07. gestión de fallas críticas con enfoque probabilístico en flota pesada - adolfo huamán diaz
DESCRIPTION
07. Gestión de Fallas Críticas Con Enfoque Probabilístico en Flota Pesada - Adolfo Huamán DiazTRANSCRIPT
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Management of critical failures with probabilistic approach
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2
1. PAS 55.
2. UPTIME Pyramid of Excellence & PAS - 55.
3. Strategic Management.
4. Tactic Management.
5. Maintenance Cost.
6. Critical Failures (Bad Actor).
7. Probabilistic Approach.
8. Models Development.
9. Benefits and Goals.
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Organizational Strategic Goals
Corporate Organization Management
Manage Asset Portfolio
Manage Assets System
Manage
Assets Create / acquire
Utilize Maintain Renew
/Disposee
Optimize Life Cycle Activities
Sustained Performance, Cost and Risk Optimization
CAPEX optimization and sustainability planning
Layered Integration
Life Cycle Optimization
Sustained Value
Value Creation
Business Criticality
Continuous Improvement
Pragmatic
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Inclusive Whole Cycle Optimized Risk - Based Data - supported Continuous
Improvement Pragmatic
Human
Assets
Info
Assets
Intangible
Assets
Financial Assets
Physical Assets
Vital Context:
Business, Objectives, Policies, Performance
requirements, Risk Assessment
Important Interface:
Condition, Asset Health, Performance, Activities, Costs & Opportunities
Important Interface:
Reputation, Social Responsibility, Constraints,
Social Impact
Important Interface:
Life Cycle Cost, Capital Investments, Operating
Costs
Important Interface:
Motivation, Communication, Roles & Responsibilities, Knowledge,
Experience , Leadership, Teamwork
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Human
Reliability
Maintainability Equipment's
Equipment Reliability
Process
Reliability
Asset Reliability
Vital Context:
Business, Objectives, Policies, Performance
requirements, Risk Management
Important Interface:
Internal Reliability, Planning & Scheduling Effectiveness, Tactic
Management, Background.
Important Interface:
Maintenance Strategies, Maintenance Optimized; Maximize
MTBF, MTTF, MTTR, UPTIME
Important Interface: Knowledge, Understanding, Lean Process, Performance
measurements & Know How
Important Interface: Active participation of people,
Positive influencer, Continuous Improvement, Do
How
Inclusive Whole Cycle Optimized Risk - Based Data - supported Continuous
Improvement Pragmatic
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6
Q
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7 7
Adolfo Hitler Huaman Diaz Physical Asset Optimization
MAINTENANCE ADMINISTRATION, Business Systems, IT HH RR.
FRAME WORK
PRODUCTION Operations FINANCE, Capital Management
Information Technology
Purchasing
Training Management
Capital Effectiveness, RONA
Production Rate
Spare Parts Management
Systems & Operating Improvements
ASSET OPTIMIZATION
Safety, Health, Environment, Risk Management and Control
Production Effectiveness
Availability
Reliability
Quality
Production Planning
Process Control O&M Cost
Optimization
Maintenance Management
DRIVERS BUSINESS EFFECTIVENESS: ROCE, RONA, EBIT
Value = Quality x Service
Cost x Time x Risk
Q $
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8 8
OPEX CAPEX
Development
Costs
Investment
Costs Operating Costs
CMC + IOP + EI
Cost of Low Reliability = Risk
Operating Costs + Planned
Maintenance Research
Design
Acquisition
Building, Installation & Commissioning
At Working (Years) Today
Disposal
Risk
f(t)
Cost
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9 9 9
9
C-MORE, Canad
STRATEGY - > 60 days
EM - Strategy
Equipment Health
Strategic Planning &
Budgeting
Reliability Engineering
Component Life
Cycle Cost Mgmt
Lean Maintenance
Efficiency
Continuous
Improvement
PLANNING - < 60 days EXECUTION
Functional Failures
Mgmt
Condition Monitoring
Prognostic Analysis
Application & Operation
Mine Planning
Mine Operations
Preventive Maintenance
- PM
Programmed Component
Replacement - PCR
Backlogs Mgmt
Preventive Maintenance
Quality PM
Programmed Component
Replacement - PCR
Backlogs Mgmt
Breakdown
Diagnostics
Execution
Asset Health Mgmt
Daily Tactics
Data Capture
Downtime Top Ten
Maintenance Efficiency
OEM Warranty Mgmt
Work-Order
Administration
Risk Assessment
FACILITIES MGMT Health Inspections
PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS
Facilities
Maintenance
SHER Policies
Facility Projects
COST ACCOUNTING CAPEX OPEX
Risk
Assessment
Financial
Health
Availability Utilization Reliability CPH
Work-Order Mgmt Non
Destructing
Testing
FMEA
SFMEA
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Equipment Health
Reliability Engineering
Component Life Cycle
Cost Mgmt
Lean Maintenance
Efficiency
Continuous
Improvement
Functional Failures
Mgmt
Condition Monitoring
Prognostic Analysis
The first job of your PdM Program: Identifying how your equipment can fail Selecting the right PdM strategies and
technologies to apply to the Physical Assets Determining the amount of PdM coverage for your Fleet, Equipment, System, Sub-system, etc.
