01 i eia ari canada june 2013 final · rea. the m with an or y of 380 fe shale thickn is shale gas,...

58
I. Canada June, 2013 I. C SUMMA C assessed oil basins CANAD ARY Canada has d by this res s in Western F Source DA a series of l source study n Canada. Figure I-1. Sele e: ARI, 2012. I- arge hydroc y. Figure I-1 ected Shale Ga EIA/ARI W -1 carbon basin illustrates c as and Oil Bas World Shale Ga ns with thick certain of th sins of Weste s and Shale Oil , organic-ric e major sha ern Canada Resource Asses ch shales tha ale gas and s ssment at are shale

Upload: others

Post on 13-Feb-2021

3 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    I. C

    SUMMA

    C

    assessed

    oil basins

    CANAD

    ARY

    Canada has

    d by this res

    s in Western

    F

    Source

    DA

    a series of l

    source study

    n Canada.

    Figure I-1. Sele

    e: ARI, 2012.

    I-

    arge hydroc

    y. Figure I-1

    ected Shale Ga

    EIA/ARI W

    -1

    carbon basin

    illustrates c

    as and Oil Bas

    World Shale Ga

    ns with thick

    certain of th

    sins of Weste

    s and Shale Oil

    , organic-ric

    e major sha

    ern Canada

    Resource Asses

    ch shales tha

    ale gas and s

    ssment

    at are

    shale

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    T

    (1) the H

    Columbia

    Columbia

    Alberta, s

    Group; (3

    Shale in

    W

    Resource

    siltstone

    included

    of additio

    quantitat

    in Alberta

    W

    risked, te

    place fo

    recovera

    Canada’s

    A

    emerging

    recovera

    The full set o

    Horn River

    a and the No

    a and Alber

    such as the

    3) the Willist

    Quebec and

    Western Can

    e Plays (in b

    reservoirs.

    in this shale

    onal hydroc

    ive portion o

    a) or becaus

    We estimate

    echnically re

    r Canada o

    ble shale o

    s shale gas

    As new drill

    g shale pla

    bility will und

    of Canadian

    Basin, the

    orthwest Te

    rta); (2) the

    Banff/Exsh

    ton Basin’s B

    d the Horton

    nada also c

    both British

    As thus,

    e gas and sh

    arbon-bearin

    of this resou

    se of limited

    risked sha

    ecoverable s

    of 162 billio

    oil resource.

    and oil reso

    ing occurs

    ays, the es

    doubtedly ch

    I-

    shale gas a

    Cordova Em

    rritories) plu

    e numerous

    aw, the Duv

    Bakken Sha

    Bluff Shale

    contains the

    Columbia a

    these two

    hale oil reso

    ng siltstone

    urce study e

    information

    le gas in-pla

    shale gas res

    on barrels,

    . Table I-1

    urces.

    and more

    stimates of

    hange.

    EIA/ARI W

    -2

    and shale o

    mbayment a

    us the Doig P

    shale gas

    vernay, the N

    le in Saskat

    in Nova Sco

    e prolific and

    and Alberta)

    important u

    ource assess

    and shale

    either becaus

    (Frederick B

    ace for Can

    source. In a

    with 8.8 bi

    provides a

    detailed in

    the size

    World Shale Ga

    il basins ass

    and the Lia

    Phosphate S

    and shale

    Nordegg, th

    tchewan and

    otia.

    d areally ex

    categorized

    unconventio

    sment. In ad

    formations

    se of low or

    Brook Shale

    nada of 2,4

    addition, we

    illion barrels

    a more in-d

    formation is

    of their in-

    s and Shale Oil

    sessed in th

    ard Basin (lo

    Shale (locate

    oil formatio

    e Muskwa a

    d Manitoba;

    xtensive Mo

    d primarily a

    onal gas re

    ddition, Can

    that are no

    rganic conte

    in New Bru

    13 Tcf, with

    e estimate ris

    s as the ris

    depth, regio

    s obtained

    -place reso

    Resource Asses

    his study inc

    ocated in B

    ed in both B

    ons and pla

    and the Colo

    and (4) the

    ontney and

    as tight sand

    sources are

    nada has a s

    t included i

    ent (Wilrich S

    nswick).

    h 573 Tcf a

    sked shale o

    sked, techn

    nal tabulatio

    on these l

    urces and

    ssment

    clude:

    British

    British

    ys in

    orado

    Utica

    Doig

    d and

    e not

    series

    n the

    Shale

    s the

    oil in-

    nically

    on of

    arge,

    their

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    SaskatMan

    Qu

    Nova

    *Less than

    British CNorthwes

    Al

    Re

    HHCLDS

    AEDNSS

    tchewan /nitoba

    W

    uebec A

    a Scotia W

    T0.5 Tcf

    Columbia /st Territories

    berta

    egion

    Table I-

    Horn River (MuskHorn River (Evie /Cordova (MuskwaLiard (Lower BesDeep (Doig PhosSub-Total

    Alberta (Banff / EE/W Shale (DuveDeep Basin (NordN.W. Alberta (MuS. Alberta (ColorSub-Total

    Williston (Bakken

    App. Fold Belt (U

    Windsor (Horton

    Total

    Basin / F

    I-

    -1. Shale Gas

    kwa / Otter Park/ Klua)a / Otter Park)

    sa River)sphate)

    Exshaw)ernay)degg)uskwa)rado)

    n)

    Utica)

    Bluff)

    Formation

    EIA/ARI W

    -3

    and Oil Resou

    Oil/Conden(Million b

    ) ------

    10,50066,80019,80042,400

    -139,50

    22,500

    -

    -

    162,00

    Reso

    World Shale Ga

    urces of Cana

    nsatebbl)

    Natural (Tcf)375.7154.281.0526.3100.7

    1,237

    0 5.10 482.60 72.00 141.7

    285.60 987.1

    0 16.0

    155.3

    17.0

    0 2,413

    Riskedurce In-Place

    s and Shale Oil

    ada

    Gas)

    Oil/Cond(Million

    7 -2 -

    0 -3 -7 -.8 -

    3206 4,01

    0 7907 2,126 -1 7,24

    0 1,60

    3 -

    0 -

    .2 8,84

    RiskRecov

    Resource Asses

    ensaten bbl)

    Natura(Tc93382015725335

    0 0.10 1130 1320 31

    4240 200

    00 2.

    31

    3.

    40 572

    ked Technicallyverable Resour

    ssment

    al Gascf)

    3.98.50.37.9

    5.25.8

    33.0

    3.3.1

    2.80.5

    .2

    .1

    .4

    2.9

    yrce

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    BRITIS

    B

    shale ba

    the organ

    In additio

    sand and

    content

    included

    T

    and rese

    shale ba

    extensive

    industry.

    gas and

    shale oil

    with 336

    Basic

     Data

    Resource

    GGRR

    Physical Exten

    t P

    Th

    De

    Reservoir 

    Prop

    ertie

    s Re

    AvThC

    SH COLU

    British Colum

    sins, the Ho

    nic-rich Doig

    on to these

    d siltstone

    formations,

    in this shale

    This resource

    ervoir charac

    asins and fo

    e well drillin

    These two

    oil resource

    and gas ba

    Tcf as the r

    Table I-2.

    OrgNetInteAve

    Basin/Gros

    Shale FormGeologic

    Depositional En

    as PhaseIP Concentrationisked GIP (Tcf)isked Recoverabl

    rospective Area (

    hickness (ft)

    epth (ft)

    eservoir Pressure

    verage TOC (wt. %hermal Maturity (lay Content

    MBIA/NO

    mbia (BC) a

    orn River Ba

    g Phosphate

    shale resou

    Montney Re

    classified a

    e gas and oil

    e assessme

    cterization w

    ormations of

    ng and well

    o information

    es of British

    asins assess

    isked, techn

    Shale Gas Re

    M

    ganically Richt ervalerage

    M

    ss Area

    mationc Agenvironment

    (Bcf/mi2)

    le (Tcf)

    mi2)

    e

    %)% Ro)

    I-

    ORTHWES

    and the Nor

    asin, the Cor

    Shale exist

    urces, Britis

    esource an

    as tight san

    l resource as

    ent study ha

    work support

    f British Col

    l performan

    n sources se

    h Columbia

    sed by this s

    nically recove

    eservoir Prope

    uskwa/Otter ParkDevonian

    Marine3,320420380

    6,300 - 10,2008,000

    Mod. Overpress.

    3.5%3.50%Low

    Dry Gas150.9375.793.9

    Horn R(7,100

    EIA/ARI W

    -4

    ST TERR

    rthwest Terr

    rdova Emba

    ts on each s

    sh Columbia

    nd Doig Re

    nds by Can

    ssessment.

    as benefitted

    ted by the B

    umbia.1,2 In

    ce informat

    erve as foun

    and the No

    study contain

    erable shale

    erties and Res

    k Evie/KluaDevonian

    Marine3,320160144

    6,800 - 10,7008,500Mod.

    Overpress.4.5%

    3.80%Low

    Dry Gas61.9154.238.5

    River mi2)

    World Shale Ga

    RITORIES

    ritories (NW

    ayment and

    ide of the ce

    a also has p

    esource play

    nada’s Natio

    d greatly fro

    BC Ministry

    n addition, t

    ion provided

    ndations for

    orthwest Ter

    n 1,238 Tcf

    e gas resourc

    sources of Bri

    Cordova(4,290 mi2)

    Muskwa/Otter PDevonian

    Marine2,000230207

    5,500 - 6,2006,000

    Mod. Overpres

    2.0%2.50%Low

    Dry Gas67.581.020.3

    s and Shale Oil

    WT) hold thr

    the Liard Ba

    entral Alberta

    portions of t

    ys. These

    onal Energy

    om the exte

    of Energy a

    his study ha

    d by Canad

    the assessm

    rritories. Th

    of risked sh

    ce, Table I-2

    itish Columbia

    Liard(4,300 m

    Park Lower Besa Devonia

    Marine3,300500400

    0 6,600 - 13,10,000

    ss. Highly Overp

    3.5%3.80%Low

    Dry Gas319.0526.3157.9

    Resource Asses

    ree “world-s

    asin. In add

    a and BC bo

    the massive

    two low org

    y Board, are

    ensive geolo

    and Mines o

    as drawn o

    da’s oil and

    ment of the s

    he four BC/

    hale gas in-p

    2.

    a/NWT

    i2)Deep Ba(24,800

    River Doig Phosan Triasse Marin

    3,00165150

    000 6,800 - 10 9,25

    press. Mod. Over

    5.0%1.10%Low

    s Dry G67.1100.25.2

    ssment

    scale”

    dition,

    order.

    tight

    ganic

    e not

    ogical

    n the

    n the

    d gas

    shale

    /NWT

    place,

    asinmi2)sphatesicne0

    500,9000

    rpress.

