09 07-16 rdc investor-presentation - final
TRANSCRIPT
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Rowan Strong: Safe. Reliable. Efficient.Investor Presentation
September 7, 2016
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Forward-Looking Statements
Statements herein that are not historical facts are forward looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including, without limitation, statements as to the expectations, beliefs and future expected business, financial and operating performance and prospects of the Company. These forward-looking statements are based on our current expectations and are subject to certain risks, assumptions, trends and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated by the forward-looking statements. Among the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially include oil and natural gas prices, the level of offshore expenditures by energy companies, variations in energy demand, changes in day rates, cancellation, early termination or renegotiation by our customers of drilling contracts, risks associated with fixed cost drilling operations, cost overruns or delays in transportation of drilling units, cost overruns or delays in maintenance and repairs, cost overruns or delays for conversion or upgrade projects, operating hazards and equipment failure, risks of collision and damage, casualty losses and limitations on insurance coverage, customer credit and risk of customer bankruptcy, conditions in the general economy and energy industry, weather conditions and severe weather in the Company’s operating areas, increasing complexity and costs of compliance with environmental and other laws and regulations, changes in tax laws and interpretations by taxing authorities, civil unrest and instability, terrorism, piracy and hostilities in our areas of operations that may result in loss or seizure of assets, the outcome of disputes and legal proceedings, effects of the change in our corporate structure, and other risks disclosed in the Company’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date hereof, and the Company expressly disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, except as required by law.
Company Overview & Investment Highlights
Market Dynamics
Delivering Shareholder Value
Conclusion
Rowan has evolved into a pure play, high-specification offshore driller
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COMPANY OVERVIEW & INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
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Rowan is well positioned to navigate the current challenging market and capitalize on investments to dramatically improve our return on capital
Rowan is well positioned to navigate the current challenging market and capitalize on investments to dramatically improve our return on capital
(1) Approximate value as of July 31, 2016(2) Ultra-deepwater (UDW) refers to floating drilling rigs rated for water depths of 7,500 feet or greater(3) High-specification defined as rigs with a two million pound or greater hookload capacity
COMPANY OVERVIEW & INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
Company Overview
• RDC: NYSE-listed
• ~3,200 direct employees worldwide(1)
• 31 offshore drilling units
• 4 UDW(2) drillships
• 27 Jack-ups
• 19 High-Specification(3)
• 8 Premium
Investment Highlights
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2
3
4
5
Competitive differentiation in drilling demanding wells
Modern high-specification fleet strategically positioned in global markets
Proven workforce & processes focused on performance
Backlog diversified among premium customer base, geographic regions, and asset types
Strong & flexible financial position
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Competitive: Rowan is focused on demanding drilling services1
“Our mission is to be recognized by our customers as the most efficient and capable provider of demanding contract drilling services”
Rowan ranks #1 among offshore drillers for HPHT applications in five out of the last six Energypoint Research Inc. surveys
COMPANY OVERVIEW & INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
Rowan’s Demanding Drilling Achievements:
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Global: Rowan’s fleet is strategically positioned in key markets2
• HP/HT Deep Gas• Key location for demanding UDW
US Gulf of Mexico 2 JU; 3 UDW
• Demanding environmental conditions
Central & South America 3 JU; 1 UDW
• Harsh environment HP/HT market• Super Gorilla / N-Class well
suited
North Sea 6 JU
• Most active jack-up region in the world
Middle East & Asia 13 JU
Featuring: 4UDW
Drillships
19High-SpecJack-ups
5PremiumJack-ups
Note: Excludes 3 cold-stacked older jack-ups
COMPANY OVERVIEW & INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
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High-Specification: Rowan has a leading position in high-spec jack-ups 2
COMPANY OVERVIEW & INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
RowanNoble
Sead
rill / N
ADL / Se
aMex
Maersk
Drilling
Aban Offshore
COSLEn
sco
Drilling C
ompany In
t.
