york blvd. the economics of a road diet

1
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Mult. modes Transit Walk Bicycle Drive No response Slow Fast No effect No response No change Less More No response No change Less No response No Yes More No response Not sure No Yes No response Not sure No Yes Legend Do you think more people visit your business when cars drive fast past your business or when they have to drive slowly past your business? Do you think more, less, or the same number of people would visit your business if there were more car lanes on the road? Do you think more, less, or the same number of people would visit your business if there were less car lanes on the road? Do you think bicycle lanes hurt your business? Would you support removing car lanes on the road to add bicycle lanes? Would you support removing parking lanes on the road to add bicycle lanes? How would you guess most of your customers come to your business? Survey question Road diet Non-road diet 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Legend Transit Walk Bicycle Drive Slow Fast No effect No effect Narrow Wide No Yes No Yes No Yes Do you prefer to shop on streets where cars drive fast or where cars drive slowly, or does the speed of cars have no effect on where you shop? Do you prefer to shop on narrow, quiet streets or wide, busy streets, or does the type of street have no effect on where you shop? Do you think it is important to have bicycle lanes on streets? Would you support removing car lanes on the road to add bicycle lanes? Would you support removing parking lanes on the road to add bicycle lanes? How did you get here today? Survey question Road diet Non-road diet RESEARCH BY Cullen McCormick [email protected] PROJECT ADVISORS Donald Shoup, Ph.D. UCLA, Faculty Advisor Alexis Lantz LACBC, Client Representative Nate Baird LADOT, Project Advisor SUPPORT FROM References Klein, G., Reiskin, E., and Sadik-Kahn, J. (2012, January 23). Mobility strategies in the 21st century. Discussion panel presented at the Transportation Research Board 91st Annual Meeting, Washington, DC. Huang, H., Stewart, J., and Zegeer, C. (2004, March). Summary report: Evaluation of lane reduction "road diet" measures and their effects on crashes and injuries. Retrieved February 9, 2012, from http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/publications/research/safety/humanfac/040 82/index.cfm $229 $270 $624 $380 18% -39% $0.52 $0.66 $0.37 $0.51 27% 39% Average property sale price per square foot Average sales tax revenue per square foot per year Road diet 2000-2005 pre-implementation 2006-2011 post-implementation Percent change Non-road diet Road diet Non-road diet Customer survey responses Merchant survey responses About Methods Conclusions Key Findings A need for research Cities throughout the country are increasingly reapportioning road space to accommodate bicyclists (KLEIN, REISKIN, AND SADIK-KAHN, 2012). There are myriad voices both supporting and opposing these modifications on economic grounds, but surprisingly few data to back either argument. Research question How do road diets and bike lanes affect surrounding local economies, both in quantitative terms and popular opinion? York Boulevard creates a natural experiment Land use and socioeconomic characteristics are comparable over the entire study corridor • Half of the corridor has a road diet and bicycle lanes and the other half does not • Research compares economic conditions spatially, between the road diet and non-road diet sections, as well as temporally, before and after the 2006 road diet implementation • The design of road diets and bicycle facilities must carefully involve local community members, especially those whose businesses and homes flank proposed road diets and bicycle facilities • Multilingual, multifaceted outreach efforts are essential to successful, community-supported bikeway projects • Cities and bicycle advocacy organizations should integrate economic impact studies into bikeway planning and conduct follow-up studies after bikeway implementation • Future research should examine the effects on adjacent businesses of converting on-street parking to bike lanes Data Analysis Qualitative Quantitative Business owner/ manager surveys Customer intercept surveys Property sale price (LOS ANGELES COUNTY ASSESSOR’S OFFICE) New business openings Business turnover (CALIFORNIA STATE BOARD OF EQUALIZATION) Bradley- Burns sales tax (CALIFORNIA STATE BOARD OF EQUALIZATION) Survey response comparison Survey response comparison T-test; hedonic price model Chi-square test Chi-square test Non-statistical comparison (aggregated data prohibit statistical comparison) • Data suggest road diets have no negative effects on surrounding businesses or property values. Therefore, opposition to road diets on economic grounds appears unfounded. Still, opinions about removing on-street parking and auto lanes for bike lanes/road diets are divided • Merchants do not feel that bike lanes hurt their businesses and customers believe bike lanes are important roadway additions • Sales tax revenues are higher on the road diet section of the corridor, yet other locational variables beyond the presence of the road diet likely influence these values • The road diet has a statistically insignificant effect on property sale price, business turnover, and new business openings • On-street parking is an important asset to both local merchants and customers • Merchants’ perceptions about their customers’ travel patterns do not align with customers’ stated travel modes 2 110 Ave 55 Ave 54 Ave 50 Aldama St Figueroa St York Blvd Occidental College Highland Park Metro Gold Line Station Highland Park Eagle Rock Franklin High School Eagle Rock Boulevard - Avenue 55 Road diet/bike lanes Avenue 55 - Figueroa Street No road diet/bike lanes York Boulevard Study Corridor Los Angeles Downtown Los Angeles York Boulevard 1 Mile Non-road diet Road diet Typical road diet conversion from four auto lanes (top) to three auto lanes and bike lanes (bottom). On streets with less than roughly 20,000 daily auto trips, road diets improve safety without worsening traffic congestion (HUANG, STEWART, AND ZEGEER, 2004). Eagle Ro ck Blvd

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Page 1: York Blvd. The Economics of a Road Diet

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Mult. modes

Transit

Walk

Bicycle

Drive

No response

Slow

Fast

No effect

No response

No change

Less

More

No response

No change

Less

No response

No

Yes

More

No response

Not sure

No

Yes

No response

Not sure

No

Yes

Legend

Do you think more people visit your business when cars drive fast past your business or when they have to drive slowly past your business?