Ranking the criticality of each item of equipment Building databases for each PdM Tech
improvement Determining PdM staffing levels
Non
Destructing
Testing
Reliability & PdM Process
SFMEA
DTA
AHR
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2. UPTIME Pyramid of Excellence.-
Asset
Management
Basic Care
Strategy
People
Performance Management
Materials Management
Work Management
Support System Management
Leadership
Essentials
Choosing Excellence
The Uptime Pyramid of Excellence (Campbell & Picknell).
People
Process
Tech
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3.- Tactic Management (Cont.).-
Coordinate with Operations (Business Focus).
Develop the maintenance strategy for the critical equipment or Bad Actor. Based on RCM analysis & Tactic Management.
Define a "Interim Corrective Action"
Evaluate the feasibility according to the current strategy (spares, people, planning window, downtime impact, risk).
Develop and execute the "Action Plan ASAP.
Align with the Core Business (Cost, Risk & Benefits).
Implement a continuous improvement process.
People
Process Tech
R
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2.- Inspection Decisions: Optimizing CBM
P F curve customized to mobile equipment (CBM)
Book Ref: DISPATCH
Dispatch to Maintenance. Truck HT110 please check TPS for low power fault
Wireless
Download
Real Time VIMS
Event Monitoring
Real Time
Diagnostics
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5.- Maintenance Costs.-
" Sobre el 60% del Costo de Mantenimiento durante el tiempo de Vida de un equipo, son causados por Defectos evitables durante el Diseo, Adquisicin,
Instalacin, Operacin y Mantenimiento".
7%
5%
31% 32%
8%
17%
Division of Maintenance Costs by Origin
Management
Construction
Non Preventable
Operations
Maintenance
Design & Engineering
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5.- Maintenance Costs (real context).-
Cost Opportunities to mobile equipment
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6.- Critical Failures (Bad Actor).-
1. Hidden Failure. 2. Low Detection Level (Low sensitivity to change). 3. Randomly. 4. Catastrophic Consequences (Cost, Downtime, Productivity).
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3.- Strategic Management.-
C-MORE, Canada
Component
Replacement
Decisions
Inspection Decisions
Capital Equipment
Replacement
Decisions
Maintenance
Resource Requirements
Maintenance Management System (CMMS, EAM, ERP)
Optimizing Equipment Maintenance and Replacement Decisions Optimization
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3.- Tactic Management (Cont.).-
C-MORE, Canada
Maintenance Management System (CMMS, EAM, ERP)
Optimizing Equipment Maintenance and Replacement Decisions Optimization
R
ep
lace
me
nt
Co
mp
on
en
t Best Preventive:
DPD.
Replace Only Failure.
Constant Interval.
Age - Based
Spare Parts Provisioning
Repairable Systems. In
spe
ctio
n D
eci
sio
ns
Inspection frecuency.
Profit Maximization
Availability Maximization.
Inspection Intervals.
FFIs.
Condition - Based Maintenance.
Blended Health, Monitoring & Age Replacement.
C
apit
al R
ep
lace
me
nt
Economic Life.
Constant Annual Utilization.
Varying Annual Utilization.
Technological Improvement.
Repair vs Replace
Re
sou
rce
's R
eq
uir
em
en
t Worshops Machines.
Right Sizing Equipment.
