zama discovery interim update - investis digital
TRANSCRIPT
Zama Discovery Interim Update 13th July 2017
Mexico: 111 years of E&P history, 78 years under state monopoly
Sureste Veracruz
Tampico- Misantla
Campeche
Mexican Ridges
61 Bboe
Sureste
14 Bboe
2.0 Bboe
0.9
0.3
0.4
0.5
Salina del Bravo & Perdido
oil
gas
Area proportional to
discovered resource
Burgos
Burgos • Onshore, Mature • Gas, minor Oil • Main Play: Paleogene Deltaics
Tampico - Misantla • Onshore, Mature • Oil + Assoc Gas • Main Plays: Jurassic /
Cretaceous carbonates
Veracruz • Onshore, Mature • Gas, minor Oil • Main Plays: Cretaceous
carbonates; Tertiary deep water sandstones
Sureste (offshore) • Shallow to Deep-Water,
Emerging • Oil + Assoc Gas • Main Play: Cretaceous / Jurassic
carbonates; Neogene clastics • Salt plays
Mexican Ridges • Slope & Deep-Water, Frontier • Possible Gas (Tertiary SR), but
unknown • Main Play: Paleogene &
Neogene DW Clastics
Campeche • Slope & Deep-Water, Frontier • Probably Mixed Oil and Gas • Main Play: Neogene DW
Clastics • Salt plays
Perdido • Deep-Water, Emerging • Oil + Assoc Gas • Main Play: Neogene and
Paleogene clastics • Salt plays
July 2017 | P1
• Premier screening high-graded Sureste Basin as best fit for entry
• Opening of a high potential energy sector to foreign investors after 78 years of state monopoly.
• Establishment of a clean and transparent process with an independent regulatory body, CNH.
• Extensive modern datasets made available for a reasonable cost across most basins.
• CNH and SENER (Ministry) continuing to mature both the licencing process and terms.
• Bid conditions comprise government take and defined work programme.
• Mexico offers large tracts of acreage in proven basins with access via a regular tender process.
July 2017 | P2
Mexico: recent Energy Sector Reform
July 2017 | P3
• Successful entry (10% carried) into Blocks 2 & 7 in Q3 2015
• Increased equity to 25% (paying) in May 2017 in Block 7, ahead of Zama well
Block 2
Mexico: Premier Sureste Basin Licence Position
Block 7 Premier 25%
Talos (op) 35% Sierra 40%
ENSCO 8503
Flat Spot
• Talos (op.) spudded the well in 166m of water on 21 May using the Ensco 8503 rig.
• Premier’s pre-drill assessment of Zama was of it being a low risk prospect, with a P50 of 300 MM barrels EURR within a range of 100-500 MM barrel
full stack reprocessed seismic data in depth
E W Zama-1 Well
July 2017 | P4
Good conformance of seismic amplitude with structural contours
salt
salt
3D view of the Zama Prospect showing top structure map and seismic amplitudes of the target interval
Zama-1 Well
Mexico: Block 7 Zama Prospect (Premier 25%)
2km
Flat spot
Zama Main 3D view of Zama showing top structure and seismic amplitudes of the main target
Good conformance of seismic amplitude with structure
salt
salt
salt
salt
– 1 km
– 2 km
– 3 km
– 4 km
– 5 km
seismic section (left) runs E-W through well
ST drilled ahead to 13 5/8” casing point.
Well was side-tracked to west and contingency 16” liner set above fault.
Current hole depth 3381 m MD
•80-90 days (mid Aug) to drill and evaluate the well to TD of 4400 mTVD (no well test planned).
•Forecast cost $61.5m gross, $15.4m net to Premier’s 25%.
•Forward Plan: Case current hole section then drill ahead and evaluate the remainder of Zama Main and Zama Deep secondary target.
Mexico - Zama-1
July 2017 | P5
PTD 4426 m MD
E W Zama-1 Well
Zama Deep
Global significance of the Zama Discovery
July 2017 | P6
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
Liza-Payara IaraEntorno
Tulimaniq Carcara Owowo Anchor NorthPlatte
SNE Orca Itapu Itapu(Surplus)
Snoek Bay duNord
1500
2000
Zama pre-drill volume range
Sits in top 10 largest offshore commercial oil discoveries of the last 5 years
(Data courtesy of WoodMac) Offshore Oil Discoveries >300 mmboe since 2012
Res
erve
s (m
mb
oe)
July 2017 | P7
Mexican fabrication capability
• Development conceptual engineering will commence shortly.
• Given the scale of the Zama discovery an illustrative fixed installation development could be much as shown here:
– Single jacket and significant topsides, with capabilities of producing well in excess of 100,000 bopd
– Single drill centre with wells drilled from the platform
– A pipeline to the Dos Bocas terminal
• The development could leverage the significant Mexican country infrastructure and manufacturing plants.
• In terms of timetable we would expect to appraise in 2018 and to target first oil well within 5 years.
Zama – Illustrative Development Scenario
Illustrative development schematic
Mexico - Block 7 - Fiscal Terms
July 2017 | P8
Gro
ss R
eve
nu
es
Co
st R
eco
very
P
rofi
t O
il
Exploration
Capex
Opex
Contractor Profit Oil
Government Profit Oil (68.99%)
Royalties
Contractor Gross Revenues
60% limit of Gross
Revenue (per month)
Corporation Tax 30%
Representative barrel of oil at $65/bbl
Royalty Sensitivity to Oil Price
Oil Price $/bbl
Roy
alt
y
100
%
125%
Exploration benefits from a
25% uplift
Premier Oil Plc 23 Lower Belgrave Street London SW1W 0NR Tel: +44 (0)20 7730 1111 Fax: +44 (0)20 7730 4696 Email: [email protected]
www.premier-oil.com
July 2017