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NEIGHBORHOOD TRUST AND TOLERANCE IN POST-COMMUNIST COUNTRIES
Cynthia M. HorneWestern Washington University, Bellingham, Washington, USA
Abstract:
This paper explores changes in neighborhood trust and tolerance in four countries in
Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), starting with the 1989 transitions through more than two
decades of post-communist state-building. The study finds high and stable levels of trust in
neighborhoods over time, with post transition levels remaining robust by regional standards.
Moreover, the trust propensities in post-communist countries mirror those predicted in the
trust literature, with older respondents and more educated respondents indicating higher levels
of neighborhood trust, and respondents in small towns reporting higher levels of
neighborhood trust than residents of large cities. In contrast to the neighborhood trust trends,
tolerance for neighbors of a different race and a different religion remains low or declining.
Religious intolerance increased slightly across the post-communist region since 1989. While
there were some countries showing slight improvements in tolerance for neighbors of a
different race, overall levels of racial intolerance were comparatively high by regional
standards. Intolerance for neighbors who spoke another language showed mixed results, rising
in Romania and falling in Poland. In sum, while neighborhood trust was relatively strong,
religious, ethnic, and linguistic tolerance for neighbors was low or declining. The dueling
tendencies mirror differences in bonding and bridging trust. Building bridges between
different groups creates more generalized trust, while deepening existing bonds within a
group reinforces particularized trust networks. As such, we have some evidence of
maintaining or deepening neighborhood trust in the post-communist space, but lower levels of
bridging trust with remaining intolerance for neighbors who are different. Since both bonding
and bridging trust are seen as necessary to support strong civil societies, the empirics in this
paper raise some concerns regarding post-communist neighborhood trust and tolerance
dynamics in Central and Eastern Europe.
Keywords:
trust, tolerance, neighborhood, social networks
Introduction
A significant body of scholarship in the social sciences has documented positive
relationships between trust, tolerance, civil society and democracy.1 When early post-
communist studies revealed low levels of institutional and interpersonal trust in Central and
Eastern Europe (CEE) and the former Soviet Union, legacies of the secretive and oppressive
communist systems, scholars appropriately cautioned that these low trust environments might
adversely affect the strength of civil society and democratization efforts.2 While scholars have
looked at aspects of social trust and social capital in the post-communist space, little
scholarship has focused on an especially proximate locus of trust for citizens, namely the trust
and tolerance people have for their neighbors.3 This study engages this lacuna asking, what
are the neighborhood trust and tolerance trends in CEE, and have there been changes since the
start of the transition from communism?
Since there has been minimal scholarly engagement with communist and post-
communist neighborhood trust and tolerance dynamics, we do not have a solid empirical
sense if neighborhood trust has gone up or down in the post-communist period. There is
reason to believe it might have changed since 1989. Most countries in CEE engaged in
lustration measures designed to publicly disclose information found in the secret police files
about regime complicity and spying activities that abetted the communist regimes.4 These
lustration revelations and accompanying file access procedures have allowed citizens to find
out if their friends, colleagues and neighbors were spying on them. As such, it is possible that
neighborhood trust in the post-communist period has declined as a result of the revelations
about betrayal and complicity across CEE. It is also possible that neighborhood trust
dynamics have changed significantly over the past twenty-five years as a function of the
widespread changes in social and political structures in the period of post-communist state
(re)building. Finally, in addition to the aforementioned changes, it is possible that the post-1 Gabriel Almond and Sidney Verba, The Civic Culture: Political Attitudes and Democracy in 5 Nations, Sage Publications, New York, 1963; Seymour Martin Lipset, Some Social Requisites of Democracy: Economic Development and Political Legitimacy, in „The American Political Science Review”, vol. 53, no. 1, March 1959, p. 69-105; Robert Putnam, Making Democracy Work: Civic Traditions in Modern Italy, Princeton University Press, Princeton, 1993; Mark Warren, ed., Democracy and Trust, Cambridge University Press, New York, 1999; Eric Uslaner, The Moral Foundations of Trust, Cambridge University Press, New York, 2002. 2 János Kornai and Susan Rose-Ackerman, eds., Building a Trustworthy State in Post-Socialist Transition, Palgrave/Macmillan Press, New York, 2004; János Kornai, Bo Rothstein and Susan Rose-Ackerman, eds., Creating Social Trust in Post-Socialist Transition, Palgrave/Macmillan Press, New York, 2004.3 Gabriel Badescu and Eric Uslaner, Social Capital and the Transition to Democracy, Routledge, New York, 2003; Marc Morjé Howard, The Weakness of Civil Society in Post-Communist Europe, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2003; Piotr Sztompka, Trust: A Sociological Theory, Cambridge University Press, New York, 1999.4 Lavinia Stan, ed., Transitional Justice in Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union, Routledge Press, New York, 2009.
