zama discovery interim update - investis digital

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Zama Discovery Interim Update 13th July 2017

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Page 1: Zama Discovery Interim Update - Investis Digital

Zama Discovery Interim Update 13th July 2017

Page 2: Zama Discovery Interim Update - Investis Digital

Mexico: 111 years of E&P history, 78 years under state monopoly

Sureste Veracruz

Tampico- Misantla

Campeche

Mexican Ridges

61 Bboe

Sureste

14 Bboe

2.0 Bboe

0.9

0.3

0.4

0.5

Salina del Bravo & Perdido

oil

gas

Area proportional to

discovered resource

Burgos

Burgos • Onshore, Mature • Gas, minor Oil • Main Play: Paleogene Deltaics

Tampico - Misantla • Onshore, Mature • Oil + Assoc Gas • Main Plays: Jurassic /

Cretaceous carbonates

Veracruz • Onshore, Mature • Gas, minor Oil • Main Plays: Cretaceous

carbonates; Tertiary deep water sandstones

Sureste (offshore) • Shallow to Deep-Water,

Emerging • Oil + Assoc Gas • Main Play: Cretaceous / Jurassic

carbonates; Neogene clastics • Salt plays

Mexican Ridges • Slope & Deep-Water, Frontier • Possible Gas (Tertiary SR), but

unknown • Main Play: Paleogene &

Neogene DW Clastics

Campeche • Slope & Deep-Water, Frontier • Probably Mixed Oil and Gas • Main Play: Neogene DW

Clastics • Salt plays

Perdido • Deep-Water, Emerging • Oil + Assoc Gas • Main Play: Neogene and

Paleogene clastics • Salt plays

July 2017 | P1

• Premier screening high-graded Sureste Basin as best fit for entry

Page 3: Zama Discovery Interim Update - Investis Digital

• Opening of a high potential energy sector to foreign investors after 78 years of state monopoly.

• Establishment of a clean and transparent process with an independent regulatory body, CNH.

• Extensive modern datasets made available for a reasonable cost across most basins.

• CNH and SENER (Ministry) continuing to mature both the licencing process and terms.

• Bid conditions comprise government take and defined work programme.

• Mexico offers large tracts of acreage in proven basins with access via a regular tender process.

July 2017 | P2

Mexico: recent Energy Sector Reform

Page 4: Zama Discovery Interim Update - Investis Digital

July 2017 | P3

• Successful entry (10% carried) into Blocks 2 & 7 in Q3 2015

• Increased equity to 25% (paying) in May 2017 in Block 7, ahead of Zama well

Block 2

Mexico: Premier Sureste Basin Licence Position

Block 7 Premier 25%

Talos (op) 35% Sierra 40%

Page 5: Zama Discovery Interim Update - Investis Digital

ENSCO 8503

Flat Spot

• Talos (op.) spudded the well in 166m of water on 21 May using the Ensco 8503 rig.

• Premier’s pre-drill assessment of Zama was of it being a low risk prospect, with a P50 of 300 MM barrels EURR within a range of 100-500 MM barrel

full stack reprocessed seismic data in depth

E W Zama-1 Well

July 2017 | P4

Good conformance of seismic amplitude with structural contours

salt

salt

3D view of the Zama Prospect showing top structure map and seismic amplitudes of the target interval

Zama-1 Well

Mexico: Block 7 Zama Prospect (Premier 25%)

Page 6: Zama Discovery Interim Update - Investis Digital

2km

Flat spot

Zama Main 3D view of Zama showing top structure and seismic amplitudes of the main target

Good conformance of seismic amplitude with structure

salt

salt

salt

salt

– 1 km

– 2 km

– 3 km

– 4 km

– 5 km

seismic section (left) runs E-W through well

ST drilled ahead to 13 5/8” casing point.

Well was side-tracked to west and contingency 16” liner set above fault.

Current hole depth 3381 m MD

•80-90 days (mid Aug) to drill and evaluate the well to TD of 4400 mTVD (no well test planned).

•Forecast cost $61.5m gross, $15.4m net to Premier’s 25%.

•Forward Plan: Case current hole section then drill ahead and evaluate the remainder of Zama Main and Zama Deep secondary target.

Mexico - Zama-1

July 2017 | P5

PTD 4426 m MD

E W Zama-1 Well

Zama Deep

Page 7: Zama Discovery Interim Update - Investis Digital

Global significance of the Zama Discovery

July 2017 | P6

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

Liza-Payara IaraEntorno

Tulimaniq Carcara Owowo Anchor NorthPlatte

SNE Orca Itapu Itapu(Surplus)

Snoek Bay duNord

1500

2000

Zama pre-drill volume range

Sits in top 10 largest offshore commercial oil discoveries of the last 5 years

(Data courtesy of WoodMac) Offshore Oil Discoveries >300 mmboe since 2012

Res

erve

s (m

mb

oe)

Page 8: Zama Discovery Interim Update - Investis Digital

July 2017 | P7

Mexican fabrication capability

• Development conceptual engineering will commence shortly.

• Given the scale of the Zama discovery an illustrative fixed installation development could be much as shown here:

– Single jacket and significant topsides, with capabilities of producing well in excess of 100,000 bopd

– Single drill centre with wells drilled from the platform

– A pipeline to the Dos Bocas terminal

• The development could leverage the significant Mexican country infrastructure and manufacturing plants.

• In terms of timetable we would expect to appraise in 2018 and to target first oil well within 5 years.

Zama – Illustrative Development Scenario

Illustrative development schematic

Page 9: Zama Discovery Interim Update - Investis Digital

Mexico - Block 7 - Fiscal Terms

July 2017 | P8

Gro

ss R

eve

nu

es

Co

st R

eco

very

P

rofi

t O

il

Exploration

Capex

Opex

Contractor Profit Oil

Government Profit Oil (68.99%)

Royalties

Contractor Gross Revenues

60% limit of Gross

Revenue (per month)

Corporation Tax 30%

Representative barrel of oil at $65/bbl

Royalty Sensitivity to Oil Price

Oil Price $/bbl

Roy

alt

y

100

%

125%

Exploration benefits from a

25% uplift

Page 10: Zama Discovery Interim Update - Investis Digital

Premier Oil Plc 23 Lower Belgrave Street London SW1W 0NR Tel: +44 (0)20 7730 1111 Fax: +44 (0)20 7730 4696 Email: [email protected]

www.premier-oil.com

July 2017