Lease / Buy
Probability &
Statistics
Stochastic Processes (CBM Optimization)
Time Value of Money
Queing Theory
Simulation
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6.- Optimizing Equipment Maintenance: Replacement Equipment.-
Reactive
Fix it after it Breaks: Overtime Heroes
Preventive (PM)
Maintain before it Breaks
Pdm / Condition
Based (CBM)
Identify and correct specific problems, before something Breaks
Proactive (PROACT)
Eliminate problems, eliminate source of Breakage
Reliability Driven
Identify and eliminate causes of failure; minimize the need for Maintenance
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e
"Para alcanzar una mxima efectividad y un costo ptimo las
Organizaciones deben esforzarse para ir hacia el enfoque Proactivo manejado por confiabilidad;
rpidamente como sea posible"
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7.- Reliability Modeling, Prediction, Lifetime Analysis Probability Approach.-
PDF
t
Key Variable. Studying variation. Continuous. Measurable. Accuracy. Sensitivity on time.
uom
MTTF
x
f(t)
y(x) y=f(x)
h(t)
Reactive Focus
Proactive Focus
Cost
Risk
Benefits
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6.- Reliability Analysis (PDF).-
Findings: The MTTF to Con Rod Bearings Fail" is less than the Business
Objective (PCR). High probability of failures.
0.00014
0.00012
0.00010
0.00008
0.00006
0.00004
0.00002
0.00000
X = Bearing Hours
De
nsit
y
= 5,647
36.8%
0
Business Objective: 16,000MTTF = 5,030
Distribution PlotWeibull, Shape=1.7, Scale=5648, Thresh=0
= 1.7 (Wear out)
2010
63.2%
PCR : Programed Component Replacement
Software Ref:
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6.- Risk Management: Reliability Analysis (four major components of reliability).-
24000180001200060000
0.00010
0.00005
0.00000
Bearings Hours
PD
F
100001000100
90
50
10
1
Bearings Hours
Pe
rce
nt
24000180001200060000
100
50
0
Bearings Hours
Pe
rce
nt
24000180001200060000
0.00045
0.00030
0.00015
0.00000
Bearings Hours
Ra
te
Erosion Cavitation
Layer separation & Fatigue
Failure Mode
1.94045 9848.63 0.964 29 0
1.28012 7686.00 0.975 45 0
Shape Scale Corr F C
Table of Statistics
Probability Density Function
Surv iv al Function Hazard Function
Distribution Overview Plot for Bearings Hours_20110518LSXY Estimates-Complete Data
Weibull
Bearings
Hours
Erosion
Cavitation (r%)
236 99.9
1,557 97.2
2,879 91.2
4,200 82.5
5,521 72.2
6,842 61.0
8,164 49.9
9,485 39.4
10,806 30.1
12,127 22.3
13,449 16.0
14,770 11.1
16,091 7.4
17,412 4.8
18,734 3.0
20,055 1.8
21,376 1.1
22,697 0.6
24,019 0.3
25,340 0.1
Failure Modes: Erosion Cavitation (wear out). Layer Separation & Fatigue (randomly).
Software Ref:
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23
6.- Lineal Regression Statistical Model.-
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24
6.- Statistic Domain: Matrix Plot to Accum Variable vs. Working Age.-
Statistical Model to variables by exception with low sensitivity to change in mobile equipment
-
9000800070006000500040003000200010000
40
30
20
10
0
Bearing Hours
Accu
mu
late
d L
ea
d
2500 (Infant Age)
29 Caution
7000 (Mid Life)
WT047
WT051
HT150HT143HT119HT113
HT111
HT080
HT074
HT066HT050
HT151
HT152
HT115
HT135HT105 HT055
HT054
HT046
HT147HT123HT120 HT114HT108
HT107
HT064HT056
HT144HT142HT122HT067HT048
HT128
HT127 HT126
HT124
HT063
HT061
HT044
HT106
HT102HT071
HT065
HT149
HT140HT112HT110
HT103
HT101HT060HT137
HT130HT116HT052HT139HT133
HT134 HT077HT073
HT062HT131
HT104HT145
HT059HT072
HT138
HT132 HT057
HT045HT141
HT125 HT070HT154HT076
HT049
HT117HT078
HT118
HT079
HT058
HT146HT121
HT069
HT153
HT053
HT068HT109
HT148
HT136
HT129
HT075
Matrix Plot of Accumulated Lead vs Bearing Hours_20110511
25
6.- Statistic Domain: Matrix Risk Plot to eliminate Bad Actors.-
Scheduled to 16th May
Scheduled to 23th May
This con rod bearings was changed by Mid Life & On condition
Scheduled to 24th May
After of HT068
Scheduled to 16th May
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6.- Risk Management: Reliability Analysis by Crystal Ball to Erosion Cavitation [email protected]
There are used for: Uncertainly. Time series prognostic. Probabilistic Optimization
Software Ref:
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27
6.- Risk Management: Matrix Risk Plot to eliminate the "Bad Actors" according the Risk (Slope).-.-
1000080006000400020000
40
30
20
10
0
x = Bearing Hours
y =
Accu
mu
late
d L
ea
d
2879 (86.2%)
29 (Fail)
6842 (53.5%)
R-sq = 71.7%
Matrix Risk of Accumulated Lead vs Bearing Hours
y = f(x); Accum Lead accord with Con Rod Bearings Hours (normal condition); not by exception.