Hercules O
ffshore
Parago
n Offshore
Perforad
ora Mexic
oOther
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
19Rowan High-Spec
Jack-ups
Customers Demand Higher-Specification Rigs
• Drilling challenging wellbore designs
• Focused on achieving lower wellbore costs
• Higher regulatory standards
• Rowan specializes in rigs that have: 2,000,000+ lb hookload
capability Rugged and reliable
legs and jacking systems
Efficient, high pressure drilling systems 9
Number of Delivered High-Specification Jack-ups *
* Approximately 50 additional high-specification jack-ups are currently on order or under construction. Includes data supplied by IHS-Petrodata, Inc. Copyright 2016 and Rowan Companies as of September 06,2016
High-Specification: Rowan has a leading position in high-spec jack-ups 2
COMPANY OVERVIEW & INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
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High-Specification: Rowan’s ultra-deepwater drillships are best-in-class
COMPANY OVERVIEW & INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
2
* Includes data supplied by IHS-Petrodata, Inc; Copyright 2016; Rowan estimate, includes newbuilds; as of August 16, 2016.
2
Best-in-Class Specifications:
• 1,250 ton hook load
• Dual 7-ram blowout preventers
• Managed Pressure Drilling capable
• Advanced Riser Gas Handling
• 12,000 ft water depth equipped
• IMO Tier III emissions compliance
Few rigs possess the specifications required for today’s demanding wells and pending regulations
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140
24 44
221
1,250 tons Dual BOP
1,250 tons Single BOP
1,000 tons750 tonsAll UDW
Under 20% of UDW Rigs*
High-Specification: Rowan’s ultra-deepwater drillships are best-in-class
COMPANY OVERVIEW & INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
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93-year history of operating excellence Strong culture of continuous improvement Experienced employees with proven industry leadership Strong commitment to performance delivering safe, reliable and
efficient operations for our customers
3 Proven: Rowan has a experienced workforce & established processes
COMPANY OVERVIEW & INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
Backlog Diversified: Rowan has solid backlog with diversity among customers, geographic regions, and asset types4
COMPANY OVERVIEW & INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
Total backlog of $2.4B that extends to 2024*
* Backlog as of September 6, 2016
48%
33%
11% 6% 2%
Middle East Deepwater Norway C&S America UK
Majors / Independents52%
NOCs48%
Over 80% of backlog is with NOCs or investment grade customers
Contract Backlog by Region & Asset Type
Contract Backlog* by Customer Type
Rowan has key competitive advantages in adding new backlog:
• Solid track record as a capable and efficient driller of demanding wells
• Modern, high specification fleet
• Deep customer relationships
• Strong financial counterparty to customers
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ORIGSDRLPACDATW
RIGESVNEDO
RDC
0 12 24 36 48 60 722016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Maturity of Revolving Credit Facilities for Peer Group
5
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021$0
$4,000
$8,000
$12,000
Total Peer Group Debt Maturities and Newbuild Commitments*Rowan DebtPeer Group Debt
* Source: FactSet, Company Filings as of 2Q2016; includes Newbuild Capex Commitments and Debt Maturities for DO, ATW, NE, PACD, ESV, ORIG, RIG, SDRL
• Rowan has the longest visible runway of the publically traded offshore drillers• Rowan’s cash balance of $1 billion exceeds all debt maturities through 2021• Many peer group revolving credit facilities will expire prior to significant
debt maturities and capital commitments
Mill
ions
Strong Financial Position: In an uncertain near-term market, having long-term liquidity visibility provides Rowan with a clear advantage
N/A
COMPANY OVERVIEW & INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
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5 Strong Financial Position: Our robust balance sheet and industry-leading liquidity runway assure our financial health through the cycle
• Strong balance sheet provides the ability to invest counter-cyclically to significantly improve our return on capital
• Attractive debt maturity profile with significant untapped borrowing capacity available from $1.5B revolver*
• Retired $150 million of debt since 4Q 2015, eliminating $10 million/year in interest payments
• Total outstanding debt is $2.65 billion; net debt of $1.65 billion
* As of August 2, 2016; availability under the facility is $1.5 billion through January 23, 2019, declining to $1.44 billion through January 23, 2020, and to approximately $1.29 billion through the maturity in 2021.
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2042 2043 2044$0
$200,000,000$400,000,000$600,000,000$800,000,000
$1,000,000,000$1,200,000,000$1,400,000,000$1,600,000,000
$357,730,000 $396,518,000
$700,000,000
$400,000,000 $400,000,000 $400,000,000
600000001500000001289000000
Bond DebtRevolver Due
5.00
0%
7.78
5%
4.87
5%
4.75
0%
5.40
0%
5.85
0%
COMPANY OVERVIEW & INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
Row
an
755
Com
pany
A
Com
pany
E
Com
pany
F
Com
pany
G
Com
pany
H
Com
pany
D
Com
pany
C
Com
pany
B
USD
mill
ions
Source: Company filings; as of 2Q2016; Competitive Companies include ATW, DO, ESV, NE, ORIG, PACD, SDRL & RIG.