    %%wGas17

    2

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    1. H

    1.1 G

    T

    Northwes

    which se

    Territorie

    by the pi

    and the t

    area for t

    T

    age Mus

    mapped

    resource

    included

    Mississip

    Simpson

    1.2 R

    T

    in the qu

    M

    interval w

    Drilling d

    averagin

    over-pres

    feet, the

    prospect

    is high, a

    high ther

    The M

    HORN RIVE

    Geologic Se

    The Horn Riv

    st Territories

    eparates the

    es, is defined

    inch-out of t

    thinning of t

    the Horn Riv

    The Horn Riv

    kwa/Otter P

    in the Horn

    e concentrati

    in the study

    ppian Banff/

    Shale.

    Reservoir P

    Two major sh

    antitative po

    Muskwa/Otte

    within the H

    depth to the

    g 8,000 fee

    ssured in th

    Muskwa/Ot

    ive area ave

    averaging ab

    rmal maturity

    Muskwa/Otte

    ER BASIN

    etting

    ver Basin co

    s, Figure I-2

    Horn River

    d by the thin

    he shale. It

    he shale de

    ver Shale in

    ver Basin co

    Park and Evie

    n River Basi

    on favorable

    y) include th

    /Exshaw Sh

    Properties

    hale gas form

    ortion of our

    er Park. The

    Horn River G

    e top of the

    et for the pr

    he center of

    tter Park ha

    erages 3.5%

    bout 3.5% an

    y in the pros

    r Park

    I-

    overs an are

    2. The bas

    r Basin from

    ning of the s

    ts eastern b

    eposit. We h

    the west-ce

    ntains a seri

    e/Klua most

    n to establis

    e for shale g

    he high orga

    hale and th

    (Prospecti

    mations, the

    resource as

    e Middle De

    Group, is th

    Muskwa/Ot

    rospective a

    the basin.

    as a net pa

    % for the net

    nd placing th

    spective area

    Shale ha

    EIA/ARI W

    -5

    ea of 7,100 m

    sin’s western

    m the Liard B

    shale sectio

    border is def

    have defined

    ntral portion

    ies of organ

    t prominent,

    sh a prospe

    gas developm

    anic-content,

    he thick, low

    ive Area)

    Muskwa/Ot

    ssessment.

    evonian Mus

    he main sha

    tter Park Sh

    rea. The M

    With an or

    ay of 380 fe

    shale thickn

    his shale gas

    a, the in-pla

    as high

    World Shale Ga

    mi2 in northe

    n border is

    Basin. Its n

    n, and its so

    fined by the

    d a higher q

    n of the basin

    ic-rich shale

    Figure I-4.3

    ective area w

    ment. Other

    , lower therm

    w organic-c

    tter Park and

    skwa/Otter P

    ale gas targ

    hale ranges

    Muskwa/Otte

    rganic-rich g

    eet. Total or

    ness investig

    s in the dry g

    ce shale gas

    quartz a

    s and Shale Oil

    ern British C

    defined by

    orthern bord

    outhern bord

    Slave Point

    quality, 3,320

    n, Figure I-3

    es, with the M

    These two

    with sufficie

    r shales in th

    mal maturity

    content Late

    d the Evie/K

    Park Shale,

    get in the H

    s from 6,300

    er Park Sha

    gross shale

    rganic conte

    gated. Ther

    gas window

    s has a CO2and low

    Resource Asses

    Columbia an

    the Bovie F

    der, in North

    der is constra

    t/Keg River

    0-mi2 prospe

    .

    Middle Devo

    shale units

    ent thickness

    his basin (bu

    y, poorly de

    e Devonian

    Klua, are incl

    the upper s

    orn River B

    0 to 10,200

    ale is moder

    thickness of

    ent (TOC) in

    rmal maturity

    . Because o

    2 content of

    clay con

    ssment

    d the

    Fault,

    hwest

    ained

    Uplift

    ective

    onian-

    were

    s and

    ut not

    efined

    Fort

    luded

    shale

    Basin.

    feet,

    rately

    f 420

    n the

    y (Ro)

    of the

    11%.

    ntent.

  • I

    J

    F

    S

    . Canada

    June, 2013

    Figure I-2. Horn R

    Source: ARI, 2013.

    River Basin (Muskkwa/Otter Park Shaale) Outline and D

    I-6

    Depth Figure I

    Source: AR

    EIA/ARI W

    I-3. Horn River Ba

    I, 2013.

    World Shale Gas and

    asin (Muskwa/OtteProspective Are

    d Shale Oil Resource

    er Park Shale) Isoea

    e Assessment

    opach and

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    E

    Horn Riv

    the Evie/

    separate

    average

    maturity

    content i

    favorable

    O

    Devonian

    The Ban

    massivel

    lean (TO

    Sourc

    Figure

    Evie/Klua. T

    ver Group, p

    /Klua Shale

    ed by an or

    TOC of 4.5

    (Ro) is high

    s estimated

    e for hydraul

    Other Shales

    n/Lower Mis

    nff/Exshaw S

    y thick Fort

    OC

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    these two

    shale res

    1.3 R

    T

    Evie/Klua

    W

    resource

    Based on

    recovera

    T

    risked ga

    resource

    1.4 C

    In

    marketab

    basin.4

    National

    River Ba

    resource

    W

    the two s

    resource

    BC Oil a

    Basin.6 T

    marketab

    place. (

    from mar

    o shale units

    source asses

    Resource A

    The prospec

    a Shale is ap

    Within this p

    e concentrati

    n favorable

    ble shale ga

    The thinner E

    as in-place,

    e for the Evie

    Comparison

    n mid-2010,

    ble (recover

    Subsequen

    Energy Boa

    asin that ide

    e of 78 Tcf.5

    We estimate

    shale units

    e in-place. O

    and Gas Co

    The BC ME

    ble (recovera

    (The BC ME

    rketable sha

    s have not b

    ssment.

    Assessmen

    ctive area f

    pproximately

    prospective

    on of about

    reservoir mi

    as resource

    Evie/Klua Sh

    excluding C

    e/Klua Shale

    n with Oth

    the Canadi

    able after e

    tly, in 2011

    ard (NEB) pu

    entified 448

    a larger ris

    assessed b

    Our recovery

    ommission i

    EM/NEB Ho

    able) shale g

    EM/NEB ass

    ale gas.)

    I-

    been include

    nt

    for both the

    y 3,320 mi2.

    area, the H

    151 Bcf/mi2

    neralogy an

    of 94 Tcf for

    hale has a r

    CO2. We es

    e of 39 Tcf, T

    er Resourc

    an Society f

    extraction of

    , the BC M

    ublished an

    Tcf of gas

    ked, technic

    by this study

    y factor is c

    n their 201

    orn River B

    gas resource

    sessment ex

    EIA/ARI W

    -8

    ed in the qua

    e Horn Riv

    Horn River

    and a risked

    nd other prop

    r the Muskwa

    resource con

    stimate a ris

    Table I-2.

    ce Assess

    for Unconve

    CO2 and a

    Ministry of E

    assessment

    in-place, w

    cally recove

    y, using a re

    onsistent wi

    1 hydrocarb

    Basin asses

    e, implies a

    xcluded CO2

    World Shale Ga

    antitative po

    ver Muskwa

    Muskwa/Ot

    d gas in-plac

    perties, we e

    a/Otter Park

    ncentration o

    sked, techn

    sments

    entional Gas

    ny NGLs) s

    Energy and

    t for the sha

    with an expe

    rable shale

    ecovery fact

    ith the 25%

    bon reserve

    sment repo

    lower recove

    content and

    s and Shale Oil

    rtion of the H

    a/Otter Park

    tter Park S

    ce is 376 Tc

    estimate a r

    k Shale, Tab

    of 62 Bcf/m

    ically recove

    s estimated

    shale gas fo

    Mines (BC

    ale gas resou

    ected marke

    gas resourc

    tor of 25%

    recovery fa

    es report for

    ort, with a

    ery factor of

    d produced

    Resource Asses

    Horn River B

    k Shale and

    Shale has a

    cf, excluding

    isked, techn

    ble I-2.

    i2 and 154 T

    erable shale

    75 to 170 T

    or the Horn

    C MEM) and

    urces of the

    etable shale

    ce of 133 T

    of the shale

    actor used b

    r the Horn

    lower 78 T

    f 17.4% of ga

    gas used as

    ssment

    Basin

    d the

    a rich

    CO2.

    nically

    Tcf of

    e gas

    Tcf of

    River

    d the

    Horn

    e gas

    cf for

    e gas

    by the

    River

    Tcf of

    as in-

    s fuel

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    C

    anticipate

    well com

    well com

    increase

    1.5 R

    A

    including

    others.

    A

    shale ga

    net prod

    gas reso

    E

    gas lease

    risking it

    Tcfe of n

    recovera

    initial set

    acre leas

    Nexen, w

    resource

    T

    productiv

    estimated

    recovery

    recovera

    Consistent w

    es progress

    mpletion and

    mpletion meth

    EURs in the

    Recent Act

    A number of

    g Apache Ca

    Apache Cana

    s in the bas

    uction of 90

    urce of 9.2 T

    EnCana, with

    es in the Ho

    s 170,000 n

    net risked res

    ble resource

    t of shale ga

    se position,

    with 90,000

    es from its lea

    Total natural

    ve wells in

    d 10 Tcf of i

    factor. 8 I

    ble raw gas

    with the exp

    ively increas

    production

    hods in the

    e Horn River

    ivity

    major and in

    anada, EnCa

    ada, the Ho

    sin, has full-

    0 million cub

    Tcf from its s

    h 68 long ho

    orn River Bas

    net acre lea

    source. EO

    es, has drill

    as wells has

    18 shale ga

    acres, has

    ase area.8

    gas produ

    2011. In th

    initial raw ga

    n their 201

    reserves to

    I-

    perience of

    sed efficienc

    practices. O

    Horn River

    r Basin shale

    ndependent

    ana, EOG R

    orn River Ba

    scale develo

    bic feet per d

    shale leases

    rizontal well

    sin. Devon,

    ase position,

    OG, with a 15

    led 35 shale

    s met or exc

    as wells and

    drilled 42 h

    uction from

    heir 2010 re

    as reserves

    1 report, th

    11.5 Tcf.

    EIA/ARI W

    -9

    shale gas

    cies for shal

    One examp

    Basin. The

    es from 11 B

    companies

    Resources,

    asin’s most

    opment und

    day (MMcfd

    s in the Horn

    s, produced

    with 22 sha

    , which the

    57,000 net a

    e gas wells

    eeded expe

    d a projecte

    horizontal we

    the Horn R

    eport, the B

    from 40 Tcf

    he BCOGC

    World Shale Ga

    s developme

    e gas recov

    le is Nexen

    ese advanc

    Bcf/well to 16

    are active i

    Nexen, Dev

    active oper

    erway in the

    d). Apache

    n River Basin

    d a net 95 M

    le gas wells

    company e

    acre lease p

    and claims

    ectations. Q

    ed recoverab

    ells and est

    River Basin

    BC Oil and

    f of original g

    increased t

    s and Shale Oil

    ent in the

    very as indu

    ’s testing of

    ed methods

    6 Bcf/well.

    n the Horn R

    von Canada

    rator with 72

    e Two Island

    estimates a

    n. 7

    MMcfed in 20

    s, is in the ea

    estimates co

    osition and

    s that the pe

    Quicksilver ha

    ble resource

    timates 6 Tc

    was 382 M

    Gas Comm

    gas in-place

    the Horn R

    Resource Asses

    U.S., this s

    stry optimize

    f advanced s

    s are design

    River Shale

    , Quicksilve

    2 wells targ

    d Lake area

    a net recove

    011 from its s

    arly stages o

    ontains near

    9 Tcf of pote

    erformance

    as a 130,00

    e of over 10

    cf of recove

    MMcfd from

    mission (BCO

    e, equal to a

    River Shale

    ssment

    study

    es its

    shale

    ed to

    play,

    r and

    geting

    a with

    erable

    shale

    of de-

    rly 10

    ential

    of its

    00 net

    0 Tcf.

    erable

    m 159

    OGC)

    25%

    initial

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    T

    expande

    infrastruc

    facilities.