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communist region continues to look markedly different from other countries in the region, due
to legacies of oppression and betrayal. None of these changes are exclusive of the other, and
the lack of solid longitudinal empirics on neighborhood trust dynamics leaves all of them as
real possibilities.
To preview the main findings, despite all of the post-communist revelations of spying
and complicity with the regime, neighborhood trust levels remained stably high over the
transition and post-communist periods. However, levels of intolerance toward neighbors
increased in some cases or remained high in others. Racial, religious and ethno-linguistic
intolerance did not improve significantly in the post-communist period. Exploring these
micro-level, bounded trust and tolerance propensities, this study considers post-communist
neighborhood trends over time with potential implications for continued regional
democratization efforts.
Social trust and tolerance
In the Annual Review of Psychology, Sullivan and Transue provide an overview of
scholarship on the relationship between political tolerance, social trust and democracy. They
find that “robust democracies require citizens to tolerate others' efforts to participate in
politics, even if they promote unpopular views.”5 Lipset’s research highlighted the central role
of tolerance in support of democracy.6 As Lipset points out, deep cleavages in social
structures or political structures that create social divisions or isolate individuals and groups
can undermine the cross-cutting cleavages emblematic of strong democracies.7 Similarly,
Ingelhart and Welzel’s World Values Survey’s data found tolerance, trust and political
participation to be strongly associated with participatory democracy.8 Most saliently for this
paper, they asserted that democracy must be rooted at the societal level, not just the national
level, encouraging us to consider trust and tolerance in societal groupings such as
neighborhoods.
The findings associated with tolerance overlap with and reinforce the expected
relationships between social trust and democracy asserted by scholars such as Putnam,
5 J.L. Sullivan and J.E. Transue, The Psychological Underpinnings of Democracy: A Selective Review of Research on Political Tolerance, Interpersonal Trust, and Social Capital, in “Annual Review of Psychology”, vol. 50, February 1999, p. 625.6 Seymour Martin Lipset, The Social Requisites of Democracy Revisited: 1993 Presidential Address, in “American Sociological Review”, vol. 59, no. 1 February 1994, p.1-22.7 Ibidem.8 Ronald Ingelhart and Christian Welzel, Political Culture and Democracy: Analyzing Cross-Level Linkages, in “Comparative Politics” , vol. 36, no. 1, 2003, p. 61-79.
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Fukuyama, and Rothstein.9 Social trust is often called interpersonal trust and describes the
type of trusting relationships individuals have with each other. The trust between friends,
colleagues and neighbors can create bonds fostering social capital and supportive of
democratic consolidation.10 In general, there is a strong positive relationship asserted between
higher levels of interpersonal trust, stronger social capital networks, and more effective
government.11 Additionally, Ingelhart and Uslaner demonstrated that life satisfaction and
interpersonal trust were closely linked with stable democracy, suggesting the importance of
social trust to an array of desirable quality of life goals.12
Given the overlapping and mutually reinforcing nature of tolerance and trust in the
democratization literature, what type of trust-tolerance dynamics do we see in post-
communist countries at the neighborhood level? Circles of trust in one’s neighborhood affect
individuals on a daily level, either smoothing differences and promoting cooperation or
potentially exacerbating micro-aggressions and conflict. As such, neighborhood trust and
tolerance are salient and yet underexplored aspect of trust, meriting careful consideration. The
next section turns to some of the empirics available about these relationships in order to
explicate what types of neighborhood trust and tolerance dynamics we see over time in CEE.
