zimbabwe cforeport 2014 - deloitte us€¦ · • the role of the cfo this has provided us with...
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CFOReport2014
We’ve climbed mountains. Now we’re ready to do it again.
Zimbabwe
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Zimbabwe CFO 2014 Report 2
Deloitte conducts its CFO surveys each year to provide a better understanding of the current mind-set of financial stewards operating across the world.
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Zimbabwe CFO 2014 Report 1
ForewordDear Reader
We are proud to present our very first Deloitte CFO Survey for Zimbabwe. The fact that we have been able to gauge a sufficient number of responses in Zimbabwe to justify a standalone report for the country speaks volumes to both our growing presence in the country as well as the maturity of its economy.
Deloitte conducts its CFO surveys each year to provide a better understanding of the current mind-set of financial stewards operating across the world. From this survey, we hope to gain a better understanding into the underlying mood of Zimbabwean CFOs and to ascertain what the underlying drivers that are shaping their behaviour and strategic choices. In our survey, we also seek to determine whether there is a convergence or divergence of views on a number of topics and whether there are common trends among actions proposed by CFOs that may be insightful to their peers and to other readers of this report. This involves canvassing CFO views on:
• The economy and current business climate
• Their strategic intent
• The cost of funding (interest rates) and the availability of funding
• Short-term and medium-term currency outlook
• Cash flow and investment priorities for 2014 and beyond
• Availability and use of key talent
• Growth opportunities in the rest of Africa and other markets
• Topical subjects such as industry challenges, smart technology and social media
• The role of the CFO
This has provided us with rich insights as to what is top of mind for CFOs in Zimbabwe as they navigate through today’s challenging but exciting times. Deloitte recognises the crucial role that CFOs play around the globe as key decision makers in their respective companies and the daily challenges that CFOs face as they juggle the roles of steward, operator, catalyst and strategist. We have a well-established CFO Programme with the purpose of supporting and partnering with CFOs to better equip them to meet these everyday challenges.
We have assisted many CFOs in unlocking great potential for themselves and their companies. We sincerely hope that the insights and information provided in this report will be of great value to our valued clients and readers alike.
Best Regards
Tich Mudede Roy CampbellAdvisory Lead – Zimbabwe Partner – [email protected] [email protected]
Welcome to the 2014 Deloitte Zimbabwe CFO Survey
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Zimbabwe CFO 2014 Report 2
SummaryDeloitte has been conducting a CFO Survey in Southern Africa for a number of years, but in 2014, we have received – for the first time – sufficient responses from Zimbabwean CFOs to compile a separate report. We trust that this report will provide insight into the thinking of CFOs in one of Southern Africa’s most significant economies. While the bulk of Zimbabwean respondents represented relatively small companies, with 42% hailing from entities with an annual turnover of below $25 million and a further 38% representing companies with turnovers of between $25 million and $50 million, we believe the feedback provides useful insights to both large and small corporates.
A key theme to emerge is that very few Zimbabwean companies are looking to expand into the rest of Africa. Only 12% of Zimbabwean respondents indicated a desire to expand in Southern Africa this year, while a mere 4% said they were planning to establish a presence in East Africa. While the appetite for expansion is limited, this does follow a general trend that emerged from the Southern Africa CFO Survey, where respondents favoured expanding within their region rather than venturing into comparatively unknown parts of the continent.
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Zimbabwe CFO 2014 Report 3
Southern Africa
Undecided
East Africa
0
12%
4%
4%
Deloitte has been conducting a CFO Survey in Southern Africa for a number of years, but in 2014, we received – for the first time – sufficient responses from Zimbabwean CFOs to compile a separate report.
Figure 1. Regions for future expansion
Key Finding
Respondents that indicated their companies will be expanding beyond their boarders, favour the Southern African region
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Zimbabwe CFO 2014 Report 4
0
20
40
60
80
100
20144% 4%
15%15%
39%
42%
69%
12%
19%
8%
19%
27%
27%
2015 2016
Much the same
Slight improvement
Significant improvement
Significant deterioration
Slight deterioration
In keeping with the generally downbeat assessment of CFOs in other parts of Southern Africa, Zimbabwean CFOs exhibited mixed reactions when questioned about expectations of company performance for the current year. No less than 19% of respondents predict a significant deterioration in company performance in 2014, with a further 8% expecting a slight deterioration and 27% opting for a continuation of the status quo. The remaining of 46% expect slight to significant improvement.
Figure 2. Company performance outlook
Key Finding
CFOs in the region exhibited mixed reaction with regard to their company’s performance outlook
Expected company performance
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Zimbabwe CFO 2014 Report 5
Figure 3. Cash flow priorities Zimbabwe (Top three cash flow priorities, aggregate %)
0,00,20,40,60,81,00 90
86%
54%
50%
50%
31%
Improving current operations
Repay debt
Retain for liquidity
Invest in new capacity (Capex)
Invest in innovation & new products (R&D)
Cash flow prioritiesImproving current operations is a key focus area for Zimbabwean CFOs, with 86% naming this among their top three cash flow priorities. On the positive side, 54% of CFOs said investing in new capacity was among their top three cash flow priorities, followed by repaying debt and retaining cash for liquidity. In line with the views of CFOs polled elsewhere in Africa, payments to shareholders were among the least popular use of cash.
