWELEV, CHANLOSS, SSARRESV, STAGEREV, RES-SNGLSSARRESV, STAGEREV, RES-SNGL

Replace with similar functions embedded within CHPSReplace with similar functions embedded within CHPS• Time series or data manipulationTime series or data manipulation

CLEAR-TS, CHANGE-T, ADD/SUB, SET-TS, MULT/DIV, NOMSNG, CLEAR-TS, CHANGE-T, ADD/SUB, SET-TS, MULT/DIV, NOMSNG, MERG-TS, MEAN-Q, WEIGHT-TS, LOOKUP3, LOOKUP, MERG-TS, MEAN-Q, WEIGHT-TS, LOOKUP3, LOOKUP, DELTA-TS, ADJUST-Q, ADJUST-H, ADJUST-T, PLOT-TS, DELTA-TS, ADJUST-Q, ADJUST-H, ADJUST-T, PLOT-TS, PLOT-TULPLOT-TUL

SNOW-17, Unit-HG, SAC-SMASNOW-17, Unit-HG, SAC-SMA

Baseline Operational CapabilityBaseline Operational Capability

Page 15: 1 1 Northwest River Forecast Center National Weather Service Implementation of Community Hydrologic Prediction System CHPS Acceleration Team ABRFC, CNRFC,

Migration ToolsMigration Tools

• Deltares will develop the necessary tools to convert Deltares will develop the necessary tools to convert NWSRFS to FEWSNWSRFS to FEWS

• Transform NWSRFS configurations/definitions to FEWSTransform NWSRFS configurations/definitions to FEWS

• Transfer parameters/model states to FEWSTransfer parameters/model states to FEWS

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Baseline Operational CapabilityBaseline Operational Capability

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Display ConceptsDisplay Concepts

System Forecaster InteractivitySystem Forecaster Interactivity• FEWS has been engineered to employ and expand upon FEWS has been engineered to employ and expand upon

D2D display and functional conceptsD2D display and functional concepts

• Increase the analysis time of forecasterIncrease the analysis time of forecaster

• Reduce mechanics (clicking) to information panelsReduce mechanics (clicking) to information panels

• Allow use of expanded screen real estate per user needsAllow use of expanded screen real estate per user needs

– Can use “twin-view” screen expansionCan use “twin-view” screen expansion

• Take advantage of tabs, docking, earlobes, tear-offs Take advantage of tabs, docking, earlobes, tear-offs techniquestechniques

• User mechanical state (configuration) memorized and used User mechanical state (configuration) memorized and used on re-entryon re-entry

Baseline Operational CapabilityBaseline Operational Capability

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Introduce and Develop “MODS” in FEWSIntroduce and Develop “MODS” in FEWS

– Deltares developing MODs interface and capabilityDeltares developing MODs interface and capability• FEWS Interactive Forecast GUI meeting (Aug 2008)FEWS Interactive Forecast GUI meeting (Aug 2008)

– Emulate NWSRFS functionality with more sophistication and Emulate NWSRFS functionality with more sophistication and intuitivenessintuitiveness

– Modify states or data to models & time seriesModify states or data to models & time series• Soil Moisture StatesSoil Moisture States• Snow StatesSnow States• Simulated ForecastsSimulated Forecasts• RegulationRegulation

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Modifier

Modifiers

Modifier properties

Modifier view

Enter TextEnter More Text

Create Mod

UHGDATESETMSNG

SETQMEANSSARREGRRICHNG

MFCSACCO

RAINSNOWIGNORETS

Mod Type

Jul 28 2008 12Jul 28 2008 12Jul 28 2008 12Jul 28 2008 12Jul 28 2008 12Jul 28 2008 12Jul 28 2008 12Jul 28 2008 12Jul 28 2008 12

Start Active

Aug 05 2008 12Aug 05 2008 12Aug 05 2008 12Aug 05 2008 12Aug 05 2008 12Aug 05 2008 12Aug 05 2008 12Aug 05 2008 12Aug 05 2008 12

End

Jul 30 2008 12Jul 30 2008 12Jul 30 2008 12Jul 30 2008 12Jul 30 2008 12Jul 30 2008 12Jul 30 2008 12Jul 30 2008 12Jul 30 2008 12

Enable

Aug 01 2008 12Aug 01 2008 12Aug 01 2008 12Aug 01 2008 12Aug 01 2008 12Aug 01 2008 12Aug 01 2008 12Aug 01 2008 12Aug 01 2008 12

Disable

?????????