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Newbuild Commitments through 2021
Debt Maturities through 2021
• Rowan has $0 in Newbuild Capex Commitments and only $755mm in Debt Maturities through 2021
• Revolving credit facility available into 2021• Rowan’s cash balance of $1 billion exceeds all debt maturities through 2021
Strong Financial Position: With minimal debt maturities over the next five years, our focus can be on positioning for a recovery
COMPANY OVERVIEW & INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
Company Overview & Investment Highlights
Market Dynamics
Delivering Shareholder Value
Conclusion
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As oil prices recover and long-term service contracts roll off, deflated supply chain costs will make incremental investment more attractive
MARKET DYNAMICS
Macro Fundamentals Improving:• Significant number of projects deferred in recent years; Global oil demand
increasing; spare production capacity decreasing2017 E&P Capital Spending Flat:• Indications are that capital spending will be flat with 2016• An increasing amount of spending will be dedicated to incremental
investments
Direction for next year’s E&P spending Relative share of budgets
Source: Pareto E&P Survey 2016, dated August 16, 2016
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Barclays: “Statoil recently mentioned a deepwater breakeven of $41/bbl with Shell guiding close to $45/bbl”
McKinsey: “Cost compression will continue to push deepwater costs lower…making most deepwater projects economical at an oil price between $50 and $60.”
Scotia Howard Weil: “While some peers are exiting or de-emphasizing Deepwater, RDS has an attractive suite of assets located primarily in two low breakeven basins (Gulf of Mexico & Brazil). Pre-FID projects have a breakeven of around $45/bbl with some pre-salt Brazil trending below $40/bbl.”
Morgan Stanley: "$60/bbl for 6 months was generally regarded as what was necessary to get deepwater activity to pick up.”
Investment break even levels for deepwater have become competitive with other options
Break-even reported for major offshore projects
MARKET DYNAMICS
Source: Pareto E&P Survey 2016, dated August 16, 2016
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Floaters: Throughout the market cycles, higher specification drilling units provide higher levels of utilization
Jan 20
06
Jan 20
07
Jan 20
08
Jan 20
09
Jan 20
10
Jan 20
11
Jan 20
12
Jan 20
13
Jan 20
14
Jan 20
15
Jan 20
1640
60
80
100
<5,000' 5,000'-7,499' 7,500'+ / <1,250 tons
%
Includes data supplied by IHS-Petrodata, Inc; Copyright 2016, as of August 25, 2016
Worldwide Floater Total Utilization by Water Depth / Hookload
61 units
106 units89 units
39 units
MARKET DYNAMICS
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Floaters: In 2017 there is a substantial roll off of the current floater contracts; we believe this will force attrition of remaining older rigs
* Includes data supplied by IHS-Petrodata, Inc., Copyright 2016; and Rowan Analysis; as of August 18, 2016
MARKET DYNAMICS
64
193
101
050
100150200
250300350400
Projected Future
Supply Range
190 - 240
Potential Newbuild
Cancellations
Cold Stacked Post 1996
Contracted Pre-1996
Stacked Pre 1996
Total Current Supply
358
Potential Floater Supply Attrition ?
Roll-off of Contracted Floater Fleet
Post-1996 FloatersPre-1996 Floaters
Floaters Under Construction
0
50
100
150
200
250
YE’2
5
YE’2
4
YE’2
3
YE’2
2
YE’2
1
YE’2
0
YE’1
9
YE’1
8
YE’1
7
YE’1
6
Toda
y
YE15
YE14
YE13
YE12
YE11
YE10
YE09
YE08
YE07
YE06
• 2017 will bring a dramatic increase in roll-offs of contracts signed in the 2011 to 2014 up cycle
• 29% of all floaters are older than 20 years; they currently represent 28% of working floaters
• New contracts will favor modern rigs; older rigs will be much less competitive, unless they have a “niche”
Post 1996 - Existing ContractsContracted Rig Demand
Pre 1996 - Existing Contracts
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Jack-ups: Throughout the market cycles, newer higher specification drilling units provide higher levels of utilization
* Jack-ups with two million pound or greater hookloadIncludes data supplied by IHS-Petrodata, Inc; Copyright 2016 as of August, 25 2016
63 units115 units147 units140 units
MARKET DYNAMICS
Jan 20
06
Jan 20
07
Jan 20
08
Jan 20
09
Jan 20
10
Jan 20
11
Jan 20
12
Jan 20
13
Jan 20
14
Jan 20
15
Jan 20
1620
40
60
80
100
IS, MS, MC <300'IC 300'IC 350'+ IC High Spec*
%Worldwide Jack-up Total Utilization by Rig Class
55 units
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Jack-ups: In 2017 there is a substantial roll off of the current jack-up contracts; we believe this will force attrition of older rigs
* Includes data supplied by IHS-Petrodata, Inc., Copyright 2016; and Rowan Analysis; as of 18-AUG- 2016, includes only independent leg, cantilevered units.