    LNG exp

    Figure I-

    tons of L

    T

    with an in

    to the Pa

    date is 2

    GasLink

    export fa

    The gas pro

    d to provide

    cture is bein

    A 287-mile

    port plant (d

    5. The Kit

    NG per year

    Figu

    TransCanada

    nitial capacit

    acific Northw

    018. Earlier

    Project, link

    cility near K

    ocessing an

    e improved

    ng expanded

    e (480-km) P

    due on line

    timat LNG te

    r (MTPA), ex

    ure I-5. Weste

    a is proposi

    ty of 2 Bcfd

    west LNG ex

    r, TransCana

    king Horn R

    itimat estima

    I-

    nd transport

    market acce

    d to bring t

    Pacific Trail P

    in 2017) wi

    erminal has

    xpanding to

    ern Canada’s L

    ng to build

    (expandable

    xport termin

    ada was sel

    River (and M

    ated to be in

    EIA/ARI W

    10

    tation capac

    ess for its g

    he gas sou

    Pipeline is u

    ith Spectra

    an announc

    10 MTPA w

    LNG Export P

    the 470-mil

    e to 3.6 Bcfd

    al near Prin

    ected by Sh

    Montney) ga

    n-service “tow

    World Shale Ga

    city in the

    growing sha

    th to a seri

    under constr

    Energy’s W

    ced initial se

    with a second

    ipelines and I

    e Prince Ru

    d) to move M

    nce Rupert,

    hell Canada

    as with Shel

    ward the end

    s and Shale Oil

    Horn River

    ale gas prod

    es of propo

    ruction to co

    West Coast P

    end-out cap

    d train.

    nfrastructure

    upert Gas T

    Montney and

    BC. The pl

    to build the

    ll’s planned

    d of the dec

    Resource Asses

    r Basin is b

    duction. Pip

    osed LNG e

    nnect the K

    Pipeline Sys

    pacity of 5 m

    Transmission

    d Horn Rive

    lanned in-se

    1.7 Bcfd Co

    12 MTPA

    cade”.9

    ssment

    being

    peline

    export

    itimat

    stem,

    million

    n line

    er gas

    ervice

    oastal

    LNG

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    2. C

    2.1 G

    T

    corner of

    Embaym

    The Emb

    its easte

    formation

    area, Fig

    2.2 R

    O

    of our res

    M

    gas targe

    prospect

    moderate

    207 feet

    thickness

    window.

    hydraulic

    O

    Park by

    Banff/Exs

    shales ha

    assessm

    CORDOVA

    Geologic Se

    The Cordova

    f British Col

    ment is sepa

    bayment’s no

    ern boundary

    n, the Musk

    gure I-7.

    Reservoir P

    One shale ga

    source asse

    Muskwa/Otte

    et in the Cor

    ive area ra

    ely over-pres

    t. Total org

    s investigate

    The Musk

    c stimulation

    Other Shales

    the Slave

    shaw and F

    ave not bee

    ment.

    EMBAYME

    etting

    a Embayme

    lumbia, exte

    rated from t

    orthern and

    y is the Bri

    kwa/Otter Pa

    Properties

    as formation

    essment.

    er Park. The

    rdova Embay

    nges from

    ssured. The

    ganic conte

    ed. Therma

    wa/Otter Pa

    .

    s. The deep

    Point and

    ort Simpson

    en included i

    I-

    ENT

    ent covers a

    ending into t

    the Horn Riv

    southern bo

    itish Columb

    ark Shale, w

    (Prospecti

    n, the Muskw

    e Middle De

    yment. The

    5,500 to 6,

    e organic-ric

    nt (TOC) in

    al maturity a

    ark Shale ha

    per Evie/Klua

    Sulfur Poin

    n shales are

    in the quant

    EIA/ARI W

    11

    an area of 4

    the Northwe

    ver Basin on

    oundaries ar

    bia and Alb

    was mapped

    ive Area)

    wa/Otter Par

    evonian Mus

    e drilling dep

    200 feet, a

    ch gross thic

    n the prosp

    averages 2.0

    as a moder

    a Shale, sep

    nt Formation

    shallower, t

    titative portio

    World Shale Ga

    4,290 mi2 i

    est Territorie

    n the west b

    re defined b

    berta border

    d to establis

    rk, is include

    skwa/Otter P

    pth to the top

    averaging 6,

    kness is 230

    pective area

    0% Ro, plac

    rately high q

    parated from

    ns, is thin,

    thin and/or l

    on of the Co

    s and Shale Oil

    n the extre

    es, Figure I-

    by the Slave

    y a thinning

    r. The dom

    sh the 2,000

    ed in the qu

    Park Shale i

    p of the Mus

    ,000 feet.

    0 feet, with a

    a is 2.5% fo

    cing the sha

    quartz conte

    m the overlyi

    Figure I-8.

    ow in organ

    ordova Emb

    Resource Asses

    me northea

    6. The Cor

    e Point Plat

    of the shale

    minant shale

    0-mi2 prospe

    uantitative po

    s the main s

    skwa Shale i

    The reserv

    a net thickne

    or the net s

    le in the dry

    ent, favorab

    ng Muskwa/

    The ove

    ics. These

    ayment reso

    ssment

    astern

    rdova

    tform.

    e and

    e gas

    ective

    ortion

    shale

    in the

    oir is

    ess of

    shale

    y gas

    le for

    /Otter

    rlying

    other

    ource

  • I

    J

    S

    . Canada

    June, 2013

    Figure I-6. Cordo

    Source: ARI, 2013.

    va Embayment (MDeMuskwa/Otter Parkepth

    k Shale) Outline an

    I-12

    nd Figu

    Source: ARI, 2

    EIA/ARI W

    ure I-7. Cordova Ean

    2013.

    World Shale Gas and

    Embayment - Musnd Prospective Ar

    d Shale Oil Resource

    skwa/Otter Park Srea

    e Assessment

    hale Isopach

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    2.3 R

    T

    approxim

    concentr

    mineralo

    resource

    2.4 C

    I

    shale ga

    Embaym

    Cordova

    Resource A

    The prospec

    mately 2,000

    ration of 68

    gy and oth

    e of 20 Tcf fo

    Comparison

    n mid-2010,

    as in-place a

    ment.4 In ear

    Embaymen

    Figure I-8.

    Assessmen

    ctive area o

    0 mi2. With

    Bcf/mi2 and

    her propertie

    or the Muskw

    n with Oth

    the Canadi

    and 30 to 6

    rly 2012, the

    t, a number

    I-

    . Cordova Em

    nt

    of the Cord

    hin this pros

    d a risked ga

    es, we estim

    wa/Otter Par

    er Resourc

    an Society o

    68 Tcf of m

    e BC Ministry

    which appe

    EIA/ARI W

    13

    mbayment Stra

    dova Emba

    spective are

    as in-place o

    mate a risk

    k Shale in th

    ce Assess

    of Unconven

    arketable (r

    y of Energy

    ears to have

    World Shale Ga

    atigraphic Col

    ayment’s M

    ea, the shale

    of 81 Tcf. B

    ked, technic

    he Cordova

    sments

    ntional Gas (

    recoverable)

    reported 20

    been based

    s and Shale Oil

    umn

    uskwa/Otter

    e has a mo

    Based on fa

    cally recove

    Embayment

    (CSUG) esti

    ) shale gas

    00 Tcf of ga

    d on the CSU

    Resource Asses

    r Park Sha

    oderate reso

    vorable rese

    erable shale

    t, Table I-2.

    mated 200 T

    for the Cor

    s in-place fo

    UG study.4

    ssment

    ale is

    ource

    ervoir

    e gas

    Tcf of

    rdova

    or the

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    2.5 R

    N

    drilled tw

    continge

    have for

    resource

    Recent Act

    Nexen has a

    wo vertical

    nt resource

    rmed a joint

    es on their 17

    ivity

    acquired an

    and two h

    of up to 5 T

    t venture to

    70,000-acre

    I-

    82,000-acre

    horizontal sh

    Tcf for its lea

    o develop th

    (gross) leas

    EIA/ARI W

    14

    e lease posit

    hale gas e

    ase position.

    he estimated

    se area.11

    World Shale Ga

    tion in the C

    exploration w10 PennWes

    d 5 to 7 Tc

    s and Shale Oil

    Cordova Emb

    wells. Nex

    st Exploratio

    cf of recove

    Resource Asses

    bayment and

    xen estimat

    on and Mitsu

    erable shale

    ssment

    d has

    tes a

    ubishi

    e gas

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    3. L

    3.1 G

    T

    9.3 Its e

    Horn Riv

    and the

    defined b

    T

    Besa Riv

    Basin. A

    Devonian

    equivalen

    11.13 Ba

    mapped

    LIARD BAS

    Geologic Se

    The Liard Ba

    astern borde

    ver Basin, Fi

    Yukon/Nort

    by structural

    Figur

    Source: Modif

    The dominan

    ver Shale, eq

    Additional, le

    n- and Miss

    nt) and the

    sed on still

    for the Lowe

    SIN

    etting

    asin covers a

    er is defined

    gure I-8. Its

    thwest Terri

    folding and

    re I-9. Liard B

    fied from Ross a

    nt shale gas

    quivalent to

    ess organica

    issippian-ag

    Upper Besa

    limited data

    er Besa Rive

    I-

    an area of 4

    d by the Bov

    s northern bo

    itories borde

    shale depos

    Basin (Lower B

    and Bustin, 2008

    formation in

    the Muskwa

    ally rich and

    ge shales, su

    a River Sha

    a on this sha

    er Shale in th

    EIA/ARI W

    15

    4,300 mi2 in

    vie Fault, w

    oundary is c

    er, and its

    sition.

