" single cmo " management committee 17 january 2013
DESCRIPTION
" Single CMO " Management Committee 17 January 2013. Trade in Pigmeat. EU trade of PIG products. EU imports of selected PIG products Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes product weight). Origins. EU imports of selected PIG products Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes product weight). - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
group housing of pregnant sows as applicable from 1 January 2013
"Single CMO" Management Committee17 January 2013
DG AGRI C4 17 January 2013
115
130
145
160
175
190
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
€/1
00
kg
Development of the EU pig carcase price
5 yr Avg (08-12) 2010 2011 2012 2013
DG AGRI C4 17 January 2013
120
135
150
165
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53
€uro
/ 10
0kg
5 years averages of weekly EU Pig carcase pricesperiod 8 - 12 is over 7€ higher than the period 7 - 11
on average
5 yr Avg (03-07)
5 yr Avg (06-10)
5 yr Avg (07-11)
5 yr Avg (08-12)
DG AGRI C4 17 January 2013
75
125
175
225
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
€uro
/ 10
0kg
Range of annual average pigprices within the EU
max
EU avg
min
Avg difference over the period is 50,62 €uro/100kg.
DG AGRI C4 17 January 2013
30
38
45
53
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
€/
pie
ce
Development of EU piglet prices
5 yr avg (08 - 12) 2010 2011 2012 2013
DG AGRI C4 17 January 2013
0,00
20,00
40,00
60,00
80,00
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Range of annual average piglet prices within the EU
max
EU avg
min
DG AGRI C4 17 January 2013
50
150
250
350
450
Juil Oct Jan-11 April Juil Oct Jan-12 April Juil Oct Jan Apr
Euro
/ to
nne
Price of Basic Ingredients 2010 - 2013
Soft wheat (EU)
Barley (EU)
Maïs (EU)
Soja (CAF)
Hulls (EU)
Manioc (CAF)
C.G.F. (CAF)
DG AGRI C4 17 January 2013
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |
€uro
/ T (Cere
al & S
oja
mix
/ Com
pound feed)
Euro
/ 10
0kg ( p
ig carc
ase
)
Comparisson between Compoundfeed for Pigs and a Cereal-Feedmix
Margin/ Comp. Feed (4.4 > 3.9)
Carcase price
average Margin 2007 - 2011 (40,12€/100kg)
Cereals and Soja mix
Compound feed
NB:Comp. Feed 2012 = Forecast as from OctoberCereal mix and Pig carcase price: 2012. = forecast as from November)
DG AGRI C4 17 January 2013
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
ro ee lu ie es it sk uk gr be bg de at lt fr nl lv cy fi si pt dk pl cz hu se mt EU
in %
Expected Change in EU Pig slaughter Jan - Dec. 2012/2011 Actual avg decrease -1,1%
DG AGRI C4 17 January 2013
55,0
75,0
95,0
115,0
135,0
155,0
175,0
| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |
weeks
Weekly average Pigprices 2009 - 2013 in Euro/ 100kg carcase
EU, Brazil and the US
EUUSBraz. avgCDN Ontario
EU = weighted avg of MS prices grade E <55% lean meatUS = weekly USDA prices carcase lean hogs Iowa-Minn. 167-187lbBR = avg of maximum prices in main producing states (suino.com.br)CDN= Ontario Dressed weight FOBas from dec 2010, before Index 100 (agr.gc.ca)
DG AGRI C4 17 January 2013
Trade in Pigmeat
DG AGRI C4 17 January 2013
46
.13
5
59
.72
0
71
.93
7
51
.64
1
63
.80
0
55
.91
8
56
.07
7
54
.49
9
72
.27
6
22
.61
2
21
.73
0
32
.36
8
43
.17
9
59
.83
8
51
.78
9
43
.43
7
37
.77
1
32
.58
2
88
1.0
11
94
3.4
05
1.0
83
.23
0
1.2
38
.13
8
1.5
56
.96
1
1.5
45
.90
7
1.3
31
.80
8
1.5
26
.56
3
1.5
09
.30
2
1.7
80
.56
8
1.9
38
.45
5
2.0
89
.36
3
1.9
10
.90
8
2.5
69
.08
7
2.3
86
.24
5
2.6
85
.12
6 3.1
90
.55
6
2.8
90
.55
4
0
250.000
500.000
750.000
1.000.000
1.250.000
1.500.000
1.750.000
2.000.000
2.250.000
2.500.000
2.750.000
3.000.000
3.250.000
3.500.000
3.750.000
4.000.000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011Jan-Nov 12
To
nn
es
pro
du
ct
we
igh
t
.