Unit

Name: RAINSNOWUndo

ReRun

Start time End time:Jul 28 2008 12 Jul 28 2008 12

Value RAIN

Enable time Disable time:Jul 28 2008 12 Jul 28 2008 12DET03IMDET03ILDET03IU

Time Series ApplyQuestion: Do we need to show

timeseries in the modifier chart? Is so which series are these?

Baseline Operational CapabilityBaseline Operational Capability

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Data FlowData Flow

• Existing data flows re-mapped to provide same point, areal, and Existing data flows re-mapped to provide same point, areal, and gridded data currently provided by NWSRFSgridded data currently provided by NWSRFS– Ofs_de/batchpstOfs_de/batchpst

– Track data sources for MAP comparisons between RFS and CHPS grid-generated dataTrack data sources for MAP comparisons between RFS and CHPS grid-generated data

• Data flows will support archive and verification requirementsData flows will support archive and verification requirements

• QC will remain external to FEWS via tools and applicationsQC will remain external to FEWS via tools and applications

• QC within FEWS propagates to external systems and QC within FEWS propagates to external systems and repositoriesrepositories

• Question IHFS database existence at RFCsQuestion IHFS database existence at RFCs18

Baseline Operational CapabilityBaseline Operational Capability

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NWSRFS Pre ProcessorsNWSRFS Pre Processors

Observed and Forecast ForcingsObserved and Forecast Forcings• Forcings will remain external to FEWSForcings will remain external to FEWS

• Goal is for all input forcings to be in Goal is for all input forcings to be in gridgrid form form– FEWS will transform input to mean arealFEWS will transform input to mean areal

• FEWS will also support both point and time series data FEWS will also support both point and time series data ingestingest– Eg., post time series data to FEWSEg., post time series data to FEWS

• (NWS) RRS Quality Control within FEWS will propagate (NWS) RRS Quality Control within FEWS will propagate to external systems and repositoriesto external systems and repositories

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Baseline Operational CapabilityBaseline Operational Capability

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NWSRFS OFS PreprocessorsNWSRFS OFS Preprocessors

• CAT RFCs agreed to retire all CAT RFCs agreed to retire all OFS Pre-processorsOFS Pre-processors and and employ routines within FEWS to generate mean areal employ routines within FEWS to generate mean areal time series datatime series data

• CAT/HSEB formed team to address OFS PPCAT/HSEB formed team to address OFS PP• All input forcings will be in All input forcings will be in gridgrid form form

• Validate techniques in mean areal computations against Validate techniques in mean areal computations against current OFS PP datacurrent OFS PP data– Adjust for biasesAdjust for biases– Maintain temporal considerations of 6 & 24 hour time seriesMaintain temporal considerations of 6 & 24 hour time series

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Baseline Operational CapabilityBaseline Operational Capability

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Post ProcessingPost Processing

• FEWS to export XML and SHEF messagesFEWS to export XML and SHEF messages

• Forecast generation (and transmission) will be by Forecast generation (and transmission) will be by forecast group or single segmentforecast group or single segment

• Ability to visually (read-only) monitor forecast process Ability to visually (read-only) monitor forecast process by other usersby other users

– eg. WFOs?eg. WFOs?

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Baseline Operational CapabilityBaseline Operational Capability

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NWSRFSHydrologic

Models

Ensemble ofPrecipitationTemperatureTime Series

Current Conditions:SoilSnowReservoir LevelsStreamflow

HistoricalData

Forecast

Baseline Operational CapabilityBaseline Operational CapabilityESP - Ensemble Streamflow Prediction ServicesESP - Ensemble Streamflow Prediction Services

• FEWS will provide for existing level of ensemble operations, FEWS will provide for existing level of ensemble operations, products, and servicesproducts, and services

• Retreat from ESPADP due to reliance on FS5filesRetreat from ESPADP due to reliance on FS5files

• Employ XEFS Ensemble Product Generator (EPG) Employ XEFS Ensemble Product Generator (EPG) • Initial version this fall 2009Initial version this fall 2009• Completed by fall 2010Completed by fall 2010