    Besa River Sh

    .

    n the Liard B

    a/Otter Park

    d less prosp

    uch as the M

    ale (Exshaw

    ale play, a p

    he central po

    World Shale Ga

    northwester

    hich separa

    currently def

    western an

    hale) Outline a

    Basin is the

    k and Evie/K

    ective shale

    Middle Besa

    w/Banff equiv

    prospective a

    ortion of the

    s and Shale Oil

    rn British Co

    ates the Liar

    fined by the

    nd southern

    and Depth Map

    Middle Dev

    Klua shales i

    es exist in th

    a River Sha

    valent), Figu

    area of 3,3

    e basin, Figu

    Resource Asses

    olumbia, Fig

    rd Basin from

    British Colu

    boundaries

    p

    vonian-age L

    in the Horn

    he basin’s U

    le (Fort Sim

    ures I-1012 a

    300 mi2 has

    re I-12.3

    ssment

    ure I-

    m the

    umbia

    s are

    Lower

    River

    Upper

    mpson

    and I-

    been

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    Source: Lev

    Figu

    vson et al., Britis

    ure I-10. Liard

    h Columbia Min

    Figure I-

    I-

    d Basin Locatio

    istry of Energy,

    -11. Liard Bas

    EIA/ARI W

    16

    on, Cross-Sec

    Mines, and Petr

    sin Stratigraph

    World Shale Ga

    ction and Pros

    roleum Resource

    hic Cross-Sec

    s and Shale Oil

    spective Area

    es, 2009.

    ction

    Resource Asses

    a

    ssment

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    3.2 R

    T

    Drilling d

    feet, ave

    thickness

    prospect

    thermal m

    high ther

    geology

    River Sh

    clay.

    Figure I-1

    Source: M

    Reservoir P

    The Lower Be

    depths to the

    eraging abou

    s of 750 fee

    ive area, loc

    maturity of t

    rmal maturit

    of the Besa

    hale is quart

    12. Liard Basi

    Modified from Ros

    Properties

    esa River or

    e top of the

    ut 10,000 fe

    et and a ne

    cally up to 5

    the prospect

    ty, we estim

    River Shale

    tz-rich, with

    I-

    in (Lower Bes

    ss and Bustin, 2

    (Prospecti

    rganic-rich s

    formation i

    eet. The o

    et thickness

    5%, average

    tive area is

    mate the in-

    e is complex

    episodic int

    EIA/ARI W

    17

    sa River Shale

    006.

    ive Area).

    shale is the m

    n the prosp

    rganic-rich L

    s of 600 fee

    es 3.5% for t

    high, with a

    place shale

    x with numer

    tervals of do

    World Shale Ga

    e) Isopach and

    main shale g

    ective area

    Lower Besa

    et. Total or

    the net shal

    an average R

    gas has a

    rous faults a

    olomite and

    s and Shale Oil

    d Prospective

    gas target in

    range from

    a River sect

    rganic conte

    le interval in

    Ro of 3.8%.

    CO2 conte

    and thrusts.

    more perva

    Resource Asses

    Area

    n the Liard B

    6,600 to 13

    tion has a g

    ent (TOC) in

    nvestigated.

    Because o

    nt of 13%.

    The Lower

    asive interva

    ssment

    Basin.

    3,000

    gross

    n the

    The

    of the

    The

    Besa

    als of

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    3.3 R

    T

    Bcf/mi2.

    526 Tcf.

    estimate

    Table I-2

    3.4 R

    A

    area, est

    marketab

    foot later

    recovery

    N

    Tcf of p

    Questerr

    in the Be

    Resource A

    The Liard Ba

    Within the p

    Based on

    a risked, te

    2.

    Recent Act

    Apache has a

    timating 210

    ble gas). Ap

    ral and 6 fr

    of 3.1 Bcf.

    Nexen has a

    prospective

    re Energy Co

    esa River and

    Assessmen

    asin’s Lower

    prospective a

    n favorable

    echnically re

    ivity

    a 430,000 a

    0 Tcf of ne

    pache’s D-3

    rac stages,

    The well ha

    cquired a 12

    recoverable

    orp., two sm

    d Mattson sh

    I-

    nt

    r Besa Rive

    area of 3,30

    reservoir m

    ecoverable s

    acre lease po

    t gas in-pla

    34-K well, dr

    had a 30-d

    s a currently

    28,000-acre

    resource t

    mall Canadia

    hale/siltston

    EIA/ARI W

    18

    er Shale has

    0 mi2, the ris

    mineralogy b

    shale gas re

    osition in the

    ace and 54

    rilled to a ve

    day IP of 21

    y projected E

    (net) land p

    to its lease

    n operators,

    e intervals a

    World Shale Ga

    s a high res

    sked shale g

    but significa

    esource of

    e center of t

    Tcf of reco

    ertical depth

    1.3 MMcfd a

    EUR of near

    position in th

    area.10 Tr

    , have comp

    at the Beave

    s and Shale Oil

    source conc

    gas in-place

    nt structura

    158 Tcf for

    the Liard Ba

    overable raw

    h of 12,600 f

    and a 12 m

    rly 18 Bcf.7

    his basin, as

    ranseuro En

    pleted three

    er River Field

    Resource Asses

    centration of

    is approxim

    l complexity

    the Liard B

    asin’s prospe

    w gas (48 T

    feet with a 2

    month cumu

    ssigning up

    nergy Corp.

    exploration

    d.14

    ssment

    f 319

    mately

    y, we

    Basin,

    ective

    Tcf of

    2,900

    lative

    to 24

    . and

    wells

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    4. D

    4.1 G

    T

    The Mid

    predomin

    Phospha

    the west-

    Fig

    4.2 R

    T

    along the

    Drilling d

    Shale’s

    Mont

    ney

    M

    DOIG PHOS

    Geologic Se

    The Doig Pho

    dle Triassic

    nantly siltsto

    ate Formatio

    -central port

    gure I-13. Dep

    Reservoir P

    The Middle T

    e western e

    depth to the

    thickness ra

    JAF02054.CDR

    Foothill

    s

    Mont

    ney

    Lower Montney

    Upper Montney

    Doig Phosphate

    Doig

    Halfway

    Belloy

    Blac

    W

    odified from Tristone Sh

    SPHATE S

    etting

    osphate Sha

    Doig Phos

    one and sa

    n, a high or

    ion of the De

    position and S

    Properties

    Triassic Doi

    edge of the

    top of the

    anges from

    Swan

    Advanced MontneyWell Completion

    ck Marine Shale

    hale Gas Report Octobe

    I-

    HALE/DEE

    ale is located

    sphate Form

    and conten

    rganic-conte

    eep Basin.

    Stratigraphy of

    (Prospecti

    ig Phosphat

    e Deep Bas

    shale avera

    130 to 20

    an Lak

    e

    D

    S

    er 2008

    EIA/ARI W

    19

    EP BASIN

    d in the Dee

    mation serve

    nt Doig Res

    nt shale, ha

    f Doig Phosph

    ive Area)

    te Shale ha

    in that form

    ages 9,250

    00 feet, wit

    Dawson

    Siltstone, Sands and Shales

    World Shale Ga

    ep Basin of A

    es as the ba

    source Play

    as a prospec

    hate and Mont

    as a thick s

    ms the prosp

    feet. The o

    th a net th

    Conv

    s and Shale Oil

    Alberta and

    ase for the

    y, Figure I-

    ctive area of

    tney/Doig Res

    section of o

    pective area

    organic-rich

    ickness of

    ventional Sands

    Resource Asses

    British Colum

    more exten

    -13. The

    f 3,000 mi2 a

    source Plays

    rganic-rich s

    a, Figure I-

    Doig Phosp

    150 feet in

    Post-TriassicUnconformity

    E

    JAF028245.PPT

    ssment

    mbia.

    nsive,

    Doig

    along

    shale

    14.15,8

    phate

    n the

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    prospect

    gas/cond

    X-ray dif

    quartz w

    making t

    ive area. T

    densate wind

    ffraction of c

    ith minor to

    he formation

    Figure

    The average

    dow. The to

    cores taken

    moderate le

    n favorable f

    e I-14. Prospe

    Modified from W

    I-

    e thermal m

    otal organic

    from the Do

    evels of clay

    for hydraulic

    ective Area for

    Walsh, 2006.

    EIA/ARI W

    20

    maturity (Ro

    content (TO

    oig Phospha

    y and trace t

    fracturing.

    r the Doig Pho

    World Shale Ga

    o of 1.1%) p

    OC) is mode

    ate Formatio

    to minor amo

    osphate Shale

    s and Shale Oil

    places the s

    erate to high

    on show sig

    ounts of pyr

    e (Deep Basin)

    Resource Asses

    shale in the

    h, averaging

    gnificant leve

    rite and dolo

    )

    ssment

    e wet

    g 5%.

    els of

    omite,

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    4.3 R

    T

    the west

    east and

    of 67 Bc

    mineralo

    Doig Pho

    4.4 C

    In

    4.5 R

    T

    much of

    the Mont

    tested th

    The com

    Resource A

    The prospect

    by the Pha

    south. Wit

    cf per mi2 of

    gy, we estim

    osphate Sha

    Comparison

    n 2006, Wals

    Recent Act

    The Doig Ph

    the activity

    tney and Do

    e larger Doi

    pany plans t

    Assessmen

    tive area of

    nerozoic De

    hin the pros

    f wet gas an

    mate a riske

    ale.

    n with Oth

    sh estimated

    ivity

    hosphate Sh

    and apprais

    oig Resource

    ig interval w

    to target the

    I-

    nt

    the Doig Ph

    eformation F

    spective area

    nd a risked

    ed, technical

    er Resourc

    d a gas in-p

    hale reservo

    sal of the Do

    e plays. Pe

    with a vertica

    e Doig with a

    EIA/ARI W

    21

    hosphate Sh

    ault and by

    a, the shale

    resource in

    ly recoverab

    ce Assess

    place for the

    oir overlies t

    oig Phospha

    engrowth En

    al well in 201

    a horizontal w

    World Shale Ga

    hale is estim

    the pinch-o

    has a mode

    n-place of 10

    ble shale ga

    sments

    Doig Phosp

    the Montney

    ate is report

    nergy Corp,

    11 with a rep

    well in 2012

    s and Shale Oil

    mated at 3,00

    ut of the sha

    erate resour

    01 Tcf. Bas

    as resource

    phate Unit of

    y Resource

    ted as part o

    a small Can

    ported test r

    .8

    Resource Asses

    00 mi2, limite

    ales to the n

    rce concentr

    sed on favo

    of 25 Tcf fo

    f ~70 Tcf.15

    Play. As s

    of exploratio

    nadian prod

    rate of 750 M

    ssment

    ed on

    north,

    ration

    orable

    or the

    such,

    on for

    ducer,

    Mcfd.

