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The Dividend Controversy Principles of Corporate Finance Brealey and Myers Sixth Edition Slides by Matthew Will Chapter 16 ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000 Irwin/McGraw Hill

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The Dividend Controversy

Principles of Corporate FinanceBrealey and Myers Sixth Edition

Slides by

Matthew Will Chapter 16

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 2

Topics Covered

How Dividends Are Paid How Do Companies Decide on Dividend

Payments? Information in Dividends and Stock

Repurchases Dividend Policy is Irrelevant The Rightists Taxes and the Radical Left The Middle of the Roaders

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 3

Types of Dividends

Cash Div Regular Cash Div Special Cash Div Stock Div Stock Repurchase (3 methods)

1. Buy shares on the market

2. Tender Offer to Shareholders

3. Private Negotiation (Green Mail)

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 4

Dividend Payments

Cash Dividend - Payment of cash by the firm to its shareholders.

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 5

Dividend Payments

Cash Dividend - Payment of cash by the firm to its shareholders.

Ex-Dividend Date - Date that determines whether a stockholder is entitled to a dividend payment; anyone holding stock before this date is entitled to a dividend.

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 6

Dividend Payments

Cash Dividend - Payment of cash by the firm to its shareholders.

Ex-Dividend Date - Date that determines whether a stockholder is entitled to a dividend payment; anyone holding stock before this date is entitled to a dividend.

Record Date - Person who owns stock on this date received the dividend.

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 7

Dividend Payments

Stock Dividend - Distribution of additional shares to a firm’s stockholders.

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 8

Dividend Payments

Stock Dividend - Distribution of additional shares to a firm’s stockholders.

Stock Splits - Issue of additional shares to firm’s stockholders.

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 9

Dividend Payments

Stock Dividend - Distribution of additional shares to a firm’s stockholders.

Stock Repurchase - Firm buys back stock from its shareholders.

Stock Splits - Issue of additional shares to firm’s stockholders.

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 10

Stock Repurchases

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997

$ B

illi

ons

U.S. Stock Repurchases 1985-1997

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 11

Dividend Payments

Aug 14 Aug 25 Aug26 Sept 1 Sept 15

Declaration With- Ex-dividend Record Paymentdate dividend date date date

date

Share price falls

Maytag’s Quarterly Dividend

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 12

The Dividend Decision

1. Firms have longer term target dividend payout ratios.

2. Managers focus more on dividend changes than on absolute levels.

3. Dividends changes follow shifts in long-run, sustainable levels of earnings rather than short-run changes in earnings.

4. Managers are reluctant to make dividend changes that might have to be reversed.

Lintner’s “Stylized Facts”

(How Dividends are Determined)

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 13

The Dividend Decision

Attitudes concerning dividend targets vary

Dividend Change

1

1

EPS ratiotarget

dividendtarget DIV

1

1

EPS ratiotarget

dividendtarget DIV

01

01

DIV-EPS ratiotarget

changetarget DIV-DIV

01

01

DIV-EPS ratiotarget

changetarget DIV-DIV

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 14

The Dividend Decision

Dividend changes confirm the following:

01

01

DIV-EPS ratiotarget rate adjustment

changetarget rate adjustmentDIV-DIV

01

01

DIV-EPS ratiotarget rate adjustment

changetarget rate adjustmentDIV-DIV

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 15

Dividend Policy

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

Div RiseDiv Cut

Source: Healy & Palepu (1988)

Ch

ange

EP

S/P

rice

at

t =

0 a

s %

Year

Impact of Dividend Changes on EPS

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 16

Dividend Policy is Irrelevant

Since investors do not need dividends to convert shares to cash they will not pay higher prices for firms with higher dividend payouts. In other words, dividend policy will have no impact on the value of the firm.

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 17

Dividend Policy is IrrelevantExample - Assume Rational Demiconductor has no extra cash, but declares

a $1,000 dividend. They also require $1,000 for current investment needs. Using M&M Theory, and given the following balance sheet information, show how the value of the firm is not altered when new shares are issued to pay for the dividend.

Record Date

Cash 1,000

Asset Value 9,000

Total Value 10,000 +

New Proj NPV 2,000

# of Shares 1,000

price/share $12

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 18

Dividend Policy is IrrelevantExample - Assume Rational Demiconductor has no extra cash, but declares a

$1,000 dividend. They also require $1,000 for current investment needs. Using M&M Theory, and given the following balance sheet information, show how the value of the firm is not altered when new shares are issued to pay for the dividend.