Neighborhood Trust
The World Values Survey (WVS) asks a series of direct neighborhood trust questions,
as well as related questions about tolerance of different types of neighbors that I use for this
paper.13 WVS questions are administered in waves, with a given survey wave taking
approximately four years to complete. Therefore, year on year changes are not possible to
report, although broad trends over time are available for some countries. The graphs provided
in this paper will therefore report survey waves over time with the accompanying years over
9 Robert Putnam, Bowling Alone: The Collapse and Revival of American Community, Simon & Schuster, New York, 2000; Francis Fukuyama, Trust: The Social Virtues and the Creation of Prosperity, Free Press Paperbacks Book, New York, 1995; Bo Rothstein and Dietlind Stolle, The State and Social Capital: An Institutional Theory of Generalized Trust, in “Comparative Politics”, vol. 40, no. 4, 2008, p. 441-459.10 Piotr Sztompka, Trust, 1999.11 Robert Putnam, Making Democracy Work, 1993; Bo Rothstein, The Quality of Government: Corruption, Social Trust, and Inequality in International Perspective, University of Chicago Press, Chicago, 2011; Charles Tilly, Trust and Rule, Cambridge University Press, New York, 2005. 12 Ronald Ingelhart, Modernization and Post-Modernization: Cultural, Economic, and Political Change in 43 Societies, Princeton University Press, Princeton, 1997; Ronald Ingelhart, Trust, well-being and democracy, in Mark Warren, ed., Democracy and Trust, Cambridge University Press, New York, 1999, p. 88-120; Eric Uslaner, Corruption, Inequality and the Rule of Law: The Bulging Pocket Makes the Life Easy, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2008. 13 For the main website see World Values Survey http://www.worldvaluessurvey.org/wvs.jsp, (accessed 12.09.2017).
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which each set of surveys was administered. Not all countries are included in every survey
wave, for example there is very little data on the Czech Republic over time so it is not
included. Therefore, the data reported in this paper represent a best effort to capture changes
in neighborhood attitudes in several CEE countries over time, given data limitations.
Trust your neighborhood
The WVS asks individuals to assess how much they trust their neighborhood on a
scale of one to four with ‘1’ indicating ‘trust completely’ and ‘4’ reflecting ‘no trust at all.’14
Figure 1 presents a longitudinal comparison of reported levels of trust in neighborhoods over
time in Hungary, Poland, Bulgaria and Romania using the integrated longitudinal aggregate
data from the World Values Survey.15 The survey data spans several WVS waves, covering
the period 1989-2009, which helps in capturing a rough snapshot of communist and post-
communist trust levels. No data is available for Hungary and Bulgaria in the 2010-2014
survey wave, hence no values are plotted for that time period.
First, there is a steady clustering of neighborhood trust levels across the region over
time. Although there is variation between the countries, they group together fairly tightly over
the twenty years of available data. Second, Poland started out as a trust outlier, with
significantly higher levels of neighborhood trust in the first available survey wave, but its trust
levels gradually declined and are squarely situated within the regional norm by the end of
2009. In general, trust levels remain fairly consistent over the transition period, suggesting
small changes if any in neighborhood trust in the immediate post-communist periods. In other
words, despite the possibility of major changes as a function of lustration and public
disclosures of the past or as a function of larger socio-economic changes seen during the
transition, levels of neighborhood trust have remained durably consistent.
14 The exact wording of the question is: “I‘d like to ask you how much you trust people from various groups. Could you tell me for each whether you trust people from this group completely, somewhat, not very much or not at all?: Your neighborhood”. This is question V126 in the 2005/2009 survey wave and question V103 in the 2010/2014 survey wave. Note—the longitudinal aggregate presents a different trust in neighborhood measure as compared to the individual survey waves. This is done to provide more cross-national and longitudinal continuity in figures. Therefore, the values presented here will look slightly different from the values presented in the individual waves. See WORLD VALUES SURVEY 1981-2014 LONGITUDINAL AGGREGATE v.20150418. World Values Survey Association (www.worldvaluessurvey.org). Aggregate File Producer: JDSystems, Madrid SPAIN. 15 I chose these countries because they had the most complete time series data.
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1989-1993 1994-1998 1999-2004 2005-200910%15%20%25%30%35%40%
Figure 1: Trust in Neighborhood (WVS Question G007_18_B-integrated longitudinal
Bulgaria Hungary Poland Romania
World Value Survey Waves
% tr
ust i
n ne
ighb
orho
od
Table 1 disaggregates the survey responses regarding trust in neighborhood to have a
better snapshot of how individuals responded in each country using only the disaggregated
survey responses from the WVS 5 (2005-2009). 16 Hungary registered the highest levels of
trust in neighborhoods, with Romania and Poland having lower levels of trust in
neighborhoods by comparison. If one combines responses from ‘trust completely’ and ‘trust
somewhat’, Poland’s relative position is more on par with regional norms. More than 80% of
Hungarian respondents said they trusted their neighborhoods, as compared to 75% of Poles,
and 74% of Bulgarians. Romania’s neighborhood trust levels were the lowest of this sample,
with less than 50% of Romanians responding that they trusted their neighborhoods.