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    5. M

    T

    These ar

    of dry an

    T

    as tight g

    Area Atla

    oil/conde

    from the

    assessm

    BC alon

    confirmin

    shale oil

    T

    plays of B

    of the Mo

    6. C

    T

    Norman

    been dri

    Northwes

    H

    wells on

    MGM En

    during th

    drill a ho

    the prosp

    this shale

    MONTNEY A

    The Deep Ba

    re multi-depo

    d wet gas in

    The Canadia

    gas sands. W

    as NEBC”,16

    ensate, Figu

    e shale res

    ment, we spe

    g the north

    ng this specu

    and gas ass

    To put the p

    British Colum

    ontney and D

    CANOL SHA

    The Canol Sh

    Wells, North

    lled to explo

    st Territories

    Husky Oil, ha

    its 300,000

    nergy Corp,

    he current wi

    rizontal well

    pectivity of th

    e play in the

    AND DOIG

    asin of Britis

    ositional, Tri

    n-place in co

    n National E

    Work by the

    shows that o

    re I-15. As

    source asse

    culated that

    hwestern ed

    ulation, we h

    sessment.)

    otential volu

    mbia into pe

    Doig Resour

    ALE

    hale is an em

    hwest Territo

    ore this sha

    s Geoscienc

    aving spent

    0-net acre le

    with 470,00

    inter explora

    in 2012 to t

    he Canol Sh

    assessmen

    I-

    G RESOUR

    sh Columbia

    iassic-age h

    onventional,

    Energy Board

    e BC Oil and

    only a very s

    such, we ha

    essment of

    t a shale-rich

    dge of the

    have exclud

    ume of tight

    rspective, th

    rce plays at

    merging sha

    ories. To da

    ale oil play.

    ce Office to b

    $376 millio

    ease area a

    0-net acres

    ation season

    est the prod

    hale is gaine

    nt of Canada

    EIA/ARI W

    22

    CE PLAYS

    a contains t

    ydrocarbon

    tight sand a

    d categorize

    Gas Comm

    small portion

    ave excluded

    Canada.

    h Montney a

    Deep Basin

    ed this area

    t gas resour

    he BC MEM

    450 Tcf and

    ale play loca

    ate, only seis

    Work is u

    better define

    n at the 20

    nd is planni

    in this reso

    n. MGM (wit

    ductivity of th

    ed from the a

    a’s shale gas

    World Shale Ga

    S (BRITISH

    the Montney

    accumulatio

    nd shale for

    es the Montn

    mission, in th

    n of the Mon

    d the Montn

    (In our pre

    area with hig

    n. Howeve

    a and resour

    rce in the M

    reports a ga

    d 200 Tcf res

    ted in the ce

    smic and a h

    underway o

    e this resourc

    11 land auc

    ing on comp

    ource play, p

    th Shell as i

    he Canol Sha

    above wells,

    s and oil reso

    s and Shale Oil

    H COLUMB

    y and Doig

    ons containin

    rmations.

    ney and Doig

    heir “Montne

    ntney Resou

    ney and Doig

    evious shal

    gher TOC va

    er, because

    rce volumes

    Montney and

    as in-place f

    spectively.8

    entral Macke

    handful of ve

    n a multi-ye

    ce.

    ction, has dr

    pleting three

    plans to drill

    ts partner) w

    ale play. 18 A

    , it would be

    ources.

    Resource Asses

    IA)

    Resource p

    ng large volu

    g Resource

    y Formation

    rce play con

    g Resource

    le gas reso

    alues may ex

    of lack of

    from our cu

    d Doig Reso

    for the BC po

    enzie Valley

    ertical wells

    ear study by

    rilled two ve

    e wells in 20

    one vertica

    withdrew pla

    As informatio

    timely to inc

    ssment

    plays.

    umes

    plays

    n Play

    ntains

    plays

    ource

    xist in

    data

    urrent

    ource

    ortion

    y near

    have

    y the

    ertical

    013.17

    al well

    ans to

    on on

    clude

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    Fig

    Source: B

    gure I-15. Mon

    C Oil and Gas C

    I-

    ntney Trend –

    Commission Mon

    EIA/ARI W

    23

    – Identified Ga

    ntney Formation

    World Shale Ga

    as Liquids/Oil

    Play Atlas NEB

    s and Shale Oil

    Distribution

    BC October 2012

    Resource Asses

    2.

    ssment

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    ALBER

    A

    including

    East and

    west-cen

    formation

    portion o

    T

    in the E

    Hydrocar

    the oil, w

    provided

    T

    minimum

    criterion

    study.

    independ

    gradients

    reservoir

    pressure

    each the

    T

    place, wi

    five basin

    the risked

    RTA

    Alberta holds

    g: (1) the Ba

    d West Shale

    ntral Alberta

    ns of the Co

    of the Doig P

    The study ha

    ERCB/AGS

    rbon Resou

    wet gas/con

    valuable da

    To maintain c

    m criterion of

    of >1.3% R

    Our study

    dently derive

    s, gas-oil ra

    r properties

    ed gradients

    rmal maturit

    The five Albe

    ith 200 Tcf a

    ns also cont

    d, technicall

    s a series o

    anff and Exs

    e Basin of w

    a; (4) the M

    olorado Grou

    Phosphate Sh

    as benefitted

    report ent

    rce Potentia

    ndensate an

    ata on key re

    consistency

    f 0.8% Ro fo

    Ro for the dry

    also expan

    ed estimates

    atios (as fu

    to each sha

    in their Albe

    ty (Ro) value

    erta basins a

    as the risked

    tain 140 billi

    y recoverab

    I-

    of significant

    shaw Shale

    west-central A

    Muskwa Sha

    up in southe

    hale play, di

    d greatly from

    titled, “Sum

    al”.19 This E

    nd dry gas

    eservoir prop

    with the ER

    or the volati

    y gas windo

    ded on the

    s of prospec

    unctions of

    ale play. (T

    erta resourc

    , independe

    assessed by

    d, technically

    on barrels o

    le shale oil r

    EIA/ARI W

    24

    t, organic-ri

    in the Alber

    Alberta; (3)

    ale in north

    ern Alberta.

    scussed pre

    m the in-dep

    mmary of A

    ERCB/AGS

    play areas

    perties such

    RCB/AGS stu

    ile/black oil

    ow, compare

    e analytical

    ctive areas a

    reservoir p

    The ERCB/A

    ce assessme

    ent of reservo

    y this study

    y recoverabl

    of risked sha

    resource, Ta

    World Shale Ga

    ch shale ga

    rta Basin; (2

    the Nordegg

    hwest Alber

    (In additio

    eviously.)

    pth and rigor

    Alberta’s Sh

    report helpe

    used by th

    as porosity

    udy for Alber

    window. H

    ed to the >1

    data in ER

    as well as o

    pressure an

    AGS assum

    ent and linke

    oir pressure

    contain 987

    e shale gas

    ale oil in-plac

    able I-4.

    s and Shale Oil

    as and shal

    2) the Duver

    g Shale in th

    rta; and (5

    on, Alberta h

    rous siltston

    hale- and

    ed define th

    his study.

    and net pay

    rta, our stud

    However, ou

    1.35% Ro in

    RCB/AGS’s

    our assignm

    nd temperat

    ed normal r

    ed a consta

    and depth.)

    7 Tcf of risk

    s resource, T

    ce, with 7.2

    Resource Asses

    le oil format

    rnay Shale i

    he Deep Bas

    ) the shale

    holds the ea

    e and shale

    Siltstone-Ho

    e boundarie

    This report

    y.

    dy used the s

    r study use

    n the ERCB/

    report with

    ments of pres

    ture), and

    rather than

    nt oil-gas ra

    )

    ked shale ga

    Table 1-3. T

    billion barre

    ssment

    tions,

    n the

    sin of

    e gas

    astern

    e data

    osted

    es for

    also

    same

    d the

    /AGS

    h our

    ssure

    other

    over-

    atio to

    as in-

    These

    els as

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    Resource

    Gas PhaGIP ConRisked GRisked R

    Physical Exten

    t Prospec

    Thicknes

    Depth (ft

    Reservoir 

    Prop

    ertie

    s Reservo

    Average ThermalClay Con

    S

    Basic

     Data B

    Depo

    Basic

     Data

    OIPRisRis

    Physical Exten

    t Pro

    Thi

    Dep

    Reservoir 

    Prop

    ertie

    s Res

    AveTheCla

    Resource

    Oil

    Ta

    Ta

    L

    Organically RichNet IntervalAverage

    asencentration (Bcf/mi2)GIP (Tcf)Recoverable (Tcf)

    ctive Area (mi2)

    ss (ft)

    t)

    ir Pressure

    TOC (wt. %) Maturity (% Ro)ntent

    Shale FormationGeologic Age

    Basin/Gross Area

    sitional Environment

    OrganiNet IntervaAverag

    Basin/Gross Ar

    Shale FormatioGeologic Age

    Depositional Enviro

    P Concentration (MMked OIP (B bbl)ked Recoverable (B

    ospective Area (mi2)

    ckness (ft)

    pth (ft)

    servoir Pressure

    erage TOC (wt. %)ermal Maturity (% Ry Content Phase

    able I-3. Shale

    able I-4. Shale

    Alberta Basin(28,700 mi2)

    Banff/ExshawL. Mississippian

    Marine10,500 13,00

    65 4515 41

    3,900 - 6,200 7,500 - 104,800 9,000

    Normal HighlyOverpre3.2% 3.4%

    0.90% 0.90%Medium Low

    Assoc. Gas Assoc. G1.2 12.05.1 109.10.3 13.1

    Alberta(28,70

    Banff/EL. Missi

    Ma10,

    cally Rich 61

    l 3,900 e 4,8

    No

    3.20.9

    MedO2100.

    rea

    oneonment

    Mbbl/mi2)

    B bbl)

    )

    Ro)

    I-

    Gas Reservoi

    e Oil Reservoir

    0 7,3506054

    0,500 10,500 - 13,800 13,80 11,880y

    ess.Highly

    Overpress. O% 3.4%% 1.15%

    LowGas Wet Gas

    47.41 244.1

    61.0

    East and West Shale Basi(50,500 mi2)Duvernay

    U. DevonianMarine

    a Basin00 mi2)Exshawissippian

    arine,500 13,0065 4515 41 - 6,200 7,500 - 1800 9,00

    rmal HighOverpre2% 3.4%90% 0.90%dium LowOil Oil2.5 7.10.5 64.2.32 3.85

    East an

    EIA/ARI W

    25

    ir Properties a

    r Properties a

    2,900 6,90070 8263 37

    800 - 16,400 5,200 - 8,20015,000 6,724Highly

    Overpress.Mod.

    Overpress.3.4% 11.0%1.50% 0.90%Low Low/Med.

    Dry Gas Assoc. Gas63.8 4.7

    129.5 16.238.8 1.3

    n

    00 7,3506054

    0,500 10,500 - 13,800 11,880ly ess.