• Ens-Pre and Ens-Post are considered part of BOCEns-Pre and Ens-Post are considered part of BOC

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Baseline Operational CapabilityBaseline Operational Capability

Reliable and skillful ENSEMBLES

(streamflow and forcings)and associated

meta datafor 1 hour to 2 years

H

Least Likely

Forecast Legend

Likely H

Least Likely

Forecast Legend

Likely H

Least Likely

Forecast Legend

Likely

Most Likely

_Median Fcst

? ObservedStage

Flood Stage

xUser selectable attributes:period

durationtime aggregationprobability levels

thresholdsprobability type

analogs based on meta data

User selectable contextmean, median, max, min

analogs based on meta dataspecific years

specific forecast w/outcome

Archive of hindcasts, forecasts,

simulations,observations, and meta data

Specific data, forecasts, ensembles, and analysis for use in value addedprocesses (e.g. flood inundation mapping)

010101010101010101010101010101

XEFS Products & Services

Verification information in user

friendly formInstructional

(annotated examples)

GRAPHICS

TEXT

BINARY

XML

IFP

OFS

Raw flow ens.

Pp’edflow ens.

Ensemble Verification

System

Flow Data

Product Generation Subsystem

Ensemble verification products

Hydrologic Ensemble Hindcaster

Ens. User Interface

EPP User Interface

Ens. Pre-Processor

Atmospheric forcing data

Ensemble/prob.

products

Ens. Post-Proc.

Ens. Streamflow Prediction

System

HMOS Ensemble Processor

MODs

EPP3 ESP2 EnsPost EPG

EVS

Hydro-meteorol.

ensembles

XEFS Graphical User Interface

Web Inter-face

XEFS - Experimental Ensemble Forecast SystemXEFS - Experimental Ensemble Forecast System

• Right behind NWSRFS migrationRight behind NWSRFS migration

• Prototyping at CN, CB, MA, OH, and NERFCs in 2010Prototyping at CN, CB, MA, OH, and NERFCs in 2010

• Operational in 2011 at CNRFCOperational in 2011 at CNRFC

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Calibration SystemCalibration System

• Commitment to continue supporting current calibration Commitment to continue supporting current calibration systemsystem• Currently limited to existing NWS model/operationsCurrently limited to existing NWS model/operations

• Action from January CAT workshop raised the priority Action from January CAT workshop raised the priority and accelerated support for calibration program linked to and accelerated support for calibration program linked to CHPSCHPS• Not in initial BOCNot in initial BOC• Targeted for Jan 2010Targeted for Jan 2010• Needed to support hydrologic servicesNeeded to support hydrologic services

Baseline Operational CapabilityBaseline Operational Capability

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TrainingTraining

• Key component to CHPS transition and migrationKey component to CHPS transition and migration

• Combination of contractor/NWS trainingCombination of contractor/NWS training

• Deltares visiting CAT RFCs to provide both system Deltares visiting CAT RFCs to provide both system and migration training.and migration training.

• Hydrology training remains responsibility of RFCHydrology training remains responsibility of RFC

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Baseline Operational CapabilityBaseline Operational Capability

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System Support/MaintenanceSystem Support/Maintenance

• NWS models/operations are passed to DeltaresNWS models/operations are passed to Deltares– Available to all other users (share concept)Available to all other users (share concept)

• FEWS software builds delivered by DeltaresFEWS software builds delivered by Deltares– FEWS software architecture responsibility of Deltares FEWS software architecture responsibility of Deltares

• OHD/OCWWS HSD will be first line supportOHD/OCWWS HSD will be first line support– Maintenance NWS operations onlyMaintenance NWS operations only– Other FEWS bugs reported/fixed by DeltaresOther FEWS bugs reported/fixed by Deltares

• 22ndnd line support direct from Deltares line support direct from Deltares

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Baseline Operational CapabilityBaseline Operational Capability

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OperationalOperational 20062006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

BOCBOC

MigrationMigration

Parallel OpsParallel Ops

CAT RFCsCAT RFCsTodayToday

Pilots/DemonstrationsPilots/Demonstrations

CAT Timeline and WorkshopsCAT Timeline and Workshops

Jun WS

August Design Meeting

Sep WS

December 2008 December 2008 Software Acceptance/TestingSoftware Acceptance/Testing