Key Finding
Improving current operations is a key focus areas for Zimbabwean CFOs
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Zimbabwe CFO 2014 Report 6
Figure 4. Top 5 Industry concerns (Top three industry concerns, aggregate %)
0
54%
47%
46%
39%
39%
Threat of nationalisation/governmentintervention in industry
Financial health of primary customers
Competitiveness of the local market
Industry regulation and environment
Sustainability factors relevant to industry
Industry concerns
Relative to the US dollar, what fluctuations do you expect from your local currency in the following years?
The financial health of primary customers was identified as the top industry concern, totaling 54%. This is a reflection of the poor state of Zimbabwe’s economy. Retail sales in Zimbabwe slumped 30% in February, compared to the previous month, while 15 factories in the metals and engineering industries closed in the period, according to the country’s government. As is the case elsewhere in Africa, regulation is becoming is increasingly becoming a challenge for businesses operating in Zimbabwe. Regulation was identified by 39% of respondents as one of the top five industry concerns. Unlike the rest of Africa, CFOs in Zimbabwe did not rate retention of talent as a top concern.
Key Finding
The financial health of primary customers are the foremost concern for CFOs
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Zimbabwe CFO 2014 Report 7
Significant risk Manageable risk Insignificant risk
Political landscape in your country
Credit monitoring and managementprocesses for customers
Margin deterioration due to lack of pricing flexibility
Threat of nationalisation/government intervention in industry
Ability to protect market share
62% 30% 8%
16%24%60%
50% 42% 8%
50% 15% 35%
16%36%48%
42%
36%
35%
32%
23%
15%
12%
12%
8% 50% 42%
30% 58%
23% 65%
50% 35%
35% 42%
44% 24%
35% 30%
60% 4%
20% 38%Weak demand for existing products
Margin deterioration due to input cost pressures
Fragile state of the global economic recovery (EU deflation, Chinese bubble, etc.)
Product substitutes
Impact of continuing electricity price increases
Ability to comply with legislation, regulation or charters
Global unrest
Currency volatility
Labour unrest
The political landscape was named by the majority of Zimbabwean CFOs as the biggest risk to business performance. CFOs felt that additional clarity was required around the indigenisation programme, which is an area of national focus at this time, and its implementation. Their main concern was centred around the consistency of policy application as this has a direct impact on FDI.
Credit monitoring and management processes for customers was the next major risk factor identified by Zimbabwe CFOs, followed by margin deterioration due to pricing inflexibility, the threat of nationalisation and protecting market share.
Risk factors
Figure 5. Risk factors
Key Finding
Aligned to the market sentiment, the main risk faced by CFOs is the political risk in Zimbabwe
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Zimbabwe CFO 2014 Report 8
As is the case throughout Southern Africa, the core strategy of Zimbabwean businesses at present is defensive in nature. Reducing operating costs, increasing operational efficiencies, the sale of non-core assets and improving investor confidence are the main strategies for a business leadership that is facing ongoing economic challenges. Typically, expansive strategies like venturing into new markets in the rest of Africa, research and development and investing in smart technologies are comparatively low on the list of strategic objectives.
Businessstrategy
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Zimbabwe CFO 2014 Report 9
Figure 6. Business strategies
Currently following Likely to adopt in 2014
0 20 40 60 80 100
83% 17%
83% 17%
79% 21%
73% 27%
68% 32%
Reduce operating costs/rationalise operations
Improve operational efficiency and process optimisation
Sell non-core assets
Improve investor confidence
Consolidation of operations
As is the case throughout Southern Africa, the core strategy of Zimbabwean businesses at present is defensive in nature
Key Finding
Much like other Southern African countries, Zimbabwean CFOs have prioritised defensive strategies for their businesses
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Zimbabwe CFO 2014 Report 10
CFO stresses in Zimbabwe are much like those observed elsewhere in Africa and the rest of the world. Concerns about company performance, the preponderance of low-value administrative work, rising competitor activities, excessive workload and demands of external stakeholders are seen as the top job stresses among the country’s CFO community. Insufficient pay was again considered among the least stressful aspects of being a CFO.
Top job stresses
Figure 7. Top five Job stresses
0,00,20,40,60,81,00
65%
46%
43%
43%
43%
Pressures from poor company performance
Increased competitor activities
Too much administrative/low-value work
Excessive workload, roles/responsibilities
Demands of external stakeholders, analysts, etc.
Key Finding
Poor company performance ranks as the biggest concern for CFOs
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Zimbabwe CFO 2014 Report 11
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