    Highly Overpress

    % 3.4%% 1.15%w Low

    Condensat0.5

    2 2.65 0.16

    nd West Shale Basin(50,500 mi2)Duvernay

    U. DevonianMarine

    World Shale Ga

    and Resource

    and Resources

    4,000 1,572 631 2

    0 8,200 - 11,500 11,500 10,168 12,Mod.

    Overpress.Mo

    Overp11.0% 11.1.15% 1.3

    Low/Med. Low/Wet Gas Dry

    19.6 2239.2 167.8 4

    Deep Basin(26,200 mi2)

    North NordeggL. Jurassic

    Marine

    6,9008237

    800 5,200 - 8,2006,724

    s.Mod.

    Overpress.11.0%0.90%

    Low/Med.te Oil

    5.519.00.76

    n Deep (26,20

    North NL. Jur

    Mar

    s and Shale Oil

    es of Alberta

    s of Alberta

    500 12,50069 7029 25- 14,800 3,300 - 8,200 3,464 6,100od. press.

    Mod. Overpress. O

    .0% 3.2%35% 0.90%/Med. Low Gas Assoc. Gas2.1 4.66.6 29.04.1 2.9

    NW Alberta(33,000 m

    MuskwU. Devon

    Marine

    4,0007231

    8,200 - 11,500 3,310,168Mod.

    Overpress. O11.0%1.15%

    Low/Med.Condensate

    0.40.8

    0.03

    Basin0 mi2)

    Nordeggrassicrine

    Resource Asses

    Southern Alb(124,000

    Colorado Cretace

    Marin6,600 48,75112 52378 105

    ,900 - 8,200 5,000 - 14,602 6,90Mod.

    Overpress. Underp

    3.2% 2.4%1.10% 0.60Low Low/M

    Wet Gas Dry G34.2 20.9

    112.7 285.28.2 42.8

    a Areami2)waniane

    12,500 6,670 125 7

    300 - 8,200 3,900 6,100 4,6Mod.

    Overpress.Mo

    Overp3.2% 3.0.90% 1.1Low LoOil Cond6.4 040.0 22.00 0

    NW Alberta Area(33,000 mi2)

    MuskwaU. Devonian

    Marine

    ssment

    berta Basin0 mi2) Groupeousne503510,00000

    ress.

    %%

    Med.Gas9.68

    60012

    78 - 8,200602od. press.2%10%owensate

    0.72.4.12

    a

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    1. B

    1.1 G

    T

    portion o

    constrain

    erosiona

    boundary

    the Basa

    I-17.19 (T

    west cros

    Shale sh

    I-18.19

    1.2 R

    S

    units. Th

    a variety

    limestone

    upper an

    prospect

    in the we

    permeab

    In

    on the ea

    feet thick

    organic-r

    BASAL BAN

    Geologic Se

    The basal Ba

    of the Alber

    ned by the

    l edge. Its e

    y is the U.S.

    al Banff/Exsh

    The small d

    ss-section (E

    ows its strat

    Reservoir P

    Similar to the

    he upper and

    y of litholog

    e. The prim

    nd lower or

    ive area of t

    est) rather th

    bility and solu

    n the prospe

    ast to about

    k and the lo

    rich shale pa

    NFF AND E

    etting

    anff/Exshaw

    rta Basin, F

    Deformed

    eastern bou

    and Canad

    haw Shale h

    dry gas and

    E-E’) for the

    tigraphic equ

    Properties

    e Bakken Sh

    d lower units

    ies including

    ary reservoi

    rganic-rich s

    the basal Ba

    han over-pre

    ution gas.

    ective area,

    6,600 feet o

    ower shale

    ay averaging

    I-

    EXSHAW S

    Shale asses

    Figure I-16.1

    Belt and it

    ndary is the

    a border. W

    has a prospe

    wet gas are

    e Lower Miss

    uivalence to

    (Prospecti

    hale, the ba

    s are domina

    g calcareou

    r is the more

    shales units

    anff/Exshaw

    essured, and

    the drilling d

    on the west,

    unit has a

    g 15 feet.

    EIA/ARI W

    26

    SHALE/ AL

    ssed by this9 The wes

    ts northern

    Alberta and

    Within the lar

    ective area o

    eas were no

    sissippian an

    the Bakken

    ive Area)

    asal Banff/Ex

    ated by orga

    us sandstone

    e porous an

    s. However

    Shale is no

    d its middle

    depth to the

    averaging 4

    gross thickn

    World Shale Ga

    LBERTA BA

    s study is loc

    stern bound

    boundary

    d Saskatche

    rger 15,360-

    of 10,500 mi

    ot considere

    nd Upper De

    n Formation

    xshaw Shale

    anic-rich sha

    e and siltst

    d permeable

    r, compared

    ormally press

    unit appears

    top of the s

    4,800 feet. T

    ness of 10

    s and Shale Oil

    ASIN

    cated in the

    ary of this

    is defined

    ewan border

    -mi2 area of

    i2 for volatile

    ed prospect

    evonian Bas

    in the Willist

    e consists o

    ale. The mid

    tone, dolom

    e middle uni

    d to the Ba

    sured (with

    s to have co

    shale ranges

    The upper s

    to 40 feet,

    Resource Asses

    southern Al

    shale depo

    by the sub

    r and its sou

    shale depos

    e/black oil, F

    ive.) The ea

    sal Banff/Ex

    ton Basin, F

    of three rese

    ddle unit con

    itic siltstone

    it, sourced b

    akken Shale

    higher press

    onsiderably

    s from 3,300

    hale unit is 3

    providing a

    ssment

    lberta

    osit is

    b-crop

    thern

    sition,

    Figure

    ast to

    xshaw

    Figure

    ervoir

    ntains

    e and

    by the

    e, the

    sures

    lower

    0 feet

    3 to 5

    a net,

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    Figure

    Source:

    Figure

    Source:

    e I-16. Outline

    Modified from E

    e I-17. Prospe

    Modified from E

    I-

    e and Depth o

    ERCB/AGS Open

    ective Area for

    ERCB/AGS Ope

    EIA/ARI W

    27

    of Basal Banff

    n File Report 20

    r Basal Banff

    en File Report 20

    World Shale Ga

    and Exshaw S

    12-06, October 2

    and Exshaw S

    012-06, October

    s and Shale Oil

    Shale (Alberta

    2012.

    Shale (Alberta

    2012.

    Resource Asses

    a)

    a).

    ssment

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    Sour

    T

    lean to n

    middle u

    progress

    west. Ho

    thin and

    Shale ha

    larger pla

    1.3 R

    T

    depth an

    mi2 prosp

    million ba

    Figure I-18

    rce: ERCB/AGS

    The total orga

    nearly 17%.

    nit has muc

    sive increase

    owever, in th

    thus has be

    as a prospec

    ay area.

    Resource A

    The prospect

    nd thermal m

    pective area

    arrels of oil p

    8. Stratigraph

    S Open File Rep

    anic content

    The upper

    h lower TOC

    e from immat

    he western a

    een excluded

    ctive area for

    Assessmen

    tive area for

    maturity on th

    a for oil, the

    per mi2 plus

    I-

    hic Cross Sect

    port 2012-06, Oc

    t (TOC) in th

    and lower s

    C (lean to 3%

    ture (below

    area where

    d from the p

    r oil of 10,50

    nt

    the Basal B

    he east and

    basal Banff

    s moderate v

    EIA/ARI W

    28

    tion E-E’ of th

    ctober 2012.

    he prospectiv

    shale units h

    %). The the

    0.8% Ro) in

    the thermal

    prospective

    00 mi2 (0.8%

    Banff/Exshaw

    by shale thi

    f/Exshaw Sh

    volumes of a

    World Shale Ga

    he Basal Banff

    ve area ave

    have high T

    ermal matur

    the east to d

    maturity ex

    area. As su

    % to 1.0% Ro

    w Shale in th

    ickness on t

    hale has a re

    associated g

    s and Shale Oil

    f and Exshaw

    rages 3.2%

    OC values (

    rity (Ro) of th

    dry gas (ove

    xceeds 1.0%

    uch, the bas

    o) located in

    he Alberta B

    the west. W

    esource con

    as.

    Resource Asses

    Shale

    and ranges

    (3% to 17%

    he shale sho

    er 1.3% Ro) i

    % Ro, the sha

    sal Banff/Ex

    the center o

    Basin is limite

    Within the 10

    ncentration o

    ssment

    s from

    ), the

    ows a

    in the

    ale is

    xshaw

    of the

    ed by

    0,500-

    of 2.5

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    T

    of oil plu

    reservoir

    Basin, w

    and 0.3 T

    1.4 C

    T

    26,300 m

    Shale.19

    prospect

    1.5 R

    C

    southern

    Murphy O

    far, of th

    over 100

    C

    plans to

    area. W

    #15-21 w

    use of lo

    this shale

    The risked re

    us 5 Tcf of

    r properties

    we estimate a

    Tcf of assoc

    Comparison

    The ERCB/A

    million barre

    The ERC

    ive area and

    Recent Act

    Considerable

    Alberta sha

    Oil, have dri

    he 22 wells w

    B/D; the rem

    Crescent Poi

    drill addition

    While its early

    well targeting

    nger laterals

    e play.21

    esource in-pl

    associated

    that appear

    a risked, tec

    iated shale g

    n With Oth

    GS resource

    els and an u

    B/AGS stud

    d did not est

    ivity

    e leasing occ

    ale play. Si

    lled explorat

    with reporte

    mainder hav

    int drilled tw

    nal wells in t

    y exploration

    g the Exsha

    s, enhanced

    I-

    lace for the o

    natural gas

    to be less f

    chnically rec

    gas.

    her Resour

    e study, disc

    unrisked ga

    dy did not

    imate a riske

    curred for th

    nce then, a

    tion wells to

    ed productio

    ve rates of le

    wo exploratio

    he area.20 M

    n for this sh

    w Shale had

    stimulation

    EIA/ARI W

    29

    oil prospecti

    s. Based o

    favorable tha

    coverable re

    rce Assess

    cussed abov

    s in-place o

    use depth,

    ed recovera

    he basal Ba

    number of

    test the res

    n, only three

    ess than 50 B

    on wells into

    Murphy Oil h

    hale play has

    d an IP of 3

    and lower c

    World Shale Ga

    ive area is e

    on recent w

    an for the B

    esource of 0

    sments

    ve, calculate

    of 39.8 Tcf

    net pay o

    ble resource

    nff/Exshaw

    producers,

    source poten

    e wells hav

    B/D.

    o the Exsha

    has assembl

    s shown mix

    350 BOPD.

    costs to impr

    s and Shale Oil

    estimated at

    well perform

    Bakken Shal

    0.3 billion ba

    ed an unrisk

    for the bas

    r other crit

    e.