These figures suggest generally high levels of neighborhood trust, especially when
compared with regional interpersonal trust measures: in other words, measures of how much
trust individuals have for others in general. For example, interpersonal trust measures in the
2005/2009 survey showed 21% of Bulgarians, 27% of Hungarians, and 26% of Poles said that
“most people can be trusted.”17 In contrast, neighborhood trust measures were almost three
times as high as general social trust measures. Even the Romanian figures for trust in
neighborhood were quite high by comparison. Romania’s interpersonal trust level was 31% in
the 2005/2009 survey, but its neighborhood trust was more than 50%, suggesting people in
16 Note, this is drawn from the individual WVS Wave 5 data, hence the scores reported are slightly different from the aggregate longitudinal dataset in which scores are normalized across the country samples. This holds true for the WVS Wave 6 data also reported here. WORLD VALUES SURVEY Wave 6 2010-2014 and Wave 5 2005-2009. OFFICIAL AGGREGATE v.20150418. World Values Survey Association (www.worldvaluessurvey.org). Aggregate File Producer: Asep/JDS, Madrid SPAIN. 17 See WVS 1981-2014 time series data, Question A165.
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Romania have more trust for people in their immediate neighborhood environment than
people in general. This contextualizes the Romanian trust figure, showing that even
Romania’s neighborhood trust levels are strong by regional standards of social trust.
Table 1: Trust Your Neighborhood (WVS Wave 5: 2005-2009)
WVS-Question V126--% of total responses reported
Bulgaria Hungary Poland Romania
Trust completely 18.3% 30.7% 9.0% 8.3%
Somewhat 55.1% 50.7% 66.0% 40.6%
Not very much 22.0% 14.1% 20.4% 38.9%
No trust at all 3.2% 3.6% 4.1% 10.8%
No answer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7%
Don´t know 1.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.8%
total number of responses in sample 1,001 1,007 1000 1,776
Of the post-communist countries, only Poland and Romania were surveyed on
neighborhood trust attitudes in WVS wave 5 (2005-2009) and 6 (2010-2014). Table 2
provides comparative data on trust in neighborhoods over these periods to facilitate a closer
look at trends in Romania and engage the most recent survey data. Levels of neighborhood
trust in Poland remained stably high, with approximately 75% of individuals polled reporting
they ‘trusted completely’ or ‘somewhat’ their neighborhood in both time periods. Since these
two time periods together cover almost a decade, this suggests a fairly stable level of trust and
distrust in Poland. By comparison, over the same decade, levels of trust in Romania declined
slightly and levels of distrust increased. 50% of Romanians polled said they did not trust their
neighborhood in 2005-2009, increasing to 56% in 2010-2014. This is a small but noticeable
change in Romania. The next section explores some demographic factors that could provide
more nuance to our understanding of neighborhood trust in these countries.
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Table 2: Trust: Your neighborhood (% respondents)WVS survey year-Waves 5 and 6
2005-2009 2010-2014
Poland
Trust completely 9% 8%
Trust somewhat 66% 65%
Do not trust very much 20% 18%
Do not trust at all 4% 4%
No answer 0 0
Don´t know 1% 3%
(N-total sample) 1,000 966
Romania
Trust completely 8% 9%
Trust somewhat 41% 34%
Do not trust very much 39% 43%
Do not trust at all 11% 13%
No answer 1% 0
Don´t know 1% 1%
(N-total sample) 1,776 1,503
Demographic considerations and neighborhood trust
Bulgaria, Poland, Hungary and Romania were polled in the 2005-2009 survey wave,
allowing for an examination of some of the possible ways that demographic variables, such as
level of age, education, and rural/urban divisions, might affect attitudes toward neighborhood
trust.
Age
There is evidence in the trust literature that older respondents tend to be more trusting
than younger ones.18 Table 3 presents figures for trust propensities broken down by age group
to see if there are similar age-trust relationships in the post-communist space. In all four
countries, older citizens have more neighborhood trust than younger respondents. In Poland,
Hungary and Bulgaria there were large differences in neighborhood trust registered between
people younger than 29 and people older than 50. For example, while approximately 13% of
respondents 50 or older in Poland said they trusted their neighborhood completely, only 5.4%
18 For example, Matthias Sutter and Martin Kocher, Trust and Trustworthiness Across Different Age Groups, in “Games and Economic Behavior”, vol. 59, no. 2, 2007, p. 364-382.
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of those under 30 said they trusted their neighborhood. In Bulgaria the gap was also large with
older respondents trusting their neighborhood at more than twice the rate of younger
respondents. Moreover, a high percentage of the young across all four countries said they did
not have much trust or had no trust at all: approximately 27% in Hungary, 31% in Poland,
58% in Romania and 32% in Bulgaria. The trust differences in this cross-national sample
remain consistent with expectations that older respondents are generally more trusting than
younger respondents.