= 0.006
= 0.005
= 0.007 = 0.005
= 0.005
= 0.004
Software Ref:
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28
6.- Risk Management: Slope Analysis Adjusted to Two Life Cycle for Con Rod Bearings".-
Statistical Model to variables by exception with low sensitivity to change in mobile equipment
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29
6.- Risk Management: Slope Analysis Adjusted with the Real Context.-
120001000080006000400020000
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
X-Data
Y-D
ata
Accum Lead HT069 * Con Rod Bearing HT069
Accum Lead HT069_1 * Con Rod Bearing HT069_1
Accum Lead HT069_2 * Con Rod Bearing HT069_2
Variable
Scatterplot of Accum Lead vs Con Rod Bearings Accum Hours HT069
Slope: 0.005; R-sq= 97.3%
Slope:0.004; R-sq= 95.6%
Slope:0.006; R-sq= 96.1%
9000800070006000500040003000200010000
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
X-Data
Y-D
ata
Accum Lead HT055 * Con Rod Bearing HT055
Accum Lead HT055_1 * Con Rod Bearing HT055_1
Accum Lead HT055_2 * Con Rod Bearing HT055_2
Variable
Scatterplot of Accum Lead vs Con Rod Bearings Accum Hours HT055
Slope:0.002; R-sq= 95.7%
Slope:0.003; R-sq= 98.6%
Slope:0.001; R-sq= 67.9%
9000800070006000500040003000200010000
50
40
30
20
10
0
X-Data
Y-D
ata
Accum Lead HT144 * Con Rod Bearing HT144
Accum Lead HT144_1 * Con Rod Bearing HT144_1
Accum Lead HT144_2 * Con Rod Bearing HT144_2
Variable
Scatterplot of Accum Lead vs Con Rod Bearings Accum Hours HT144
Slope:0.006; R-sq= 98.7%
Slope:0.007; R-sq= 99.3%
Slope:0.003; R-sq= 99.1% 1. Parameters: 1. R-sq > 65%. 2. Individuals Trends. 3. Risk of Failure
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30
6.- Risk Management: Matrix Risk Plot to eliminate Bad Actors.-
120001000080006000400020000
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Con Rod Bearing Hours
Accu
mu
late
d L
ea
d
7000 (Mid Life)2500 (Infant Age)
29 (fail)
HT075HT146HT129 HT076HT109HT154HT147WT047
HT148HT115HT074
HT056HT119
HT124
HT114HT064HT120HT122HT067HT048
HT142HT072HT123 HT108HT127HT126HT063HT044HT105
HT059HT065
HT057HT132HT128HT101HT060HT071HT140
HT107 HT110HT137HT052HT102HT106HT130HT139 HT138
HT112HT116HT073
HT045HT131HT077
HT133 HT141HT103 HT125
HT070HT049
HT104 HT078HT145 HT058HT079
HT117
WT051HT055HT121HT053
HT061HT068
HT153
HT054
HT144
HT069
R-sq= 75.1%
Scatterplot of Accumulated Lead vs Bearing Hours_20110602TBD (accident)
Has accumulated 9,241 hours scheduled to Jun
11th
Scheduled to Jun 03th
Has accumulated 5,683 hours, scheduled to Jun
26th
Has accumulated 6,937 hours, scheduled to Jun
6th
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31
6.- Risk Management: Reliability Analysis_20110623.-
20000150001000050000
0.00012
0.00008
0.00004
0.00000
Bearings Hours
PD
F
100001000100
90
50
10
1
Bearings Hours
Pe
rce
nt
20000150001000050000
100
50
0
Bearings Hours
Pe
rce
nt
20000150001000050000
0.0006
0.0004
0.0002
0.0000
Bearings Hours
Ra
te
Erosion Cavitation
Layer separation & Fatigue
Failure Mode
2.22049 8790.94 0.943 44 0
1.61573 7396.52 0.859 45 0
Shape Scale AD* F C
Table of Statistics
Probability Density Function
Surv iv al Function Hazard Function
Distribution Overview Plot for Bearings Hours_20110623ML Estimates-Complete Data
Weibull
Software Ref:
-
32
6.- Risk Management: Survival and Hazard Function Analysis.-.- 20000100000
0.00010
0.00005
0.00000
Bearings Hours
PD
F
100001000100
90
50
10
1
Bearings Hours
Pe
rce
nt
20000100000
100
50
0
Bearings Hours
Pe
rce
nt
20000100000
0.0003
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
Bearings HoursR
ate
Erosion Cavitation
Layer separation & Fatigue
Failure Mode:
1.66230 9079.24 0.963 33 0
1.28012 7686.00 0.975 45 0
Shape Scale Corr F C
Table of Statistics
Probability Density Function
Surv iv al Function Hazard Function
Distribution Overview Plot for Bearings Hours per Failure ModeLSXY Estimates-Complete Data
Weibull
h (; , ) =
.1
FM1:Erosion Cavitation
FM2:Layer Separation & Fatigue
Where, = = Shape. = = Scale.
