" single cmo " management committee 17 march 2011
DESCRIPTION
" Single CMO " Management Committee 17 March 2011. Private Storage Reg. 68/2011. Trade in Pigmeat. EU trade of PIG products. EU imports of selected PIG products Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes product weight). Origins. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
group housing of pregnant sows as applicable from 1 January 2013
"Single CMO" Management Committee 17 March 2011
2DG AGRI C4 17 March 2011
Development of the EU Pig Carcasses price
115
135
155
175
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
€/10
0 kg
5 yr Avg (06-10) 2008 2009 2010 2011
3DG AGRI C4 17 March 2011
Percentual change in Pig prices February 2011
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT LU HUMT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI SK SF SV UK EU
Diffe
renc
e in
€uro
in %
-1 year- 1 month
4DG AGRI C4 17 March 2011
Applications for private storage aid in the Pigmeat sector (cumulated) 11.3.2011 final total: 143.659 T (9.448T Rejected)
0
25 000
50 000
75 000
100 000
125 000
150 000
3.2.11 7.2.11 10.2.11 14.2.11 17.2.11 21.2.11 24.2.11 1.3.11 PreliminaryContractsConcluded
Tonn
90 days: 120 days: 150 days:
5DG AGRI C4 17 March 2011
Applications Repartition by CategoryBE 2 450 1.7% Contracts Concluded:CZ 280 0.2% 142 715 TonnsDK 16 879 11.7%DE 40 936 28.5% Category 1 Half-carcases 5.0%EE 275 0.2% Category 2 Hams, Loins etc 18.4%ESP 27 554 19.2% Category 3 Legs boned 51.4%FR 7 541 5.2% Category 4 Bellies 5.6%IE 1 422 1.0% Category 5 Bellies boned 14.5%IT 11 980 8.3% Category 6 Middles boned 5.2%HU 2 555 1.8%NL 14 336 10.0% Of which:AT 2 130 1.5% 90 days: 75 457 TonnsPL 9 020 6.3% 120 days: 17 631 TonnsPT 1 742 1.2% 150 days: 49 628 TonnsRO 920 0.6% 142 715FI 1 050 0.7%SE 1 140 0.8%UK 1 486 1.0%EU 143 695
Private Storage Reg. 68/2011
6DG AGRI C4 17 March 2011
Development of the EU Piglet price
25
35
45
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
€/ p
iece
5 yr avg (06 - 10) 2008 2009 2010 2011
7DG AGRI C4 17 March 2011
Relation between monthly pig slaughterings and weekly pig carcass prices 2009 - 2011
1 100
1 300
1 500
1 700
1 900
2 100
2009 2010 2011
Slau
ghte
r in
1000
T
105.00
115.00
125.00
135.00
145.00
155.00
165.00
175.00
Euro
/ 100
kg
(expected) Slaughter EU 27 PriceSource: EU Commission DG AGRI
NB: Monthly Slaughter "official" slaughter only
8DG AGRI C4 17 March 2011
Price of Basic Ingredients 2008 - 2011
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Jan 08 April Juil Oct Jan 09 April Juil Oct Jan 10 April Juil Oct Jan-11 April Juil
Euro
/ to
nne
Soft Wheat (EU)Barley (EU)Maïs (EU)Soja (CAF)Hulls (EU)Manioc (CAF)C.G.F. (CAF)
9DG AGRI C4 17 March 2011
TOEPFER weekly Cereal and Substitute prices 2008 - 2011
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1 7 13 19 25 31 37 43 49 2 8 14 20 26 32 38 44 50 4 10 16 22 28 34 40 46 52 6 12 18 24 30 36 42
US$/T
FREIGHT Panamax soja beans USA soja pellets ARGCitrus p. Palm pitkernels EU maïs in US$C.G.F.
week 9 of 2011 -78% compared to week 1 of 2008
10DG AGRI C4 17 March 2011
Comparisson between Compoundfeed for Pigs and a Cereal-Feedmix
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
| 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011
Euro
/ 100
kg (p
ig ca
rcas
e)
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
€uro
/ T (c
erea
lmix
& C
omp.