Jan WS Mar WS

Jun WS Sep WS

Dec WS

Weekly CAT Calls

FEWS updateFEWS update •Apr - Models and operationApr - Models and operation•Jun - Interactive/MODsJun - Interactive/MODs

Mar WS Jun WS

Sep WS

Jan WS Mar WS

FEWS minor/major updates 2x/yearFEWS minor/major updates 2x/year

CAT/OHD/DeltaresCAT/OHD/DeltaresWorkshopsWorkshops

Data Flow Changes Data Flow Changes OFSde/CHPSpstOFSde/CHPSpst

Dec WSDecision MeetingCHPS Training

BOC Software Development

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20082008

• JanuaryJanuary– CAT-recommend implementation of Delft-FEWS as the software CAT-recommend implementation of Delft-FEWS as the software

infrastructure for CHPS infrastructure for CHPS approvedapproved by Gary Carter, OHD by Gary Carter, OHD

• Weekly CAT calls to discuss and monitor activities and Weekly CAT calls to discuss and monitor activities and progressprogress

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CAT Timeline & ActivitiesCAT Timeline & Activities

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20082008

• June 2008 Workshop Objectives (Silver Spring)June 2008 Workshop Objectives (Silver Spring)– First CAT workshopFirst CAT workshop– Software design and developmentSoftware design and development– CHPS Implementation strategyCHPS Implementation strategy

• HighlightsHighlights– Data Processing (I/O, QC)Data Processing (I/O, QC)– Hardware architectureHardware architecture– Migration of model operations and FEWS adaptersMigration of model operations and FEWS adapters– Interactive forecasting capability (NWRFC design meeting)Interactive forecasting capability (NWRFC design meeting)– Ensemble, calibration, verification systemsEnsemble, calibration, verification systems

• Flash Flood GuidanceFlash Flood Guidance

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CAT Timeline & ActivitiesCAT Timeline & Activities

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20082008

• August 4-6 August 4-6 Design MeetingDesign Meeting (NWRFC)(NWRFC)– Interactive forecast systemInteractive forecast system– MODs capabilitiesMODs capabilities– Deltares, ABRFC, NERFC, and CNRFC participating Deltares, ABRFC, NERFC, and CNRFC participating

• Each CAT sent a forecast representative to hammer out Each CAT sent a forecast representative to hammer out interface and MODS designinterface and MODS design

• Laud Deltares for being open to ideas and suggestions Laud Deltares for being open to ideas and suggestions and for providing invaluable inputand for providing invaluable input

30

CAT Timeline & ActivitiesCAT Timeline & Activities

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20082008

• September 2008 Workshop (NERFC)September 2008 Workshop (NERFC)

• HighlightsHighlights– Status of development at OHD and DeltaresStatus of development at OHD and Deltares– PreProcessor requirementsPreProcessor requirements

• Data processing (Time series, grib, xmrg, netcdf )Data processing (Time series, grib, xmrg, netcdf )

– Prepare for CHPS testing and configuration support toolsPrepare for CHPS testing and configuration support tools– MODS technical implementationMODS technical implementation– Interactive forecasting capabilityInteractive forecasting capability– Ensemble, Calibration, verification systemEnsemble, Calibration, verification system– ArchiveArchive– CHPS hardware and infrastructureCHPS hardware and infrastructure

• FFG againFFG again31

CAT Timeline & ActivitiesCAT Timeline & Activities

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20082008

• December 2008 December 2008 Software Acceptance TestingSoftware Acceptance Testing

• Model and TS-Operations comparison between CHPS & Model and TS-Operations comparison between CHPS & NWSRFSNWSRFS– Compare models/operations between RFS & CHPSCompare models/operations between RFS & CHPS– SAC-SMA, Snow-17SAC-SMA, Snow-17– Time SeriesTime Series

• Testing settled on output time-seriesTesting settled on output time-series– Statistical measures RMSE, max/min error computedStatistical measures RMSE, max/min error computed– Discovered precision and unit conversion issuesDiscovered precision and unit conversion issues

• Concluded the TS comparisons must match exactly (within Concluded the TS comparisons must match exactly (within rounding considerations)rounding considerations)