MARKET DYNAMICS
111
247
235
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Cold Stacked Post 1996
Contracted Pre 1996
Stacked Pre 1996
Total Current Supply
593
Projected Future
Supply Range
325 - 375
Potential Newbuild
Cancellations
Potential JU Supply Attrition ?
Roll-off of Contracted Jack-up Fleet
JUs Under ConstructionPost-1996 JusPre-1996 JUs
• 2017 will bring a dramatic increase in roll-offs of contracts signed in the 2011 to 2014 up cycle
• 45% of all JUs are older than 20 years; they currently represent 46% of working JUs
• Fewer niches for older rigs to “hide” than in floater market
• Many newbuilds will require a change of ownership before they can be marketed effectively
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
YE’2
5
YE’2
4
YE’2
3
YE’2
2
YE’2
1
YE’2
0
YE’1
9
YE’1
8
YE’1
7
YE’1
6
Toda
y
YE15
YE14
YE13
YE12
YE11
YE10
YE09
YE08
YE07
YE06
Pre 1996 JUs - Existing ContractsPost 1996 JUs - Existing ContractsContracted Rig Demand
Company Overview & Investment Highlights
Market Dynamics
Delivering Shareholder Value
Conclusion
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Rowan has three company priorities to deliver shareholder value
Our customers want:• Safe, reliable & efficient
operations• Procedural discipline and
management of operational risk• Solid counterparties
Our shareholders want:• Thoughtful capital allocation to
drive strong returns• Exposure to a driller with a
sustainable capital structure
Our employees want:• To be part of a winning team• Some stability in a rough market• A company willing to develop and
challenge them
DELIVERING SHAREHOLDER VALUE
Rowan is taking advantage of this downturn to make a step change in operational performance
Continuously Improving PerformanceThe Way Forward To A Step Change
• Advancing a performance program to improve drilling efficiency
• Applying LEAN philosophy to identify & eliminate waste in our onshore and offshore operations
• A dedicated analytics team to harvest data to drive performance and lower costs
DELIVERING SHAREHOLDER VALUE
Crew A Crew B Crew C Crew D
Example: Analyzing variance in performance of drilling crews in slip to slip connection time while tripping
We are focused on improving Rowan’s return on invested capital
The improvements we are making now will deliver results in the short and long run
• Control spend and capital efficiencyReduce drilling expense by improving procurement effectiveness: centralize and
optimize all spend Strong inventory control through rigorous data analytics Implementing a fleet-wide state-of-the-art maintenance system for improved reliability
and to optimize maintenance spending
• Much of our cost is personnel-relatedPreserve key talent through high-grading of onshore and offshore workforce; use of an
aggressive bump back strategy to preserve our talent in this downturnReduce overhead costs (SG&A and a portion of drilling expense) by improving the
efficiency and cost of business support functions
• Proactively address Organizational Health to counter negative aspects of the downturnVisible Leadership; lead from the front on cost cutting with pay cuts of executivesContinuously assess Organizational Health; continue to develop future leadersCreate Targeted Initiatives to improve alignment, execution, and renewal of key
business processes. Engage employees in these improvement initiatives.
DELIVERING SHAREHOLDER VALUE
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Operational performance & EBITDA margins have improved considerably over the last three years
$ in millions
Operational Performance has improved while costs have been reduced
From initial 2015 guidance issued in November 2014 – Current:
• 38 % reduction of TRIR (Total Recordable Incident Rate)
• Downtime held essentially flat while delivering our final two drillships
280
135
1,145
10095
700
Drilling Expense
-29%
SG&A Non-newbuild Capex
-39%
-64%
Midpoint of Initial Guidance for 2015Midpoint of Current Guidance for 2017
USD
mill
ions
DELIVERING SHAREHOLDER VALUE
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Rowan has an unrelenting focus on improving long-term return on invested capital
Rowan will consider all capital allocation options, but remains committed to maintaining an attractive credit profile and financial flexibility.