Table 3: Trust your Neighborhood by Age Groups (WVS Wave 5: 2005-
2009)
Poland Hungary
Age
age
<29 30-49 50+ Age
age
<29 30-49 50+
Trust
completely 5.4% 7.2% 12.9%
Trust
completely 22.8% 27.5% 36.8%
Somewhat 62.5% 71.2% 63.3% Somewhat 47.8% 54.9% 48.7%
Not very much 24.0% 18.8% 19.6% Not very much 21.8% 14.4% 10.4%
No trust at all 7.1% 2.5% 3.6% No trust at all 5.3% 1.9% 4.1%
Romania Bulgaria
Age
age
<29 30-49 50+ Age
age
<29 30-49 50+
Trust
completely 7.5% 7.1% 9.4%
Trust
completely 16.7% 12.9% 23.4%
Somewhat 32.2% 36.9% 46.2% Somewhat 49.0% 56.1% 57.0%
Not very much 43.6% 42.5% 34.5% Not very much 25.8% 27.4% 15.9%
No trust at all 14.7% 12.2% 8.4% No trust at all 6.1% 2.9% 2.3%
Rural/Urban
One might expect smaller towns to have higher levels of neighborhood trust and larger
cities to have less neighborhood trust for reasons associated with overall population size,
density of social interactions, permanency of residents, and crime rates, to name a few. Table
4 presents trust breakdowns by the size of the town, with five population sizes presented for
comparison. As to be expected, in general there was more trust in neighborhoods in very
8
small towns and lower trust in more urban areas, with the smallest trust levels in the largest
cities for which data was available. In some of the cases the trust differences were quite
marked, as was the case for Poland and Romania.
For example, only 1.7% of respondents in large cities in Poland said they trusted
completely their neighbors as compared to 16.4% of Poles living in very small towns. Distrust
levels were noticeably higher in larger cities in Romania than smaller towns, with more than
50% of Romanians saying they didn’t trust much or at all their neighborhoods in large cities.
However, more than 60% of Romanians in small towns said they did trust their neighborhood,
highlighting the manner in which town size can affect the way we interpret national trust data.
Table 4: Trust your Neighborhood by Town Size (WVS
Wave 5: 2005-2009)
pop size
2000-
5000
10,000-
20,000
50,000-
100,00
0
100.000
-
500,000 > 500,000
Poland
Trust completely
16.4
% 9.9% 9.2% 5.0% 1.7%
Somewhat
61.2
% 74.8% 65.1% 69.1% 63.3%
Not very much
17.5
% 13.8% 19.9% 20.3% 29.4%
No trust at all 5.0% 1.6% 5.7% 4.1% 4.8%
Romania
Trust completely
11.6
% 12.5% 6.0% 4.8% N/A
Somewhat
50.2
% 47.9% 41.4% 29.8% N/A
Not very much
28.8
% 33.3% 45.1% 47.9% N/A
No trust at all 6.4% 6.2% 7.5% 15.4% N/A
BulgariaTrust completely 24.5 20.0% 27.9% 13.5% 12.1%
9
%
Somewhat
54.1
% 50.2% 42.5% 50.4% 58.0%
Not very much
18.8
% 20.2% 27.2% 29.3% 21.5%
No trust at all 2.6% 9.5% 1.6% 5.2% 5.6%
Hungary
Trust completely
38.6
% 23.0% 25.3% 20.0% 22.8%
Somewhat
40.1
% 61.5% 56.1% 50.4% 58.7%
Not very much
13.0
% 14.1% 15.1% 20.4% 14.4%
No trust at all 7.2% 1.4% 2.2% 3.3% 2.9%
That said, when one looked at mid-size towns, there wasn’t as much variation. For
example, approximately 65-75% of Bulgarians said they trusted completely or somewhat
people in their neighborhood in towns ranging from 10,000-500,000 in population. While
there are trust differences to be sure based on the size of the city, the largest differences were
between very small towns and large cities. These urban/rural trust in neighborhood trends
appear consistent with expectations, suggesting that the post-communist experience fits within
propensities generally noted in the trust literature.