Do you think more, less, or the same number of people would visit your business if there were more car lanes on the road?

Do you think more, less, or the same number of people would visit your business if there were less car lanes on the road?

Do you think bicycle lanes hurt your business?

Would you support removing car lanes on the road to add bicycle lanes?

Would you support removing parking lanes on the road to add bicycle lanes?

How would you guessmost of your customerscome to your business?

Surveyquestion

Road d

iet

Non-road

diet

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Legend Transit

Walk

Bicycle

Drive

Slow

Fast

No effect No effect

Narrow

Wide

No

Yes

No

Yes

No

Yes

Do you prefer to shop on streets where cars drive fast or where cars drive slowly, or does the speed of cars have no effect on where you shop?

Do you prefer to shop on narrow, quiet streets or wide, busy streets, or does the type of street have no effect on where you shop?

Do you think it is important to have bicycle lanes on streets?

Would you support removing car lanes on the road to add bicycle lanes?

Would you support removing parking lanes on the road to add bicycle lanes?

How did you get here today?

Surveyquestion

Road d

iet

Non-road

diet

RESEARCH BY

Cullen McCormick [email protected]

PROJECT ADVISORS

Donald Shoup, Ph.D. UCLA, Faculty Advisor

Alexis Lantz LACBC, Client Representative

Nate Baird LADOT, Project Advisor

SUPPORT FROM

ReferencesKlein, G., Reiskin, E., and Sadik-Kahn, J. (2012, January 23). Mobility strategies in the 21st century. Discussion panel presented at the Transportation Research Board 91st Annual Meeting, Washington, DC.

Huang, H., Stewart, J., and Zegeer, C. (2004, March). Summary report: Evaluation of lane reduction "road diet" measures and their effects on crashes and injuries. Retrieved February 9, 2012, from http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/publications/research/safety/humanfac/04082/index.cfm

$229$270

$624

$380

18%-39%

$0.52 $0.66 $0.37 $0.51

27%

39%

Average property saleprice per square foot

Average sales tax revenueper square foot per year

Road diet

2000-2005

pre-implementation

2006-2011

post-implementation

Percent change

Non-road diet

Road diet

Non-road diet

Customer surveyresponses

Merchant surveyresponses

About Methods ConclusionsKey FindingsA need for researchCities throughout the country are increasingly reapportioning road space to accommodate bicyclists (KLEIN, REISKIN, AND SADIK-KAHN, 2012). There are myriad voices both supporting and opposing these modifications on economic grounds, but surprisingly few data to back either argument.

Research questionHow do road diets and bike lanes affect surrounding local economies, both in quantitative terms and popular opinion?

York Boulevard creates a natural experiment• Land use and socioeconomic

characteristics are comparable over the entire study corridor

• Half of the corridor has a road diet and bicycle lanes and the other half does not

• Research compares economic conditions spatially, between the road diet and non-road diet sections, as well as temporally, before and after the 2006 road diet implementation

• The design of road diets and bicycle facilities must carefully involve local community members, especially those whose businesses and homes flank proposed road diets and bicycle facilities

• Multilingual, multifaceted outreach efforts are essential to successful, community-supported bikeway projects

• Cities and bicycle advocacy organizations should integrate economic impact studies into bikeway planning and conduct follow-up studies after bikeway implementation

• Future research should examine the effects on adjacent businesses of converting on-street parking to bike lanes

Data Analysis

Qua

litat

ive

Qua

ntit

ativ

e

Businessowner/managersurveys

Customerinterceptsurveys

Property sale price(LOS ANGELESCOUNTYASSESSOR’SOFFICE)

New businessopenings

Business turnover(CALIFORNIASTATEBOARD OFEQUALIZATION)

Bradley-Burnssales tax(CALIFORNIASTATEBOARD OFEQUALIZATION)

Surveyresponsecomparison

Surveyresponsecomparison

T-test;hedonicpricemodel

Chi-square test

Chi-square test

Non-statisticalcomparison(aggregateddata prohibitstatisticalcomparison)

• Data suggest road diets have no negative effects on surrounding businesses or property values. Therefore, opposition to road diets on economic grounds appears unfounded. Still, opinions about removing on-street parking and auto lanes for bike lanes/road diets are divided

• Merchants do not feel that bike lanes hurt their businesses and customers believe bike lanes are important roadway additions

• Sales tax revenues are higher on the road diet section of the corridor, yet other locational variables beyond the presence of the road diet likely influence these values

• The road diet has a statistically insignificant effect on property sale price, business turnover, and new business openings

• On-street parking is an important asset to both local merchants and customers

• Merchants’ perceptions about their customers’ travel patterns do not align with customers’ stated travel modes

2

110

Ave

55Av

e 54Av

e 50

Aldama St

Figueroa St

York Blvd

OccidentalCollege

Highland Park MetroGold Line Station

HighlandPark

Eagle Rock

FranklinHigh School

Eagle Rock Boulevard - Avenue 55Road diet/bike lanes

Avenue 55 - Figueroa StreetNo road diet/bike lanes

York Boulevard Study Corridor

LosAngeles

DowntownLos Angeles

York Boulevard

1 Mile

Non

-roa

d di

etR

oad

diet

Typical road diet conversion from four auto lanes (top) to three auto lanes and bike lanes (bottom). On streets with less than roughly 20,000 daily auto trips, road diets improve safety without worsening traffic congestion (HUANG, STEWART, AND ZEGEER, 2004).

Eagle

Roc

k Bl

vd