welcome navy tropical information faqs climo/history 2012/13 season 2015 summary preparedness...
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WelcomeNavy Tropical InformationFAQsClimo/History2012/13 Season2015 SummaryPreparedness
2015 Annual Department/Tenant Command Hurricane
Preparedness
Duncan St - Sep 2004(looking south from front gate)
Tropical Warnings Issued for DOD
Staff CoordinationNational Hurricane CenterUS Fleet Forces Command2nd & 4th Fleet SORTIECNIC TC-CORsACFT HURREVAC
TC WarningsNHC-ATCFUpdated every 6 hoursText & graphics
AlertsTCFA
X
Y
100nm
{
Possible TCF between position X and Y in the next
24 hrs
Tropical Cyclone Conditions of Readiness (TC-CORs)(time until the forecast onset of destructive winds*)
COR V 96 hoursCOR IV 72 hoursCOR III 48 hoursCOR II 24 hoursCOR I 12 hours
Fleet Sortie Conditions
Charlie - Prepare to sortie within 48 hoursBravo - Expected sortie within 24 hoursAlpha - Commence sortie to sea
Aircraft Evacuation Status Reports(required at the following times)
72 hours48 hours24 hours12 hours
* Destructive winds are defined as sustained winds ≥ 50 KTS
KEY TO TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING GRAPHICSThe lines around a projected tropical cyclone track indicate the 34-knot, 50-knot, and 64-knot wind radii associated with the storm at a given point. The outermost line indicates the 34-knot radius; the next line indicates the 50-knot radius; and the inner line shows the 64-knot radius. Not all tropical cyclones will have peak central winds that reach the 50-knot or 64-knot threshold; as a result, weaker systems may not have a 50-knot or 64-knot wind radius. The size of the tropical cyclone’s forecast wind field will be indicated by the radius of each quadrant in the associated tropical cyclone warning message.
Tropical Cyclone Quick Reference Guide 2015
34
50
64
Fleet Weather Center - Norfolk, 9141 Third Ave, Norfolk VA 23511-2394Operations Watchfloor: 757-444-7750 (DSN 564-7750)
NIPR email: [email protected] SIPR email [email protected](Public) http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/fwc-n (PKI) https://nepoc.oceanography.navy.mil/portal/web/fwcn
(SIPR) http://nepoc.oceanography.navy.smil.mil/portal/web/fwcn
The shaded area outlined by a dashed line represents forecast uncertainty. This “cone” depicts the track and intensity forecast uncertainty for days 1 through 5 based on the National Hurricane Center’s five-year average forecast error. Statistical data indicates that the entire 5-day path of tropical storm force winds (winds > 34 knots) will occur within the cone about 70% of the time.
Past six-hourly tropical cyclone positions indicated in black.
Forecast tropical cyclone positions indicated in magenta.
Tropical Cyclone Quick Reference Guide 2015
Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Season: 01 June - 30 November East Pacific Tropical Cyclone Season: 15 May - 30 November
Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (TCFA)
Saffir-Simpson Scale Hurricane Destruction Potential
Category Sustained Wind Speed Damage (knots) ( mph)
1 64 - 82 74 - 95 Minimal2 83 - 95 96 - 110 Moderate3 96 - 112 111 - 129 Extensive4 113 - 136 130 - 156 Extreme5 > 137 > 157 Catastrophic
NOTE: Categories 3, 4, & 5 are considered MAJOR hurricanes
Stages of Tropical Cyclone Development
< 20 KTS
20 - 33 KTS
34 - 63 KTS
sustained winds≥ 64 KTS
Tropical Cyclones: Development Areas and Movement
2015 Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Names
AnaBillClaudetteDannyErikaFredGraceHenriIdaJoaquinKate
LarryMindyNicholasOdettePeterRoseSamTeresaVictorWanda
Fleet Weather Center - Norfolk, 9141 Third Ave, Norfolk VA 23511-2394Operations Watchfloor: 757-444-7750 (DSN 564-7750)
NIPR email: [email protected] SIPR email [email protected](Public) http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/fwc-n (PKI) https://nepoc.oceanography.navy.mil/portal/web/fwcn
(SIPR) http://nepoc.oceanography.navy.smil.mil/portal/web/fwcn
or
Numbered warningsbegin
Naming begins
Track Climatology
JUN JUL
AUG SEP
OCT NOV
Peak season: 10 SEP
GOMEX/CARIB water temps
Track Climatology
Tropical Cyclone History
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130
5
10
15
20
25
30
96
13
59 8 6 7
11 9 11
4
3
8
3
43
1
73 8 2
36
7
2
2 5
2
5 42
0
MAJOR HUR-RICANES
HURRICANES
NAMED STORMS
Average number of storms per season (1950 to 2000)
9.6 Tropical Storms5.9 Hurricanes2.3 Major Hurricanes
8
Ike
Hanna
Gustav
Fay
2012 season
9
2013 season
10
Colorado State SummaryApril 2014
“The tropical Atlantic has anomalously cooled over the past several months”
“it appears quite likely that an El Niño of at
least moderate strength will develop this summer and fall ”
Radford Blvd in front of Bldg 1500
Despite the quiet forecast, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one
hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They are reminded
to prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much or how little
activity is predicted.