Education level
Research on trust has shown that one’s level of education affects trust, with more
educated people more likely to trust others, although mitigating factors can condition these
expected relationships.19 Figure 2 presents WVS data on trust in neighborhood by education
level, and Figure 3 reports distrust in neighborhood by education level. Distrust and trust are
aggregated figures, with trust representing the sum of the percentage of individuals who said
they ‘trusted completely’ or ‘somewhat’ and distrust representing the sum of the percentage
of individuals who said they ‘did not trust very much’ or ‘did not trust at all’ in order to
capture all responses. 19 For example, see Marc Hooghe, Sofie Marien and Thomas de Vroome, The cognitive basis of trust. The relation between education, cognitive ability, and generalized and political trust, in “Intelligence”, vol. 40, issue 6, 2012, p. 604-613; Francesca Borgonovi, The relationship between education and levels of trust and tolerance in Europe, in “The British Journal of Sociology”, vol. 63, issue 1, 2012, p. 146-167.
10
As Figure 2 demonstrates, there was a slight difference in reported trust among the
most highly educated people versus individuals with little formal education. However, in
Romania, the most educated respondents were the least trusting and those who completed
only primary school were the most trusting, with trust decreasing by education level. In
Hungary, the most and the least educated shared similar neighborhood trust numbers, with
more variation seen across the middle education levels. Illustrated in Figure 3, Hungary’s
distrust levels looked fairly consistent across education levels. In sum, while education does
appear to have an impact on neighborhood trust, it is not an overwhelmingly important
indicator of trust or distrust in neighborhoods in the post-communist sample.
Poland Romania Bulgaria Hungary0.0%
50.0%100.0%150.0%200.0%250.0%300.0%350.0%400.0%450.0%500.0%
75.2%61.3%
78.1%
84.9%
79.7%47.5%
71.2%
82.5%
72.5% 42.7%
67.9%
79.8%
71.2%41.8%
88.7%
64.5%80.8%
36.8%
72.8%
86.6%
57.2% 80.3%0.0%
Figure 2: Percentage people say can trust neighborhood: By education level (WVS 2005-2009)
no formal primary school technical/ vocationalsecondary school some university completed university
11
Poland Romania Bulgaria Hungary0.0%
50.0%
100.0%
150.0%
200.0%
250.0%
300.0%
350.0%
24.7%
38.7%22.0%
14.6%20.3%
50.7%
27.9%
16.7%
27.5%
56.0%
30.0%
19.8%
25.7%
56.7%
11.3%
32.7%
16.5%
61.8%
25.6%
10.7%
35.7% 26.2%
Figure 3: Percentage people say cannot trust neighborhood: By education level (WVS 2005-2009)
no formal primary school technical/ vocationalsecondary school some university completed university
In sum, the cross-national comparisons present us with some empirics on post-
communist neighborhood trust propensities. First, neighborhood trust levels have fluctuated
some since the transition, but remain high and regionally clustered as of the latest WVS
survey. In particular, there are no regional laggards that might raise red flags as we consider
possible implications of neighborhood trust on civil society and democracy. Given the
possibility that public disclosures of past regime complicity or revelations of spying by
neighbors on neighbors might have undermined neighborhood trust, this is a positive
finding.20
Second, demographic variables comport with our expectations based on the trust
literature. Younger people are less trusting than older people, and people in small towns are
more trusting of their neighborhoods than people in large cities. More educated people are
slightly more trusting than less educated people. In a word, these demographic differences
suggest that there is nothing particularly unusual about the neighborhood trust propensities
seen in CEE. Since this paper is motivated by empirically ascertaining if the trajectories in
post-communist states are situated in what we know about trust, this is good news.
Communist legacies do not seem to have irreparably scarred neighborhood trust propensities
in CEE as feared by some scholars. The next section turns to questions of tolerance, as
tolerance is hypothesized to also be a foundational component of robust democracies.
20 Cynthia M. Horne, Lustration, Transitional Justice and Social Trust in Post-Communist Countries. Repairing or Wresting the Ties that Bind?, in “Europe-Asia Studies”, vol. 66, issue 2, 2014, p. 225-254.
12
Neighborhood Tolerance
Tolerance toward others is considered vital to support robust civil societies and strong
democracies. The WVS includes questions addressing attitudes towards neighbors that
capture some aspects of tolerance and inclusion. For example, the WVS asks: “On this list
are various groups of people. Could you please mention any that you would not like to have
as neighbors?”21 Possible responses include: people of a different race, people who speak a
different language, people of a different religion, and people who are former criminals. I
present data on some of these responses to illustrate tolerance as another important dimension
of neighborhood level interpersonal dynamics.
Different religion
Figure 4 presents a cross-national comparison of the responses “would not like to have
neighbors of a different religion”, covering both communist and post-communist periods.22
Figure 4 also includes data on Germany and Spain in order to contextualize the post-
communist countries within the broader European experience. Data is not available for all
countries in the 1981-1984 wave, so only a subset of the countries was included.