IMPORTS EXPORTS
EU trade of PIG products
DG AGRI C4 17 January 2013
EU imports of selected PIG productsTrade figures (COMEXT – tonnes product weight)
OriginsOrigins Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to J an-Nov 11
Switzerland 12.377 21% 17.240 33% 17.480 40% 18.626 49% 17.312 53% 3%
Chile 17.142 29% 16.554 32% 8.874 20% 7.082 19% 6.800 21% 0%
Serbia 1.181 2% 387 1% 851 2% 2.368 6% 2.217 7% 1%
USA 21.532 36% 6.540 13% 5.616 13% 1.413 4% 1.076 3% -20%
Croatia 3.965 7% 4.061 8% 5.231 12% 4.491 12% 973 3% -77%
Canada 53 0% 340 1% 414 1% 41 0% 53 0% 31%
Other 3.588 6% 6.667 13% 4.972 11% 3.751 10% 4.151 13%
EXTRA EU 25/27 59.838 51.789 43.437 37.771 32.582
% change + 39% - 13% - 16% - 13% - 8,0%
2008 2009 2010 Jan-Nov 122011
DG AGRI C4 17 January 2013
EU imports of selected PIG productsTrade figures (COMEXT – tonnes product weight)
15.929 16.866 17.312
8.186 6.795 6.800
7.943
6.800 3.535
40.107
35.41432.582
0
5.000
10.000
15.000
20.000
25.000
30.000
35.000
40.000
45.000
Jan-Nov 10 Jan-Nov 11 Jan-Nov 12
IMPORTS of PIG Meat into EU-27(Tonnes prod. weight)
Switzerland Chile Serbia Norway USA Other destinations
7.383 11.506 14.869
22.19622.031
19.943
11.672
12.60112.261
63.32257.742
60.227
0
10.000
20.000
30.000
40.000
50.000
60.000
70.000
Jan-Nov 10 Jan-Nov 11 Jan-Nov 12
IMPORTS of PIG Meat into EU-27 (1000 EUR)
Switzerland Chile Serbia Norway USA Other destinations
DG AGRI C4 17 January 2013
0
1.500
3.000
4.500
6.000
|Jan 07
2007 |Jan 08
2008 |Jan 09
2009 |Jan 10
2010 |Jan 11
2011 |Jan 12
2012 |Jan 13
in Tonnes (product weight)
Imports of selected PIG products
FRESH FROZEN FAT OTHERS
DG AGRI C4 17 January 2013
EU exports of selected PIG products:Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes product weight)
DestinationsDestinationsCompared to
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % Jan-Nov 11
Russia 769.044 29,9% 762.144 31,9% 808.709 30,1% 847.286 26,6% 699.926 24,2% - 11%
China 147.951 5,8% 178.671 7,5% 207.128 7,7% 392.683 12,3% 535.633 18,5% + 47%
Hong Kong 462.299 18,0% 413.921 17,3% 426.697 15,9% 539.463 16,9% 353.041 12,2% - 31%
Japan 236.609 9,2% 186.049 7,8% 223.637 8,3% 231.224 7,2% 210.097 7,3% - 1%
South Korea 115.757 4,5% 95.036 4,0% 100.790 3,8% 193.994 6,1% 128.321 4,4% - 29%
Ukraine 189.001 7,4% 147.346 6,2% 137.736 5,1% 113.985 3,6% 151.342 5,2% + 45%
Belarus 55.276 2,2% 28.427 1,2% 80.331 3,0% 103.867 3,3% 113.104 3,9% + 16%
Philippines 40.912 1,6% 26.573 1,1% 89.407 3,3% 96.662 3,0% 66.040 2,3% - 25%
Croatia 63.426 2,5% 70.715 3,0% 67.784 2,5% 70.692 2,2% 68.505 2,4% + 8%
USA 61.471 2,4% 55.522 2,3% 58.592 2,2% 59.423 1,9% 56.496 2,0% + 3%
Angola 49.003 1,9% 45.383 1,9% 44.465 1,7% 61.493 1,9% 53.374 1,8% - 6%
Australia 45.621 1,8% 46.731 2,0% 50.304 1,9% 44.242 1,4% 42.839 1,5% + 4%
Other 332.719 13,0% 329.727 13,8% 389.545 14,5% 435.543 13,7% 411.835 14,2%
EXTRA EU15-25-272.569.087 2.386.245 2.685.126 3.190.556 2.890.554
% change - 7% + 13% + 19% - 2,3%
2008 2009 2010 Jan-Nov 122011
DG AGRI C4 17 January 2013
EU exports of selected PIG productsTrade figures (COMEXT – tonnes product weight)
752.260 789.334 699.926
389.789 509.856353.041
202.966
212.025 210.097
829.942
903.330 963.536
2.455.275
2.959.742 2.890.554
0
500.000
1.000.000
1.500.000
2.000.000
2.500.000
3.000.000
3.500.000
Jan-Nov 10 Jan-Nov 11 Jan-Nov 12
Tons (pw) .
EU-27 EXPORTS of PIG Meat (Tonnes prod. weight)
Russia Hong Kong China Japan South Korea Other destinations
1.009.978 1.264.304 1.301.071
612.962 502.752672.574
718.231800.791
1.484.066
1.754.1472.126.024
3.875.320
5.170.905
5.747.495
0
1.000.000
2.000.000
3.000.000
4.000.000
5.000.000
6.000.000
7.000.000
Jan-Nov 10 Jan-Nov 11 Jan-Nov 12
in 1,000 EUR .
EU-27 EXPORTS of PIG Meat (1000 EUR)
Russia Hong Kong China Japan South Korea Other destinations
DG AGRI C4 17 January 2013
0
50.000
100.000
150.000
200.000
250.000
300.000
350.000
|Jan 07
2007 |Jan 08
2008 |Jan 09
2009 |Jan 10
2010 |Jan 11
2011 |Jan 12
2012 |Jan 13
in Tonnes (product weight)Exports of selected PIG products
FRESH FROZEN FAT LIVE ANIMALS OTHERS