    Shale in 20

    such as Cre

    ntial in this s

    ve current pr

    aw Shale in

    led a 150,00

    xed results,

    Murphy Oil

    rove the eco

    Resource Asses

    10 billion ba

    ance as we

    e in the Wil

    arrels of sha

    ked oil in-pla

    sal Banff/Ex

    eria to defi

    010, sparking

    escent Poin

    shale oil play

    roducing rat

    n early 2012

    00 net acre

    Murphy’s re

    is examinin

    onomic viabi

    ssment

    arrels

    ell as

    liston

    ale oil

    ace of

    xshaw

    ine a

    g this

    t and

    y. So

    tes of

    2 with

    lease

    ecent

    g the

    lity of

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    2. D

    2.1 G

    T

    contains

    deposit i

    southern

    Platform.

    Shale is

    T

    Muskwa

    the Duve

    Duvernay

    organic-r

    2.2 R

    In

    7,500 fee

    area rang

    area, 54

    prospect

    T

    organica

    maturity

    the east

    oil prosp

    smaller d

    .

    DUVERNAY

    Geologic Se

    The East and

    the organic

    s defined by

    boundary b

    . Within thi

    23,450 mi2,

    The Upper a

    Shale in no

    ernay Shale

    y Shale grad

    rich shale in

    Reservoir P

    n the prospe

    et in the eas

    ges from 30

    net feet in

    ive area.

    The total org

    lly lean roc

    (Ro) of the s

    to dry gas (1

    pective area

    dry gas pros

    Y SHALE/E

    etting

    d West Shal

    ally rich Duv

    y the Deform

    by the Leduc

    is larger are

    primarily in

    and Middle

    orthwest Alb

    e is primari

    des from a

    the west, Fi

    Properties

    ective area,

    st to 16,400

    0 feet to ove

    the wet gas

    ganic carbon

    k using the

    shale increa

    1.3% to 2%

    in the east

    pective area

    I-

    EAST AND

    e Basin, cov

    vernay Shale

    med Belt, th

    c Shelf, and

    ea of shale

    the central a

    Devonian D

    berta and no

    ly an organ

    carbonate-ri

    igure I-21.19

    (Prospecti

    the drilling d

    feet in the w

    r 200 feet, w

    s/condensat

    n (TOC) in t

    e net to gro

    ases as the

    Ro) in the w

    t, a wet gas

    a in the west

    EIA/ARI W

    30

    WEST SHA

    vering an ar

    e, Figure I-1

    he northern

    d the eastern

    deposition,

    and western

    Duvernay S

    ortheast Briti

    nic-rich lime

    ich mudston

    ive Area)

    depth to the

    west. The g

    with an aver

    te prospectiv

    the prospec

    ss ratio, the

    shales deep

    west. As suc

    s/condensate

    t.

    World Shale Ga

    ALE BASIN

    rea of over 5

    9.19 The we

    boundary by

    n boundary

    the prospe

    portions of

    Shale is stra

    ish Columbi

    estone. In

    ne in the eas

    top of the D

    gross shale

    rage of 41 n

    ve area, an

    ctive area re

    e average T

    pen, from im

    ch, the Duve

    e prospectiv

    s and Shale Oil

    N

    50,000 mi2 in

    estern bound

    y the Peace

    by the Gros

    ective area f

    this basin, F

    atigraphic e

    a. In the E

    the West S

    st to an incr

    Duvernay Sh

    thickness in

    net feet in th

    d 63 net fee

    eaches 11%

    TOC is 3.4%

    mmature (be

    ernay Shale

    ve area in th

    Resource Asses

    n central Alb

    dary of this s

    e River Arch

    smont Carbo

    for the Duve

    Figure I-20.19

    equivalent to

    East Shale B

    Shale Basin

    reasingly po

    hale ranges

    n the prospe

    he oil prospe

    et in the dry

    %. Excluding

    %. The the

    low 0.8% R

    has an exte

    he center, a

    ssment

    berta,

    shale

    h, the

    onate

    ernay 9

    o the

    Basin,

    n, the

    orous,

    from

    ective

    ective

    y gas

    g the

    ermal

    o) on

    nsive

    and a

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    Source

    Source:

    Figure I-19.

    e: Modified from

    Figure I-20.

    Modified from E

    I-

    Outline and

    m ERCB/AGS Op

    Prospective

    ERCB/AGS Open

    EIA/ARI W

    31

    Depth of Duve

    pen File Report 2

    Area for Duve

    n File Report 20

    World Shale Ga

    ernay Shale (A

    2012-06, Octobe

    ernay Shale (A

    12-06, October 2

    s and Shale Oil

    Alberta)

    er 2012.

    Alberta)

    2012.

    Resource Asses

    ssment

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    2.3 R

    T

    23,250 m

    for oil, th

    associate

    Shale ha

    per mi2.

    concentr

    T

    estimated

    favorable

    we estim

    oil/conde

    Figur

    Source: E

    Resources

    The prospect

    mi2, limited o

    he Duvernay

    ed gas. W

    as resource

    Within the

    ration of 64 B

    The risked r

    d at 67 billi

    e reservoir p

    mate risked

    ensate and 1

    re I-21. Stratig

    ERCB/AGS Open

    Assessme

    tive area of

    on the east b

    y Shale has

    Within the 7,

    concentratio

    2,900-mi2 d

    Bcf/mi2.

    resource in

    on barrels o

    properties an

    d, technica

    33 Tcf of dr

    I-

    graphic Cross

    n File Report 20

    ent

    the Duvern

    by low therm

    s a resource

    350-mi2 we

    ons of 0.5 m

    dry gas pros

    -place in t

    of shale oil/

    nd analog in

    lly recovera

    ry and wet sh

    EIA/ARI W

    32

    s Section B-B’

    12-06, October

    ay Shale in

    mal maturity.

    e concentrat

    et gas/conde

    million barrel

    spective are

    he prospec

    /condensate

    formation fro

    able resour

    hale gas.

    World Shale Ga

    ’ of the Duvern

    2012.

    the East an

    Within the

    tion of 7.1

    ensate pros

    s of conden

    ea, the Duve

    ctive areas

    e and 483 T

    om U.S. sha

    rces of 4.

    s and Shale Oil

    nay Formation

    nd West Sh

    13,000-mi2

    million barre

    spective are

    nsate and 4

    ernay Shale

    of the Duv

    Tcf of shale

    ales such as

    0 billion b

    Resource Asses

    n

    ale Basin co

    prospective

    els of oi/mi2

    a, the Duve

    47 Bcf of we

    e has a reso

    vernay Sha

    gas. Base

    s the Eagle

    barrels of s

    ssment

    overs

    area 2 plus

    ernay

    et gas

    ource

    ale is

    ed on

    Ford,

    shale

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    2.4 R

    T

    billion sp

    by Canad

    the domi

    each hold

    M

    Hz wells

    operators

    vertical)

    In

    are most

    and Verm

    Recent Act

    The Duverna

    pent (in 2010

    dian Natura

    nant land po

    d over 100 m

    Much of the c

    plus one v

    s. Since the

    have been d

    EnCana r

    barrels pe

    Celtic’s be

    condensa

    n the Pembin

    t active. In t

    million are dr

    ivity

    ay Shale is

    0 and 2011)

    l Resources

    ositions. Tw

    mi2 of leases

    current activ

    vertical well

    e first Celtic

    drilled or are

    reports that i

    er day of con

    est Duverna

    ate.

    na area, En

    he Edson A

    rilling Duvern

    I-

    the current

    in auctions

    s (600+ mi2),

    welve additio

    s.

    vity is in the

    and Celtic w

    well in the D

    being drilled

    its Duvernay

    ndensate.

    ay well tested

    Cana with fo

    rea, where a

    nay Shale e

    EIA/ARI W

    33

    “hot” shale

    for leases.

    , EnCana (5

    onal compan

    Kaybob we

    with 7 Hz a

    Duvernay S

    d (mid-2012

    y well tested

    d at 5.8 Mcfd

    our Hz wells

    active leasin

    xplorations w

    World Shale Ga

    e play in We

    Athabasca

    580+ mi2) an

    nies, ranging

    et gas/conde

    and 5 vertica

    hale in 2010

    2).

    at 2.3 MMc

    d of wet gas

    s and Conoc

    ng is still und

    wells.

    s and Shale Oil

    estern Cana

    Oil (with 1,0

    nd Talisman

    g from Chev

    ensate area.

    al wells are

    0, a total of

    cfd of wet ga

    s plus 638 ba

    coPhillips wi

    derway, Ang

    Resource Asses

    ada with ove

    000 mi2) follo

    (560+ mi2)

    vron to Ener

    . EnCana w

    e the most a

    45 wells (Hz

    as and 1,632

    arrels per da

    th three Hz

    le Energy, C

    ssment

    er $2

    owed

    have

    rplus,

    with 8

    active

    z and

    2

    ay of

    wells

    CNRL

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    3. N

    3.1 G

    T

    Figure I-2

    Formatio

    carbonat

    area, wh

    Nordegg

    carbonat

    served a

    of the De

    NORDEGG

    Geologic Se

    The Nordegg

    22.19 The L

    on, shown b

    te-rich depo

    here the sh

    Shale is an

    tes as well a

    s a prolific s

    eep Basin.

    Source: M

    SHALE/DE

    etting.

    g Shale asse

    ower Jurass

    by the cros

    sition on the

    hale interval

    n organic-ric

    as siltstones

    source rock f

    Figure I-22.

    Modified from ER

    I-

    EEP BASIN

    essed in this

    sic Nordegg

    s-section o

    e south into

    l is sometim

    ch mudstone

    s and some

    for shallowe

    Outline and

    RCB/AGS Open

    EIA/ARI W

    34

    N.

    s study is lo

    Shale Mem

    n Figure I-2

    o a fine-grai

    mes referred

    e (shale) wh

    sandstone,

    r convention

    Depth of Nord

    File Report 2012

    World Shale Ga

    ocated within

    mber is locat

    23.19 The

    ned rock on

    d to as the

    ich also inc

    Figure 1-24

    nal hydrocar

    degg Shale (A

    2-06, October 2

    s and Shale Oil

    n the Deep

    ted at the ba

    Nordegg tra

    n the north.

    e Gordonda

    ludes cherty

    4.19 The No

    rbon reservo

    Alberta).

    012.

    Resource Asses

    Basin of Alb

    ase of the F

    ansitions fro

    In the nor

    ale Member

    y and phosp

    ordegg Shale

    oirs in this po

    ssment

    berta,

    Fernie

    om a

    rthern

    r, the

    phoric

    e has

    ortion

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    Source:

    Fig

    Source: ERC

    Figure I-23.