Record Date Pmt Date

Cash 1,000 0

Asset Value 9,000 9,000

Total Value 10,000 + 9,000

New Proj NPV 2,000 2,000

# of Shares 1,000 1,000

price/share $12 $11

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 19

Dividend Policy is IrrelevantExample - Assume Rational Demiconductor has no extra cash, but declares a

$1,000 dividend. They also require $1,000 for current investment needs. Using M&M Theory, and given the following balance sheet information, show how the value of the firm is not altered when new shares are issued to pay for the dividend.

Record Date Pmt Date Post Pmt

Cash 1,000 0 1,000 (910sh @ $11)

Asset Value 9,000 9,000 9,000

Total Value 10,000 + 9,000 10,000

New Proj NPV 2,000 2,000 2,000

# of Shares 1,000 1,000 1,091

price/share $12 $11 $11

NEW SHARES ARE ISSUED

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 20

Dividend Policy is Irrelevant

Example - continued - Shareholder Value

Record

Stock 12,000

Cash 0

Total Value 12,000

Stock = 1,000 sh @ $12 = 12,000

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 21

Dividend Policy is Irrelevant

Example - continued - Shareholder Value

Record Pmt

Stock 12,000 11,000

Cash 0 1,000

Total Value 12,000 12,000

Stock = 1,000sh @ $11 = 11,000

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 22

Dividend Policy is Irrelevant

Example - continued - Shareholder Value

Record Pmt Post

Stock 12,000 11,000 12,000

Cash 0 1,000 0

Total Value 12,000 12,000 12,000

Stock = 1,091sh @ $115 = 12,000

Assume stockholders purchase the new issue with the cash dividend proceeds.

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 23

Dividends Increase Value

Market Imperfections and Clientele Effect

There are natural clients for high-payout stocks, but it does not follow that any particular firm can benefit by increasing its dividends. The high dividend clientele already have plenty of high dividend stock to choose from.

These clients increase the price of the stock through their demand for a dividend paying stock.

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 24

Dividends Increase Value

Dividends as Signals

Dividend increases send good news about cash flows and earnings. Dividend cuts send bad news.

Because a high dividend payout policy will be costly to firms that do not have the cash flow to support it, dividend increases signal a company’s good fortune and its manager’s confidence in future cash flows.

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 25

Dividends Decrease Value

Tax Consequences

Companies can convert dividends into capital gains by shifting their dividend policies. If dividends are taxed more heavily than capital gains, taxpaying investors should welcome such a move and value the firm more favorably.

In such a tax environment, the total cash flow retained by the firm and/or held by shareholders will be higher than if dividends are paid.

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 26

Taxes and Dividend Policy

Since capital gains are taxed at a lower rate than dividend income, companies should pay the lowest dividend possible.

Dividend policy should adjust to changes in the tax code.

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 27

Taxes and Dividend Policy

0.101000.10100(%) return of rateAfter tax

66.9)17.15()83.510(1050.2)50.120(taxes)-gain cap(div

incomeTax After Total17.183.5.202.5012.50.2020% @ Gain Cap onTax

00.510.50050% @ div onTax

4.161005.12100(%) return of ratePretax

5.8312.50gain Capital

96.67100pricestock sToday'

112.50112.50payoffpretax Total

100Dividend

102.50112.50price sNext year'dividend) (high

BFirm

dividend) (no

A Firm

96.679.66

10010

96.6715.83

10012.5

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 28

Taxes and Dividend Policy

1998 Marginal Income Tax Brackets

Income Bracket

Marginal Tax Rate Single Married (joint return)

15% $0 - $25,350 $0 - $42,35028 25,351 - 61,400 42,351 - 102,30031 61,401 - 128,100 102,301 - 155,95036 128,101 - 278,450 155,951 - 278,450

39.6 over 278,450 over 278,450

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 29

Taxes and Dividend Policy

Rate of Income tax

0% 39.60%Operating Income 100 100Corporate tax (Tc=.35) 35 35After Tax income (paid as div) 65 65Income tax 0 25.7Cash to Shareholder 65 39.3

In U.S., shareholders are taxed twice (figures in dollars)

©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

16- 30

Taxes and Dividend Policy

Rate of Income tax

15% 33% 47%Operating Income 100 100 100Corporate tax (Tc=.33) 35 33 33After Tax income 67 67 67

Grossed up Dividend 100 100 100Income tax 15 33 47Tax credit for Corp Pmt -33 -33 -33Tax due from shareholder -18 0 14Cash to Shareholder 85 67 53

Under imputed tax systems, such as that in Australia, shareholders receive a tax credit for the corporate tax the firm pays (figures in Australian dollars)