During the current challenging business environment we favor: Increased Liquidity
2Q2016 – Generated $277 million of cash during the quarter and currently have a balance of $1 billion
Debt Reduction 4Q2015/ YTD2016 - Retired nearly $150 million of
debt that was due to mature over the next four years
Opportunistic Asset Investments We continue to evaluate opportunistic investments in
assets Investments at attractive prices in the bottom of the
cycle should generate superior returns
DELIVERING SHAREHOLDER VALUE
Available Capital
Allocation Options
Preserve Liquidity
Dividends/Share Repurchases
Asset Investments
Retire Debt
Company Overview & Investment Highlights
Market Dynamics
Delivering Shareholder Value
Conclusion
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Rowan is positioned to endure this challenging market and emerge a stronger company
Investment Highlights1
2
3
4
5
Competitive differentiation in drilling demanding wells
Modern high-specification fleet strategically positioned in global markets
Experienced and proven workforce focused on performance
Backlog diversified among premium customer base, geographic regions, and asset types
Strong & flexible financial position
CONCLUSION
Appendix
Worldwide marketed* jack-up utilization has dropped to 71%
* Excludes Cold Stacked / Out of Service unitsIncludes data supplied by IHS-Petrodata, Inc; Copyright 2016 as of July 14, 2016
82%45 Rigs
Marketed Supply: 457 units
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US GOM50%
12 RigsMexico70%
43 Rigs C&S Am58%
12 RigsW. Africa
38% 24 Rigs
North Sea82%
45 RigsMiddle East
79% 157 Rigs
India95%
37 Rigs
SE Asia42%
60 Rigs
Australia100% 1 Rig
Mediterranean86%
14 Rigs
APPENDIX
0%1 Rig
Worldwide marketed* UDW utilization has dropped to 75%
Marketed Supply: 141 units
34*Excludes Cold Stacked / Out of Service unitsIncludes data supplied by IHS-Petrodata, Inc; Copyright 2016 as of July 14, 2016
Far East67% 3 Rigs
Australia100% 1 Rigs
India100% 1 Rig
W. Africa72%
29 Rigs
C&S Am78%
37 Rigs
Mexico100% 4 Rigs
USA84%
38 Rigs
E. Canada100% 2 Rigs
North Sea75% 8 Rigs
Mediterranean40%
10 Rigs SE Asia50% 8 Rigs
APPENDIX
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APPENDIX
Rowan guidance as of September 7, 2016
Key metrics:
FY 2015
Actual
2Q 2016
Actual
3Q 2016 Projecte
dFY 2016
ProjectedFY 2017
ProjectedJack-up Operational Downtime (unbillable)
~1% Less than 2% ~2.5% 2.5% ~2.5%
Drillship Operational Downtime (1) ~7% ~0% ~5% ~5% ~5%
Contract Drilling Expenses (excluding rebills) $950 MM $201 MM ~$190 MM $775 - $785 MM $650 - $750
MM(2)
SG&A $116 MM $26 MM ~$29 MM $105 - $110 MM $90 - $100 MM
Depreciation $391 MM $100 MM ~$102 MM $400 - $405 MM Not Guided
Interest Expense, Net of Capitalized Interest $145 MM $38 MM ~$39 MM ~$155 MM Not Guided
Effective Tax Rate (normalized)
~11% Normalized 9.5% Not Guided Mid Single Digits Not Guided
Capital Expenditures $723 MM $31 MM Not Guided $140 - $150 MM(2) ~$100 MM(2)
(1) Rowan expects operational downtime for the drillships to be approximately 5%.(2) Rowan expects to incur full-year 2017 drilling expense of between $650 MM and $750 MM, depending upon whether certain idle jack-up rigs
secure additional work.(3) Rowan expects 2016 maintenance capital expenditures to range from $140 - $150 MM and 2017 to be approximately $100 MM, excluding any
contractual modifications that may arise due to securing additional work, none of which is currently planned.
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Investor Contacts:Chris Pitre VP, Investor Relations and Corporate [email protected]+1 713 968 6642
Carrie Prati Manager, Marketing and Investor [email protected]+1 713 960 7581