,
h ()
1.1
1.2
1.3 1.4
1.5
1.6
= shape
Statistical Model to variables by exception with low sensitivity to change in
mobile equipment
-
Desired Performance FunctionalFailure
Time
R (t)
Detectable Deterioration
Total Failure
UnexpectedBreakdown
P
F
PotentialFailure
Warning Interval(P F Net)
PrematureReplacement
Cost Curve
-
25002000150010005000
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
x=Bearing Hours
Accu
mu
late
d L
ea
d
2500 (Infant Age)
29 (Caution Level)Linear
Quadratic
Fits
HT076
HT118
HT136HT053HT069HT146HT109HT117 HT080
HT149HT129
HT075HT148HT143HT113HT151HT150
HT152
HT135
HT065
HT134
HT068
Scatterplot of Accumulated Lead vs Bearing Hours (Monitoring State)
Updated 20110623
R-sq=70.6%
R-sq=74.6%
34
6.- Risk Management: Matrix Risk Plot adjusted only to Normal Zone.-
The behavior of this equipment is
projecting to the caution zone
-
Q
-
6.- Risk Management: Reliability Analysis (PDF) improved.-
37
0.00012
0.00010
0.00008
0.00006
0.00004
0.00002
0.00000
X = Hours
De
nsit
y
=8,573
63.2%
0 =9,356
36.8%
0
MTTF=7,593 MTTF=8,315
PCR:16,000Mid Life:7,0002.1 8573
2.6 9356
Shape Scale
Weibull, Thresh=0
Distribution Plot: Layer Separation, Erosion Cavitation
Updated: 20110804
63.2%
=2.6
=2.1
Findings:
The MTTF to "Erosion Cavitation" is making progress toward the PCR.
The MTTF in addition is covering the Mid Life Strategy.
= Shape = Characteristic Life MTTF. Business Objective ICA.
-
7.- Statistic Domain: Regression Analysis: "Best Sub sets" & "PLS" by exceptions.-
38
Findings:
The loading plot show us that the main predictors variables are: Iron, Silicon, Soot, Sodium & Cooper.