First, there is remarkable comportment across the countries. The post-communist
experiences track so closely that individual country trends are at times visually obscured on
the graph. By the 2005-2009 survey wave, there was a clustering of responses across all of the
countries, including Germany and Spain.23
Second, in Romania, Bulgaria and Hungary, there was a small but clear rise in
intolerance for people of other religions. In 1989-1993, approximately 8-9% of Bulgarians,
Hungarians and Romanians said they would rather not have neighbors of other religions, but
by 2005-2009 that figure rose to 14-18%. This brought those countries in line with Poland,
which had a communist and post-communist figure at approximately 14-15%. Therefore, the
general level of religious intolerance in the region has risen slightly, hovering at
approximately 15% of the population. Compared to Germany this is low, since Germany has a
reported rate of 24%. Nonetheless, over the past twenty-five years there is a slight increase in 21 There are other more typical responses, such as heavy drinkers and drug addicts. There are also responses focused on specific ethnic groups, such as Jews and Muslims. I chose more broad categories that might apply to societal tolerance of difference. 22 There are various question equivalents by WVS wave: 1995/1999: Question V56_03; 2000/2004: Question V77_03; 2005/2009: Question V39; and 2010/2013: Question V41. The data presented here are from the longitudinal integrated dataset. 23 Germany, Bulgaria, and Hungary were not included in the 2010/2014 survey wave so there is no data available to compare over a longer time period.
13
regional levels of religious intolerance. The post-communist religious tolerance levels look
like their regional counterparts, albeit showing rising intolerance.
1981-1984 1989-1993 1994-1998 1999-2004 2005-20095%
10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%
Figure 4: Rather not have neighbors of different religion (WVS longitudinal data)
Bulgaria Germany HungaryPoland Romania Spain
World Value Survey Wave Years
% p
eopl
e sa
y do
nt' w
ant n
eigh
bors
of d
iffer
ent
relig
ion
Different race
The WVS also asks people how they feel about neighbors of another race: “On this
list are various groups of people. Could you please mention any that you would not like to
have as neighbors?-- People of a different race.”24 As with the previous analysis, I plot a
comparison of attitudes in four post-communist countries over time, comparing them to
Germany and Spain. As Figure 5 demonstrates, there is a clustering of responses across the
region, although there is more variation in responses than that seen with respect to the
religious tolerance question.
First, we see generally higher levels of racial intolerance before the political
transitions, with levels of racial intolerance generally declining in the post-communist period.
Although data is not available for all countries for the most recent 2010-2014 period, Poland
registered its lowest rate ever, putting it on par with Spain and at one-third the rate in
Germany. Therefore, although the post-communist countries registered high levels of racial
intolerance by regional comparisons, there was evidence of improvement over time.
24 The number of the question changes in the various WVS waves. 1981/1984: Question V52; 1990/1994: Question V70; 1995/1999 Question V52; 2000/2004 Question V69; and 2005/2009 Question V35.
14
The positive trends notwithstanding, the post-communist countries registered
significantly more racial intolerance than Spain and Germany. In Spain, responses hovered at
the 5% level for the last decade, with Germany’s also averaging at this level, spiking up some
in the 2010-2014 survey. By comparison, Bulgaria’s average level of racial intolerance was
22% in the post-communist period, with Poland’s at 16% for the period from 1994-2009. This
suggests a noticeably higher overall level of racial intolerance among the post-communist
countries, albeit with some improvements over time.
1989-1993 1994-1998 1999-2004 2005-2009 2010-20140
10
20
30
40
50
39
17
2820
11 114 6
1523
19
0
12
28 3024
1823
Figure 5: Rather not have neighbors of a different raceWVS Integrated Data-Question A124_02
Bulgaria Germany HungaryPoland Romania Spain
World Value Survey Waves by Year
% re
spon
d w
oul d
not w
ant n
eigh
br o
f dif-
fere
nt ra
ce
Different language
Individuals were asked about their feelings toward neighbors who spoke a different
language: “On this list are various groups of people. Could you please mention any that you
would not like to have as neighbors?-- People who speak a different language.”25 In some
ways this is a proxy for tolerance of other ethnic groups or non-native nationals in a
neighborhood. While data is only available for Poland and Romania, Figure 6 compares the
results disaggregated by age to introduce some generational dynamics into our understanding
of neighborhood tolerance.