    Modified from E

    ure I-24. Stra

    B/AGS Open Fil

    I-

    . Prospective

    ERCB/AGS Open

    atigraphic Cros

    le Report 2012-0

    EIA/ARI W

    35

    e Area for Nord

    n File Report 20

    ss Section F-F

    06, October 201

    World Shale Ga

    degg Shale (A

    12-06, October 2

    F’ of the Nord

    2.

    s and Shale Oil

    Alberta)

    2012.

    egg Member

    Resource Asses

    ssment

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    3.2 R

    In

    from 3,3

    prospect

    gas/cond

    The shal

    high net

    T

    82 samp

    line with

    (Ro of 0.8

    and a dr

    suggests

    3.3 R

    W

    concentr

    gas and

    million ba

    area, the

    C

    estimated

    reservoir

    recovera

    Nordegg

    Reservoir P

    n the Nordeg

    300 feet in

    ive area of

    densate pros

    le thickness

    to gross rati

    The total org

    les from 16

    increasing d

    8% to 1.0%)

    ry gas area

    s that the No

    Resource A

    Within the 6

    ration of 5.6

    condensate

    arrels of oil

    e Nordegg S

    Combined, th

    d at 20 billio

    r properties

    ble resource

    Shale.

    Properties

    gg Shale pro

    the north-e

    12,400 mi2

    spective are

    in the overa

    o of about 0

    anic carbon

    wells. The

    depth. The

    ) on the nort

    (Ro >1.3) o

    ordegg Shale

    Assessmen

    6,900-mi2 o

    million barre

    prospective

    and 20 Bcf

    hale has a r

    he risked res

    on barrels of

    and analog

    es of 0.8 bil

    I-

    (Prospecti

    ospective ar

    east to abo2, the volatil

    ea is 4,000 m

    all prospect

    0.8.

    (TOC) in th

    thermal mat

    overall Nor

    h, a wet gas

    on the south

    e is over-pre

    nt.

    oil prospect

    els of oil per

    e area, the N

    f of wet gas

    esource con

    source in-pla

    f oil/condens

    information

    lion barrels

    EIA/ARI W

    36

    ive Area).

    rea, the drill

    out 15,000

    e/black oil

    mi2, and the

    ive area ran

    he prospecti

    turity (Ro) of

    rdegg Shale

    s/condensate

    h. While th

    essured.

    tive area,

    r mi2 plus as

    Nordegg Sha

    per mi2. W

    ncentration o

    ace for the p

    sate and 72

    n from U.S.

    of oil/conde

    World Shale Ga

    ing depth to

    feet in the

    prospective

    e dry gas pr

    nges from 50

    ive area is h

    f the shale in

    prospective

    e area in the

    he data are

    the Nordeg

    ssociated ga

    ale has a re

    Within the 1,

    of 22 Bcf/mi2

    prospective a

    Tcf of natur

    shales, we

    ensate and

    s and Shale Oil

    o the top of

    south. W

    area is 6,9

    rospective a

    0 feet to 15

    high, at ove

    ncreases to

    e area has a

    e center (Ro

    sparse, ind

    gg Shale h

    as. Within t

    esource conc

    500-mi2 dry2.

    area of the N

    ral gas. Bas

    estimate ri

    13 Tcf of na

    Resource Asses

    the shale ra

    Within the ov

    900 mi2, the

    rea is 1,500

    0 feet and h

    r 11%, base

    the southwe

    an oil prone

    of 1.0% to 1

    ustry inform

    has a reso

    he 4,000-mi

    centrations o

    y gas prospe

    Nordegg Sh

    sed on mod

    sked, techn

    atural gas fo

    ssment

    anges

    verall

    e wet

    0 mi2.

    has a

    ed on

    est in

    area

    1.3%)

    mation

    ource

    i2 wet

    of 0.4

    ective

    ale is

    derate

    nically

    or the

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    3.4 C

    T

    place of

    Shale.19

    ERCB/AG

    we judge

    moderate

    volatile/b

    3.5 R

    O

    Recently

    test wel

    moderate

    large lan

    active in

    produced

    well that

    Comparison

    The ERCB/A

    40,645 milli

    The in-plac

    GS study du

    e this resou

    ely over-pres

    black oil pros

    Recent Act

    Only a mode

    y, Anglo Can

    l (Sturgeon

    ely heavy, 2

    d position, w

    the Nordegg

    d 500 BOED

    had a 30-da

    n with Oth

    AGS resourc

    on barrels a

    ce resource

    ue to the foll

    rce area to

    ssured; and

    spective reso

    ivity

    st number o

    nadian drille

    n Lake 05-

    25o API oil.

    with 272 mi2

    g oil fairway

    D, with 80%

    ay initial prod

    I-

    er Resourc

    ce study, dis

    and an unris

    e values in

    owing: (1) g

    be only 50

    (3) we have

    ource area t

    of exploration

    ed a horizon

    -10-68-22W5

    Tallgrass E2 in the Nord

    has comple

    oil (42o API

    duction rate

    EIA/ARI W

    37

    ce Assess

    scussed abo

    sked mean g

    our study a

    iven the still

    0% de-risked

    e a significan

    han used in

    n wells have

    tal test well

    5) which p

    Energy has

    degg Shale.2

    eted one Nor

    ), during its

    of 78 barrels

    World Shale Ga

    sments

    ove, calculat

    gas in-place

    are different

    l emerging n

    d; (2) we fin

    ntly lower as

    the ERCB/A

    e been comp

    (Shane 07-

    produced n

    since acqui22 The litera

    rdegg Hz we

    initial flow t

    s of 32o API

    s and Shale Oil

    ted an unris

    e of 164 Tcf

    t than those

    nature of the

    nd the Nord

    ssociated ga

    AGS study.

    pleted in the

    -11-77-03W

    non-commerc

    ired Anglo C

    ature reports

    ell with a mu

    test and com

    oil.23

    Resource Asses

    sked mean o

    f for the Nor

    e reported in

    e Nordegg S

    egg Shale t

    as-oil ratio fo

    e Nordegg S

    W6) and a ve

    cial volume

    Canadian an

    s that a com

    ulti-stage frac

    mpleted a se

    ssment

    oil in-

    rdegg

    n the

    Shale,

    to be

    or the

    Shale.

    ertical

    es of

    nd its

    mpany

    c that

    econd

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    4. M

    4.1 G

    T

    Duvernay

    northeas

    Alberta a

    north, the

    Within th

    primarily

    T

    Beaverhi

    limestone

    MUSKWA S

    Geologic Se

    The Muskwa

    y Shale in c

    st British Co

    are the Albe

    e Peace Riv

    his larger de

    in the weste

    The Muskwa

    ill Lake Fo

    e deposited

    Source:

    SHALE/NO

    etting

    Shale depo

    central Alber

    lumbia, Figu

    erta/British C

    ver Arch on

    epositional a

    ern portion o

    a Shale is o

    rmation, Fig

    in a deep-w

    Figure I-25.

    ERCB/AGS Ope

    I-

    RTHWEST

    osition in no

    rta and the e

    ure I-25.19 T

    Columbia bo

    the south, a

    area, the Mu

    of the larger

    overlain by

    gure I-27.19

    water marine

    . Outline and

    en File Report 2

    EIA/ARI W

    38

    T ALBERTA

    orthwest Alb

    eastern cont

    The bounda

    order on the

    and the Gro

    uskwa Shale

    Muskwa Sh

    the Ft. Sim

    The Musk

    setting.

    Depth of Mus

    012-06, Octobe

    World Shale Ga

    A

    berta is the

    tinuation of

    aries of the

    e west, the

    osmont Carb

    e has a pros

    ale depositio

    mpson Shal

    kwa Shale

    skwa Shale (A

    r 2012.

    s and Shale Oil

    northern co

    Muskwa/Ott

    Muskwa Sh

    Alberta/NW

    bonate Platf

    spective are

    onal area, F

    le and is d

    is primarily

    lberta).

    Resource Asses

    ontinuation o

    ter Park Sha

    hale in north

    WT border o

    form on the

    ea of 19,100

    Figure I-26.19

    deposited on

    an organic

    ssment

    of the

    ale in

    hwest

    n the

    east.

    0 mi2,

    n the

    c-rich

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    Source:

    Figu

    Sou

    Figure I-26.

    ERCB/AGS Ope

    ure I-27. Strati

    rce: ERCB/AGS

    I-

    Prospective

    en File Report 2

    igraphic Cross

    S Open File Rep

    EIA/ARI W

    39

    e Area for Mus

    012-06, Octobe

    s Section C-C

    port 2012-06, Oc

    World Shale Ga

    skwa Shale (A

    r 2012.

    C’ of the Muskw

    ctober 2012.

    s and Shale Oil

    Alberta).

    wa Formation

    Resource Asses

    n

    ssment

  • I. Canada

    June, 2013

    4.2 R

    In

    3,300 fee

    from 33 f

    T

    TOC pay

    of 47 TO

    maturity

    thermally

    thermal m

    a wet gas

    4.3 R

    T

    approxim

    a resourc

    gas/cond

    of 1 millio

    T

    Tcf of sh

    River and

    of 2.1 bil

    4.4 C

    T

    place of

    Shale stu

    reported

    Muskwa

    the Mus

    associate

    Reservoir P

    n the prospe

    et in the no

    feet to nearly

    The total org

    y excluded b

    OC measure

    (Ro) of the s

    y mature for

    maturity, the

    s/condensat

    Resources

    The overall o

    mately 19,10

    ce concentra

    densate pros

    on barrels of

    The risked re

    hale gas. G

    d Cordova E

    lion barrels o

    Comparison

    The ERCB/A

    115,903 mil

    udy area in

    in the ERC

    Shale in NW

    kwa Shale

    ed gas-oil ra

    Properties

    ective area,

    rtheast to 8

    y 200 feet, w

    ganic conten

    by the net to

    ments from

    shale increas

    r wet gas a

    e Muskwa S

    te area on th

    Assessme

    oil and gas

    0 mi2. Withi

    ation of 6 m

    spective are

    f oil/condens

    esource in-p

    Given favora

    Embayment

    of shale oil/c

    n with Oth

    AGS resourc

    llion barrels

    NW Alberta

    CB/AGS stud

    W Alberta, w

    in this area

    atio for the sh

    I-4

    (Prospecti

    the drilling

    ,200 feet in

    with a high n

    nt (TOC) ran

    o gross pay

    5 wells prov

    ses with dep

    nd condens

    hale has an

    he northwest

    ent

    prospective

    in the oil pro

    million barrels

    a of 6,600 m

    sate per mi2

    place is estim

    able reservo

    shales, we

    condensate

    er Resourc

    ce study, dis

    and an unri

    a.19 The in-

    dy due to th

    we judge this

    a to be mod

    hale.

    EIA/ARI W

    40

    ive Area)

    depth to the

    the southw

    et to gross p

    nges from le

    ratio. Exclu

    vided an ave

    pth, ranging f

    sate (Ro of 1

    oil-prone ar

    t.

    area of the

    ospective are

    s of oil per m

    mi2, the Mus

    and 34 Bcf

    ma