32

CAT Timeline & ActivitiesCAT Timeline & Activities

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20092009

• January 2009 Workshop (Silver Spring)January 2009 Workshop (Silver Spring)

• HighlightsHighlights– XEFSXEFS– Calibration & VerificationCalibration & Verification

• Calibration given higher development priorityCalibration given higher development priority– ArchiveArchive– Product GenerationProduct Generation

• Potential use of WaterML for XML servicesPotential use of WaterML for XML services• Planning and strategy to engage with follow-on RFCs Planning and strategy to engage with follow-on RFCs • The 9 follow-on RFCs were designated as The 9 follow-on RFCs were designated as CAT-IICAT-II • Decision to start a BOC-II documentDecision to start a BOC-II document

33

CAT Timeline & ActivitiesCAT Timeline & Activities

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2009 Today2009 Today

• January 2009January 2009– Started Webinar/GoTo for ALL RFC to bring them up to speed on Started Webinar/GoTo for ALL RFC to bring them up to speed on

status/progress/activitiesstatus/progress/activities– February 11 most recent callFebruary 11 most recent call– Next to occur in March?Next to occur in March?

• February 9-13, 2009 February 9-13, 2009 – First migration training held at NWSTCFirst migration training held at NWSTC– 3 per RFC participated in training3 per RFC participated in training– Intense, comprehensiveIntense, comprehensive

• February training milestone is first activity to set February training milestone is first activity to set migration in motionmigration in motion

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CAT Timeline & ActivitiesCAT Timeline & Activities

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As of February 2009As of February 2009

CAT continues to remain on scheduleCAT continues to remain on schedule

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CAT Timeline & ActivitiesCAT Timeline & Activities

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2009 Yet to be …2009 Yet to be …

• March 2009 will open the Deltares USA officeMarch 2009 will open the Deltares USA office– Edwin Welles & Peter GijsbersEdwin Welles & Peter Gijsbers

• March 30-31 (CNRFC)March 30-31 (CNRFC)– CAT WorkshopCAT Workshop

• April 1 (HEC)April 1 (HEC)– Meeting to discuss/resolve development and maintenance of HEC adaptorsMeeting to discuss/resolve development and maintenance of HEC adaptors

• April 28-May 1April 28-May 1 or May 5-8 HEC-RAS Training– Unsteady HEC-RAS training for NERFC and NWRFCUnsteady HEC-RAS training for NERFC and NWRFC

• April 13April 13– Steady State (basic) training on HEC-RAS for Steady State (basic) training on HEC-RAS for ALL RFCSALL RFCS– HEC in Davis, CAHEC in Davis, CA

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CAT Timeline & ActivitiesCAT Timeline & Activities

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20092009

• June 14-18June 14-18– Software UpdateSoftware Update– Includes interactive and MODS capabilityIncludes interactive and MODS capability

• June 22-26, 2009 (ABRFC)June 22-26, 2009 (ABRFC)– CAT WorkshopCAT Workshop– TrainingTraining

• Sept 28-October 2 (NWRFC)Sept 28-October 2 (NWRFC)– CAT workshopCAT workshop

• December 14-18 (Silver Spring)December 14-18 (Silver Spring)– CAT WorkshopCAT Workshop

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CAT Timeline & ActivitiesCAT Timeline & Activities

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CAT-II Migration TrainingCAT-II Migration Training

20072007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

CAT RFCsCAT RFCs20102010

CAT-IICAT-II Timeline and Workshops Timeline and Workshops

December 2009 December 2009 Additional Software Acceptance/TestingAdditional Software Acceptance/Testing

May/JuneDeltares Visiting

CAT-II RFCs

Weekly CAT Calls

Mar WS Jun WS

Sep WS

Jan WS Mar WS

FEWS minor/major updates 2x/yearFEWS minor/major updates 2x/year

CAT/OHD/DeltaresCAT/OHD/DeltaresWorkshopsWorkshops

Data Flow Changes Data Flow Changes OFSde/CHPSpstOFSde/CHPSpst

OperationalOperationalParallel OpsParallel Ops

MigrationMigration

BOC-IIBOC-II BOC-II Software Development

HardwareHardware& Software & Software InstallInstall

BOCBOC

TodayToday

CAT-II RFCsCAT-II RFCsPilotsPilotsDemonstrationsDemonstrations

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The CAT Team recognizes the CAT-II RFCs will The CAT Team recognizes the CAT-II RFCs will have requirements not covered under the BOC.have requirements not covered under the BOC.