feed
)
margin pig/ comp. Feed (4.4)Pig carcaseAvg Margin 2001 - 2010 (47,64€/100kg)Cereal-mixCompound feed
NB: Jan - Feb Forecast Mch - june estimations Pigprice: March - June forecast
11DG AGRI C4 17 March 2011
Weekly average Pigprices 2007 - 2010 in Euro/ 100kg carcaseEU, Brazil and the US
55.0
75.0
95.0
115.0
135.0
155.0
175.0
| 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 |
weeks EUUSBraz. avgCDN Quebec
EU = weighted avg of MS prices grade E <55% lean meatUS = weekly USDA prices carcase lean hogs Iowa-Minn. 167-187lbBR = avg of maximum prices in main producing states (suino.com.br)CDN= Quebeck index 100 (agr.gc.ca)
12DG AGRI C4 17 March 2011
Pigprices in US and EU and forecastsEU forecast: Working group priceforecast pigmeat
US Forecast: Chicago Mercantile Exchange
70
95
120
145
170
195
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11
€uro
/ 100
kg
EUUS
13DG AGRI C4 17 March 2011
Weekly exchange rate US dollar 2007 - 2011
1 €uro = ………US$
1
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
| 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11
14DG AGRI C4 17 March 2011
Trade in Pigmeat
15DG AGRI C4 17 March 2011
46 1
35
59 7
20
71 9
37
51 6
41
63 8
00
55 9
18
56 0
77
54 4
99
72 2
76
22 6
12
21 7
30
32 3
68
43 1
79
59 8
38
51 6
62
43 4
01
3 25
1
881
011
943
405
1 08
3 23
0
1 23
8 13
8
1 55
6 96
1
1 54
5 90
7
1 33
1 80
8
1 52
6 56
3
1 50
9 30
2
1 78
0 56
8
1 93
8 45
5
2 08
9 36
3
1 91
0 90
8
2 56
9 08
7
2 38
4 53
6
2 68
5 31
9
198
454
0
250 000
500 000
750 000
1 000 000
1 250 000
1 500 000
1 750 000
2 000 000
2 250 000
2 500 000
2 750 000
3 000 000
3 250 000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Jan-Jan11
Tonn
es p
rodu
ct w
eigh
t
IMPORTS EXPORTS
EU trade of PIG products
16DG AGRI C4 17 March 2011
EU imports of selected PIG productsTrade figures (COMEXT – tonnes product weight)
OriginsCompared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to J an-J an 10Switzerland 10 476 24% 12 377 21% 17 240 33% 17 481 40% 1 580 49% 11%Chile 12 323 29% 17 142 29% 16 557 32% 8 874 20% 692 21% -32%Croatia 2 863 7% 3 965 7% 4 061 8% 5 250 12% 435 13% 20%Serbia 1 217 3% 1 181 2% 387 1% 851 2% 170 5% +++USA 9 065 21% 21 532 36% 6 416 12% 5 616 13% 22 1% -94%Canada 2 660 6% 53 0% 340 1% 414 1% 19 1% -59%Other 4 576 11% 3 588 6% 6 661 13% 4 916 11% 334 10%
EXTRA EU 25/27 43 179 59 838 51 662 43 401 3 251
% change + 39% - 14% - 16% - 28.3%
2007 2008 2009 Jan-Jan 112010
17DG AGRI C4 17 March 2011
EU imports of selected PIG productsTrade figures (COMEXT – tonnes product weight)
IMPORTS of PIG Meat into EU-27 (Tonnes prod. weight)
676 350 22
1 708
1 012692
1 366
1 426
440 364
1 580
523
4 481 4 534
3 251
0500
1 0001 500
2 0002 500
3 0003 500
4 0004 500
5 000
Jan-Jan 09 Jan-Jan 10 Jan-Jan 11
USA Chile SwitzerlandCroatia Argentina Other destinations
IMPORTS of PIG Meat into EU-27 (1000 EUR)
1 543875
65
3 880
2 3322 332
1 266
1 322
1 208
7 579
5 974