In another domain, we need to check the Oxidation level (service accuracy)
0.50.40.30.20.10.0-0.1-0.2-0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
Component 1
Co
mp
on
en
t 2
Kin Visc
NitrationOxidation
SulfurSoot
Potassium
Sodium
Silicon
Aluminum
Copper
Tin
Chrome
PQ
Iron
PLS Loading Plot: Lead HT134March to July 2011
Iron Copper Silicon Soot Sodium Oxidation
Software Ref:
-
7.- Statistic Domain: Regression Analysis: "Best Sub sets" & "PLS" by exceptions.-
39
Best Subsets Regression: Lead versus Iron, PQ, ... HT103 Response is Lead
P O N
A o x i K
l S t i t i
C C u i S a S d r n
h o m l o s u a a
I r p i i d s S l t t V
r o T p n c i i o f i i i
Mallows o P m i e u o u u o u o o s
Vars R-Sq R-Sq(adj) Cp S n Q e n r m n m m t r n n c
1 79.9 79.1 47.8 0.56865 X
1 79.3 78.4 50.0 0.57765 X
2 84.5 83.1 33.9 0.51021 X X
2 83.4 81.9 37.8 0.52829 X X
3 86.9 85.1 27.5 0.47961 X X X
3 86.1 84.2 30.3 0.49376 X X X
4 89.2 87.2 21.5 0.44527 X X X X
4 88.6 86.4 23.6 0.45806 X X X X
5 91.8 89.7 14.6 0.39854 X X X X X
5 91.3 89.1 16.3 0.41025 X X X X X
6 93.6 91.6 10.1 0.35964 X X X X X X
6 92.3 89.8 14.9 0.39640 X X X X X X
7 94.4 92.2 9.6 0.34809 X X X X X X X
7 94.0 91.6 11.0 0.35981 X X X X X X X
8 94.9 92.5 9.8 0.34114 X X X X X X X X
8 94.6 92.0 10.9 0.35134 X X X X X X X X
9 95.2 92.6 10.6 0.33918 X X X X X X X X X
9 95.2 92.5 10.6 0.33996 X X X X X X X X X
10 96.2 93.6 9.3 0.31408 X X X X X X X X X X
10 95.8 93.0 10.7 0.32990 X X X X X X X X X X
11 96.4 93.6 10.4 0.31420 X X X X X X X X X X X
11 96.3 93.4 10.9 0.32006 X X X X X X X X X X X
12 96.6 93.5 11.8 0.31707 X X X X X X X X X X X X
12 96.6 93.5 11.8 0.31712 X X X X X X X X X X X X
13 96.8 93.3 13.2 0.32197 X X X X X X X X X X X X X
13 96.7 93.2 13.4 0.32473 X X X X X X X X X X X X X
14 96.8 92.8 15.0 0.33339 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X
Oxidation Level.- This represent the PM
service accuracy
Wear Variables.- This represent main
predictors
R sq (adj). Cp Mallows
-
7.- Statistic Domain: Regression Analysis: "Best Sub sets" & "PLS" by exceptions.-
40
Findings:
The loading plot show us that the main predictors variables are: Iron, Silicon, Soot, Sodium, Kin Visc & Oxidation
In another domain, we need to check the Oxidation level (service accuracy)
0.40.30.20.10.0
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
-0.5
-0.6
Component 1
Co
mp
on
en
t 2
Kin Visc
Nitration
Oxidation
Sulfur
Soot
Potassium
Sodium
SiliconAluminum
Copper
Tin
Chrome
PQ
Iron
PLS Loading Plot: HT103
Iron Copper Silicon Soot Sodium Oxidation Kin Visc
Software Ref:
-
7.- Deterministic Domain: Matrix Risk Plot & Prognostic Determination.-
41
70006000500040003000200010000
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
X-Data
Y-D
ata
7000 (Mid Life)2500 (Infant Age)
29 Accum Lead Generated * Con Rod Bearing Hours SimulatedAccum Lead HT053 * Con Rod Bearing HT053Variable
26262525
252424
23
202020202019
1716
13
876
5
4
2
8
76
5
42
Scatterplot of Accum Lead G vs Con Rod Bear, Accum Lead H vs Con Rod B
HT053, Bronze Bearings
R-sq = 91.5%R-sq = 98.4%
Distribution ID Plot for Lead Descriptive Statistics
N N* Mean StDev Median Minimum Maximum Skewness Kurtosis
6 0 1.66667 0.516398 2 1 2 -0.968246 -1.875
Goodness of Fit Test
Distribution AD P
Normal 1.091
-
8.1 Summary of all cost in the first year (only 2011)
Summary of Benefit Cost:
Clearly avoided catastrophic failure - HT130: $530,610.30
Avoided possible catastrophic failure in progress (11 cases): $3555,841.56
Total Cost of Benefits: $4086,451.86
8. Total Impact due to B. Problems.-
Summary of Impact Cost:
Control the situation - One time assumed impact: $1022,976.67
Implement the actions - Future impact: $584,193.58
Total Cost of Impact: $1607,170.25
Difference between Benefit and Impact:
Total Cost to Avoid: $2479,281.61 42
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8.2 Summary of all cost in the following years (2012 to up)
Summary of Benefit Cost:
Annual rate of engine catastrophic faulires avoided (8 cases): $2586,066.59
Total Cost of Benefits: $2586,066.59
8. Total Impact due to B. Problems.-
Summary of Impact Cost:
Implement the actions - Future impact: $584,193.58
Total Cos of Impact: $584,193.58
Difference between Benefit and Impact:
Total Cost to Avoid: $2001,873.01
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Adolfo Hitler Huaman Diaz General Manager AMBE
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