• BOC-II BOC-II will be the “minimum set of software, hardware, and will be the “minimum set of software, hardware, and information structure to operationally support” the CAT-II RFCsinformation structure to operationally support” the CAT-II RFCs

• The BOC-II document is a reflection of the final BOCThe BOC-II document is a reflection of the final BOC

• Based on operational service delivery as of Based on operational service delivery as of Jan 1, 2009Jan 1, 2009

CAT-II Timeline & ActivitiesCAT-II Timeline & Activities

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BOC-II BOC-II Basic Operating Capability for CAT-IIBasic Operating Capability for CAT-II

→ BOC-II will define the additional CAT-II requirements and BOC-II will define the additional CAT-II requirements and control the migration processcontrol the migration process

• RFCs will need to inventory their configurations to RFCs will need to inventory their configurations to determine the “additional” operations or models necessary determine the “additional” operations or models necessary to support CAT-II operationsto support CAT-II operations

• CAT-II will also review the full end-to-end process and CAT-II will also review the full end-to-end process and forecast systemforecast system

CAT-II Timeline & ActivitiesCAT-II Timeline & Activities

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The CAT-II sites have been paired with a CAT RFC The CAT-II sites have been paired with a CAT RFC to help and support their migration project.to help and support their migration project.

• ABRFCABRFC– SERFC, LMRFC, WGRFCSERFC, LMRFC, WGRFC

• CNRFCCNRFC– CBRFC, NCRFCCBRFC, NCRFC

• NERFCNERFC– MARFC, OHRFCMARFC, OHRFC

• NWRFCNWRFC– MBRFC, APRFC

RFC “Buddy” listRFC “Buddy” list

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2009 CAT-II participation has started….2009 CAT-II participation has started….

• Started monthly briefings for the CAT-II RFCsStarted monthly briefings for the CAT-II RFCs

• Available E-mail and Available E-mail and newnew CAT-II list for questions CAT-II list for questions

• Or just call one of the CATsOr just call one of the CATs

• Summer 2009 Deltares visiting CAT-II RFCs in May/June Summer 2009 Deltares visiting CAT-II RFCs in May/June time periodtime period– IntroductionsIntroductions– System briefingsSystem briefings

• Initiate ~weekly CAT-II calls to iron out BOC-II • Target final BOC-II document by May 2009

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CAT-II ParticipationCAT-II Participation

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2010 – CAT II2010 – CAT II

• Jan 2-4 and Jan 11-15Jan 2-4 and Jan 11-15– Migration training for CAT II including buddy RFCs, DeltaresMigration training for CAT II including buddy RFCs, Deltares– 2 groups2 groups

• 2010 CHPS Workshops (planned)2010 CHPS Workshops (planned)– March 29-April 2March 29-April 2– June 21-25June 21-25– Sept 27 – Oct 1Sept 27 – Oct 1– Jan 10-14, 2011Jan 10-14, 2011– March 28-April 1, 2011March 28-April 1, 2011

• 2010 Summer – National Workshop2010 Summer – National Workshop

• 2011 Summer – National Workshop2011 Summer – National Workshop

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CAT-II Timeline & ActivitiesCAT-II Timeline & Activities

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CHPS Goals – CAT and CAT IICHPS Goals – CAT and CAT II

• Operations are a priority but…Operations are a priority but…

• Must achieve CHPS migration in order to retire NWSRFS Must achieve CHPS migration in order to retire NWSRFS by 2011by 2011

• No resources to support dual systemsNo resources to support dual systems– OHD unable to support NWSRFS&CHPSOHD unable to support NWSRFS&CHPS– The RFC is in same positionThe RFC is in same position

• The CAT-II task is to prioritize the CHPS migration at the The CAT-II task is to prioritize the CHPS migration at the regional & office levelregional & office level

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CAT & CAT-II GoalsCAT & CAT-II Goals

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20112011

NWSRFS RetiredNWSRFS Retired

Move forward onto other hydrology and Move forward onto other hydrology and science issuesscience issues

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