April 2015 Tropical Cyclone Forecast
Average 2015 Forecast0
5
10
15
20
25
12.5 11
7
5
3.5
2
MAJOR HURRICANES
HURRICANES
NAMED STORMS
Source: Colorado State University
1992 – slow year
Do you remember this one?
New for 2014 from NHC
13
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
New for 2014 from NHC
14
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
EVACUATION
Voluntary* Issued by County EM/CO
- You will not be paid- May have to take leave
* Know your area! -Are you in a storm surge
area or flood plain?-Have a plan!
2 Types
Radford Blvd @ Sherman Cove
Mandatory County EM will
determine which areas will evacuate; usually coastal and low-lying areas.
Installation Commanding Officer determines for NAS Whiting Field
Evacuation Routes(Escambia)
Evacuation Routes(Santa Rosa)
Secure your home
Have a family pet plan
Even Renters need insurance
Be prepared BEFORE it’s an EMERGENCY!!
Develop a Family Plan
Create a Disaster Supply Kit
Have a place to go
Don’t get caught in a “PILEUP”
FAMILY DISASTER PLAN
* Have an out-of-state family or friendcontact point-
* Make a plan NOW for what to do withyour pets if you evacuate. - Most shelters/hotels do not allow pets!
* Prepare a disaster supply kit
* Use a NOAA weather radio. Rememberto check batteries!!
Radford Blvd @ Lake Fredrick
Safe haven designated for NAS Whiting Field is a 300 NM radius from MCLAS Albany (why 300?)
Designated safe haven location – Albany, Ga
POST STORM RETURN
* When all Clear is issued by ICO
* Bring essentials back with you(milk, cash, eggs, etc)
* Prepare for slow inflow returning
* Fuel up over 100 miles out; stop to top off frequently
* Be prepared to live without power for periods of time
Gulf Bch Hwy @ Snug Harbor
Disaster Supply Kit/Supplies
– Heavy duty trash bags– Bleach– Water purification tablets– Non-perishable food (pre-packaged or canned)– Manual can opener– Emergency / Camping equipment and fuel– Matches / Lighters– Portable Cooler– Rope / Duct tape– Tarp– Portable fire extinguisher– Pet carrier and supplies
Home Preparations (COR 3 – COR 1)
– Clean w/bleach then fill bathtubs with water– Set refrigerator to coldest settings– Freeze water in jugs– Fill fuel tanks (car, propane)– Begin boarding up house– Get extra cash– Place valuables in water tight bags / containers– Secure yard equipment (grills, swings, etc.)– Protect electronics
*Bag them*Move to interior locations off the floor if possible
Some Information Sources
www.bereadyescambia.com
www.bereadyescambia.com
www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
26
Communication
• AtHoc (power and NMCI permitting)• Email• Press Release through Escambia, Santa Rosa
and Okaloosa Co PIO• Information Line• Social Media (facebook, twitter)
Emergency Card (front)
NAS Whiting Field Emergency CardPhone numbers: NASWF UIC: 60508NASWF Information / Muster Line: 888-623-9484Emergency Manager: 850-623-7038NASWF CDO: 850-382-4966Fleet and Family Service Center: 850-623-7177Red Cross Emergency Service: 850-432-7601NFAAS Immediate Assistance: 877-414-5358TRICARE (Out of town non-emergency) 800-444-5445
NAS Whiting Field Emergency CardPhone numbers: NASWF UIC: 60508NASWF Information / Muster Line: 888-623-9484Emergency Manager: 850-623-7038NASWF CDO: 850-382-4966Fleet and Family Service Center: 850-623-7177Red Cross Emergency Service: 850-432-7601NFAAS Immediate Assistance: 877-414-5358TRICARE (Out of town non-emergency) 800-444-5445
Emergency Card (back)
NAS Whiting Field Emergency CardOnce you reach your safe haven/location following an
evacuation from a Natural/Man made Disaster or Terrorist attack, you must immediately report your status and whereabouts to one of the following (in this order):
1. Command POC; 2. NFAAS; 3. NASWF Muster Line
Contact your Chain of Command POC
POC is:
Command UIC:
Muster Tel #:
NFAAS website = www.navyfamily.navy .mil
NAS Whiting Field Emergency CardOnce you reach your safe haven/location following an
evacuation from a Natural/Man made Disaster or Terrorist attack, you must immediately report your status and whereabouts to one of the following (in this order):
1. Command POC; 2. NFAAS; 3. NASWF Muster Line
Contact your Chain of Command POC
POC is:
Command UIC:
Muster Tel #:
NFAAS website = www.navyfamily.navy .mil
Emergency Manager
NAS Whiting Field EM
ABHC Jeff Richardson(W) 623-7038
(C)(757)778-7954Jeffrey.l.richardson@navy
.mil