First, in the 2005/2009 survey a total of 11.5% of Romanians and 8.4% of Poles said
they did not want neighbors who spoke a different language. In 2010/2014, 16.7% of
Romanians and 5.1% of Poles responded similarly. This suggests a noticeable decrease in
tolerance in Romania and an increase in tolerance in Poland. Second, when comparing the
results by age group, respondents over 50 were the least tolerant and respondents younger
25 Question V44 in the 2010/2014 WVS, V42 is the equivalent in the 2005/2009 survey.
15
than 30 were the most tolerant. However, in Poland in the 2005/2006 survey this trend was
reversed with the youngest cohort the least tolerant. By the 2010/2014 survey, attitudes
among the below 30 year old group changed the most, dropping to a nearly negligible 1% of
respondents. It is of note that intolerance in both age groups younger than 50 in Poland
dropped measurably, with the major difference in attitude registered between groups above
and below 50. Figure 6 shows that intolerance of people speaking a different language
increased in Romania and decreased in Poland, with salient changes within the young in both
directions. These findings do not suggest consistent post-communist trends, hinting instead at
the need to consider domestic level factors affecting tolerance toward ethnic or linguistic
differences within neighborhoods.
Romania Poland Romania Poland2005/2009 2010/2014
0.0%5.0%
10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%35.0%40.0%45.0%50.0%
Figure 6: Don't want neighbors who speak different language-By age group
% re
spon
ses
In sum, the WVS questions related to tolerance of different types of neighbors
produced mixed results. Nearly twenty-five years after the end of communism there was a
slight increase in regional levels of religious intolerance, however those levels were on par
with Spain and below Germany. While there were within and between country improvements
in racial tolerance in the post-communist countries, levels remained high by regional
comparisons. Finally, intolerance of people speaking a different language increased in
Romania and decreased in Poland, with salient changes within the young in both directions.
While this section cannot comment on what causes shifts in tolerance in CEE, the empirics
shed some light on trends in post-communist societal attitudes toward different ethnic,
religious, and linguistic groups.
Conclusion
16
The central questions motivating this paper were what do the neighborhood trust and
tolerance dynamics look like in CEE, and have they changed in the post-communist period?
The empirics presented in this paper present a mixed view of trust and tolerance trends.
First, neighborhood trust trends evidenced some fluctuations both within and between
countries since 1989, but in general the post-communist countries converged on each other by
the 2005/2009 survey and improved slightly. Overall levels of neighborhood trust were high,
with 75% of Poles, 73% of Bulgarians, and 80% of Hungarians saying they trusted their
neighborhood. Even the lowest reported numbers from Romania were relatively high by
comparison with typical regional interpersonal trust responses. When looking at trust
propensities by age, education level, or urban/rural divisions, again the post-communist
region appeared consistent with expectations. Older people were more trusting, more
educated people were more trusting, and respondents in more rural areas registered higher
levels of neighborhood trust. In general, there was high neighborhood trust in the CEE
countries considered here, with expected demographic factors affecting neighborhood trust.
Second, there was more mixed evidence with respect to tolerance of different
neighbors. Religious intolerance increased some in the region, although the most recent levels
put CEE on par with Spain. Racial intolerance in the region was quite high under
communism, and has decreased some over time, with Hungary being a regional outlier.
However, racial intolerance remains high by comparison. Intolerance for people who speak a
different language increased in Romania and decreased in Poland. The findings paint a picture
of some improvements but still challenges with respect to racial, ethnic, and religious
tolerance in the post-communist space.
These findings might appear at odds with each other if not for the insights of Robert
Putnam’s work into bridging and bonding forms of trust.26 When one trusts outside of one’s
established group, one builds trust bridges to others, thereby expanding the community or
circles of trust. When one bonds more densely within an already established group, one
deepens already existing social networks. Building bridges between different groups creates
more generalized trust, while deepening existing bonds within a group mainly reinforces
particularized trust networks. As such, we have some evidence of maintaining or deepening
neighborhood trust in the post-communist space, but lower levels of bridging trust with
remaining intolerance for neighbors who are different. Such dueling tendencies constitute
26 Robert Putnam. Bowling Alone, 2000.
17
important findings, since scholarship has suggested the reification of narrowly defined
community bonds can potentially undermine social capital and civil society.27
In conclusion, one of the primary reasons we care about trust and tolerance levels is
because of the expected relationships between more trust and tolerance and higher levels of
life satisfaction, stronger civil societies, more robust democracies and more effective
governments. To advance these meta-goals, the empirics in this paper point to a need for
consideration of neighborhood trust and tolerance dynamics in post-communist countries,
with an eye to fostering both bonding and bridging trust networks.
27 Ibidem; Francis Fukuyama, Trust, 1995.
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