5 045
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
7 000
8 000
Jan-Jan 09 Jan-Jan 10 Jan-Jan 11
USA Chile SwitzerlandCroatia Argentina Other destinations
18DG AGRI C4 17 March 2011
I mpor t s of sel ect ed PI G pr oduct s
0
1 500
3 000
4 500
6 000
|J an06
|J an07
|J an08
|J an09
|J an10
|J an11
i n Tonnes ( pr oduct wei ght )
FRESH FROZEN FAT OTHERS
19DG AGRI C4 17 March 2011
EU exports of selected PIG products:Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes product weight)
DestinationsCompared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jan 10
Russia 647 052 33.9% 769 044 29.9% 760 880 31.9% 809 149 30.1% 52 961 26.7% + 38%Hong Kong 243 171 12.7% 462 299 18.0% 413 548 17.3% 421 948 15.7% 32 615 16.4% + 32%China 86 345 4.5% 147 951 5.8% 178 725 7.5% 212 020 7.9% 19 827 10.0% + 39%Japan 232 951 12.2% 236 609 9.2% 186 134 7.8% 223 903 8.3% 16 181 8.2% + 5%South Korea 137 421 7.2% 115 757 4.5% 95 163 4.0% 100 796 3.8% 11 896 6.0% + 55%Philippines 34 243 1.8% 40 912 1.6% 26 572 1.1% 89 388 3.3% 7 030 3.5% + 68%Ukraine 2 757 0.1% 189 001 7.4% 147 030 6.2% 137 882 5.1% 6 660 3.4% + 44%USA 66 472 3.5% 61 471 2.4% 55 495 2.3% 58 627 2.2% 4 511 2.3% - 1%Croatia 56 151 2.9% 63 426 2.5% 70 697 3.0% 67 581 2.5% 4 039 2.0% - 3%Australia 34 583 1.8% 45 621 1.8% 46 703 2.0% 50 310 1.9% 3 907 2.0% - 22%Angola 48 637 2.5% 49 003 1.9% 45 424 1.9% 44 501 1.7% 3 708 1.9% + 82%Belarus 10 509 0.5% 55 276 2.2% 28 369 1.2% 80 284 3.0% 3 294 1.7% +++Other 310 615 16.3% 332 719 13.0% 329 795 13.8% 388 931 14.5% 31 825 16.0%EXTRA EU15-25-27 1 910 908 2 569 087 2 384 536 2 685 319 198 454
% change + 34% - 7% + 13% + 30.8%
2007 2008 2009 Jan-Jan 112010
20DG AGRI C4 17 March 2011
EU exports of selected PIG productsTrade figures (COMEXT – tonnes product weight)
EU-27 EXPORTS of PIG Meat (Tonnes prod. weight)
46 578 38 416 52 961
43 94424 643
32 615
16 181
52 493
51 383
64 974
13 263
15 341
177 599
151 761
198 454
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
Jan-Jan 09 Jan-Jan 10 Jan-Jan 11
Tonn
es (p
rodu
ct w
eigh
t)
Russia Hong Kong ChinaJapan South Korea Other destinations
EU-27 EXPORTS of PIG Meat (1000 EUR)
62 743 46 45879 163
24 532
35 612
54 587
102 805
95 643
120 705
48 09748 919
280 238
240 825
333 276
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
350 000
Jan-Jan 09 Jan-Jan 10 Jan-Jan 11
1,00
0 EU
R
Russia Hong Kong ChinaJapan South Korea Other destinations
21DG AGRI C4 17 March 2011
Exports of selected PIG products
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
|Jan06
2006 |Jan07
2007 |Jan08
2008 |Jan09
2009 |Jan10
2010 |Jan11
in T
onne
s (p
rodu
ct w
eigh
t)
FRESH FROZEN FAT LIVE ANIMALS OTHERS
22DG AGRI C4 17 March 2011
Cumulated quantity of weekly requests
for Export licenses in the Pigmeat sector
for Gatt year 2010 - 2011
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51
Tonn
es
Cumulative quantity availablecumulative attributions